Group 1 - Morgan Stanley increased its stake in Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. by purchasing 2.943812 million shares at an average price of HKD 12.113 per share, totaling approximately HKD 35.6584 million [1] - After the purchase, Morgan Stanley's total shareholding in Luoyang Molybdenum reached approximately 238 million shares, representing a holding percentage of 6.04% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 100.41%, despite a recent decline of 7.24% over the last five trading days [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [1] - The company was established on December 22, 1999, and went public on October 9, 2012 [1] - The main revenue sources include refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved operating revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.671 billion yuan [2] - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 15.95% to 237,500, with an average of 0 shares per shareholder [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 648 million shares, and several ETFs such as Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which have increased their holdings [3]

Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [1] - The company was established on December 22, 1999, and was listed on October 9, 2012 [1] - The main business revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [1] Stock Performance - As of September 8, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price was 12.64 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 270.42 billion CNY [1] - The stock has increased by 97.59% year-to-date, but has decreased by 6.58% in the last five trading days [1] - The stock has shown a 28.72% increase over the last 20 days and a 66.40% increase over the last 60 days [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported operating revenue of 94.773 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 8.671 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 60.07% [2] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders was 237,500, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and several ETFs, with notable increases in holdings [3]

Group 1: Industrial Metals - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has increased, combined with the seasonal demand in September and October, leading to strong upward momentum in industrial metal prices [1][2] - Copper prices are supported by a decrease in electrolytic copper production expected in October, with the SMM import copper concentrate index reporting a weekly increase of $0.63 to -$40.85 per ton [2] - Aluminum production has slightly increased to 847,300 tons, with domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory at 626,000 tons, indicating a slight accumulation of 6,000 tons [2] Group 2: Energy Metals - The supply of cobalt raw materials continues to decrease, suggesting a potential surge in cobalt prices, while lithium demand is expected to strengthen during the traditional peak season [3] - The market is entering a phase of increased supply and demand for lithium, with expectations of a tight supply situation, leading to a sustained strong price for lithium carbonate [3] - Nickel prices are expected to rise due to limited supply from nickel salt plants and high raw material costs, with ongoing demand from downstream enterprises [3] Group 3: Precious Metals - The weak U.S. employment data and inflation aligning with expectations have bolstered confidence in a Federal Reserve rate cut, leading to an upward shift in gold and silver prices [4] - The legal and economic uncertainties from tariff disputes are expected to increase safe-haven demand, supporting gold prices [4] - Central bank gold purchases and weakening U.S. dollar credit are anticipated to drive gold prices higher, presenting opportunities for investment in the gold sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has raised its profit forecast for Luoyang Molybdenum (03993, 603993.SH) for the fiscal year 2025 and the following years by 1% to 6%, primarily due to the company's commitment to efficient production, technological reforms, and the expansion of TFM/KFM, which is expected to increase copper production by 1% in the coming years [1] Group 1 - The company has a robust balance sheet and a high-quality new management team, which, along with potential acquisitions beyond the expansion of TFM and KFM mines, lays a solid foundation for stable growth over the next five years [1] - The bank has maintained a positive outlook on copper prices since the second half of this year, citing various reasons for this optimism [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has raised its profit forecast for Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) for the fiscal year 2025 and the following years by 1% to 6%, driven by the company's commitment to efficient production, technological reforms, and the expansion of TFM/KFM, which will increase copper output by 1% to 6% in the coming years [1] Group 1 - The target price for Luoyang Molybdenum's Hong Kong stock has been increased from HKD 12 to HKD 14, while the A-share target price has been raised from RMB 12.5 to RMB 14.5 [1] - The company is expected to achieve stable growth over the next five years due to a solid balance sheet, a quality new management team, and potential mergers and acquisitions beyond the expansion of TFM and KFM mining areas [1] - The outlook for copper prices remains positive, attributed to tight copper concentrate supply, steady demand growth, and expectations of interest rate cuts [1] Group 2 - Copper supply is under continuous pressure due to operational disruptions, such as reduced output at Kamoa-Kakula Mine and the shutdown of Codeco's El Teniente Mine, with Chilean production only maintaining long-term average levels [1] - Demand for copper remains robust, benefiting from increased investment in China's power grid starting in the second half of the year and the peak season for electric vehicle sales [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Bank of America Securities has raised its earnings forecast for Luoyang Molybdenum (03993, 603993.SH) for the fiscal year 2025 and the following years by 1% to 6% due to the company's commitment to efficient production, technological reforms, and expansion of TFM/KFM, which will increase copper production by 1% to 6% in the coming years [1] - The target price for Luoyang Molybdenum's Hong Kong stock has been increased from HKD 12 to HKD 14, while the A-share target price has been raised from RMB 12.5 to RMB 14.5, with a reiterated "Buy" rating [1] - The report highlights Luoyang Molybdenum's strong balance sheet, a quality new management team, and potential acquisitions beyond the expansion of TFM and KFM mines as foundations for stable growth over the next five years [1] Group 2 - The outlook for copper prices remains positive due to tight supply conditions, driven by operational disruptions such as reduced output at Kamoa-Kakula Mine and the shutdown of Codeco's El Teniente Mine, along with Chilean production maintaining long-term average levels [1] - Demand for copper is expected to remain robust, supported by increased investment in China's power grid starting in the second half of the year and the peak season for electric vehicle sales [1]

Group 1: Liquidity and Performance of Rare Metal ETFs - The rare metal ETF had an intraday turnover of 6.52%, with a transaction volume of 144 million yuan [2] - Over the past week, the average daily transaction volume of the rare metal ETF reached 228 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [2] - The rare metal ETF's scale increased by 68.32 million yuan in the past week, achieving significant growth and ranking first among comparable funds [2] - The latest share count of the rare metal ETF reached 2.992 billion shares, a new high since its inception, also ranking first among comparable funds [2] - In the last five days, the rare metal ETF experienced continuous net inflows, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 116 million yuan, totaling 333 million yuan [2] - As of September 4, 2025, the net value of the rare metal ETF increased by 77.68% over the past year, ranking 433 out of 3004 in the index stock fund category, placing it in the top 14.41% [2] - The highest monthly return since inception for the rare metal ETF was 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being four months and a maximum increase of 58.56% [2] - The average return during the rising months was 8.77%, and the annualized excess return over the benchmark for the past three months was 9.14% [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Company Performance - The rare metal sector is experiencing multiple favorable factors, with rising rare earth prices improving the profitability of related companies [3] - Shenghe Resources reported significant year-on-year growth in rare earth and rare metal production and sales for the first half of 2025, driven by changes in market supply and demand dynamics [3] - The gross profit margin for Shenghe Resources reached 8.42% in H1 2025, an increase of 6.95 percentage points year-on-year, with Q2 2025 gross profit margin at 8.84%, up 5.82 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is strengthening its rare earth industry chain layout through a diversified raw material supply assurance system, indicating potential for continued performance improvement [3] - CITIC Construction pointed out that the monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and domestic policies aimed at optimizing production factors are conducive to the upward transmission of metal prices to downstream sectors [3] - The valuation of the industrial metal sector is currently low, suggesting potential for upward correction [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metal Theme Index account for 57.58% of the index, including companies like Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is a positive outlook on copper prices due to tight supply, steady demand growth, and expectations of interest rate cuts [1] - Copper supply remains tight due to operational disruptions, including reduced output at Kamoa-Kakula Mine and the shutdown of Codeco's El Teniente Mine, with Chilean production only maintaining long-term average levels [1] - Demand for copper is robust, driven by increased investment in China's power grid and the peak season for electric vehicle sales in the second half of the year [1] Group 2 - Bank of America has raised its earnings forecast for Luoyang Molybdenum for the fiscal year 2025 and the following years by 1% to 6%, attributing this to the company's focus on efficient production, technological innovation, and expansion of TFM/KFM [1] - The expected increase in copper production for the coming years is projected to be between 1% to 6% [1] - The target price for Luoyang Molybdenum's H-shares has been raised from HKD 12 to HKD 14, while the A-shares target price has been adjusted from CNY 12.5 to CNY 14.5, with a reiterated "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the performance of non-ferrous metal companies in the first half of the year remains robust, with Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining leading with profit growth exceeding 50% [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining show strong profit growth of over 50% [1] - China Hongqiao and Jiangxi Copper follow, while China Aluminum and Tianshan Aluminum's profits remain relatively flat [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The copper industry focuses on mergers and acquisitions, production growth, and niche metal business expansion [1] - The aluminum sector emphasizes dividend distribution and share buybacks [1] Group 3: Earnings Forecast Adjustments - UBS raises full-year profit forecasts for Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Jiangxi Copper by 6%, 11%, and 26% respectively [1] - The target prices for Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are increased to HKD 32.5 and HKD 16.5 respectively [1] - Jiangxi Copper's rating is upgraded to "Buy" with a target price raised to HKD 27.1 [1] Group 4: Preferred Stocks - China Hongqiao remains UBS's top pick in the aluminum sector due to its potential for deleveraging and commitment to shareholder returns, maintaining a target price of HKD 26.8 and a "Buy" rating [1]