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联合研究:组合推荐:金融制造行业 1月投资观点及金股推荐-20260107
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-07 08:54
Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the financial and manufacturing sectors, including China Resources Land and Nanjing Bank, among others [12][19][53]. Core Insights - The report highlights the financial and manufacturing industries' investment outlook for January 2026, emphasizing the need to focus on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential amid economic pressures [6][8][10]. - It identifies specific sectors such as real estate, non-bank financials, banking, new energy, machinery, military industry, light industry, and environmental protection as areas of interest for investment [8][10][21][32][36][43]. Summary by Sector Real Estate - The real estate sector faces increasing downward pressure, necessitating policy easing. Key companies like China Resources Land are highlighted for their strong operational capabilities and cash flow stability [11][12][53]. Non-Bank Financials - The non-bank financial sector is expected to benefit from policy support and high market trading volumes, with companies like New China Life Insurance showing strong growth potential [16][17][53]. Banking - The banking sector is viewed positively, with a focus on large banks and city commercial banks, particularly Jiangsu Bank, which is noted for its attractive valuation and growth prospects [18][19][53]. New Energy - The new energy sector is at a turning point, with companies like Sungrow Power Supply and Slin Smart Drive recommended for their growth potential in solar and energy storage technologies [21][23][53]. Machinery - The machinery sector is encouraged to focus on AI and robotics, with companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Ding Tai High-Tech identified for their growth opportunities in traditional and emerging markets [25][30][31][53]. Military Industry - The military sector is expected to see growth from military-to-civilian transitions and military trade, with AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Company highlighted for its potential in the domestic and international markets [32][34][53]. Light Industry - The light industry is advised to focus on overseas manufacturing and new consumer opportunities, with companies like Yingke Medical and Meiyin Sen noted for their growth in international markets [36][40][53]. Environmental Protection - The environmental sector is poised for growth through overseas expansion and rising metal prices, with companies like Weiming Environmental and Ice Wheel Environment recommended for their strong market positions [43][48][51][53].
银行业 2026 年经营展望:资产负债篇到期存款流向是资负格局的关键
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-07 07:12
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月07日 银行业 2026 年经营展望:资产负债篇 优于大市 到期存款流向是资负格局的关键 预计 M2 增速目标约 7.5%,信贷增速约 6.0%,社融增速约 8.0%。合理的 M2 增长须与经济增长相匹配,2026 年是"十五五"开局之年,促进经济稳定增 长,物价合理回升将作为政策的重要考量因素,预计实际 GDP 增速目标约 4.9%,名义 GDP 增速目标约 5.0%,对应的合理 M2 增速目标约 7.5%。以此测 算,2026 年 M2 增量约 25.4 万亿元,其中,财政净投放 M2 约 12.0 万亿元, 银行信贷(加回核销和 ABS)投放约 16.8 万亿元,其他因素合计回笼 M2 约 3.4 万亿元。对应的新增社融约 35.3 万亿元,增速约 8.0%。 信贷投向:对公强支持,贡献新增贷款约 80%~85%,零售结构性边际改善贡 献新增贷款约 10%~15%。2025 年 12 月《求是》杂志发表习近平总书记重 要文章《扩大内需是战略之举》,后续消费复苏需关注居民收入增速等 因素。我们判断 2026 年零售信贷呈现零售端呈现结构性分化,优质消 费场景信贷改善,个人 ...
银行业2026年经营展望:资产负债篇:期存款流向是资负格局的关键
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-07 05:15
证券研究报告 | 2026年01月07日 银行业 2026 年经营展望:资产负债篇 优于大市 到期存款流向是资负格局的关键 预计 M2 增速目标约 7.5%,信贷增速约 6.0%,社融增速约 8.0%。合理的 M2 增长须与经济增长相匹配,2026 年是"十五五"开局之年,促进经济稳定增 长,物价合理回升将作为政策的重要考量因素,预计实际 GDP 增速目标约 4.9%,名义 GDP 增速目标约 5.0%,对应的合理 M2 增速目标约 7.5%。以此测 算,2026 年 M2 增量约 25.4 万亿元,其中,财政净投放 M2 约 12.0 万亿元, 银行信贷(加回核销和 ABS)投放约 16.8 万亿元,其他因素合计回笼 M2 约 3.4 万亿元。对应的新增社融约 35.3 万亿元,增速约 8.0%。 信贷投向:对公强支持,贡献新增贷款约 80%~85%,零售结构性边际改善贡 献新增贷款约 10%~15%。2025 年 12 月《求是》杂志发表习近平总书记重 要文章《扩大内需是战略之举》,后续消费复苏需关注居民收入增速等 因素。我们判断 2026 年零售信贷呈现零售端呈现结构性分化,优质消 费场景信贷改善,个人 ...
关于以通讯方式召开人保民富债券型证券 投资基金基金份额持有人大会的第二次提示性公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2026-01-06 23:56
登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 中国人保资产管理有限公司决定以通讯方式召开人保民富债券型证券投资基金基金份额持有人大会,并 于2026年1月5日在《中国证券报》及本公司网址(http://fund.piccamc.com)等中国证监会规定媒介发布 了《关于以通讯方式召开人保民富债券型证券投资基金基金份额持有人大会的公告》。为使本次基金份 额持有人大会顺利召开,现发布本次基金份额持有人大会的第二次提示性公告。 一、召开会议的基本情况 根据《中华人民共和国证券投资基金法》(以下简称"《基金法》")、《公开募集证券投资基金运作管 理办法》等法律法规的规定和《人保民富债券型证券投资基金基金合同》(以下简称"基金合同")的约 定,人保民富债券型证券投资基金(以下简称"本基金")的基金管理人中国人保资产管理有限公司(以 下简称"本基金管理人")决定以通讯方式召开本基金的基金份额持有人大会,审议终止基金合同的事 项。会议的具体安排如下: 1.会议召开方式:通讯方式 2.会议投票表决起止时间:自2026年1月5日起至2026年2月5日17:00止(表决票投票以收到表决票时 间为准;电话投票的表决时间以本基金 ...
城商行板块1月6日涨0.63%,宁波银行领涨,主力资金净流入3.84亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2026-01-06 09:00
证券之星消息,1月6日城商行板块较上一交易日上涨0.63%,宁波银行领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4083.67,上涨1.5%。深证成指报收于14022.55,上涨1.4%。城商行板块个股涨跌见下表: 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成投资建议。 | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002142 | 宁波银行 | 28.88 | 2.59% | 53.75万 | 15.31亿 | | 616009 | 江苏银行 | 10.60 | 1.34% | 133.55万 | 14.04亿 | | 601169 | 北京银行 | 5.59 | 1.27% | 172.97万 | 9.61亿 | | 002936 | 郑州银行 | 1.96 | 1.03% | 76.80万 | 1.50亿 | | 600926 | 杭州银行 | 15.55 | 0.65% | 54.06万 | 8.34亿 | | 600928 | 西安银 ...
银行业2026年度策略:新起点下的结构性机遇
China Post Securities· 2026-01-06 08:23
Core Insights - The report maintains a strong market rating for the banking sector, highlighting structural opportunities amid a new economic starting point in 2026 [3][5] - The macroeconomic environment is expected to support credit growth, with fiscal policies becoming more proactive and monetary policies remaining moderately accommodative [3][4] - The banking sector is anticipated to experience a stabilization in net interest margins, with a narrowing space of less than 5 basis points expected in 2026 [4][40] Macroeconomic Fundamentals - The GDP growth target for 2026 is projected to remain stable at around 5%, supported by structural improvements in financing demand from enterprises and households [12][14] - The fiscal deficit rate is expected to increase from 4% in 2025, with proactive fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing growth and expectations [14][16] - Monetary policy will continue to be moderately accommodative, with social financing growth expected to maintain above 8% [16][17] Industry Core Policy Guidance - Regulatory bodies are focusing on protecting net interest margins, with measures in place to guide banks in pricing management and alleviate margin pressures [25][26] - New supportive policies, including interest subsidies for personal consumption loans, are expected to create favorable asset deployment scenarios for banks [27][28] - Capital supplementation policies are being optimized to enhance banks' credit expansion capabilities and risk resilience [28][29] 2026 Profitability Outlook - Corporate loan growth is expected to be a key driver of credit expansion, while retail credit improvements will depend on policy support for income and consumption [4][34] - The net interest margin is projected to stabilize, with a potential bottoming out in 2026, supported by regulatory measures and market conditions [40][41] - Fee income is anticipated to recover, particularly for city commercial banks, as market sentiment improves [42][43] 2026 Asset Quality Outlook - The overall asset quality of the banking sector is expected to stabilize, with non-performing loan ratios remaining low for corporate lines, while retail lines may still face risks [4][20] - The trend of provisioning coverage is expected to improve, providing banks with more flexibility in managing their asset quality [20][21] 2026 Industry Landscape Outlook - Differentiation among banks is likely to become a dominant theme, with larger banks expected to see more stable revenue growth compared to smaller banks facing complex operating environments [4][5] - Regional economic vitality will significantly influence the performance of local banks, with areas of strong economic growth presenting better investment opportunities [5][6] Investment Recommendations - The insurance sector is projected to see over 2 trillion yuan in new market funds in 2026, increasing demand for high-dividend assets [5] - Focus on state-owned banks with stable operations, such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank, as attractive investment targets [5] - Attention should be given to regional banks in economically vibrant areas, such as Jiangsu Bank and Chongqing Bank, which are expected to perform well [5][6]
彭博绿金2026值得关注榜成功发布
Sou Hu Wang· 2026-01-06 04:57
Core Insights - The 2026 Bloomberg Green Finance Awards ceremony was successfully held at the MGM Hotel in Shanghai, emphasizing the importance of aligning with China's "dual carbon" goals and the evolving global business landscape [2] - The event introduced two new evaluation systems: the "Green Finance List" and the "ESG Potential Enterprises" list, alongside existing categories for "ESG Leading Enterprises" and "Outstanding ESG Projects" [2] Green Finance List - The Green Finance List focuses on the green development and innovation within China's financial sector, developed in collaboration with the Central University of Finance and Economics [3] - It aims to respond to national green finance policies and promote the green transformation of financial institutions and enterprises [3] ESG Potential Enterprises - The ESG Potential Enterprises list is based on Bloomberg's proprietary analysis of corporate data, utilizing a comprehensive ESG matrix covering four dimensions, 16 core issues, and 41 sub-issues [4] - The matrix addresses nine major themes, including climate action, energy and ecological management, product safety, employee health, and social responsibility, to identify companies with long-term value and industry leadership potential [4] Complete Lists Released - The ESG Leading Enterprises include CHINT Group Co., Ltd., Tingyi Holding Corp. (Master Kong), Trina Solar Co., Ltd., and several others [5][6][7] - Outstanding ESG Projects feature initiatives from Beijing Fuping Social Venture Capital Co., Ltd., Envision Energy, LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd., and others [7][8] Green Financial Institutions - The Green Financial Institutions recognized include Bank of China (Hong Kong) Limited, Guotai Junan International Holdings Limited, Industrial Bank Co., Ltd., and others [9][10] Innovation Drivers - The ESG Innovation Drivers include organizations such as the Alliance for Water Stewardship, Climate Bonds Initiative, and Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance [10] ESG Advocates - The ESG Advocates list features companies like Hydrowell (Taicang) Energy Technologies Co., Ltd., Ningbo Joyson Electronics Corp., and Skyworth Group Limited [11] Future Outlook - Bloomberg Green Finance aims to collaborate with more practitioners to explore core trends and future pathways for sustainable development, accumulating cross-disciplinary wisdom and solutions [13]
银行业周度跟踪2025年第52周:数字人民币正式启动生息-20260105
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-05 12:14
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the banking sector, recommending long-term investments in leading city commercial banks with clear ROE advantages and large banks with low valuations and high dividend yields [2][10]. Core Insights - The banking sector experienced a slight increase at the end of the year, outperforming the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices, driven by risk appetite and institutional allocation behavior [2][10]. - The introduction of interest-bearing digital RMB is expected to enhance the promotional drive for commercial banks and attract more users [8][42]. - The banking sector is undergoing a rebalancing of its operational cycle and investment value, with a focus on establishing a risk bottom line as a foundation for valuation recovery [6][42]. Summary by Sections Banking Sector Performance - The banking index rose by 1.0% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices by 1.6% and 2.2% respectively [10]. - Major banks' H-shares generally increased, with Shanghai Pudong Development Bank leading the gains, while Xiamen Bank saw a pullback [10]. Digital RMB - Digital RMB wallets that have undergone real-name authentication will now earn interest at a rate of 0.05%, transitioning from being treated as cash to being managed like demand deposits [8][42]. - The digital RMB's interest-bearing feature is expected to boost commercial banks' promotional efforts and user attraction [42]. Credit Growth - As of the end of November 2025, credit growth rates varied across regions, with Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan, and Anhui maintaining growth rates above 8%, and Sichuan leading at 10.4% [37]. - Corporate loans remain the primary growth driver, with Jiangsu and Sichuan showing growth rates of 13.6% and 13.0% respectively [37]. Valuation and Investment Strategy - The report highlights that banking stocks are significantly undervalued from a PB-ROE perspective, particularly quality city commercial banks with leading ROE [7]. - The report recommends focusing on quality city commercial banks such as Hangzhou Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Jiangsu Bank, as well as dividend-focused assets like Bank of Communications and China Merchants Bank [7][10].
江苏银行挂钩CFETS银行间碳中和债券指数产品成功发行
Cai Jing Wang· 2026-01-05 10:39
近期,江苏银行成功发行面向企业客户的挂钩"CFETS银行间碳中和债券指数"的绿色金融结构性存款产品,是全市场首款挂钩CFETS绿色债券指数系列的结 构性存款产品,并与市场同业达成该笔碳中和债券指数期权交易,这是江苏银行助力绿色低碳发展的又一举措。 本款产品挂钩标的是中国外汇交易中心编制的CFETS银行间碳中和债券指数,实际收益与存续期间的债券指数表现相挂钩。其指数样本为在银行间市场上市 交易的碳中和债券,包括但不限于绿色债券融资工具、中期票据、超短期融资券等在银行间市场上市交易的债券类型。 (编辑:钱晓睿)关键字: 一直以来,江苏银行深入践行绿色发展理念,持续探索绿色金融服务实体经济高质量发展的业务模式,充分发挥绿色金融市场产品创设与衍生品交易定价优 势,不断创新丰富绿色金融产品体系,为客户提供灵活、个性化的投资选择,聚力做好绿色金融大文章,为服务国家生态文明建设重大战略贡献金融力量。 该行此次发行的绿色结构性存款产品(嵌套期权交易),向市场传递了碳中和绿色金融理念,通过精准资金配置,引导产业与能源结构绿色低碳转型。江苏 银行打造与"绿"相挂钩的结构性存款产品,既丰富了绿色金融产品体系,也满足了境内外客户的绿 ...
江苏银行挂钩CFETS 银行间碳中和债券指数产品成功发行
Zhong Jin Zai Xian· 2026-01-05 10:31
一直以来,江苏银行深入践行绿色发展理念,持续探索绿色金融服务实体经济高质量发展的业务模式, 充分发挥绿色金融市场产品创设与衍生品交易定价优势,不断创新丰富绿色金融产品体系,为客户提供 灵活、个性化的投资选择,聚力做好绿色金融大文章,为服务国家生态文明建设重大战略贡献金融力 量。 该行此次发行的绿色结构性存款产品(嵌套期权交易),向市场传递了碳中和绿色金融理念,通过精准资 金配置,引导产业与能源结构绿色低碳转型。江苏银行打造与"绿"相挂钩的结构性存款产品,既丰富了 绿色金融产品体系,也满足了境内外客户的绿色投资需求,进一步丰富了期权交易市场生态,推动多元 化发展。 江苏银行不断完善绿色金融专业化经营和环境与社会风险管理体系,积极推进绿色金融产品创新,目前 已建立涵盖绿色债券、绿色零售、绿色租赁、绿色理财、绿色贷款等多个业务板块的绿色金融集团化产 品体系。截至2025年9月末,绿色投融资规模突破7500亿元,较2024年末增速36.9%。 未来,江苏银行将持续聚焦绿色金融领域,深耕绿色金融业务沃土,创新绿色金融产品,以更丰富的绿 色金融结构性产品体系、更精准的资金投放方向、更完善的综合金融服务方案以及更高效的经营 ...