格隆汇8月15日丨绿源集团控股(02451.HK)公布，公司将于2025年8月27日召开董事会会议，以（其中包 括）审议及通过集团截至2025年6月30日止六个月的中期业绩及其发布，以及审议派发中期股息的建议 （如有）。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因依賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 （股 份 代 號：2451） 董事會會議召開日期 Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited（「本公司」）董 事 會（「董事會」）謹 此 宣 佈，本 公 司 將 於2025年8月27日（星 期 三）舉 行 董 事 會 會 議，藉 以（其 中 包 括） 考慮並批准本公司及其附屬公司截至2025年6月30日止六個月的中期業 績 及 其 刊 發，考 慮 派 發 中 期 股 息 之 建 議（如 有），以 及 處 理 其 他 事 項。 承董事會 命 Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited 綠 源 集 團 控 股（開 曼）有 限 公 司* （於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司） 主席兼執 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading electric two-wheeler supplier in mainland China, focusing on product development and technology investment, with over 700 patents expected by the end of 2024 [1] Company Overview - The company specializes in electric two-wheelers, including electric motorcycles, light motorcycles, and electric bicycles, with a production capacity exceeding 5 million units annually by the end of 2024 [1] - The company has factories in Zhejiang, Shandong, and Guangxi, with plans to increase total production capacity as the Chongqing factory is built and put into operation [1] - The sales network is expanding, with over 1,400 distributors covering 328 cities across 31 provincial-level administrative regions and more than 12,800 retail stores [1] Financial Performance - From 2019 to 2024, the company's revenue increased from 2.49 billion to 5.07 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 15%, although revenue is expected to decrease by approximately 0.2% in 2024 due to product mix adjustments [2] - The gross profit margin remained stable, with margins of 11.7%, 13.4%, and 13.1% for 2022-2024, driven by higher sales of high-margin products and improved manufacturing processes [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company grew from 70 million to 120 million yuan from 2019 to 2024, with a CAGR of 11% [2] Industry Outlook - The demand for electric two-wheelers in short-distance transportation is expected to remain robust, with total sales in mainland China projected to reach 77.2 million units by 2027, growing at a CAGR of approximately 4.6% from 2023 to 2027 [2] - The market is anticipated to shift towards quality and brand-driven competition due to new national standards, leading to the gradual elimination of smaller manufacturers lacking R&D and sales capabilities [2] Product and Channel Strategy - The company emphasizes product development, establishing core technological barriers, and enhancing its product mix to focus on the mid-to-high-end market [3] - The company is launching the LYVA brand to target the high-end electric assist bicycle segment, integrating AI technology for multi-scenario light travel solutions [3] - The retail channel strategy includes strengthening online and offline collaboration and maintaining stable relationships with corporate clients in the shared mobility sector [3] Revenue Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.38 billion, 7.20 billion, and 8.10 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 180 million, 220 million, and 250 million yuan [3]

Core Insights - Southeast Asia is emerging as a high-certainty area for new consumption, with growth rates projected at 4.5% to 4.7% for ASEAN countries compared to a global average of 3.2% [2] - Chinese brands are capitalizing on this consumption upgrade trend, establishing a strong presence in Southeast Asia through various sectors, including tea, toys, and electronics [2][5] - The rise of Chinese brands in Southeast Asia reflects a broader trend of globalization and the adaptation of brands to local markets [2][6] Group 1 - Chinese tea brand Mixue Ice City has become particularly popular in Southeast Asia, with over a thousand stores in Vietnam and significant market penetration in Indonesia [6][8] - The toy brand Labubu has sparked a "Chinese toy craze" in Southeast Asia, significantly boosting sales and tourism in Thailand and Vietnam [8][10] - KKV, a new consumption brand, has opened over 50 stores in Southeast Asia, collaborating with numerous Chinese brands to enhance market presence [10][11] Group 2 - The initial strategy for Chinese brands entering Southeast Asia focused on rapid market penetration, exemplified by Mixue Ice City's aggressive store openings [13] - The second phase involves capturing consumer mindshare, as the Southeast Asian market is still in its early stages of market education [13] - Challenges for brands include regulatory hurdles and the need for localized operations, which can complicate market entry [16][17] Group 3 - KKV has facilitated market entry for various brands by handling import regulations and reducing costs associated with entering local markets [19][20] - The collaborative approach among Chinese brands has proven effective, allowing them to leverage shared resources and market knowledge [21][22] - The success of KKV's model in Southeast Asia may serve as a blueprint for future expansions into other regions, including the Middle East and Europe [38][42]

Group 1 - The electric two-wheeler industry is transitioning towards high-quality and standardized development, with compliant and high-quality enterprises expected to increase market share and industry concentration [1] - The company, Luyuan Group, is recognized as a leading second-tier enterprise in the electric two-wheeler industry, excelling in channel layout, R&D capabilities, and product iteration [1] - Revenue for Luyuan Group is projected to grow from 2.38 billion yuan in 2020 to 5.07 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 20.8%, while net profit is expected to rise from 40 million yuan to 117 million yuan, with a CAGR of 30.5% [1] Group 2 - The industry is expected to experience a recovery in total growth, driven by natural replacements and potential growth points such as instant delivery and domestic shared riding [2] - The industry is anticipated to see a trend of increasing volume and price, supported by trade-in programs and dealer inventory replenishment [2] - The official implementation of new national standards will lead to a return to high-quality product competition, with Luyuan Group positioned to benefit from its technological reserves and differentiated positioning [2] Group 3 - Luyuan Group is increasing R&D investment to solidify its core advantages, with a focus on five key systems: liquid-cooled motor systems, solid-state electrical systems, digital battery maintenance systems, safe driving systems, and intelligent connectivity systems [3] - The company plans to invest 231 million yuan in R&D in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22.1%, to enhance its competitive edge in liquid-cooled electric vehicle technology [3] - Luyuan Group has developed a diversified product matrix covering economy, mid-range, and luxury models, with a strategic focus on the mid-to-high-end market [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [6]. Core Views - The electric two-wheeler industry is entering a high-quality development phase, with the company positioned as a leading player benefiting from policy support and market recovery [7][37]. - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.8% from 2020 to 2024, and a net profit CAGR of 30.5% during the same period [6][18]. - The company is expected to continue expanding its market share and profitability through innovation, product diversification, and strategic channel development [8][41]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading manufacturer in the electric two-wheeler sector, having participated in the formulation of national standards since its inception in 1997 [16]. - The company has established a comprehensive production base across four regions in China, enhancing its manufacturing capabilities [16]. Industry Analysis - The electric two-wheeler industry is projected to recover to stable growth, driven by policies encouraging replacement and new market demands such as instant delivery and shared riding [7][29]. - The industry has seen a compound annual growth rate of 10.6% from 2019 to 2023, with sales reaching 55 million units in 2023 [29]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue increased from 2.38 billion yuan in 2020 to 5.07 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit rising from 40 million yuan to 117 million yuan during the same period [6][18]. - The report forecasts net profits of 184 million yuan, 267 million yuan, and 347 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][56]. Product and R&D Strategy - The company is focusing on five core systems in R&D, including liquid-cooled motors and smart battery maintenance systems, with R&D investment reaching 231 million yuan in 2024 [8][41]. - A diversified product matrix has been established, covering various market segments from economy to luxury models, with a strategic focus on high-end markets [8][41]. Market Opportunities - The global electric assist bicycle market is expected to grow from 35 billion USD in 2024 to 62 billion USD by 2030, with a CAGR of 10% [8][52]. - The company is actively expanding its presence in overseas markets and has launched a high-end brand, LIVA, to tap into the electric assist bicycle segment [8][53].

Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the news is that Green Source Group has been awarded the "Golden Award for ESG Excellence" for its "All-Scenario Light Travel Solution - Source Walker Platform" project, highlighting its significant social and commercial sustainability impact in the ESG sector [1]. Group 1: ESG Excellence and Recognition - Green Source Group received the "Golden Award for ESG Excellence" at the 2025 Mid-term Strategy Conference, recognizing its project for its industry demonstration effect and substantial social benefits [1]. - The award aims to spotlight ESG benchmark projects that drive transformative change, such as clean energy infrastructure and inclusive finance initiatives [1]. Group 2: Technological Innovation and Social Value - The company’s "All-Scenario Light Travel Solution" effectively addresses diverse user travel needs through technological innovation, promoting safety and low-carbon transitions [2]. - Customized product matrices have been developed for various scenarios, including models equipped with liquid-cooled motors and digital batteries to alleviate winter range anxiety [2]. - The high-end LYVA brand integrates AI central control technology, transforming electric vehicles into "smart health terminals" and advocating for a green lifestyle [2]. Group 3: Integrated Service Ecosystem - The "Source Walker Platform" breaks traditional hardware sales models by creating an integrated service ecosystem of "rent, exchange, sell, and repair," aligning commercial and social values [3]. - The platform operates through 13,000 smart stores nationwide, forming a "3-kilometer service circle" that offers battery leasing and on-site repair services, enhancing user engagement and market coverage [3]. - The project targets various market segments, with budget-friendly products solidifying the base and high-end brands exploring higher profit margins, while the "Source Walker" generates additional revenue through data services [3]. Group 4: Global Expansion and Strategic Success - Green Source Group is leading a green travel revolution through scenario-based innovation and ecological services, reconstructing the industry value chain [3]. - The recognition of the "All-Scenario Light Travel Solution - Source Walker Platform" project as an "ESG Excellence Project" serves as strong evidence of the company's successful strategy [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of the Hong Kong stock market, highlighting its resurgence as a capital haven despite previous challenges, driven by significant reforms and an influx of southbound capital from mainland investors [3][6][12]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - Xiaomi completed a HKD 4.25 billion placement, marking the third-largest flash placement in Hong Kong's history, following Meituan and BYD [3]. - In 2023, Hong Kong's IPO financing reached HKD 653.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of 691.33%, while total placements surged to HKD 1,242.68 billion, up 853.47% [4]. - The first quarter of 2023 saw a new high of 27% in equity holdings of Hong Kong stocks by actively managed public funds [4]. Group 2: Challenges Faced by the Market - Prior to 2023, Hong Kong stocks faced a four-year decline, with IPO fundraising dropping to HKD 46.3 billion in 2022, an 86% decrease from 2021, making it the lowest in 20 years [3][4]. - The market suffered from liquidity issues, with large-cap stocks contributing 90% of liquidity, while small-cap stocks struggled [9][10]. - The market's challenges were exacerbated by external factors such as aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and geopolitical tensions [8][10]. Group 3: Reforms and Strategic Changes - The new leadership at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, including CEO Chen Yiting and Chairman Tang Jiacheng, aims to address liquidity issues and attract competitive companies [12][13]. - Reforms include lowering the listing thresholds for companies, with market capitalization requirements for commercialized companies reduced from HKD 60 billion to HKD 40 billion [13]. - The introduction of the FINI platform has improved the efficiency of new stock subscriptions, significantly reducing the time funds are frozen during the process [14][16]. Group 4: Capital Inflows and Market Dynamics - The influx of southbound capital has been a key driver of market resilience, with significant investments in technology and new consumer sectors [18][20]. - Public funds have increased their holdings in major stocks like Tencent and Alibaba, with a notable rise in technology-related ETFs [20][22]. - Insurance funds have actively increased their stakes in high-dividend stocks, contributing to the overall liquidity of the market [23].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Luyuan Group Holdings (2451.HK) with a target price of HKD 13.41, indicating a potential upside of 61.2% from the current price of HKD 7.99 [2][4]. Core Insights - Luyuan Group is a pioneer in the electric two-wheeler industry, focusing on technological innovation and industry transformation since its establishment in 1997. The company has introduced significant technologies such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery systems, enhancing product durability and range [4][7]. - The transition to new national standards is expected to stimulate demand for electric two-wheelers, with a projected recovery in sales starting in 2025 due to government incentives for trade-ins [4][25]. - The company is strategically repositioning itself as a leader in "all-scenario light mobility solutions," aiming to transform from a traditional manufacturer to a mobility service provider, with a focus on high-end markets and an integrated service ecosystem [4][12]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Luyuan Group are as follows: - 2024: CNY 50.72 billion (YoY -0.22%) - 2025: CNY 60.2 billion (YoY +18.69%) - 2026: CNY 73.2 billion (YoY +21.59%) - 2027: CNY 88.5 billion (YoY +20.90%) - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: CNY 1.16 billion (YoY -20.29%) - 2025: CNY 1.75 billion (YoY +50.86%) - 2026: CNY 3.23 billion (YoY +84.57%) - 2027: CNY 4.58 billion (YoY +41.80%) - The report indicates a significant improvement in earnings per share (EPS) from CNY 0.29 in 2024 to CNY 1.07 in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 25.72 to 6.68 over the same period [3][4][19]. Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler market in China is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.32% from 2019 to 2024, despite a decline in 2024 due to weak consumer demand and industry adjustments [4][25]. - The market is characterized by a shift from price competition to quality competition, with leading brands focusing on technological advancements and differentiated offerings to enhance product value [31][34]. - The introduction of new national standards in 2024 is expected to further elevate product quality and safety, driving the industry towards higher standards and compliance [40][41]. Technological Advancements - Luyuan Group has developed core technologies such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery systems, which significantly improve product performance and longevity, addressing key industry challenges [47][48]. - The company is also enhancing its smart technology offerings, integrating features like real-time monitoring and AI-driven maintenance to improve user experience and safety [51][52]. Strategic Initiatives - The launch of the LYVA brand marks Luyuan's entry into the high-end market, with a focus on premium electric two-wheelers designed for various high-end scenarios [61]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new manufacturing bases, aiming to meet future demand and enhance market share [53]. Sales and Distribution - Luyuan has established a comprehensive sales network with over 12,800 retail stores across China, supported by a robust online sales strategy that integrates e-commerce with traditional retail [54][57].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Luyuan Group Holdings (2451.HK) with a target price of HKD 13.41, indicating a potential upside of 61.2% from the current price of HKD 7.99 [2][4]. Core Insights - Luyuan Group is a pioneer in the electric two-wheeler industry, leveraging technological innovation to lead market development. The company has introduced significant advancements such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery technology, enhancing product durability and range [4][7]. - The transition to new national standards is expected to stimulate demand for electric two-wheelers, with a projected recovery in sales starting in 2025 due to government incentives for trade-ins [4][25]. - The company's strategic shift towards high-end markets and the establishment of a comprehensive mobility ecosystem is anticipated to drive growth and improve profitability [4][61]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Luyuan Group are as follows: - 2024: CNY 50.72 billion (YoY -0.22%) - 2025: CNY 60.2 billion (YoY +18.69%) - 2026: CNY 73.2 billion (YoY +21.59%) - 2027: CNY 88.5 billion (YoY +20.90%) [3][4] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: CNY 1.16 billion (YoY -20.29%) - 2025: CNY 1.75 billion (YoY +50.86%) - 2026: CNY 3.23 billion (YoY +84.57%) - 2027: CNY 4.58 billion (YoY +41.80%) [3][4]. Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler market in China is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.32% from 2019 to 2024, despite a decline in 2024 due to weak consumer demand and industry adjustments [4][25]. - The market is characterized by a significant shift from price competition to quality competition, with leading brands focusing on technological advancements and product differentiation [31][34]. - The introduction of new national standards in 2025 is expected to enhance product quality and safety, further driving the industry's evolution [40][41].