HANSOH PHARMA(03692)
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医药生物行业周报:医药生物行业双周报2025年第12期总第135期聚焦创新主线,把握三大方向投资机遇
Great Wall Glory Securities· 2025-06-09 10:23
Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Positive [2] Core Insights - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry index increased by 3.36%, ranking 6th among 31 primary industries, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which decreased by 0.21% [5][17] - The valuation of the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry as of June 6, 2025, is 28.24x (TTM, excluding negative values), up from 27.60x in the previous period, indicating an upward trend but still below the average [5][23] - Notable sub-industry performance includes chemical preparations and other biological products, with increases of 5.77% and 4.68% respectively, while offline pharmacies saw a decline of 1.15% [5][17] Industry Review - The report highlights three major investment opportunities: 1) Companies with dual-antibody/multi-antibody technology platforms that have differentiated target design capabilities and clinical advancement efficiency are likely to attract international giants [9] 2) Areas with unmet clinical needs, such as advanced liver cancer and non-small cell lung cancer, are promising for dual-antibody therapy development [9] 3) Potential license-out candidates, as domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies continue to engage in global collaborations [9] Important Industry News - CDE launched the "Star Plan" to encourage the development of pediatric anti-cancer drugs, addressing significant unmet clinical needs in this area [7][32] - Alcon's dry eye medication "Tryptyr" received FDA approval, marking it as the first of its kind globally [39] - Hansoh Pharmaceutical's third-generation EGFR-TKI "Amivantamab" was approved in the UK for first-line treatment of NSCLC, becoming the first domestically developed EGFR-TKI approved overseas [42] - BMS and BioNTech entered a collaboration for the dual-antibody candidate BNT327, with an upfront payment of $1.5 billion and potential milestone payments of $7.6 billion [51] Company Dynamics - Stone Pharmaceutical is negotiating three potential deals totaling $5 billion, involving several products including EGFR ADCs [49] - BMS's "Rotecip" was approved for treating lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes, marking a significant innovation in this therapeutic area [45] - AbbVie’s JAK inhibitor "Upadacitinib" was approved for treating giant cell arteritis, becoming the first approved treatment for this condition in China [48]
2025下半年港股医药投资策略:以创新药为主线,关注出海机会
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-09 08:46
Group 1 - The report emphasizes the active overseas commercialization of innovative drugs, with several domestic innovative drugs presenting excellent data at the ASCO conference, highlighting ongoing business development (BD) opportunities and clinical progress of key pipelines [3][39]. - Key companies such as BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others are expected to achieve significant milestones, including BeiGene's projected non-GAAP operating profit of $45 million in 2024 and a positive cash flow in 2025 [3][4]. - The report notes that the Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector has shown strong performance, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index rising approximately 42% year-to-date, driven by the successful execution of BD transactions and the internationalization of domestic innovative drugs [14][39]. Group 2 - The report outlines the financial forecasts for key companies, indicating that BeiGene's revenue is expected to grow from 36.69 billion HKD in 2025 to 44.36 billion HKD in 2026, with a significant increase in net profit from 1.25 billion HKD to 4.56 billion HKD [4]. - The innovative drug sector is projected to see a revenue increase of 30% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue reaching 71.88 billion HKD, while the overall loss for innovative drug companies is expected to narrow by 29% [35][36]. - The report highlights the increasing number of license-out transactions, with 81 transactions in 2024 totaling $45 billion, reflecting a 28% year-on-year growth, and a notable deal between 3SBio and Pfizer involving a $1.25 billion upfront payment [43][44]. Group 3 - The report indicates that the pharmaceutical sector is undergoing a transformation, with leading companies like Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China National Pharmaceutical Group achieving revenue growth rates of 21% and 10% respectively in 2024 [35]. - The medical services sector is facing pressure due to the impact of healthcare insurance policies and macroeconomic conditions, which may affect growth in consumer medical services [39]. - The CXO sector is showing signs of improvement, with a focus on the recovery of orders, indicating a potential rebound in performance [39]. Group 4 - The report provides a comparative analysis of valuations, noting that the overall valuation of Hong Kong pharmaceuticals is lower than that of A-share and overseas pharmaceuticals, with a median PE of 15x for Hong Kong compared to 24.7x for A-share [12][14]. - The report highlights the significant performance disparity among sub-sectors, with innovative drugs and pharma benefiting from ongoing BD transactions and a favorable valuation correction, while medical services are under pressure [18][39]. - The report also mentions the increasing trend of dual-listed pharmaceutical companies, with the number rising from 5 in 2017 to 20 currently, indicating a growing interest in the Hong Kong market [23].
创新药概念股再度冲高,港股医药ETF(159718)上涨2.75%,近2周新增规模居同类第一
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 02:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector, with the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Healthcare Index rising by 3.02% as of June 9, 2025, and several key stocks showing significant gains [1] - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical ETF (159718) has seen a weekly increase of 4.58% and a daily trading volume of 8,878.41 million HKD, indicating active market participation [1] - The ETF's recent scale growth of 784.63 million HKD over two weeks places it in the top quartile among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The 2025 ASCO conference featured a record 73 oral presentations from China, with 184 ADC pipeline studies included, of which 89 (48.4%) were from Chinese enterprises [2] - Chinese companies contributed approximately 49% of the dual-antibody research presented at ASCO, showcasing the country's innovation in drug development [2] - Southwest Securities emphasizes the importance of focusing on drug development that is clinically valuable and patient-centered, suggesting three main lines of investment: leading innovative drugs, biotech, and transformation innovation [2] Group 3 - The latest PE-TTM for the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Healthcare Index is 26.04 times, indicating it is at a historical low compared to the past five years [5] - The index comprises 50 liquid and large-cap healthcare companies, with the top ten stocks accounting for 60.77% of the index [5] - The top weighted stocks include BeiGene (06160), WuXi Biologics (02269), and Innovent Biologics (01801), among others, reflecting the concentration of market influence within a few key players [7]
天风证券晨会集萃-20250609
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-09 00:11
Group 1 - The report highlights the impact of trade tensions between the US and China, noting that after the US initiated tariff threats in March 2018, multiple high-level talks occurred, but the US frequently changed its stance, leading to a breakdown in negotiations and escalation of conflicts [2][29] - China's trade surplus has been increasing since 2020, with a projected total trade surplus of $1,105.3 billion by April 2025, compared to an average of $385.1 billion from 2018 to 2019 [2][29] - The report suggests that the domestic industrial production index is recovering, with specific sectors like methanol and polyester filament showing improvement, while others like Shandong refining and tires are declining [2][29] Group 2 - The report discusses the Chinese government's comprehensive financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and expectations, including initiatives to boost the digital economy, with a target for the core digital economy to account for over 10% of GDP by 2025 [3] - The development of multimodal large models in technology is emphasized, with companies like ByteDance and Alibaba making significant advancements in AI capabilities [3] - The report indicates that the self-sufficiency strategy remains a long-term focus, driven by national policies and the need for domestic supply chain resilience, particularly in sectors heavily reliant on imports from the US [4][6] Group 3 - The report identifies key investment opportunities in sectors with low valuations, particularly in defense, pharmaceuticals, and electronics, while suggesting a focus on the rhythm of industry development [6] - The report notes that the semiconductor industry is expected to see continued growth, driven by advancements in AI and the release of new products, particularly in the context of AI glasses and storage solutions [21][22] - The report highlights the performance of the REITs market, with a focus on infrastructure projects and the increasing activity in the sector, indicating a positive outlook for future growth [32]
新药周观点:下一个重磅PD-1升级产品PD-1/IL-2α偏向性双抗潜力验证-20250608
Guotou Securities· 2025-06-08 07:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the biopharmaceutical sector [7]. Core Insights - The PD-(L)1 monoclonal antibody market is vast, with multiple companies developing PD-1 class upgrade products, including PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibodies and PD-1/IL-2 bispecific antibodies. The IBI363 from Innovent Biologics is expected to be the next significant PD-1 upgrade product following the PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody [2][21]. - IBI363 has shown excellent data in the treatment of wild-type NSCLC and colorectal cancer, indicating its potential to expand into first-line treatment markets based on its performance in the IO resistant market [2][22]. - The competitive landscape for PD-1/IL-2 bispecific antibodies is favorable for IBI363, as it is the only PD-1/IL-2α bispecific antibody currently in Phase II clinical trials, while most competitors are in earlier stages [3][25]. Summary by Sections Weekly New Drug Market Review - From June 2 to June 6, 2025, the top five companies in the new drug sector by stock performance were Junsheng Tai Pharmaceutical-B (24.29%), Zai Lab (23.28%), Innovent Biologics (18.08%), Maiwei Biopharma (17.72%), and Shenzhou Cell (17.24%). The bottom five were Deqi Pharmaceutical-B (-12.68%), JACOB-B (-11.90%), Heptares Therapeutics-B (-10.86%), CanSino Biologics-B (-10.75%), and WuXi AppTec-B (-8.54%) [1][17]. Weekly New Drug Industry Analysis - The report highlights the potential of IBI363 as a next-generation PD-1 upgrade product, with promising data presented at ASCO 2025. The drug is expected to target multiple tumor types and expand into first-line treatment markets [2][21]. Weekly New Drug Approval & Acceptance Status - This week, 20 new drug or new indication applications were approved in China, including drugs from Zai Lab and Shenzhen Xinlitai. Additionally, 11 new drug applications were accepted, including those from MSD and Eli Lilly [4][28]. Weekly New Drug Clinical Application Approval & Acceptance Status - There were 21 new drug clinical application approvals and 43 new drug clinical applications accepted in the domestic market this week [5].
翰森制药:创新能力持续兑现的制药企业,兼具业绩稳健与创新弹性
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-07 00:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking it as the first coverage with a target price of HKD 29.50, compared to the current price of HKD 27.2 [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is recognized as a leading innovation-driven pharmaceutical enterprise, focusing on oncology, anti-infection, central nervous system, metabolic diseases, and autoimmune diseases. It is projected to achieve a revenue of HKD 12.26 billion in 2024, representing a 21% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of HKD 4.372 billion, reflecting a 33% increase [1][5]. - The company has successfully launched multiple innovative drugs, with a strong pipeline that is expected to drive future growth. The sales of innovative drugs are anticipated to continue increasing, with a projected revenue of HKD 9.477 billion in 2024, marking a 38.1% year-on-year growth [16][24]. Summary by Sections 1. Innovation and R&D - The company has established a comprehensive R&D system, employing over 1,800 professionals and creating several national-level research institutions. It has been recognized as a key high-tech enterprise and a national technology innovation demonstration enterprise [14][26]. - The company has eight innovative drugs approved for market, including Amelotin (甲磺酸阿美替尼片) and Fluoromethylnitro (甲磺酸氟马替尼片), which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [16][17]. 2. Market Performance - The sales of Amelotin, the first domestic third-generation EGFR TKI, are projected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 214% from 2020 to 2024, capturing approximately 28% of the total sales of third-generation EGFR TKIs by 2024 [2]. - The company has also seen significant sales growth in Fluoromethylnitro, with a 54% increase in 2023 and a projected 36% growth in 2024 [3]. 3. Future Growth Potential - The company has a robust pipeline with several innovative drugs in various stages of clinical trials, including HS-20089 and HS-20093, which have entered phase II and III trials, respectively [4]. - The company is expanding its market presence through collaborations, such as granting global exclusive licensing rights for HS-10535 to Merck, indicating strong potential for future revenue streams [4][5]. 4. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at HKD 13.741 billion, HKD 15.567 billion, and HKD 17.374 billion, respectively, with net profits expected to reach HKD 4.746 billion, HKD 5.336 billion, and HKD 5.850 billion [5].
翰森制药(03692):创新能力持续兑现的制药企业,兼具业绩稳健与创新弹性
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-06 14:19
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking it as the first coverage with a target price of HKD 29.50, compared to the current price of HKD 27.2 [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is recognized as a leading innovative pharmaceutical enterprise with a focus on oncology, anti-infection, central nervous system, metabolic diseases, and autoimmune diseases. It has shown robust performance with a projected revenue of HKD 12.26 billion for 2024, representing a 21% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of HKD 4.372 billion, reflecting a 33% increase [1][5]. - The company has successfully launched multiple innovative drugs, with significant sales growth in its key products, particularly in the oncology sector, which is expected to account for 66.24% of total revenue by 2024 [17][24]. Summary by Sections 1. Innovation and R&D - The company has established a comprehensive R&D system with over 1,800 professional researchers, focusing on drug discovery and clinical research. It has been recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and a national technology innovation demonstration enterprise [14][26]. - The company has eight innovative drugs approved for market, including Amelotin (甲磺酸阿美替尼片) and Fluoromethine (甲磺酸氟马替尼片), which have shown strong sales performance [16][17]. 2. Sales Performance - The sales of Amelotin are projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 214% from 2020 to 2024, capturing approximately 28% of the total sales for third-generation EGFR TKIs by 2024 [2]. - The sales of Fluoromethine increased by 54% in 2023 compared to the previous year, with a projected growth of 36% in 2024 [3]. 3. Future Growth Potential - The company has a robust pipeline with several innovative drugs in various stages of clinical trials, including HS-20089 and HS-20093, which have entered phase II and III trials, respectively [4]. - The company is expanding its market presence with global licensing agreements for its innovative drugs, indicating strong potential for future revenue growth [4][5]. 4. Financial Forecast - The revenue forecast for the company is set at HKD 13.741 billion, HKD 15.567 billion, and HKD 17.374 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits projected at HKD 4.746 billion, HKD 5.336 billion, and HKD 5.850 billion [5].
港股收盘(06.06) | 恒指收跌0.48% 有色、创新药走高 快手-W(01024)逆市涨超8%
智通财经网· 2025-06-06 08:57
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Index stopping a three-day rise, closing down 0.48% at 23,792.54 points, with a total turnover of HKD 235.62 billion [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.63% to 8,629.75 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index also dropped 0.63% to 5,286.52 points [1] - For the week, the Hang Seng Index rose 2.16%, the China Enterprises Index increased by 2.34%, and the Tech Index gained 2.25% [1] Blue Chip Performance - Kuaishou-W (01024) continued its upward trend, rising 8.44% to HKD 59.1, contributing 22.8 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - The annualized revenue run rate for Kuaishou's AI product exceeded USD 100 million as of March, with monthly payments surpassing RMB 100 million in April and May [2] - Other blue-chip stocks included CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093) up 12.72%, Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) up 2.84%, while SMIC (00981) fell 4.85% and Trip.com Group (09961) dropped 3.31% [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks generally declined, with Xiaomi down over 2% and Alibaba down over 1%, while Kuaishou rose over 8% [3] - Precious metals saw gains, with China Silver Group rising 26% and silver prices reaching a 13-year high, driven by industrial demand [3] - The innovative drug sector saw gains, with CSPC Pharmaceutical up 12.72% and other biotech firms also performing well, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4] Stablecoin Sector - The stablecoin sector experienced a pullback after Circle's successful NYSE listing, with China Everbright Holdings (00165) dropping 17.2% [5] - The Hong Kong government announced the implementation of the Stablecoin Regulation on August 1, 2025, which aims to reshape the regulatory framework for stablecoins [6] Automotive Sector - Automotive stocks declined, with XPeng Motors (09868) down 1.77% and Great Wall Motors (02333) down 1.76% [6] - Concerns over a price war in the automotive industry were raised, with profit margins for the sector declining [6] Notable Stocks - WanGuo Gold Group (03939) reached a new high, rising 11.73% to HKD 30, supported by positive mining contracts [7] - Xinyi Energy (03868) increased by 7.07% as it submitted listing materials for a solar power infrastructure REIT in China [8] - Juzhibio (02367) faced pressure, down 3.04%, amid ongoing controversies regarding its product composition [9]
对外授权交易频现 创新药出海加速
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-05 20:46
Group 1 - Hansoh Pharmaceutical granted Regeneron Pharmaceuticals exclusive overseas licensing for its GLP-1/GIP dual receptor agonist HS-20094, which has completed multiple Phase II clinical trials and is currently in Phase III trials in China [1][2] - The licensing agreement includes an upfront payment of $80 million, potential milestone payments of up to $1.93 billion, and double-digit royalties on future sales [2][3] - Recent licensing deals by Chinese pharmaceutical companies indicate a growing trend, with 33 license-out transactions completed in Q1 2025, totaling $36.633 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 258% [1][6] Group 2 - The licensing deal with Pfizer for the PD-1/VEGF dual antibody SSGJ-707 includes a record upfront payment of $1.25 billion, with potential milestone payments reaching $4.8 billion [3] - Other companies, such as Sinovant and Ansai, have also announced licensing agreements, indicating a robust market for Chinese pharmaceutical innovations [3][4] - The 2025 ASCO annual meeting showcased over 70 original research results from China, highlighting the international competitiveness of Chinese innovative drugs [4][5] Group 3 - The overall trend shows that Chinese innovative drugs are gaining global value, with a significant increase in licensing transactions and amounts [6][7] - The pharmaceutical industry is expected to see steady recovery, driven by the growing demand for innovative therapies and the improvement in the quality and quantity of domestic innovative drugs [7]
翰森制药的肺癌靶向药首入海外市场
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 13:03
Core Viewpoint - Hansoh Pharmaceutical's innovative drug, Amivantamab (Aumseqa®), has been approved for marketing in the UK, marking it as the first innovative drug from the company to enter the overseas market and the first Chinese-origin EGFR-TKI to be launched internationally [1][2]. Group 1: Drug Approval and Market Entry - Amivantamab is approved for use as a first-line treatment for adults with locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with activated EGFR mutations, as well as for patients with T790M mutation-positive NSCLC [1]. - The drug has already been approved for four indications in China, making it the most approved indication for a Chinese-origin third-generation EGFR-TKI [2]. Group 2: Market Context and Competitors - As of March 2025, there are seven third-generation EGFR-TKI products available in China, including Amivantamab and others like Osimertinib and Furmonertinib [3]. - The market for NSCLC treatments is significant, with lung cancer accounting for 18.7% of global cancer deaths in 2022, and NSCLC being the most common type, representing approximately 85% of all lung cancer cases [4]. Group 3: Historical Context and Future Prospects - The first-generation EGFR-TKI, Gefitinib, was launched in the early 2000s, followed by second-generation drugs that also faced resistance issues, leading to the development of third-generation EGFR-TKIs like Osimertinib [5]. - Current research is focused on addressing resistance issues associated with third-generation EGFR-TKIs, with innovations such as EGFR/C-MET dual antibodies and ADC drugs being explored [6].