Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The coconut water industry continues to show high growth potential, with the leading company's advantages supporting its progress [1][3] - The market for coconut water is expected to maintain a high level of prosperity, with significant room for improvement in its structure [3][22] - The company, IFBH, is positioned as a leader in the domestic coconut water industry, benefiting from favorable market conditions and a stable supply chain [3][22] Summary by Sections 1. Coconut Water Industry Growth - The coconut water industry is characterized by a clear division of labor in its supply chain, with raw material properties determining the stability of the upstream supply chain [2][5] - The market is experiencing an influx of participants, leading to ongoing price exploration and competition [36] 2. IFBH: Industry Leader - IFBH has established a strong presence in the Chinese market, leveraging its stable coconut water supply chain [3][22] - The company effectively controls its brand and products while allowing agents to manage market distribution [3][22] 3. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of $0.43 billion, $0.56 billion, and $0.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +29.5%, +28.77%, and +25.12% [3][22] 4. Market Dynamics - The coconut water market in China is projected to grow from $1.02 billion in 2019 to $10.93 billion by 2024, with a CAGR of 60.8% [18][22] - The company’s main revenue source is coconut water, which accounted for 95.6% of total revenue in 2024, with significant contributions from the mainland Chinese market [63][69] 5. Competitive Advantages - IFBH has a strong supply chain control, with General Beverage as its primary supplier, ensuring high-quality raw materials [80][82] - The company has received multiple awards for its products, enhancing its brand reputation in the market [86]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais initiates coverage of IFBH (06603), the parent company of the Thai coconut water brand, with a target price of HKD 43 and an "outperform" rating, highlighting the company's leadership position in the mainland and Hong Kong markets [1] Group 1: Market Position and Growth Potential - IFBH is positioned to capitalize on the rapid popularity of coconut water, with significant growth potential in market penetration in mainland China [1] - The company possesses competitive advantages in procurement, product quality, and brand value, which are expected to help maintain its leading position [1] Group 2: Business Expansion Opportunities - There are opportunities for the company to further expand its offline business and potentially enter other markets and adjacent product categories [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais initiates coverage of IFBH, the parent company of the Thai coconut water brand, with a target price of HKD 43 and an "outperform" rating, highlighting its leadership position in the mainland and Hong Kong markets [1] Group 1: Market Position and Growth Potential - IFBH is positioned as a leader in the coconut water market, which is experiencing rapid growth and increasing penetration in mainland China [1] - The company has competitive advantages in procurement, product quality, and brand value, which are expected to help maintain its dominant market position [1] Group 2: Business Expansion Opportunities - There is potential for IFBH to further expand its offline business and possibly enter other markets and adjacent product categories [1]

FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06603 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 266,666,800 | | 0 | | 266,666,800 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 266,666,800 | | 0 | | 266,666,800 | 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年7月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | IFBH Limited (於新加坡共和國註冊成立的有限公司) | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - IFBH, a Thai beverage company, is expanding its presence in the Greater China market, focusing on coconut water, which is experiencing strong growth globally and particularly in China [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - IFBH was founded in 2013 by Pongsakorn Pongsak and has introduced the "if" brand to mainland China, with additional markets in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Singapore [1]. - The company operates two main brands: "if" and "Innococo," with "if" contributing the majority of revenue in 2024, while "Innococo" is gradually increasing its share due to higher profit margins [1]. - In terms of regional sales, mainland China accounts for 92.4% of revenue, Hong Kong 4.6%, and other regions 3.0% [1]. Group 2: Market Growth - The global coconut water beverage market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.7% from 2019 to 2024, with a forecasted CAGR of 11.1% from 2024 to 2029 [1]. - China is a major consumer of coconut water, with retail sales expected to represent 21.9% of the global total in 2024, and the Greater China region is experiencing the fastest growth in the market, with a CAGR of 60.8% from 2019 to 2024 [1]. Group 3: Market Position - IFBH has maintained the leading market share in mainland China for five consecutive years, reaching 34% in 2024, which is over seven times that of the second competitor [2]. - In Hong Kong, IFBH has led the market for nine years with a share of approximately 60%, also surpassing the second competitor by over seven times [2]. - Globally, IFBH ranks second in market share at 7.5%, with the highest retail sales growth rate among the top five coconut water companies, achieving 81% in 2024 [2]. Group 4: Business Strategy - The company employs a light-asset model, focusing on supply chain management and outsourcing production to ensure product quality while minimizing costs [2]. - IFBH benefits from a stable supply chain, with General Beverage as its main supplier and co-manufacturer, providing coconut water raw materials at 18% lower costs compared to competitors [2]. - The company is expanding its product matrix with innovative offerings such as sparkling coconut water, coconut coffee, and coconut green tea to meet diverse consumer demands [3]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company plans to accelerate its global expansion into markets such as Australia, the Americas, and Southeast Asia, enhancing its innovation capabilities [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at $212 million, $275 million, and $344 million, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.52%, 29.66%, and 24.96% respectively [3].

Market Overview - On July 29, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.33%, the CSI 300 increased by 0.39%, the STAR 50 climbed by 1.45%, the CSI 1000 went up by 0.65%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 1.86%. In contrast, the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.15% [4]. - The best-performing sectors on July 29 were telecommunications (+3.29%), steel (+2.59%), pharmaceuticals and biology (+2.06%), electronics (+1.42%), and national defense and military industry (+1.19%). The worst-performing sectors included agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (-1.36%), banking (-1.19%), beauty and personal care (-0.71%), light industry manufacturing (-0.63%), and environmental protection (-0.6%) [4]. - The total trading volume for the entire A-share market on July 29 was 1,829.3 billion yuan, with net inflow from southbound funds amounting to 12.72 billion Hong Kong dollars [4]. Key Recommendations - The report focuses on IFBH (06603), a leading brand in the coconut water industry, which is positioned in a high-growth quality sector. The company is expected to achieve rapid market penetration through a light asset model in the short term, while in the long term, it aims to solidify its market share through excellent product development capabilities, a high-quality product matrix, and an expanding distribution network [5]. - The light asset model is driving rapid market penetration, leading to revenue exceeding expectations. New product launches are contributing to revenue growth, and the standards for the coconut water industry are being further refined [5]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 208 million, 270 million, and 336 million USD, with growth rates of 32.3%, 29.4%, and 24.5% respectively. Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 45 million, 59 million, and 77 million USD, with growth rates of 33.8%, 32.0%, and 31.5%. The expected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.17, 0.22, and 0.29 USD, corresponding to PE ratios of 29, 22, and 17. Given the company is in a favorable period for the coconut water sector, there is still room for growth, and an "Accumulate" rating is given [5]. Catalysts - Key catalysts for the company include the implementation of coconut water standards, expansion of offline channels, and the launch of new products [6].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][6]. Core Insights - The company, IFBH, is positioned in the rapidly growing coconut water market, focusing on health-conscious consumers and leveraging its Thai origins to expand in Greater China and beyond [2][4]. - The coconut water beverage industry is experiencing robust growth, particularly in Greater China, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 60.8% from 2019 to 2024, and an expected CAGR of 19.4% from 2024 to 2029 [2][68]. - IFBH has maintained a leading market share in both mainland China and Hong Kong, with a 34% share in mainland China and 60% in Hong Kong as of 2024, significantly outpacing competitors [3][17]. Company Overview - IFBH was founded in Thailand in 2013 and has successfully introduced its brands, if and Innococo, to various Asian markets, with a strong focus on mainland China [2][14]. - The company operates under a light-asset model, outsourcing production to third-party manufacturers while concentrating on brand management and marketing [4][99]. - The revenue structure shows that the if brand contributes the majority of sales, while the Innococo brand is gradually increasing its share [36][58]. Industry Analysis - The global coconut water market is projected to grow from $2.5 billion in 2019 to $5 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 14.7% [67][68]. - In China, the coconut water market is expected to reach $1.09 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 19.4% anticipated through 2029 [68][86]. - The company benefits from a stable supply chain and lower raw material costs, with coconut water production costs being 18% lower than competitors [4][96]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of $212.07 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 34.52% [6][8]. - Net profit for 2024 was $33.32 million, reflecting a significant increase of 98.90% compared to the previous year [52][58]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 36.7%, with the if brand at 36.6% and the Innococo brand at 37.4% [58][59].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) saw 11 companies submit applications for listing from June 30 to July 6, with no companies passing the listing hearing during this period. Additionally, 7 companies initiated their public offerings, and 5 new stocks were listed. Group 1: Companies Submitting Applications - Puxiang Health Holdings Limited is a leading provider of integrated medical and elderly care services in North China, ranking second in revenue among its peers and first in revenue growth from 2022 to 2024 [2] - Magnesium Health Technology Co., Ltd. focuses on innovative payment solutions for medical expenses, being the largest provider of innovative health insurance solutions in China by policy count [3] - Yangtuo Technology Inc. operates a trading and service platform for home care and nutrition products, holding a 10.1% market share in the low-tier market [4] - Xiamen Ruiwei Information Technology Co., Ltd. specializes in image intelligent analysis products and solutions, leveraging machine learning and computer vision technologies [5] - Zijin Gold International Limited is a leading global gold mining company, ranking ninth in gold reserves and eleventh in production as of 2024 [6] - EVE Energy Co., Ltd. is a leading lithium battery platform company, ranking first in China for consumer cylindrical battery shipments and second globally for energy storage battery shipments [7] - Zhejiang Yifei Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. is a leading industrial robotics company in China, focusing on the light industry [8] - ChipMight Semiconductor Technology (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. is a leading power semiconductor company, ranking second in the global OLED display PMIC market [9] - Beijing Tongrentang Medical Investment Co., Ltd. is the largest non-public Chinese medicine hospital group by outpatient and inpatient visits [11] - Shandong Linglong Tire Co., Ltd. is the largest OE tire manufacturer in China and the third largest globally [12] - Magnesium Holdings Limited is an innovative automotive technology company focused on AI-driven integrated domain control solutions [13] Group 2: Public Offerings and New Listings - Seven companies initiated their public offerings, including Anjii Foods, which had a subscription rate of 44.2 times for its public offering [14][15] - Other companies like Lens Technology and Fortior also initiated their public offerings with significant interest from cornerstone investors [16][19] - Five new stocks were listed, including Yunzhisheng, which saw a closing price increase of 44.59% on its first day [20][21][22][23] Group 3: Market Insights - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange raised over HKD 107 billion in the first half of 2025, with a 20% increase in the Hang Seng Index [24] - The biopharmaceutical sector has seen a resurgence, with 10 companies successfully listing in the first half of 2025, compared to only 12 for the entire previous year [25][26] - The total fundraising amount for the biopharmaceutical sector reached HKD 15.6 billion in the first half of 2025, indicating strong market interest [26][27]

Core Viewpoint - IFBH Limited's successful IPO reflects the booming coconut water market in China, but underlying risks such as market dependency, raw material price fluctuations, and increasing competition are emerging [1][15]. Market Growth - The coconut water market in China is experiencing explosive growth, with a projected increase from $1.02 million in 2019 to $1.093 billion by 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 60.8% [2]. - By 2029, the market is expected to reach $2.652 billion, driven by health consumption trends [2]. Health Demand and Channel Penetration - Coconut water is gaining popularity as a low-calorie, natural alternative to sugary drinks, appealing to health-conscious consumers, athletes, and young people [3]. - IFBH has expanded its distribution network to cover 23 provinces in China, with a stock turnover period of only 2-3 days, significantly lower than the industry average [5]. Product Innovation - IFBH has diversified its product offerings, including classic coconut water, sparkling coconut water, and functional drinks like Innococo, catering to various consumer preferences [5]. - The introduction of electrolyte coconut water in 2024 marks its entry into the sports drink segment [5]. Business Model - IFBH operates a highly efficient "light asset" model, outsourcing production to Thailand and relying on third-party logistics and distributors, which allows for lower operational costs [6]. - In 2024, the top five suppliers accounted for 96.9% of procurement, with a single source for raw materials, highlighting potential supply chain risks [6]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin improved from 34.7% in 2023 to 36.7% in 2024, while net margin increased from 19.2% to 21.1%, indicating strong profitability [8]. - Marketing expenses are set to double from $3.7 million in 2023 to $7.4 million in 2024, driven by celebrity endorsements and social media campaigns [8]. Capital Market Dynamics - IFBH's IPO was a significant event in the Hong Kong market, with subscription rates exceeding 2682 times for public offerings and 22.93 times for international placements [12]. - The valuation debate centers around its price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 27 times for 2024, higher than some competitors but lower than others, reflecting market confidence and concerns about the sustainability of its business model [12]. Long-term Growth Challenges - Despite holding a 34% market share, IFBH faces challenges in diversifying its supply chain, expanding product categories, and increasing its global presence [14]. - The company plans to allocate 20% of its fundraising for product development, indicating a commitment to overcoming these challenges [14]. Conclusion - IFBH's IPO signifies both the growth of the coconut water sector and the success of its light asset model, but the company's ability to evolve from a market leader to an ecosystem builder will be crucial for sustained growth amid increasing competition [15].

Core Viewpoint - IFBH's strong market performance is attributed to its leadership in the coconut water sector and its unique "light asset" operational model, which has garnered significant investor interest [1][2]. Company Overview - IFBH, established in 2013, is a Thailand-based ready-to-drink beverage and ready-to-eat food company, recognized as a leader in introducing natural coconut water to the Chinese market [1]. - The company's flagship brands, if and Innococo, focus on providing natural Thai beverages and healthy alternatives to traditional sports drinks [1]. Market Position - IF coconut water has maintained the top position in the Chinese coconut water beverage market for five consecutive years, with an estimated market share of approximately 34% in 2024 [1]. - In Hong Kong, IF has dominated the coconut water market for nine years, with a projected market share of around 60% in 2024, significantly outpacing its closest competitor by more than seven times [1]. Financial Performance - The public offering of IFBH saw a subscription rate exceeding 2682 times, indicating strong capital enthusiasm [2]. - The company is expected to report impressive revenue and net profit figures for 2024, alongside a favorable gross margin [2]. Industry Growth Potential - The ready-to-drink soft drink market in the Greater China region presents substantial growth opportunities, with coconut water being the fastest-growing segment, projected to grow from $1.0933 billion in 2024 to $2.6518 billion by 2029, at a compound annual growth rate of 19.4% [2]. Operational Model - IFBH operates with a highly streamlined "light asset" model, employing only 46 full-time staff, with no local employees in the Chinese market, and relying on third-party manufacturers and distributors [3]. - This operational strategy allows for production flexibility and rapid global distribution network expansion, focusing resources on product development and brand trust [3]. Sustainability Concerns - While IFBH's light asset model is efficient, it raises concerns about long-term sustainability due to its heavy reliance on a single product category (coconut water) and a core market (Greater China) [3].