Core Insights - The announcement from Inner Mongolia's Tongyu County Mengyin Village Bank regarding the cancellation of 5-year fixed deposits has drawn market attention, marking the first instance of such a move by a bank [1] - Many banks are suspending or have already removed 5-year specialty fixed deposit products, while 3-year specialty fixed deposits are becoming competitive and require prior reservation to secure [2][3] - The phenomenon of long-term deposit rates being lower than short-term rates has become commonplace, with several banks offering lower rates for 5-year deposits compared to 3-year deposits [4][5] Summary by Sections Deposit Rate Adjustments - Mengyin Village Bank has reduced its 5-year fixed deposit rate to 1.9%, which is only 0.5% higher than its 3-year fixed deposit rate before adjustments [1] - Other banks, including China Merchants Bank, have also suspended their 5-year specialty fixed deposit products, offering only standard fixed deposits at lower rates [2][3] Market Trends - The trend of long-term deposit rates being lower than short-term rates is evident, with banks like China Merchants Bank and SPDB offering 5-year fixed deposits at rates below 1.4% [4][5] - The average rate for 3-year specialty fixed deposits can reach up to 1.75%, making them more attractive compared to 5-year options [4] Future Outlook - Industry experts predict that deposit rates will continue to decline, leading banks to adjust their deposit products and strategies to manage costs effectively [6][7] - The narrowing of net interest margins across the banking sector is a significant concern, prompting banks to reconsider their long-term deposit offerings [8]

Summary of Key Points Overall Credit Growth - The decline in credit growth is a reasonable phenomenon, reflecting changes in China's financial supply-side structure. The focus should be on social financing scale and money supply as more comprehensive indicators compared to bank loans [1][8]. - Factors contributing to the decline include local special bonds replacing financing platform loans, the reform of small and medium-sized banks, and the trend of long-term economic structural evolution [9][12]. - Since last year, local governments have issued 4 trillion yuan in special refinancing bonds, with approximately 60-70% used to repay bank loans [10]. - In 2024, financial institutions are expected to write off about 1.3 trillion yuan in loans, with over 1 trillion yuan already written off in the first nine months of this year [11]. - The decline in real estate loans and the low credit dependence of light asset industries make it difficult to fill the gap left by real estate [12]. Structural Emphasis - The monetary policy report emphasizes the "Five Major Articles," with increased focus on supporting county economies and personal credit repair [2][18]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" highlights technology finance as a key area, with policies aimed at breaking through economic growth ceilings and stabilizing macroeconomic environments [16]. - New measures include improving financial support mechanisms for county economic development and implementing policies for personal credit repair, which will not display certain default information in credit systems for individuals who have repaid loans [18][19]. Interest Rates - Maintaining a reasonable interest rate relationship is crucial, with new mortgage rates remaining stable [3][21]. - Continuous optimization of bank liability costs is necessary to lower financing costs for the real economy. The report notes that loan rates are decreasing faster than deposit rates, which compresses banks' net interest margins [21]. - As of September 2025, new loan rates for general loans, personal housing loans, and corporate loans are 3.67%, 3.06%, and 3.14%, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 48 basis points, 25 basis points, and 37 basis points [22]. Investment Recommendations - The banking sector is transitioning from a "pro-cyclical" to a "weak cyclical" phase, with a focus on the stability and sustainability of the sector [4]. - Two main investment lines are suggested: regional banks with strong certainty and high dividend stability, particularly in areas like Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Fujian [4].

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited (00548) has made significant investments in structured deposit products with Jiangsu Bank, indicating a strategic move to enhance liquidity and yield on cash reserves [1] Group 1: Investment Details - The company subscribed to structured deposit products with a principal amount of RMB 50 million each on three occasions: October 27, 2025, October 28, 2025, and November 11, 2025 [1] - An additional subscription of RMB 50 million for a sixth structured deposit product was made on November 12, 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited (00548) has made multiple investments in structured deposit products with Jiangsu Bank, indicating a strategy to enhance liquidity and yield through financial instruments [1] Group 1: Investment Details - The company subscribed to structured deposit products with a principal amount of RMB 50 million each on October 27, October 28, and November 11, 2025 [1] - An additional subscription of RMB 50 million for the sixth structured deposit product was made on November 12, 2025 [1]

Core Insights - The city commercial bank sector experienced a slight increase of 0.05% on November 12, with Changsha Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4000.14, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13240.62, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance - Changsha Bank (601577) closed at 10.08, up 0.90% with a trading volume of 199,800 shares and a transaction value of 201 million yuan [1] - Shanghai Bank (601229) closed at 10.22, up 0.89% with a trading volume of 597,100 shares and a transaction value of 611 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - Lanzhou Bank (001227) at 2.44, up 0.41% - Jiangsu Bank (616009) at 11.13, up 0.27% - Beijing Bank (601169) at 5.73, up 0.17% [1] Capital Flow - The city commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 220 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 200 million yuan [2] - Key capital flows include: - Jiangsu Bank (600919) with a net inflow of 10.4 million yuan from main funds [2] - Beijing Bank (601169) with a net inflow of 62.5 million yuan from main funds [2] - Shanghai Bank (601229) with a net inflow of 58.5 million yuan from main funds [2]

Core Insights - The event highlighted Jiangsu Bank's commitment to serving the local economy and its role as a leading city commercial bank in supporting regional development [1][2]. Group 1: Local Engagement - Jiangsu Bank's Shanghai branch emphasized its deep-rooted connection to Jinshan District, with Vice President Zhu Hailin sharing personal experiences that reflect the bank's understanding of local economic changes [2]. - The bank aims to align its financial resources with the development strategies of Shanghai and Jinshan, focusing on injecting financial momentum into the region's transformation [2]. Group 2: Tailored Financial Solutions - Jiangsu Bank has developed a diversified credit system that moves away from traditional collateral reliance, with real estate-backed loans now accounting for less than 10% of its portfolio [3]. - The bank offers specific solutions for challenges faced by technology-driven enterprises, such as "Talent Sci-Tech Loans" and knowledge property pledges, which help reduce financing costs through alignment with local policies [3]. - Online supply chain financial products like "e-Rongdan" are designed to convert accounts receivable into efficient financing tools without affecting the credit of core enterprises [3]. Group 3: Industry Cluster Support - Jiangsu Bank is focusing on providing financial services at the industry cluster level, conducting in-depth research to understand the unique financial needs of various sectors [4]. - The bank has launched specialized financial products tailored to specific industry clusters, such as "G60 Sci-Tech Loan" and "Computing Power Loan," to support innovation in key sectors like drones and health technology [4]. - The bank's service framework is designed to match the financial support with the development cycles and asset characteristics of the industries in Jinshan [4]. Group 4: Performance Metrics - Since its establishment, Jiangsu Bank's Jinshan branch has served over 300 enterprises, with a credit scale exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, demonstrating significant success in supporting specialized and innovative technology companies [5]. - The bank's approach illustrates how a financial institution can achieve high-quality development while fulfilling its mission to serve the real economy through deep regional engagement [5].

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3993.35 points, remaining above the six-month moving average, with a slight decline of 0.24% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 1,270.245 billion yuan [1] - A total of 49 A-shares have surpassed the six-month moving average today, with notable stocks showing significant deviation rates [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Notable stocks with high deviation rates include: - Qudongli (驱动力) with a deviation rate of 5.91% and a daily increase of 7.05% [1] - Lubridge Information (路桥信息) with a deviation rate of 5.60% and a daily increase of 13.08% [1] - Beiyikang (倍益康) with a deviation rate of 4.75% and a daily increase of 7.60% [1] - Other stocks that just crossed the six-month moving average include: - Qianyuan Pharmaceutical (仟源医药) and *ST Jinke (*ST金科) with smaller deviation rates [1] Trading Activity - The trading turnover rate for Qudongli was 3.59%, while Lubridge Information had a turnover rate of 6.91% [1] - The stock with the highest turnover rate was Aipeng Medical (爱朋医疗) at 19.33% with a daily increase of 10.57% [1] Market Trends - The overall market shows a mix of stocks performing well above the six-month moving average, indicating potential bullish sentiment in certain sectors [1]

Core Insights - The A-share market has seen a strong performance in bank stocks, with Agricultural Bank leading the gains, rising over 3% [1] - Major banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China also reached historical highs [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Agricultural Bank: Increased by 3.13%, total market value at 299.59 billion, year-to-date increase of 67.50% [2] - Bank of China: Increased by 2.29%, total market value at 187.21 billion, year-to-date increase of 10.15% [2] - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank: Increased by 1.86%, total market value at 8.07 billion, year-to-date increase of 23.17% [2] - Industrial and Commercial Bank: Increased by 1.59%, total market value at 295.46 billion, year-to-date increase of 24.83% [2] - Postal Savings Bank: Increased by 1.37%, total market value at 70.98 billion, year-to-date increase of 9.16% [2] - Construction Bank: Increased by 1.36%, total market value at 252.97 billion, year-to-date increase of 15.18% [2] - Transportation Bank: Increased by 1.35%, total market value at 66.18 billion, year-to-date increase of 1.43% [2] - Lanzhou Bank: Increased by 1.23%, total market value at 1.40 billion, year-to-date increase of 4.12% [2] - Minsheng Bank: Increased by 0.99%, total market value at 17.86 billion, year-to-date increase of 3.24% [2] - Shanghai Bank: Increased by 0.99%, total market value at 14.54 billion, year-to-date increase of 17.80% [2] - Yuanxi Bank: Increased by 0.96%, total market value at 1.38 billion, year-to-date increase of 10.50% [2] - Sunong Bank: Increased by 0.93%, total market value at 1.09 billion, year-to-date increase of 17.92% [2] - Changsha Bank: Increased by 0.90%, total market value at 4.05 billion, year-to-date increase of 20.86% [2] - Jiangsu Bank: Increased by 0.90%, total market value at 20.55 billion, year-to-date increase of 19.80% [2]

Core Insights - The A-share market has seen a rise in bank stocks, with notable increases in shares of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and Agricultural Bank, both rising over 2% [1] - Agricultural Bank has reached a historical high, with its total market capitalization approaching 3 trillion yuan [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077) increased by 2.29%, with a total market capitalization of 81.1 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 23.69% [2] - Agricultural Bank (601288) rose by 2.17%, reaching a market capitalization of 2,967.9 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 65.94% [2] - Other banks such as Chongqing Bank (601963), CITIC Bank (601998), and Jiangsu Bank (600919) also saw increases of over 1% [2] Market Capitalization - The total market capitalization of Agricultural Bank is nearing 3 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [1] - Other banks like China Bank (601988) and Postal Savings Bank (601658) have market capitalizations of 1,852.7 billion yuan and 708.6 billion yuan, respectively [2] Year-to-Date Performance - The year-to-date performance of various banks shows significant growth, with Agricultural Bank leading at 65.94%, followed by Chongqing Bank at 29.62% and Jiangsu Bank at 20.22% [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the banking industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing trend of deposit non-bankization, which is leading to a marginal decline in liquidity indicators for banks. This trend is particularly pronounced among large banks, with a notable increase in the proportion of non-bank deposits [12][16] - The liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) and net stable funding ratio (NSFR) are critical indicators for banks, and the report provides quantitative assessments of how deposit non-bankization impacts these metrics. The effects are manageable for major banks, with LCR expected to remain above 120% even under significant conversion scenarios [4][34] Summary by Sections 1. Deposit Non-Bankization and Liquidity Management - The process of deposit non-bankization is intensifying the demand for banks to manage liquidity indicators more stringently. Since May 2025, the growth rate of personal fixed deposits has been declining, with large banks showing a decrease in monthly increments compared to the same period in 2024 [12][16] - The report quantifies the impact of deposit non-bankization on LCR and NSFR for major banks, indicating that even with a 70% conversion of personal fixed deposits to non-bank deposits, the LCR for most large banks is expected to remain above 120% [4][34] 2. Liquidity Indicator Management - The management of LCR focuses on maintaining liquidity asset reserves, while NSFR management emphasizes improving the liability structure. Issuing long-term interbank certificates of deposit is highlighted as an effective method to optimize these liquidity indicators [5][22] - The report details how the conversion of personal fixed deposits to non-bank deposits affects various liquidity risk indicators, with specific calculations provided for LCR and NSFR under different conversion scenarios [18][23] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a tiered investment strategy: - Core holdings should focus on large state-owned banks, benefiting from institutions like Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China - Core allocations should include leading comprehensive banks such as China Merchants Bank and CITIC Bank - Flexible allocations can target regional banks like Jiangsu Bank and Chongqing Bank [6][19]