Group 1 - The adjustment in the liquor sector began due to the revision of regulations against waste by government agencies, leading to concerns about long-term demand for liquor [1] - High-end liquor's share in government affairs has decreased, and business demand remains a key driver correlated with the national economy's activity level [1] - Citic Securities believes the liquor industry is rapidly bottoming out, with leading companies likely to seize opportunities for channel structure adjustments and market expansion [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities indicates that the liquor industry is a strong beta sector, with weak economic and consumption conditions affecting performance, but leading companies with strong brands are expected to recover value first [2] - Guotai Haitong Securities forecasts that the liquor industry is accelerating towards a performance bottom, potentially reaching it by mid-2026, with stock prices likely to turn before demand [2] - The logic of market share is expected to gradually replace volume and price logic in the long term, positioning liquor as a "quasi-debt asset" [2] Group 3 - Zhenjiu Lidu expects revenue for the six months ending June 30, 2025, to be between RMB 2.4 billion and RMB 2.55 billion, a decline of 38.3% to 41.9% compared to the same period in 2024 [3] - The expected net profit for the same period is projected to decrease by 23% to 24%, with adjusted net profit anticipated to decline by 39% to 40% [3]

Group 1 - The adjustment in the liquor sector began due to the revision of regulations promoting frugality and opposing waste, leading to strong concerns about the long-term demand for liquor [1] - High-end liquor's share in government affairs has decreased significantly, with business demand being a crucial driver correlated with the national economy's activity level [1] - The liquor industry is rapidly bottoming out, with leading companies adjusting channel structures and enhancing market development capabilities, which may lead to more growth opportunities if consumption gradually improves [1][2] Group 2 - The white liquor industry is considered a strong beta sector, with expectations of weak economic and consumption performance affecting sales, particularly after the Spring Festival [2] - Policy changes are accelerating the industry's clearing process, with performance bottoms expected to be reached by mid-2026, and stock prices may show trends before demand recovers [2] - The expected revenue for Zhenjiu Lidu for the six months ending June 30, 2025, is projected to be between RMB 2.4 billion and RMB 2.55 billion, representing a year-on-year decline of 38.3% to 41.9% [3]

Core Insights - The craft beer sector is attracting an increasing number of entrants, with companies like Wuliangye and Haoxiangni recently launching craft beer products [1] - The domestic craft beer industry has seen a significant rise in the number of related enterprises, reaching 7,491 as of August 11, with a notable concentration in East China [5][6] Industry Distribution - The majority of craft beer enterprises are located in East China, accounting for 37.26% of the total, with Shandong province being a major hub, hosting over 1,700 related companies, which represents more than 23% of the national total [5] - Other regions such as North China, Northeast China, and Central China account for 14.18%, 13.36%, and 10.68% respectively [5] Company Formation Trends - Over 60% of existing craft beer enterprises have been established in the last three years, with those founded within 1-3 years making up 35.14% and those established within the last year accounting for 25.99% [6] Registration Growth - The registration of craft beer-related enterprises has shown an upward trend over the past decade, with 1,509 new registrations this year, including 1,458 in the first seven months, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.8% [8]

ZJLD Group Inc 珍酒李渡集團有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：6979） 董事會會議召開日期 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 珍酒李渡集團有限公司 副總裁、首席財務官兼 聯席公司秘書 王連博先生 香港，2025年8月11日 於本公告日期，董事會包括執行董事吳向東先生、顏濤先生、吳其融先生、朱琳 女士及羅永紅先生；非執行董事孫錚先生；以及獨立非執行董事李東先生、閆極 晟女士及黃進栓先生。 茲通告珍酒李渡集團有限公司（「本公司」及其附屬公司「本集團」）董事會（「董事 會」）謹定於2025年8月22日（星期五）舉行董事會會議，藉以考慮及通過（其中包 括）本集團截至2025年6月30日止六個月的中期業績及其發佈，以及處理其他事 項。 承董事會命 ...

Core Insights - The chairman of Zhenjiu Lidou Group, Wu Xiangdong, launched the company's first high-end craft beer product "Bull Market News" during his first live broadcast, which attracted significant attention with over 1.9 million viewers and a peak of 178,000 online participants [1] - The product took three years to develop, utilizing premium ingredients and top-notch brewing techniques, aiming to create a unique and memorable taste [1] - The slogan "Bull Market Opens, Good Luck Comes" reflects the product's branding strategy, promoting a new lifestyle consumption approach [1] Industry Analysis - The high viewership and engagement during the live broadcast indicate Wu Xiangdong's personal influence in the industry, which could positively impact the product's market entry [1] - The craft beer market is highly competitive, but the superior quality and positive connotations associated with "Bull Market Beer" may help it secure a foothold [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.19%, gaining 47 points to close at 24,906 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.11% [1] - Early trading volume in Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 121.3 billion [1] Lithium Sector - Ningde Times confirmed the suspension of its lithium mine in Jiangxi, leading to significant gains in lithium stocks, with Tianqi Lithium rising by 15% and Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 19% [1] Automotive Sector - XPeng Motors saw a 6.43% increase, with its new P7 model achieving over 10,000 pre-orders in under 7 minutes, indicating strong institutional confidence in the company's sales growth [1] Food and Beverage Sector - Ajisen China reported a 9.4% increase in stock price, expecting to turn a profit of up to RMB 40 million in the first half of the year [1] Paper Industry - Lee & Man Paper saw a stock price increase of over 5%, with a 0.7% year-on-year growth in net profit for the first half of the year, as institutions anticipate a new round of supply clearance driven by new national standards [1] Pharmaceutical Sector - North Sea Kangcheng-B experienced a surge of over 32%, with the first prescription for its product successfully launched, and the company is actively communicating with medical insurance payment departments [1] Alcohol Sector - Zhenjiu Lidou's stock rose by over 2%, although product sales pressure affected its first-half performance, with expectations for improvement in the second half due to new product contributions [1] Aluminum Sector - Rusal's stock increased by 8.45%, amid market attention on the upcoming meeting between the US and Russian presidents regarding sanctions on Rusal [1] Semiconductor Sector - The US Department of Commerce began issuing export licenses for NVIDIA's H20 chips to mainland China, leading to declines in semiconductor stocks, with Hua Hong Semiconductor dropping over 4% and SMIC falling by 3% at one point, ultimately closing down 0.16% [1] Real Estate Sector - Shimao Group's stock fell by over 15%, with July contract sales decreasing by approximately 27% year-on-year [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhenjiu Lidu, has seen its stock price increase by over 4% despite a significant decline in its expected revenue and profit for the first half of the year [1]. Financial Performance - Zhenjiu Lidu forecasts revenue between 2.4 billion to 2.55 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 38.3% to 41.9% [1]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease by 23% to 24% year-on-year [1]. - Adjusted net profit is anticipated to decline by 39% to 40% year-on-year [1]. Market Response - The stock price of Zhenjiu Lidu rose by 4.34%, reaching 7.46 HKD, with a trading volume of 52.5693 million HKD [1]. - CICC noted that the company's earnings forecast is slightly below expectations, primarily due to further sales pressure on products in the second quarter [1]. Product Strategy - Zhenjiu Lidu launched a strategic new product called "Dazhen" in June, which has seen successful recruitment of distributors [1]. - The success of "Dazhen" is attributed to its small distributor quotas, low capital requirements, substantial channel profits, and aggressive marketing efforts, attracting both industry and non-industry clients [1]. - The company is implementing multiple strategies to adapt to industry changes, with expectations of improvement in the second half of the year driven by new product contributions [1].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of "Bull Market" beer by Zhenjiu Lidu is seen as a strategic move, contrasting with Wuliangye's "Fire Wheel" beer, which is more of an attempt to find new growth points. The challenges of transforming beer into a strategic business for liquor companies are significant [1]. Group 1: Market Insights - The craft beer market in China is on the rise, with young consumers favoring "three lows" (low hops, low malt, low alcohol). After deliberation, "Bull Market" was positioned at 5.9% alcohol content [3]. - The decision-making process involved whether to target high-end or mid-to-low-end consumers, ultimately opting for a high-end positioning [3]. - The product development for "Bull Market" took three years, focusing on taste and advocating for aging the beer for 2-10 months before consumption, which contrasts with traditional fresh beer consumption [3]. Group 2: Pricing and Consumer Behavior - The pricing of "Bull Market" is notably high, with a retail price of 88 yuan per 375ml can, leading to concerns about its affordability for consumers [3][4]. - The high price point raises questions about its viability as a gift product, as there are many alternatives available for the same price [5]. - The consumption behavior in high-end business settings may not align with the product's packaging size, as consumers typically drink larger quantities, which could limit repeat purchases [5][6]. Group 3: Strategic Considerations - There is uncertainty regarding whether to maintain a high-end niche strategy or consider repositioning and possibly lowering prices after the initial launch phase [6]. - The experience of the company's chairman, who has prior investment experience in the beer sector, may provide insights into navigating the challenges ahead [6]. - A cautious approach is suggested, allowing "Bull Market" to develop gradually rather than expecting immediate success [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the liquor industry is gradually releasing pressure from distribution channels, indicating a potential for future growth. It suggests focusing on three main lines: leading brands, high-certainty regional liquors, and elastic stocks benefiting from recovery and increased risk appetite [1][2]. - The snack sector shows significant growth potential, with companies like Yanjing Beer and Zhujiang Beer being highlighted for their strong performance. The report emphasizes the importance of channel leadership and growth potential in selecting stocks [3][6]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry - The report notes that the liquor industry is experiencing a deep adjustment, shifting from scale growth to high-quality development. It emphasizes the importance of brand strength and strategic initiatives to capture new consumer trends [2]. - The expected revenue for Zhenjiu Lidong in H1 2025 is projected to be between 2.4 billion to 2.55 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 38.3% to 41.9% due to economic uncertainties and policy impacts [2]. Beer and Beverage Sector - The beer segment shows promising results, with Huiquan Brewery reporting a revenue of 351 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.03%, and a net profit of 40 million yuan, up 25.52% [3]. - Unified Enterprises China achieved a revenue of 17.087 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a 10.6% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 1.287 billion yuan, up 33.2% [3]. Snack Sector - The snack sector is highlighted for its recovery in stock prices, with expectations for continued high growth due to new product launches and channel transformations. The report notes a narrowing decline in raw milk prices, which may positively impact the dairy segment [6].

Core Viewpoint - The liquor industry is facing sales pressure, with significant short-term performance decline for Zhenjiu and Lidu, as they focus on market relief and inventory control [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Zhenjiu and Lidu expect revenue for the first half of 2025 to be between 2.4 billion to 2.55 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 38.3% to 41.9% [1] - Expected net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to decrease by 23% to 24%, with adjusted net profit (non-IFRS) anticipated to decline by 39% to 40% [1] Group 2: Market Challenges - The decline in liquor consumption is attributed to economic uncertainties and recent policy impacts, particularly affecting business banquets, social gatherings, and gift-giving scenarios [1] - The high-end product segment, particularly Zhen30 and above, is impacted by downward price adjustments in premium liquor, leading to a focus on volume control and price stabilization [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to launch a new flagship product, Dazhen, in June 2025, targeting a market gap between Zhen15 and Zhen30, with positive sales progress expected [2] - The chairman is actively promoting the brand through personal marketing efforts on social media platforms [2] - The company aims to enhance its existing flagship products' competitive edge through refined sales strategies and increased market penetration [2] Group 4: Product Expansion - A high-end beer brand named "Niushi" is set to launch on August 8, with the first product priced at 88 yuan per 375ml aluminum bottle [2] - The company is focusing on emerging consumer trends and plans to develop products tailored for specific occasions like birthdays and weddings [2] Group 5: Long-term Growth Potential - The company is recognized as a rare listed entity in the liquor sector, with strong operational momentum and significant future growth potential [2] - Zhenjiu is positioned in the second tier of the liquor market, with opportunities to leverage brand and channel advantages in a concentrated market [2] - Lidu is seen as a rising star in the high-end segment, with innovative marketing strategies enhancing its market presence [2]