Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the sustained upward trend in gold prices driven by ongoing U.S. fiscal pressures and geopolitical issues, while silver is expected to enter a phase of catch-up growth [1][2] - The report predicts that the precious metals market will continue to benefit from a weakening U.S. dollar credit system, with gold's price center expected to rise due to multiple converging factors [2][3] - Silver's supply-demand dynamics are projected to maintain a deficit throughout the year, creating a favorable environment for price increases, especially as the gold-silver ratio is expected to converge downward during the easing cycle [1][2] Group 2 - The industrial metals sector is anticipated to experience price increases due to a combination of limited supply and low inventory levels, particularly for copper and aluminum, which are expected to see demand elasticity release [2][3] - The report highlights that the global economy is likely to remain in a loose monetary environment, which will support industrial metal prices and enhance demand driven by domestic policy [2][3] - The energy metals sector is currently in a clearing phase, with demand from sectors like electric vehicles and photovoltaics expected to remain resilient, although the overall supply-demand balance is still skewed towards excess [3] Group 3 - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on companies with significant cost advantages and expected volume growth in the coming years, including Zijin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Shandong Gold, Luoyang Molybdenum, Tianshan Aluminum, Yun Aluminum, Huayou Cobalt, and Zhongjin Resources [4]

Market Overview - The market experienced a strong performance yesterday but faced a quick decline today, with the Hang Seng Index closing down 0.61% [1] - UBS warned that the current short squeeze in the US stock market may be nearing its end, with their tracked short squeeze index rising 43% recently [1] - Apollo Global's chief economist predicts a slowdown in US GDP growth to 1.2% by 2025, with inflation remaining around 3% and unemployment potentially rising to 4.4% or higher [1] Economic Indicators - Concerns were raised by Jerome Powell regarding the reliability of economic data collected by US government agencies, suggesting potential overestimations due to budget cuts [1] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority bought HKD 94.2 billion (approximately RMB 86.13 billion) to support the currency, indicating liquidity tightening in the market [2] Sector Performance - The securities sector failed to maintain its upward momentum, with leading firms like Guotai Junan International seeing a drop of over 4% [3] - The Hong Kong government announced a new policy to promote digital assets, aiming to position the city as a global innovation hub in this field [3] - Consumer sectors are gaining attention, with the "Hong Kong Happy Shopping Festival" set to offer over HKD 1.9 billion in discounts, attracting significant participation from brands [5] Company Developments - Rongchang Bio announced a deal with VorBio for USD 125 million in cash and warrants, but the market reacted negatively, viewing the price as too low [4] - Li Ning's major shareholder has been increasing their stake, which is expected to support the company's operational stability [8] - Li Ning's revenue from running products is projected to grow by 25% in 2024, with core categories like running, basketball, and training accounting for 64% of retail revenue [9] Stock Movements - Stocks in the aviation sector are expected to rise due to increased ticket bookings for the summer travel season, with domestic bookings up about 5% year-on-year [7] - The military sector saw gains following comments from Trump regarding potential conflicts, with companies like China Shipbuilding Defense and AVIC rising over 6% and 1.68% respectively [6] - The weakening US dollar has led to a rise in commodity stocks, with companies like Minmetals Resources and China Hongqiao seeing increases of over 4% [5]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum has successfully acquired Lumina Gold, gaining 100% ownership of the Cangrejos Project in Ecuador, thereby expanding its gold resource portfolio [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition was completed on June 24, 2025, for a total cash consideration of CAD 581 million [1] - The Cangrejos Project is located in the El Oro province of Ecuador, with a resource estimate of 1.376 billion tons and an average gold grade of 0.46 g/t, containing 638 tons of gold [1] - The mine has a projected lifespan of 26 years [1] Group 2: Strategic Importance - This acquisition marks Luoyang Molybdenum's second asset in South America, following its 2016 acquisition of niobium and phosphate operations in Brazil [2] - The company plans to leverage its extensive experience in South America to maximize synergies and implement advanced mining technologies [2] Group 3: Production and Economic Outlook - The project is expected to commence production by 2028, with an annual output of approximately 11.5 tons of gold [2] - The Cangrejos Project could increase Ecuador's gold production by nearly 50%, as the country is projected to produce 24.3 tons of gold in 2024 [2] - The all-in sustaining cost (AISC) for the mine is estimated at around USD 671 per ounce, positioning it within the lower cost quartile of global gold mines [3] Group 4: Future Prospects - The company anticipates potential increases in resource reserves based on ongoing exploration efforts [3] - The favorable infrastructure surrounding the mine, including proximity to major transport routes and water sources, is expected to enhance cost competitiveness [3] - Luoyang Molybdenum views gold as a key asset for future expansion, recognizing its dual financial and industrial attributes in the current economic landscape [3]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.48%, down 117 points, closing at 24,357 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index remained unchanged [1] - The early trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market reached HKD 142.1 billion [1] Group 2: Digital Currency and Stablecoins - Citic Securities highlighted the need to focus on opportunities related to stablecoins in response to the rising international dominance of digital dollars [1] - Stocks related to stablecoins saw significant gains, with Victory Securities (08540) doubling in price, China Everbright Holdings (00165) rising nearly 28%, and Yikang (09923) and Huaxing Capital Holdings (01911) both increasing by approximately 11% [1] Group 3: Sector Performance - Hong Kong Travel (00308) surged over 60% as the tourism industry continues to show positive trends, with the company increasing its tourism investments [3] - Defense and military stocks rose against the market trend, with China Shipbuilding Defense (00317) up 8.5% and AVIC (02357) increasing by 2.88%, as institutions expect a revaluation of defense assets [3] - China Molybdenum (03993) rose by 5.92% due to a new round of cobalt export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which may exceed market expectations, providing strong support for cobalt prices [3] - Ocean Park (02255) increased by over 19% as Xiangyuan Holdings is set to become the new controlling shareholder, potentially leading to complementary advantages [3] Group 4: Company-Specific News - Sinopharm (01801) fell by 3.94% after announcing a 4.9% discount on a share placement, raising HKD 4.265 billion [4] - Kingkey Financial International (01468) dropped over 6% following a profit warning, expecting an annual net loss of no more than HKD 1.25 billion [5]

Summary of Cobalt Industry Report Industry Overview - The cobalt market is expected to face a shortage of 30,000 to 40,000 tons in 2025 due to the export ban from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and limited new supply from Indonesia [2][3] - The global cobalt resources are primarily concentrated in DRC (56% of reserves), Australia (16%), and Indonesia (6%), with China having a high dependency on imports [2][7] Key Points Supply and Demand Dynamics - The DRC government announced a four-month ban on cobalt raw material exports on February 22, 2025, which was extended for another three months on June 21, 2025. This is expected to reduce the DRC's annual production of 220,000 tons by over 100,000 tons [3] - Despite a previous surplus of cobalt, the current market is expected to see a shortage due to the DRC's export restrictions and limited new supply from Indonesia [3][4] - The cobalt demand is primarily driven by the lithium battery sector, with 43% of consumption in power batteries and 30% in consumer electronics [4][15] Price Forecast - Short-term projections indicate cobalt prices could rise to around 300,000 yuan/ton due to inventory depletion and upstream reluctance to sell [5] - The long-term price expectation is between 250,000 to 300,000 yuan/ton, supported by DRC government policies and potential quota systems [5] Major Players - Luoyang Molybdenum Co. (LMO) is projected to become the largest cobalt supplier globally, with production expected to reach 114,200 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of over 100% [2][9] - Huayou Cobalt is also highlighted as a key player with significant production capacity in both DRC and Indonesia, potentially benefiting from price increases [6][18] Emerging Supply Sources - Indonesia is expected to become a significant new supply source, with wet nickel production capacity rapidly increasing, projected to yield 40,000 to 50,000 tons of cobalt by 2025 [10][13] Market Challenges - The domestic cobalt industry in China is facing a decline in capacity utilization due to rising raw material prices leading to cost imbalances [14] - The shift in import forms from refined cobalt to crude hydroxide forms is noted, with potential impacts on the domestic market starting from July 2025 due to DRC's export restrictions [4][12] Future Demand Trends - The demand for cobalt in the lithium battery sector is expected to grow, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10% anticipated over the next few years [16][17] - The industrial application of cobalt is also projected to see stable growth, particularly in hard alloys and high-temperature alloys [17] Conclusion - The cobalt market is poised for significant changes due to geopolitical factors, supply chain dynamics, and evolving demand patterns, with key players like LMO and Huayou Cobalt positioned to benefit from these trends.

洛阳钼业回应刚果(金)钴出口禁令延长：当地矿区生产运营活动正常进行 金十数据6月23日讯，刚果(金)战略矿产市场监管控制局6月21日宣布，将今年2月出台的刚果(金)钴出口 禁令继续延长三个月。针对此事，全球最大钴生产商洛阳钼业于6月23日回应称，目前，公司TFM及 KFM矿区生产运营活动正常进行，预计该临时禁令的延长不会对经营业绩产生重大影响。该公司同时 表示："自首次禁令发布以来，公司始终与刚果(金)政府及行业管理机构保持密切沟通。针对新的情 况，公司将继续保持与相关各方的沟通，密切跟踪政策进展。" （界面） ...

Core Points - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.255 CNY per share (including tax) for A shares [1][2] - The dividend distribution was approved at the annual shareholders' meeting held on May 30, 2025 [1][2] - The record date for the dividend is June 26, 2025, with the ex-dividend date and payment date both set for June 27, 2025 [1][4] Dividend Distribution Details - The total number of shares eligible for the dividend distribution is 21,499,240,619, with A shares accounting for 17,460,842,176 after excluding 104,930,443 shares held in the buyback account [2][3] - The total cash dividend to be distributed amounts to approximately 5.46 billion CNY, with 4.45 billion CNY allocated to A shares [2][3] - The calculation for the ex-dividend reference price for A shares is based on the formula: (previous closing price - cash dividend) / (1 + change in circulating shares ratio) [2][3] Taxation and Payment Procedures - Individual shareholders and mutual funds will have their tax liabilities calculated based on their holding periods, with a tax rate of 20% for holdings of one month or less and 10% for longer periods [4][5] - Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFIIs) will have a uniform withholding tax rate of 10% applied to their dividends [5] - For investors in Hong Kong's Stock Exchange (including both individuals and corporations), the actual cash dividend after tax will be 0.2295 CNY per share [5][6]

上海市通力律师事务所 关于洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 差异化分红事项之专项法律意见书 致:洛阳栾川铝业集团股份有限公司 上海市通力律师事务所(以下简称"本所")接受洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司(以下简 称"洛阳钼业"或"公司")的委托,指派本所张征轶律师、徐安昌律师(以下合称"本所律 师")根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券 法》(以下简称"《证券法》")、《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7号 -- 回购 股份》(以下简称"《自律监管指引》")、《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指南第２号 -- 业务办理》等法律、法规及规范性文件(以下简称"法律、法规及规范性文件",该等 法律、法规及规范性文件不包括香港特别行政区、澳门特别行政区和台湾地区的法律法规) 以及《洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司章程》(以下简称"《公司章程》")的规定,就洛阳 铝业 2024 年度利润分配所涉及的差异化分红特殊除权除息处理(以下简称"本次差异化分 红")相关事项出具法律意见。 为出具本法律意见书. 本所律师已经严格履行法定职责,遵循了勤勉尽责和诚实信用原 则,对洛阳铝业本次差异化分红所 ...

证券代码：603993 证券简称：洛阳钼业 公告编号：2025-038 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司2024年年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法 律责任。 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.255元（含税） 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/26 | － | 2025/6/27 | 2025/6/27 | 差异化分红送转：是 公司 H 股股东的现金红利派发不适用本公告，具体可参阅公司在香 港联合交易所有限公司网站（www.hkexnews.hk）发布的相关公告。 一、 通过分配方案的股东大会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 5 月 30日的2024年年度股东大会 审议通过。有关股东大会决议公告于 2025 年 5 月 31 日刊登在《上海 证券报》、上海证券交易所网站和本公司网站。 二、 分配方案 1. 发放年度：2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the cobalt industry [1] Core Insights - The global cobalt supply chain is highly dependent on the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), which accounts for over 50% of global cobalt reserves and over 70% of production. In 2024, DRC's cobalt production is expected to reach approximately 220,000 metric tons, a year-on-year increase of about 25%, representing 76.4% of global market share [4][30] - Indonesia's nickel-cobalt projects are reshaping the industry landscape, with MHP production expected to grow significantly, leading to a projected cobalt output of 28,000 metric tons in 2024, accounting for about 10% of global production [4][42] - The lithium battery sector is the main driver of global cobalt consumption, with a projected consumption of 222,000 metric tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 14%. The electric vehicle sector is expected to consume about 95,000 metric tons, a 21% increase [4][42] - The DRC's policy adjustments in response to supply-demand imbalances have led to fluctuations in cobalt prices, with domestic prices expected to rebound above 250,000 yuan per ton in 2024 [4] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - The DRC's cobalt production is projected to grow significantly due to the performance of major mining companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, which is expected to produce approximately 114,200 metric tons of cobalt in 2024, a 106% increase year-on-year [4][30] - The DRC's decision to suspend cobalt raw material exports for four months aims to address oversupply issues, which is expected to impact global cobalt supply by over 100,000 metric tons [4] Industry Structure - The cobalt industry is characterized by a concentration of resources, with major players including Luoyang Molybdenum, Glencore, and others controlling significant portions of the market [4][16] - Indonesia's MHP production is rapidly increasing, with a projected output of 323,000 metric tons of nickel in 2024, which will also enhance cobalt production [4][42] Market Trends - The report highlights a recovery in global demand for consumer electronics, with smartphone shipments expected to reach 1.24 billion units in 2024, marking a 6.4% increase [4] - The DRC's cobalt price adjustments and export policies are expected to influence market dynamics significantly, with long-term implications for pricing power in the cobalt market [4]