华泰证券表示，近期商品市场表现强势，背后驱动主要来自双重逻辑：一是货币属性重估，美元信用趋 弱推动黄金的长叙事逻辑向其他商品扩散，多数商品黄金比价仍处于低位，存在比价修复空间；二是商 品属性支撑，明年全球经济或仍具有韧性，有利于需求实际改善。展望后市，部分品种因地缘、资金拥 挤等短期逻辑上涨过快，建议逢低增配而非逢高追涨；权益方面，全球比较下A股与港股周期板块总体 估值相对偏高，但煤炭、石油、化工等仍具相对性价比。 | 色矿业ETF招商 | | | 159690 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | -0.040 -2.05% | | | SZSE CNY 14:32:42 交易中 | | F @ + | | | 净值走势 | | 招商中证有色金属矿业主题ETF | | | 文年 | 98.04% 120日 | 67.69% | | | 5日 | 2.19% 250日 | 90.93% | | | 20日 | 7.04% 52周高 | 1.96 | | | 60日 | 23.15% 52周低 | 0.92 | | | 实时申购陵回信息 | 申购 | 使回 | | | 等数 | 5 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a collective rise in the non-ferrous metals sector on December 29, with Jiangxi Copper Co. Ltd. increasing by nearly 10% [2] - Chalco International experienced a rise of over 5%, while China Aluminum and Luoyang Molybdenum both increased by more than 4% [2] - Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and China Hongqiao all saw increases of over 3% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price growth in 2023, with a year-to-date increase of 202.49% and notable recent performance over various time frames [2] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [3] - The company's main business revenue composition includes: refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [3] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved operating revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [3] - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [4] Stock Market Activity - As of December 29, the stock price of Luoyang Molybdenum was 19.35 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.329 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 413.98 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 120 million yuan in principal funds, with significant buying and selling activity from large orders [1] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders reached 304,200, an increase of 28.08% from the previous period [3] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 695 million shares, and several ETFs with varying changes in shareholding [4]

Core Insights - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Hong Kong Exchanges (00388) ranked as the top three in net inflow of southbound funds, with net inflows of 1.115 billion, 1.055 billion, and 309 million respectively [1] - China Mobile (00941), Luoyang Molybdenum (03993), and CICC (03908) had the highest net outflows, with net outflows of -1.053 billion, -184 million, and -181 million respectively [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, China Telecom Services (00552), Yihua Tong (02402), and Sunshine Insurance (06963) led the market with ratios of 167.31%, 126.18%, and 118.17% respectively [1] Net Inflow Rankings - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 1.115 billion, representing a 13.09% increase, closing at 614.500 (+0.08%) [2] - Alibaba-W (09988) saw a net inflow of 1.055 billion, with a 12.23% increase, closing at 146.400 (+0.76%) [2] - Hong Kong Exchanges (00388) recorded a net inflow of 309 million, with a 24.77% increase, closing at 407.000 (0.00%) [2] Net Outflow Rankings - China Mobile (00941) experienced a net outflow of -1.053 billion, with a -54.21% decrease, closing at 83.700 (-0.24%) [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) had a net outflow of -184 million, down -29.82%, closing at 19.100 (+1.76%) [2] - CICC (03908) faced a net outflow of -181 million, with a -30.22% decrease, closing at 20.540 (+0.98%) [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - China Telecom Services (00552) led with a net inflow ratio of 167.31%, with a net inflow of 26.5926 million, closing at 4.520 (-0.88%) [3] - Yihua Tong (02402) followed with a net inflow ratio of 126.18%, with a net inflow of 26.5481 million, closing at 23.980 (+0.33%) [3] - Sunshine Insurance (06963) had a net inflow ratio of 118.17%, with a net inflow of 31.5558 million, closing at 3.940 (-0.51%) [3] Net Outflow Ratio Rankings - Ark Health (06086) had the highest net outflow ratio of -478.67%, with a net outflow of -3.4612 million, closing at 2.570 (-0.39%) [3] - Crystal International (02232) followed with a net outflow ratio of -132.72%, with a net outflow of -13.3532 million, closing at 6.900 (-0.14%) [3] - Tong Ren Tang Chinese Medicine (03613) recorded a net outflow ratio of -110.40%, with a net outflow of -4.9769 million, closing at 8.520 (+0.12%) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of transforming and upgrading various industries in Henan province, focusing on four categories: "Original," "Old," "New," and "Foreign" brands, to achieve high-quality development and strengthen the foundation for modernization in Henan [1]. Group 1: Original Brands - Henan has a solid foundation in resource industries such as mining, steel, non-ferrous metals, construction materials, and chemicals, which are crucial for economic stability [2][3]. - The province is moving towards green development, with companies like Luoyang Molybdenum Co. adopting smart and eco-friendly mining practices, enhancing resource efficiency and sustainability [2]. - There is a push to move up the value chain, as seen in the aluminum industry in Gongyi, which has become a significant production base for aluminum products through recycling and deep processing [3]. - The province is focusing on developing nine material industry chains to transition from a raw material province to a strong new materials province [4]. Group 2: Old Brands - Traditional industries in Henan, such as food processing and traditional medicine, are being revitalized through product innovation and modernization, as exemplified by companies like Sanquan Foods [5][6]. - The transformation of traditional enterprises into high-tech leaders is highlighted by companies like Luozhou and Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group, which are adopting smart technologies [6]. - The government is supporting the upgrade of traditional industries through action plans aimed at enhancing manufacturing capabilities and promoting high-end, intelligent, and green transformations [6][7]. Group 3: New Brands - The new industries in Henan, particularly in AI and advanced computing, are rapidly expanding, with companies like Super Fusion leading in AI server manufacturing [8][9]. - The integration of artificial intelligence with the economy is creating new opportunities, as seen with Hanwei Technology's advancements in intelligent robotics [9]. - The province is focusing on key materials for emerging industries, such as lithium battery components, which are essential for the growth of the electric vehicle sector [9][10]. Group 4: Foreign Brands - Henan's enterprises are increasingly engaging in international markets, with companies like Nile River Machinery expanding their operations globally and establishing local facilities [10][11]. - The province achieved over 840 billion yuan in import and export value in the first eleven months of the year, indicating a robust external economic engagement [10][12]. - Efforts are being made to enhance the competitiveness of Henan's products and brands in the global market, supported by government policies aimed at facilitating international trade [11][12][14].

Group 1 - The provincial secretary Liu Ning emphasized the importance of implementing the spirit of the 20th Central Committee and the Central Economic Work Conference, focusing on green and low-carbon transformation in economic and social development [2] - Liu Ning highlighted the need for comprehensive utilization of coal as a chemical raw material and the promotion of large-scale application of green low-carbon technologies at Henan Kaixiang Fine Chemical Co., Ltd. [3] - Liu Ning acknowledged the dual-driven development model of mining and trade at Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum Co., Ltd., and encouraged better coordination between domestic and international markets while enhancing compliance management [3] Group 2 - Liu Ning stressed the importance of integrating production, education, and research to leverage local medicinal resources at the Zhongyuan Medicine Valley Science and Technology Innovation Park [3] - Liu Ning called for a focus on environmental protection and soil conservation during the construction of the pumped storage power station in Luoning, advocating for a lifecycle approach to green development [3] - Liu Ning urged for enhanced safety measures in key areas such as hazardous chemicals and tailings management, emphasizing the need for regular inspections and maintenance [3] Group 3 - Liu Ning encouraged the development of local specialty brands to improve the livelihoods of villagers and emphasized the importance of effective grassroots governance [4] - Liu Ning highlighted the need for a scientific approach to the 14th Five-Year Plan, focusing on carbon reduction, pollution control, and green growth while promoting cultural tourism as a pillar industry [4] - Liu Ning called for coordinated efforts in ensuring social stability, managing energy supply, and addressing agricultural management as the year-end approaches [4]

Core Insights - The report highlights the positive outlook for strategic metals investment opportunities due to favorable supply-demand dynamics and resource nationalism [3][5][11]. Market Review: Strategic Metals Lead Nonferrous - From the beginning of the year until December 18, 2025, the nonferrous metals sector has risen by 78.53%, ranking second among all industries. Strategic metals have shown significant gains, with tungsten up 136.7%, cobalt up 69.1%, and rare earth permanent magnets up 56.7% [7]. Cobalt: Supply Tightening from Congo (DRC) - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has implemented an export quota system for cobalt, leading to a projected supply-demand imbalance of -7.5/-3.3/-3.3 million tons for 2025-2027. The DRC's export ban and subsequent quota system are expected to keep cobalt prices elevated [3][14][16]. Rare Earths: Supply Expectations Tightening - The rare earth sector is experiencing tightening supply due to strategic export controls and a lack of public quota announcements. The price of light rare earths has seen fluctuations, with a peak price of 64.30 million yuan/ton for praseodymium and neodymium oxides in August 2025, followed by a decline [22][26][46]. Tungsten: Continued Supply-Demand Gap - The tungsten market is facing a supply squeeze due to mining restrictions and declining ore grades. Demand remains stable, supported by applications in military and photovoltaic sectors, suggesting that tungsten prices are likely to rise [3][5]. Tin: Supply Tightness and AI Demand Growth - The resumption of tin production in Myanmar is slow, with significant delays expected. However, the rapid development of AI is emerging as a new growth driver for tin demand [3][5]. Antimony: Export Recovery Expected - The suspension of export restrictions to the U.S. is anticipated to boost China's antimony exports, which currently account for 36% of its production. The lifting of these restrictions is expected to enhance export volumes significantly [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from the tightening supply of strategic metals, including Huayou Cobalt, China Rare Earth, and Xiamen Tungsten. Specific recommendations include companies with significant cobalt production quotas in the DRC and those involved in rare earth processing [5][3].

Core Viewpoint - TFM Copper-Cobalt Mine, a subsidiary of Luoyang Luanchuan Molybdenum Group, has officially handed over the second batch of 2025 Social Responsibility Book construction achievements to the local community, covering various livelihood areas such as education, health, environment, and agriculture [1]. Group 1: Education Infrastructure - TFM Copper-Cobalt Mine has built and handed over 5 well-equipped primary schools and 2 kindergartens, and completed the comprehensive renovation and upgrade of Lukotola Vocational School, enhancing the education system around the mining area to provide quality learning conditions for local residents [3]. Group 2: Health and Environmental Management - The mine has introduced modern waste management equipment to the local area, handing over 7 new garbage collection trucks and 28 metal garbage bins, effectively filling the gap in local basic sanitation services and establishing a clean and healthy living environment for the community [4]. Group 3: Agricultural Support - TFM Copper-Cobalt Mine has constructed a 450-ton capacity agricultural product warehouse and a tractor shed, simultaneously providing agricultural materials that can cover 1,500 hectares of maize fields, thereby supporting regional food security and enhancing community economic resilience [6]. Group 4: Community Development Commitment - During the handover ceremony, TFM Copper-Cobalt Mine's CEO Li Leizhong emphasized that after four years of dedicated efforts, the results of the Social Responsibility Book project are substantial and far-reaching, driving profound changes in the community. The mine committed over $31 million to community projects covering various priority needs since signing the Social Responsibility Book with the local community in 2021 [8].

↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 沪指8连阳，截至收盘，沪指涨0.1%，深成指涨0.54%，创业板指0.14%。沪深两市成交额2.16万亿，较上一个交易日放量2357亿。 商业航天概念再度爆发，神剑股份7连板，中国卫星3连板，通宇通讯、隆基机械、上海港湾等十余股涨停。 有色大涨，紫金矿业、洛阳钼业均创历史新高。海南自贸概念反复活跃，海南发展6天5板。 造纸、白酒、算力硬件等板块跌幅居前，其中算力硬件概念表现较弱，长光华芯跌超11%。 01 8900亿紫金矿业 历史新高 今天盘中，沪铜期货主力合约、沪金期货主力合约、沪银期货主力合约、铂期货主力合约盘中集体创历史新高，碳酸锂期货主力合约盘中一度突破 13万元/吨关口。 有色金属板块集体走强，两大龙头股紫金矿业、洛阳钼业股价大涨，均创历史新高。 其中紫金矿业大涨4.68%，单日成交额95亿元，最新市值8915亿元。 | 33.53 +1.50 +4.68% CN 融 通 L1 | 64.82万人加自选 ( = = == > | | --- | --- | | 高 33.77 开 32.60 量 286.20万手 总市值 8915.54亿 | | | 低 32. ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market with significant capital inflow, indicating strong investor confidence in future performance [1][4] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector saw a net inflow of 11.4 billion yuan, the highest across all industries [1] - The Huabao non-ferrous ETF (159876) reached a peak increase of 3.98%, currently up 3.14%, marking a new high since its listing [1] - Major stocks such as Yongxing Materials and Jiangxi Copper hit the daily limit, while Guocheng Mining rose over 9% [3] Group 2: Price Trends - On December 26, gold, silver, and copper prices reached new highs, with COMEX gold at $4,561.6 per ounce, silver at $75.495 per ounce, and copper at $5.7565 per pound [3] - Year-to-date performance shows COMEX gold up 71.84%, silver up 156.74%, and copper up over 42% [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts predict a strong performance for the metal sector in 2025 due to favorable macroeconomic policies and structural supply-demand changes [4] - The upcoming changes in the U.S. Federal Reserve leadership and increased capital expenditure in AI technology are expected to influence the market positively [4] Group 4: Investment Strategy - A diversified investment approach through the Huabao non-ferrous ETF and its linked funds is recommended to capture the overall sector's performance while mitigating risks [6]