Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant reduction and cancellation of flights between China and Japan due to recent political tensions, affecting travel plans for the upcoming winter and spring seasons [1][2]. Flight Reductions and Cancellations - Starting December 1, 16 Chinese airlines will reduce weekly flights to Japan by 156, with the most significant cuts from Juneyao Airlines, which will decrease its flights from 114 to 79 per week, a reduction of 31% [1]. - China Southern Airlines, Shenzhen Airlines, and Eastern Airlines will also see reductions of 23, 22, and 18 flights per week, respectively [1]. - The cancellation rate for planned flights to Japan is projected to reach 21.6% by November 27, with 12 routes already canceling all flights [1][2]. Impact on Travelers - The reduction in flights coincides with the peak travel season for skiing and hot springs in Japan, leading to potential disruptions for travelers planning winter trips [2]. - Specific routes with high cancellation rates include Tianjin Binhai to Kansai International (65.0%) and Nanjing Lukou to Kansai International (59.4%) [2]. Aircraft Type Adjustments - Airlines are not only reducing flight frequencies but also changing aircraft types to smaller models, such as switching from the Airbus A330-300 to the A321, which has a lower passenger capacity [3]. - Some airlines, like Shandong Airlines and Xiamen Airlines, have not made any adjustments to their Japan routes [3]. Price Increases - Spring Airlines has raised the minimum ticket prices for several routes, with the lowest fare for Shanghai to Okinawa reaching 42,900 JPY (approximately 2,000 CNY) [4]. Summary of Adjustments by Airlines - A detailed table lists various airlines and their specific route adjustments, including reductions in frequency and cancellations, with some airlines maintaining their original schedules [5][6][7].

Core Viewpoint - A significant number of flights from China to Japan have been canceled, with a high cancellation rate expected in the coming weeks due to travel warnings and geopolitical tensions [1][5]. Flight Cancellations - As of November 24, 12 routes between China and Japan have canceled all flights, affecting cities like Nagoya, Fukuoka, Sapporo, and Osaka [1]. - The cancellation rate for planned flights to Japan is projected to reach 21.6% by December 27, the highest in a month [2]. - Routes with the highest cancellation rates include Tianjin Binhai to Kansai International (65.0%), Nanjing Lukou to Kansai International (59.4%), and Guangzhou Baiyun to Kansai International (31.3%) [2]. Government Warnings - Multiple Chinese government departments, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, have issued warnings advising citizens to avoid travel to Japan [5]. - The Hong Kong government has also updated travel information, urging residents to remain vigilant if traveling to Japan [5]. Airline Adjustments - Chinese airlines are making significant adjustments to their Japan routes, with many flights being closed for booking [5]. - China International Airlines has canceled plans to increase flights from Beijing Capital to Sapporo from four to seven weekly [6]. - Other airlines, such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines, have also announced reductions in flight frequencies and cancellations across various routes to Japan [8][11][21]. Geopolitical Context - Recent controversial statements by Japan's new Prime Minister have sparked criticism and heightened tensions between China and Japan, contributing to the decline in travel [16].

Core Viewpoint - The impact of recent comments from the Japanese Prime Minister has led to significant reductions and cancellations of flights between China and Japan, affecting travel plans during the peak winter and spring festival seasons. Group 1: Flight Reductions and Cancellations - Starting from December 1, Chinese airlines will face substantial reductions and cancellations of flights to Japan, with adjustments expected to last until the end of March 2026 [1] - A total of 16 Chinese airlines will reduce weekly flights to Japan by 156, with the largest reduction from Juneyao Airlines, cutting 35 flights per week, which is 31% of its total Japan routes [1] - China Southern, Shenzhen Airlines, and China Eastern will also reduce flights by 23, 22, and 18 per week, respectively [1] Group 2: Cancellation Rates and Specific Routes - The cancellation rate for planned flights to Japan is projected to reach 21.6% by November 27, with 12 routes already canceling all flights [2] - Among the top 20 routes, the highest cancellation rates include Tianjin Binhai to Kansai International at 65.0%, Nanjing Lukou to Kansai International at 59.4%, and Guangzhou Baiyun to Kansai International at 31.3% [2] - Smaller airlines, such as Beijing Capital Airlines, have also announced significant cancellations, including all flights on certain routes from December 9 to March 3 [2] Group 3: Aircraft Type Adjustments - Airlines are not only reducing flight frequencies but also changing aircraft types to smaller models, such as switching from the Airbus A330-300 to the A321, which has a lower passenger capacity [3] - Some airlines, like Shandong Airlines and Xiamen Airlines, have not made any changes to their Japan flight plans [3] - The overall trend indicates a reduction in capacity on China-Japan routes, leading to increased travel costs for consumers during the New Year and Spring Festival [3] Group 4: Price Increases - Spring Airlines has raised the minimum ticket prices on several routes, with one route's lowest fare increasing to 42,900 yen, indicating a trend of rising travel costs [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant cancellation of flights between China and Japan, primarily due to geopolitical tensions and travel advisories issued by Chinese authorities, leading to a drastic reduction in flight operations and future booking cancellations [9][4]. Flight Cancellations - As of November 24, 12 routes between China and Japan have canceled all flights, affecting cities like Nagoya, Fukuoka, Sapporo, and Osaka [2]. - The cancellation rates for specific routes are notably high, with 100% cancellations reported for several routes including Hangzhou to Central Japan and Nanjing to Fukuoka [3]. Future Cancellation Rates - The cancellation rate for planned flights to Japan is expected to reach 21.6% by December 27, marking the highest level in a month [4]. - Routes with the highest cancellation rates include Tianjin to Kansai International (65.0%) and Nanjing to Kansai International (59.4%) [4]. Airline Adjustments - Chinese airlines are making significant adjustments to their Japan routes, with many flights being closed for booking. This includes reductions in frequency and cancellations of previously planned increases in service [9][11][13]. - Specific adjustments include: - Air China reducing flights from Beijing to Sapporo from 7 to 4 weekly [11]. - China Eastern Airlines closing bookings for 6 out of 14 weekly flights from Beijing to Osaka [16]. - Spring Airlines canceling certain flights from Shanghai to Okinawa starting December 20 [25]. Overall Impact - The overall impact of these cancellations and adjustments indicates a substantial decrease in travel between China and Japan, driven by both political factors and operational decisions by airlines [9][4].

旅客收到邮件后，立刻给东航客舱经理沈维偕回复了感谢信。信中他动情地表示，乘务组专业细致的空 中服务、默契高效的团队配合，以及这份超出预期的关于上海旅游的延伸服务，不仅让他们重新燃起了 对旅行的期待，更让他们深切感受到了东航乘务员的敬业精神和中国人的热情友善。（编辑：陈虹莹 校对：许浩存 审核：韩磊） 来华游客收到的东航空乘推荐美食攻略与为此回复的致谢邮件（东航供图） 《中国民航报》、中国民航网 记者钱擘 报道：近日，东航收到一封特殊的感谢信，信中表示："感谢东 航为我们夫妇提供的精彩服务，东航乘务组的悉心服务也使得我们的旅程更加愉悦，为东航有这样优秀 的员工点赞。" 这封热情洋溢的信件还得从10月25日说起，在当天的东航 MU250巴塞罗那飞往上海的航班客舱服务过 程中，乘务员注意到一位澳大利亚籍旅客面带焦虑，主动上前沟通后，得知旅客计划与太太一同前往上 海，开启为期五天的中国旅行，但因前段航班延误，导致他们后续出行计划不得不调整，在上海玩的时 间缩短，内心有些遗憾。得知这一情况后，乘务组决定为这对夫妇送上一份特别的惊喜。在航班落地 后，乘务组第一时间整理了一份详尽的上海美食攻略，涵盖了上海各大地标性美食街区 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of winter operational safety in civil aviation, particularly through emergency response drills to ensure flight safety during winter conditions [1][2][3] Group 2 - The Anhui Regulatory Bureau adheres to a "safety first, prevention-oriented" approach, prioritizing emergency drill supervision as a key aspect of winter safety measures [2] - The emergency drill involved comprehensive preparation, including the refinement of emergency plans and operational standards for de-icing, ensuring that the drill closely simulated real operational scenarios [2] - The regulatory bureau aims to enhance inter-departmental collaboration and improve processes for adverse weather responses, emphasizing strict adherence to flight delay communication and passenger service requirements [2] Group 3 - The Anhui Regulatory Bureau will continue to strengthen winter operation supervision, focusing on maintaining a flight regularity rate of no less than 88% and preventing large-scale passenger incidents due to delays [3] - The bureau will conduct on-site supervision of de-icing operations and emergency responses, promptly reporting typical issues and urging corrective actions to ensure passenger travel safety [3]

Core Viewpoint - The aviation industry is expected to significantly reduce losses in November, with strong year-on-year growth in commercial demand and rising passenger load factors and domestic ticket prices [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In October, the aviation industry saw a year-on-year increase in ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) by 6%, RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) by 9%, and passenger volume by 6%, with domestic growth at 4% and international growth at 20% [2]. - The passenger load factor improved by 2.2 percentage points to 87.4%, and domestic ticket prices rose by 3-4% compared to September [2]. - The overall performance of A-share airlines in Q3 2025 showed a counter-cyclical growth, marking the third consecutive year of performance exceeding Q3 2019, indicating a potential upward trend in profitability [1][2]. Group 2: International Routes - The international passenger load factor for September and October is estimated to exceed 80%, matching the peak season, with a year-on-year increase of over 3 percentage points, leading to a significant rise in international ticket prices, particularly for European routes [3]. - The ongoing benefits from visa-free policies and the construction of international transit hubs are expected to enhance long-term profitability for airlines [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The decline in passenger flow on Japanese routes is anticipated to have a limited impact on the industry's profitability during the off-peak season, as the overall contribution of Japanese routes to the airlines' ASK is relatively small [4]. - Domestic trunk routes remain the core profit source for traditional airlines, and the performance of Japanese routes is not expected to alter the long-term growth logic of the aviation industry [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The Chinese aviation industry is poised to enter a "super cycle," driven by a significant increase in the profitability baseline as supply and demand recover, with a focus on high-quality networks for traditional airlines [5]. - Strategic investment opportunities are recommended, with a focus on companies like Air China, Juneyao Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [5].

Core Viewpoint - The Japan-China flight routes are undergoing significant adjustments, with a notable increase in flight cancellations and a decline in passenger volume due to recent travel advisories and market factors [1][4]. Group 1: Flight Cancellations - The cancellation rate for flights to Japan is projected to reach 21.6% on November 27, marking the highest level in a month [1]. - A total of 12 routes have canceled all flights as of November 24, with several routes showing a 100% cancellation rate, including those from Hangzhou, Nanjing, and Yuncheng [3]. - The top routes with high cancellation rates include Tianjin to Kansai International (65.0%) and Nanjing to Kansai International (59.4%) [3]. Group 2: Airline Adjustments - Major Chinese airlines, including Air China, China Eastern, and Spring Airlines, have begun to adjust their services to Japan, with some flights closing reservations [4]. - For instance, China Eastern's Beijing to Osaka route will see 6 out of 14 weekly flights closed for booking starting December 1, 2025 [4]. - The overall flight volume from mainland China to Japan decreased by 471 flights in October compared to September, indicating a significant reduction in travel activity [4]. Group 3: Impact on Tourism and Economy - China is the largest source of tourists for Japan, with 7.487 million Chinese visitors from January to September 2025, representing a 42.7% year-on-year increase [6]. - A reduction in Chinese tourists is expected to directly lower Japan's GDP by 0.36%, resulting in an economic loss of approximately 2.2 trillion yen (about 101.16 billion yuan) [6].

Core Insights - The second China Eastern Airlines flight dispatcher skills competition was successfully held in Shanghai from November 20 to 21, aimed at optimizing job skills and nurturing outstanding technical talent within the operations control team [1][2] - A total of 379 dispatchers from nine operational units participated, showcasing their knowledge and skills in flight dispatch and monitoring [1] - The competition included three modules: mandatory questions, situational questions, and quick-response questions, focusing on theoretical knowledge and practical skills [1][2] Group 1 - The event was sanctioned by the Civil Aviation Union and the Civil Aviation Administration of China, ensuring high standards and authority [1] - Six outstanding dispatchers were awarded first, second, and third prizes, with the top three receiving the title of "National Civil Aviation Technical Expert" [2] - A team of four randomly selected dispatchers won the group competition, with Shanghai Operations Control Team and Northwest Operations Control Team achieving notable rankings [2] Group 2 - Since 2021, the Eastern Airlines Operations Control Center has been implementing a "Strengthen Basics, Improve Capabilities" initiative, focusing on continuous training and assessment [3] - The center aims to enhance professional skills through competitions, thereby improving the training curriculum and knowledge base [3] - The competition is seen as a new starting point for the operations control team to solidify theoretical foundations and enhance practical abilities, aligning with the principle of prioritizing safety in flight operations [3]

Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - Crude oil freight rates are rising while ocean freight rates are declining. The China Import Crude Oil Comprehensive Index (CTFI) reached 2325.40 points on November 20, up 4.2% from November 13. VLCC market activity remains strong, but overall market activity is expected to decline without actual cargo support [3][14] - Changlong Airlines has initiated its IPO process, and VOLANT has signed a confirmation order for the VE25-100 eVTOL aircraft with a state-owned investment group, with the order amount exceeding 100 million yuan [3][16] - The China-Europe Railway Express has surpassed 3500 trips this year, marking a historical high. A new "passenger-cargo-mail integration" model has been launched in cooperation between Rizhao Public Transport and SF Express [3][22] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates are high while ocean freight rates are declining. The Shanghai port export price to Europe was $1367/TEU, down 3.5%, and to the US West and East Coast was $1645/FEU and $2384/FEU, down 9.8% and 8.3% respectively [3][15] - Changlong Airlines is preparing for its IPO, with a focus on expanding its operational capacity and market reach [3][16] - The China-Europe Railway Express has achieved a record of over 3500 trips this year, with a focus on high-value goods transportation [3][23] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased both month-on-month and year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in air freight pricing [4][28] - Domestic express delivery volume increased by 7.90% year-on-year in October 2025, with total express delivery volume reaching 176 billion pieces [4][50] - The national highway freight truck traffic increased by 2.57% week-on-week, indicating a recovery in road logistics [4][18] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - Attention to the low-altitude economy sector, with recommendations for CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Investment opportunities in the road and rail sectors, recommending companies such as Gansu Expressway and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway [5]