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新型电力系统报告之四:电网发展回顾及后续展望:特高压稳步推进,隐忧仍在,配网低于预期改革初见端倪
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-07-08 06:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the power equipment industry [4] Core Insights - The dual carbon strategy emphasizes the coexistence of highly clean power generation and highly electrified power consumption, with the grid serving as a crucial link between the two [4][7] - The development of ultra-high voltage (UHV) technology is essential for achieving carbon neutrality, but progress has been slower than expected [4][8] - The distribution network is critical for renewable energy consumption, yet investment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period has fallen short of expectations [4][39] Summary by Sections Ultra-High Voltage (UHV) - UHV is a key component of the dual carbon strategy, with a planned investment of 380 billion yuan for over 30,000 kilometers of lines and a capacity of 340 million kilovolt-amperes [8] - The actual progress of UHV projects has been below expectations, with only eight projects likely to be completed by 2025 [16][18] - The shift towards flexible direct current technology is noted, as it allows for higher proportions of renewable energy to be transmitted [22][24] Distribution Network - The distribution network's role has evolved significantly post-dual carbon strategy, requiring upgrades to accommodate distributed energy resources [39][40] - Despite a consensus on the need for increased investment in the distribution network, actual investment levels have been lower than anticipated during the 14th Five-Year Plan [47] - The rapid growth of distributed solar power has led to challenges in the capacity of the distribution network, necessitating further enhancements [50]
特高压建设提振电力设备商业绩
Group 1 - The approval of the two ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects, namely the ±800 kV UHV DC transmission project from Southeast Tibet to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and the ±800 kV UHV DC transmission project from Inner Mongolia to Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, signifies a strong momentum for the continuous advancement of UHV construction in China [1][2][3] - The Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao project has a rated transmission capacity of 10 million kW and a dynamic investment of 53.168 billion yuan, highlighting its significant role in China's energy strategy [1] - The Inner Mongolia to Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei project has a rated transmission capacity of 8 million kW and a dynamic investment of 17.178 billion yuan, which will enhance power supply security in Hebei province and support the clean energy consumption increase [2] Group 2 - The continuous advancement of UHV construction is crucial for addressing the imbalance between energy resource distribution in western regions and power demand in eastern coastal areas, with UHV technology being a core solution for the "West-to-East Power Transmission" initiative [3] - The State Grid Corporation of China plans to invest over 650 billion yuan in 2025, while the Southern Power Grid will invest 175 billion yuan, indicating a significant focus on UHV projects [3] - The demand for key equipment such as transformers, switches, and cables is expected to surge, leading to rapid development in the upstream and downstream sectors of the industry [3][4] Group 3 - Companies like T时代电气 and 中国西电 are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for power semiconductor devices and have secured significant contracts for UHV projects, with total winning bids amounting to 1.443 billion yuan [4] - 平高电气 has maintained a leading market share in UHV projects and reported record-high single-bid amounts, indicating strong order backlogs [4] - Analysts believe that UHV equipment manufacturers with stable or increasing bidding shares will see significant performance support as a result of the ongoing UHV project launches and tenders [4]
特高压项目陆续落地,板块更新及核心推荐
2025-07-07 16:32
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview: UHV (Ultra High Voltage) Sector Key Points - The UHV sector has experienced a valuation drop to approximately 14-15 times, down from a peak of 30 times, significantly enhancing investment attractiveness [1][3][9] - Two major DC lines have been approved in 2025, with expectations for more approvals, including five DC lines, three AC lines, and several expansion and back-to-back projects, indicating a recovery in the industry [1][5] - The investment demand for UHV-related core equipment is projected to exceed 50 billion yuan in 2025, a notable increase from 30-40 billion yuan in the previous year, driven by the State Grid's planning during the 14th Five-Year Plan [1][6] Company Performance and Market Dynamics - Key companies such as XJ Electric, China XD Electric, and State Grid NARI have shown strong performance in the UHV sector, with XJ Electric benefiting significantly from its share in the investment of UHV lines [1][9][12] - China XD Electric has maintained a leading market share in the UHV equipment sector, with continuous improvement in profitability and successful breakthroughs in industrial clients [12][14] - NARI has excelled in UHV converter valves and related products, with a notable increase in market share and a stable growth rate in automation and industrial control sectors [15][16] Future Expectations - The UHV construction intensity is expected to maintain strong growth, with an anticipated addition of 4-5 DC lines and 2-3 AC lines annually during the 15th Five-Year Plan [8][17] - The current valuation of core companies in the UHV sector has decreased to around 15 times, making it an attractive investment opportunity compared to the previous year's high of 30 times [9][17] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies for investment focus include: - **XJ Electric**: Significant earnings elasticity in UHV construction, with a market share of 20-30% in valve and control protection equipment [9][13] - **Pinggao Group**: Strong performance in AC UHV products and reduced international business drag [11][13] - **China XD Electric**: Benefiting from domestic market demand and improved profitability [12][13] Additional Insights - The UHV sector is entering a period of intensive approvals for new lines, which is expected to enhance the performance of related companies [5][4] - The overall market structure remains stable, with leading companies like NARI, XJ Electric, and China XD Electric dominating the converter valve market [6][7]
特高压概念上涨1.98%,7股主力资金净流入超3000万元
Group 1 - The ultra-high voltage (UHV) concept sector increased by 1.98%, ranking 10th among concept sectors, with 95 stocks rising, including Aote Xun hitting the daily limit [1] - Leading stocks in the UHV sector included Jinlihua Electric, Tongguang Cable, and Caneng Electric Power, which rose by 11.29%, 9.90%, and 8.70% respectively [1] - The sector saw a net inflow of 450 million yuan from main funds, with 55 stocks receiving net inflows, and 7 stocks exceeding 30 million yuan in net inflow [2] Group 2 - The top net inflow stock was Baobian Electric, with a net inflow of 127 million yuan, followed by Aote Xun, China West Electric, and Pinggao Electric with net inflows of 97.09 million yuan, 62.47 million yuan, and 57.06 million yuan respectively [2][3] - Aote Xun, Jinbei Electric, and China West Electric had the highest net inflow ratios at 29.79%, 13.02%, and 12.95% respectively [3] - The UHV concept sector's performance was supported by significant capital inflows, indicating strong investor interest [2][3]
藏东南:粤港澳特高压线路核准,三北光伏治沙规划获批复
HTSC· 2025-07-04 05:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the following companies: Guodian NARI (国电南瑞), Pinggao Electric (平高电气), China XD Electric (中国西电), and XJ Electric (许继电气) [8][9]. Core Insights - The approval of the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao ultra-high voltage (UHV) transmission line marks an upward cycle for the UHV sector, with an expected investment of 53.168 billion yuan and a total transmission capacity of 10GW [1]. - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan aims to add 253GW of solar capacity by 2030, indicating sustained growth in renewable energy infrastructure [2]. - The acceleration of UHV project construction is evident, with multiple projects expected to be operational within the year, enhancing the overall market dynamics [3]. - The UHV market exhibits high barriers to entry and profitability, with significant value in components such as converters and transformers, indicating a concentrated competitive landscape [4]. Summary by Sections UHV Projects and Approvals - The National Development and Reform Commission approved the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao UHV project, with a total length of 2681.3 kilometers and dynamic investment of 53.168 billion yuan [1]. - It is anticipated that 5-6 additional UHV direct current lines will be approved in 2025, with key equipment suppliers likely to benefit significantly from this trend [1]. Photovoltaic Development - The "Three North" photovoltaic desertification control plan has been approved, targeting the addition of 253GW of solar capacity by 2030 and the reclamation of 10.1 million acres of desertified land [2]. - The ongoing construction of large-scale wind and solar bases in desert areas is expected to drive long-term demand for UHV transmission [2]. Market Dynamics and Company Performance - The UHV market is characterized by high profit margins and a limited number of participants, with significant revenue potential for core equipment manufacturers [4]. - Guodian NARI is projected to generate net profits of 1.15-1.64 billion yuan from each UHV project, while Pinggao Electric and China XD Electric are also expected to see substantial profit increases due to the anticipated surge in UHV orders [5]. - The report highlights the strong growth potential for these companies, with expected net profit growth rates of 23.8% CAGR from 2025 to 2027 for XJ Electric [10].
特高压专题:重视2025H2新一轮订单放量
Changjiang Securities· 2025-06-29 11:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the expected acceleration in the approval of ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects in the second half of 2025, with several key transmission corridors likely to be approved [10][15] - The current pace of construction for UHV direct current projects is increasing, with several projects nearing completion and others in the early stages of construction [15][16] - The report highlights a significant potential for equipment bidding in the second half of 2025, estimating a total bidding volume of approximately 55 billion yuan, with a substantial portion allocated for UHV converter valve equipment [28][30] Summary by Sections UHV Project Approvals - The 2025 National Energy Work Conference proposed the active promotion of several UHV transmission corridors, indicating a likely increase in project approvals in the latter half of 2025 [10] - Currently, only two projects have received approval, but expectations are high for a surge in approvals later in the year [10][15] UHV Direct Current Projects - Several UHV direct current projects are nearing completion, with the Jinshang-Hubei and Longdong-Shandong projects already operational [15] - Projects such as the Ningxia-Hunan and Shaanxi-Anhui are in advanced stages of construction, with expectations for operational readiness by 2026 [15][16] UHV Alternating Current Projects - The report notes that UHV alternating current projects are also in a peak construction phase, with several projects expected to commence in 2025 [16][18] Equipment Bidding Trends - In the first half of 2025, equipment bidding has been relatively low, totaling 2.48 billion yuan, while material bidding reached 17.87 billion yuan [25] - The report anticipates a rapid increase in bidding activity in the second half of 2025, driven by the approval of multiple UHV projects [28][30] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the UHV equipment market remains concentrated, with leading companies expected to benefit from increased order volumes as the market expands [35]
平高电气: 河南平高电气股份有限公司2024年年度权益分派实施公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-19 10:50
证券代码:600312 证券简称:平高电气 公告编号:2025-020 河南平高电气股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: ? 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.067元 ? 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | | 最后交易日 | 除权(息)日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股 | 2025/6/25 | - | 2025/6/26 | 2025/6/26 | | 四、 分配实施办法 (1)无限售条件流通股的红利委托中国结算上海分公司通过其资金清算系统向股权登记 日上海证券交易所收市后登记在册并在上海证券交易所各会员办理了指定交易的股东派发。 已办理指定交易的投资者可于红利发放日在其指定的证券营业部领取现金红利,未办理指定 交易的股东红利暂由中国结算上海分公司保管,待办理指定交易后再进行派发。 (2)派送红股或转增股本的,由中国结算上海分公司根据股权登记日上海证券交易所收 市后登记在册股东持股数,按比例直 ...
平高电气(600312) - 河南平高电气股份有限公司2024年年度权益分派实施公告
2025-06-19 10:30
河南平高电气股份有限公司 2024年年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 证券代码:600312 证券简称:平高电气 公告编号:2025-020 差异化分红送转: 否 一、 通过分配方案的股东大会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 5 月 13 日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。 二、 分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后,在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司(以下简称"中国结算上海分公司")登记在册的本公司全体股东。 3. 分配方案: 本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本1,356,921,309股为基数,每股派发现金红利 0.067元(含税),共计派发现金红利90,913,727.70元。 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.067元 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权(息)日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股 | 2025/6/25 | - | 20 ...
现场直击上海碳博会|低碳技术和产品同比增五成,15个国家和地区300余家企业带来了什么
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-07 14:39
Group 1: Event Overview - The 2025 Shanghai International Carbon Neutral Technology, Products and Achievements Expo (referred to as "Shanghai Carbon Expo") will be held from June 5 to 7, focusing on six core areas including key technologies for energy transition, low-carbon transportation technologies, efficient resource utilization models in the circular economy, innovative applications for energy conservation and efficiency, green finance and certification services, and green consumption transformation for sustainable development [1] - This year's expo features a higher "low-carbon content," with low-carbon technologies and products increasing by 50% compared to last year, totaling over 1,200, and over 300 companies from 15 countries and regions are invited to participate [1] Group 2: Key Exhibitors and Technologies - State Grid, as the largest exhibitor and participating for three consecutive years, showcased five thematic exhibition areas focusing on high-quality development, new power system construction, new production capacity development, green low-carbon transformation, and active service for the Belt and Road Initiative [4] - The "All-Network Power Balance Lean Management System" presented by State Grid enables precise and intuitive grasp of resource information across various sectors, addressing issues such as resource gaps and optimization paths [4] - The system has supported 33 provincial grid companies in conducting over 10,000 intelligent decision-making simulations, achieving a maximum daily power support of 14 million kilowatts and reducing carbon emissions by 14.9 million tons through renewable energy consumption [8] Group 3: Innovations in Chemical Industry - BASF, the world's largest chemical company, presented innovations in three major areas: new energy, new raw materials, and new technologies, including the Limus® urease inhibitor that can reduce ammonia volatilization losses by 70% and enhance nitrogen fertilizer utilization [11] - In 2024, BASF's production bases in China are expected to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 375,000 tons due to the use of renewable energy [13] Group 4: Environmental Equipment Innovations - Shanghai Pinggao Electric Co., a subsidiary of Pinggao Electric, introduced a 24 kV environmentally friendly gas-insulated switchgear that uses nitrogen as an insulating gas, offering higher reliability and environmental friendliness compared to traditional air-insulated switchgear [11] - The demand for gas-insulated switchgear in China is currently less than 10%, significantly lower than the approximately 80% in developed countries, indicating a potential growth opportunity in the market [18]
电力设备行业周报:绿电直连有望提振需求,海风项目稳步推进
Huaan Securities· 2025-06-05 05:23
Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Overweight [1] Core Insights - The demand for green electricity is expected to increase due to direct connections, and offshore wind projects are progressing steadily [1][18] - The report highlights the importance of various segments within the power equipment industry, including photovoltaic, wind energy, energy storage, hydrogen energy, and grid equipment [3][4] Summary by Sections Photovoltaic - June production is expected to decline, with price trends remaining sticky; the impact of rush installations on prices is weakening [3][11] - The main industry chain prices are anticipated to remain stable but under downward pressure due to weak domestic demand [13][14] - Investment recommendation focuses on companies with high certainty in the BC technology trend, including Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar [17] Wind Energy - Offshore wind projects are entering a positive phase, with significant projects in Guangdong and Shandong progressing [18][19] Energy Storage - The release of the 136 document in Inner Mongolia aims to promote green electricity connections, with a mechanism price set at 0.3035 yuan/kWh [20][22] - Bulgaria has launched the largest battery storage system in the EU, with a capacity of 496.2MWh [23] Hydrogen Energy - The hydrogen drone industrial park is set to be established in Jiangxi, with a total investment of approximately 480 million yuan [29] - The hydrogen energy sector is accelerating, with a focus on hydrogen production and storage [28][30] Grid Equipment - The State Grid has announced a new batch of candidates for ultra-high voltage equipment, with a total bid amount of 519 million yuan [32] - The integration of source-network-load-storage is being accelerated in Henan province, promoting local consumption of renewable energy [32][33] Humanoid Robots - Companies like Honor and UBTECH are advancing in the humanoid robot sector, with significant developments in technology and applications [34][36] - The humanoid robot industry is expected to enter a mass production phase by 2025, with a focus on key components [38] Electric Vehicles - CATL's solid-state batteries are expected to achieve small-scale production by 2027, with a focus on high-profit companies [39][41] - The report emphasizes the importance of lithium battery technology and the shift towards lower-cost lithium iron phosphate batteries [42]