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房地产开发与服务26年第4周:乐观情绪不断发酵,板块行情持续性可期
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 11:19
Core Insights - The report indicates a sustained optimistic sentiment in the real estate sector, suggesting that the market performance is likely to continue positively throughout the year [1]. Group 1: Policy Environment - Central policies have seen few new measures, maintaining a loose stance towards the real estate sector. Recent actions include the extension of tax incentives for public rental housing and a reduction in the minimum down payment for commercial properties from 50% to 30% [5][16]. - Local policies focus on long-term strategies in major cities, with initiatives aimed at urban renewal and optimizing land use policies [5][16]. Group 2: Transaction Performance - New home transactions remain low, with a year-on-year decline of 31.3% in the first 22 days of January, while second-hand home transactions have shown a year-on-year increase of 14.1% [5][9]. - The number of second-hand home subscriptions has increased significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 59.8% in the same period [5][9]. Group 3: Market Conditions - The new housing supply is in a seasonal downturn, with a 12% decrease in new home launches week-on-week. However, the transaction volume slightly exceeds the supply, indicating a market adjustment [5][9]. - The land supply and transaction scale have contracted sharply, with a 67% year-on-year decrease in land transaction value [5][9]. Group 4: Sector Performance - The real estate sector has shown strong performance, with a 5.2% increase in the SW real estate index, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.8 percentage points [5][9]. - Major real estate companies have experienced notable stock price increases, with leading firms like Greentown and China Merchants Shekou seeing significant gains [5][9]. Group 5: C-REITs Overview - The C-REITs sector has seen a 2.29% increase in the comprehensive return index, with 68 out of 78 REITs reporting gains this week [5][9].
小阳春提前开启,交易信心走强
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 05:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Buy" rating for the real estate industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in second-hand home subscriptions and a strengthening of transaction confidence [7][15]. - The average daily subscription for second-hand homes in 79 cities reached 3,404 units from January 1 to January 22, 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.1% compared to the same period in 2025 [16][27]. - The report highlights that the market is experiencing a self-driven recovery without significant large-scale stimulus policies being implemented [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Second-Hand Homes: Significant Growth in Subscriptions and Record High Conversion Rates - Overall transactions show a recovery in lower-tier cities, although this has not yet fully translated into net signing [15]. - In key cities, second-hand home subscriptions in first-tier cities like Guangzhou are relatively stable, while many lower-tier cities are experiencing growth [31]. - The conversion rate of visits to transactions has reached a new high, with a 5.6% conversion rate in 70 cities, up from the previous quarter [35]. 2. New Homes: Low Net Signing Levels Across All Tiers - The average daily net signing for new homes in 45 cities was 250,000 square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 42.1% [29]. - All tiers of cities are experiencing varying degrees of decline in new home net signing, with first-tier cities seeing the most significant drops [29]. 3. Price Trends and Market Dynamics - As of January 22, 2026, the average price of second-hand homes in 33 cities has decreased by 17.9% year-on-year compared to 2025 [41]. - The report indicates that the price adjustments in lower-tier cities are more pronounced, aligning closer to residents' psychological expectations, which has led to increased subscriptions [42]. - The report notes a decline in the number of second-hand listings, particularly in key cities, due to factors such as the removal of ineffective listings by agents and homeowners withdrawing listings amid falling prices [41].
绿城代建楼盘停滞调查:“16%高息”隐秘资金路径浮现
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 01:16
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 来源:@华夏时报微博 天鸿·甲第观澜外 围。陈炳衡/摄 华夏时报记者 张蓓 陈炳衡 北京报道 1月8日下午三点,记者来到河北省唐山市路北区"天鸿·甲第观澜"(曾用名"绿城·桂语江南")项目现 场。这个一度以香港上市名企绿城中国控股有限公司(股票代码:03900 HK,下称:绿城)持有的"绿 城"品牌为背书的高端住宅项目,如今已然成为众多购房人心中难以言说的痛苦记忆。沿着这些记忆, 本次调查始于唐山鸿柯房地产开发有限公司(下称"鸿柯公司")等多方提供的线索。《华夏时报》记者 通过长达数周的走访、调查与文件梳理,发现了一场涉及上市公司及上市公司高管的复杂利益迷局,其 正逐步清晰地浮出水面。 1月13日,售楼处负责人金贺鹏对《华夏时报》记者表示,"目前项目仍然在运营,争取尽快交付,不存 在烂尾的情况。项目已经由鸿柯公司自行接管,正在努力完善项目工程竣工交付。但是因为绿城主控项 目期间遗留的问题太多,而且不配合交接,导致原定2023年竣工入住的项目拖延至今。" 记者了解到,截至目前,该楼盘房价已较2020年开盘时(18000元—35000元/平米)下降了约40%。鸿 ...
绿城代建楼盘停滞调查:“16%高息”隐秘资金路径浮现,信披合规存疑
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2026-01-22 16:00
关联公司身份存疑 为核实项目现状,记者于1月8日至1月13日之间,多次前往唐山项目实地调查。记者在现场看到,该项 目现已由原来的"绿城·桂语江南"更名为"天鸿·甲第观澜",售楼处仍有销售人员工作。当记者以买家身 份跟随销售人员进入施工工地,绿色的环保布在冬日风中簌簌作响,塔吊如同巨人骨架般静止,矗立在 几栋仅完成主体结构的灰黑色楼体之间,现场仍有零星工人施工。销售人员指着手中的资料,为记者耐 心讲解楼盘价格和区位优势,但未能明确交房时间。 本报(chinatimes.net.cn)记者张蓓 陈炳衡 北京报道 1月8日下午三点,记者来到河北省唐山市路北区"天鸿·甲第观澜"(曾用名"绿城·桂语江南")项目现 场。这个一度以香港上市名企绿城中国控股有限公司(股票代码:03900 HK,下称:绿城)持有的"绿 城"品牌为背书的高端住宅项目,如今已然成为众多购房人心中难以言说的痛苦记忆。沿着这些记忆, 本次调查始于唐山鸿柯房地产开发有限公司(下称"鸿柯公司")等多方提供的线索。《华夏时报》记者 通过长达数周的走访、调查与文件梳理,发现了一场涉及上市公司及上市公司高管的复杂利益迷局,其 正逐步清晰地浮出水面。 1月13日 ...
房地产开发与服务26年第3周:政策利好持续,二手房基本面走强
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-18 23:30
Core Insights - The report highlights a continuous improvement in the real estate sector, driven by favorable policies and a strengthening of the second-hand housing market [1] - The overall industry rating remains at "Buy," consistent with previous assessments [2] Group 1: Policy Developments - Central government policies are increasingly supportive, with the Ministry of Finance announcing an extension of the tax exemption policy for second-hand housing transactions until the end of 2027 [5][14] - The People's Bank of China has introduced measures including a 0.25 percentage point reduction in various structural monetary policy tool rates and a decrease in the minimum down payment for commercial properties from 50% to 30% [5][15] - The publication of multiple articles in "Qiushi" magazine indicates a heightened focus on real estate and urban development, suggesting a strong policy commitment [5][17] Group 2: Market Performance - The second-hand housing market has shown significant improvement, with a 40.3% year-on-year increase in transactions for the first 15 days of January, despite a 10% decline compared to the previous week [5][23] - New housing transactions remain low, with a 29.7% year-on-year decrease in sales volume, although there was a 9.9% week-on-week increase [5][23][26] - The average transaction price for second-hand homes in 33 cities increased by 0.6% week-on-week, indicating a stabilization in prices [5][25] Group 3: Land Market Dynamics - The total land transfer revenue remains low, with a 25.2% week-on-week decline and a 54.3% year-on-year decrease, reflecting weak market conditions [5][24] - There are localized instances of structural premiums in third and fourth-tier cities, suggesting potential opportunities despite overall market weakness [5][24] Group 4: Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - Key companies in the real estate sector, such as Vanke A and China Overseas Development, maintain a "Buy" rating with reasonable valuations projected for 2025 and 2026 [6] - The report includes detailed financial metrics for various companies, indicating expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, which suggest potential for growth in the sector [6][30]
不打“价格战”!百强房企争相涌入代建市场!
(原标题:不打"价格战"!百强房企争相涌入代建市场!) 所幸,"规模竞赛"已不是行业唯一主题。从"四好"住宅的打造到城市更新的操盘,从烂尾项目纾困到存 量资产盘活……头部企业与中小企业在新发展共识下展开差异化竞争。伴随行业标准与评价体系的日益 完善,全行业践行"价值革命",代建行业正在避开"价格战"的暗礁,转向"价值战"的主航道。 尚未稳固的"橄榄形" 2025年,代建新拓规模逆转了2024年拓展"失速"的态势。据克而瑞统计,2025年代建新增规模TOP20企 业的新增签约建面达22007万平方米,同比增幅16%,增速较2024年提升6个百分点。 尽管整体规模回升,但克而瑞联席董事长丁祖昱将之归因为"头部代建企业扩张意愿强烈"。事实上,与 此前多年行业整体性的爆发式增长不同,2025年的代建市场竞争结构和竞争环境已发生根本性变 化,"橄榄形"竞争结构已经初现雏形。这一结构往往被认为是一个产业进入成熟期主流高集中度的典型 形态。 中指研究院最新发布的《2025年中国房地产代建企业排行榜》显示,绿城管理完成了3535万平方米的新 签约代建面积,比第二名高出超过一倍,然而其拓展规模较前一年略有下滑。 排在绿城管理之 ...
绿城管理控股(09979) - 2025年股份激励计划之相关规则
2026-01-13 13:33
GREENTOWN MANAGEMENT HOLDINGS COMPANY LIMITED 綠 城 管 理 控 股 有 限 公 司 ( 於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司 ) (股份代號:09979) 綠城管理控股有限公司 2025年股份激勵計劃 之相關規則 – 1 – 1. 釋義及詮釋 1.1 在本計劃規則中,除非文義另有所指,下列詞彙具有以下涵義: | 「1%個人限額」 | 指 | 具有規則15.3所賦予之涵義; | | --- | --- | --- | | 「2020年股份獎勵計劃」 | 指 | 具有規則9.1(b)所賦予之涵義; | | 「2022年股份獎勵計劃」 | 指 | 具有規則9.1(a)所賦予之涵義; | | 「實際售價」 | 指 | 根據本計劃歸屬一項激勵時,或當根據規則 | | | | 14.2,發生本公司控制權變動或私有化而進行 | | | | 歸屬時,出售激勵股份的實際價格(扣除經紀 | | | | 佣金、聯交所交易費、證監會交易徵費及任何 | | | | 其他適用費用及金額),即根據相關計劃或要 | | | | 約的應收對價; | | 「採納日期」 | 指 | ...
绿城管理控股(09979) - 於2026年2月2日举行的股东特别大会股东适用的代表委任表格
2026-01-13 13:26
GREENTOWN MANAGEMENT HOLDINGS COMPANY LIMITED 綠 城 管 理 控 股 有 限 公 司 ( 於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司 ) 為綠城管理控股有限公司(「本公司」)股本中每股面值0.01港元股份 股 (附註2) 的 登記持有人,茲委任 (附註3) 大會主席或如未克出席,則委任 地址為 為本人╱吾等的代表,代表本人╱吾等出席於2026年2月2日(星期一)上午十時正假座中國杭州綠城西溪國際商務 中心E座綠城大學舉行的股東特別大會(及其任何續會)(視乎情況而定)(「大會」),並代表本人╱吾等及以本人╱吾 等的名義按下列指示就載於召開大會通告(「通告」)的決議案投票,如無明確指示,則本人╱吾等的代表有權自行酌 情投票。 | | 普通決議案 | (附註4) 贊成 | (附註4) 反對 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. | 批准採納本公司2025年股份激勵計劃(定義見本公司日期為2026 | | | | | 年1月13日的通函)。 | | | 日期:2026年 月 日 簽署 (附註5) 附註: 收集個人資料聲明 閣下是自願 ...
绿城管理控股(09979) - 股东特别大会通告
2026-01-13 13:20
(股份代號:09979) 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本通告之內容概不負責,對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本通告全部或任何部分內容而產生或 因依賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 GREENTOWN MANAGEMENT HOLDINGS COMPANY LIMITED 綠 城 管 理 控 股 有 限 公 司 ( 於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司 ) 股東特別大會通告 茲通告綠城管理控股有限公司(「本公司」)謹訂於2026年2月2日(星期一)上午十時正假座中國 杭州綠城西溪國際商務中心E座綠城大學舉行股東特別大會,以考慮並酌情處理下列普通事 項。除另有界定者外,本通告所用詞彙與本公司日期為2026年1月13日的通函所界定者具有相 同涵義。 普通決議案 1. 考慮並酌情通過(不論有否修訂)下列決議案為普通決議案: 「動議謹此批准及採納2025年股份激勵計劃(定義見本公司日期為2026年1月13日的通 函),其規則載於已提呈大會及由股東特別大會主席簽署以資識別的文件,並謹此授權董 事(或其任何委員會)(i)根據2025年股份激勵計劃授出 ...
绿城管理控股(09979) - (1)建议採纳2025年股份激励计划;及(2)股东特别大会通告
2026-01-13 13:16
此乃要件 請即處理 閣下如對本通函任何方面或應採取的行動有任何疑問,應諮詢 閣下的股票經紀或其他註冊 證券商、銀行經理、律師、專業會計師或其他專業顧問。 閣下如已售出或轉讓名下所有綠城管理控股有限公司股份,應立即將本通函連同隨附的代表 委任表格交予買主或承讓人,或經手買賣或轉讓的銀行、股票經紀或其他代理商,以便轉交 買主或承讓人。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本通函的內容概不負責,對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不對因本通函全部或任何部分內容而產生或因 倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 GREENTOWN MANAGEMENT HOLDINGS COMPANY LIMITED 綠 城 管 理 控 股 有 限 公 司 ( 於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司 ) (股份代號:09979) (1)建議採納2025年股份激勵計劃; 及 (2)股東特別大會通告 綠城管理控股有限公司謹訂於2026年2月2日(星期一)上午十時正假座中國杭州綠城西溪國 際商務中心E座綠城大學舉行股東特別大會,有關通告刊載於本通函第N-1至N-2頁。隨函附 奉股東特別大會適 ...