香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而産生或 因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 （根據公司條例在香港註冊成立的有限責任公司） 股票代號：00883（港幣櫃台）及80883（人民幣櫃台） 海外監管公告 股票交易異常波動公告 本公告乃中國海洋石油有限公司（「本公司」）根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市 規則第 13.10B 條而作出。 茲提述本公司在上海證券交易所網站刊登的《中國海洋石油有限公司股票交易異常波動 公告》，僅供參考。 承董事會命 中國海洋石油有限公司 徐玉高 香港，二零二六年三月三日 於本公告刊發日期， 董事會由以下成員組成： 非執行董事 聯席公司秘書 張傳江 （董事長） 王德華 執行董事 閻洪濤 穆秀平 獨立非執行董事 邱致中 林伯強 李淑賢 1 证券代码：600938 证券简称：中国海油 公告编号：2026-002 中国海洋石油有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司董事会、全体董事及相关股东保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions, particularly the military actions involving Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, on global oil and gas prices, leading to significant market reactions and investment opportunities in the energy sector [3][24]. Oil Market Summary - International oil prices have surged, with Brent crude exceeding $82 per barrel and WTI reaching $75 per barrel, driven by geopolitical tensions [3]. - As of March 3, 2023, the ICE Brent crude price increased by 2.74% year-to-date, reflecting a 32.88% rise since the beginning of the year [4]. - The oil and gas sector in the A-share market experienced a "historic" surge, with major companies like China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec hitting their upper limits in stock price [12][17]. Natural Gas Market Summary - Natural gas prices have also seen significant increases, with the ICE UK NBP natural gas futures rising by 40.92% [6]. - The closure of the Strait of Hormuz could severely impact global LNG supplies, as approximately 20% of LNG is transported through this route, with Qatar being a major supplier [5][21]. - The article notes that the current situation may lead to a "gas shortage" scenario, as natural gas storage is more challenging compared to oil, and the market is highly sensitive to supply disruptions [20]. Shipping and Logistics Impact - The shipping industry is facing increased costs, with the Baltic Exchange reporting a 58% rise in average TCE rates to $280,000 per day due to heightened risks in the Strait of Hormuz [9]. - A-share shipping stocks surged, with significant gains in companies like China Merchants Energy and Ningbo Ocean Shipping [10]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the ongoing geopolitical tensions will continue to influence market sentiment, particularly in the oil and gas sectors, with potential for further price increases if the situation escalates [11][24]. - The article emphasizes that the current oil and gas market dynamics are not merely about price increases but involve a comprehensive transmission chain from upstream resources to shipping and chemical sectors [23].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年2月28日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中國海洋石油有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年3月3日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 1. 股份分類 普通股 股份類別 不適用 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) 是 證券代號 (如上市) 00883 說明 於香港聯交所上市的股份（「香港股份」） 多櫃檯證券代號 80883 RMB 說明 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 庫存股份數目 已發行股份總數 上月底結存 44,539,953,984 0 44,539,953,984 增加 / 減少 (-) 本月底結存 44,539,953,984 0 44,539,953,984 足夠公眾持股量的確認(註4) 第 2 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 FF301 ...

Group 1 - Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, threatening to strike any vessels attempting to pass through, emphasizing that no oil will be allowed to flow from the region [2][4] - Currently, there are 26 oil tankers lingering near the Strait of Hormuz, and 27 tankers have completely halted operations, with a total carrying capacity of 12 million barrels of crude oil [4] - The Strait of Hormuz is a critical passage for oil exports from Middle Eastern countries, with approximately 20% of global oil transportation occurring through this route [4] Group 2 - On March 3, China's three major oil companies, Sinopec, PetroChina, and CNOOC, achieved a historic milestone by simultaneously hitting two consecutive trading limits, driven by rising international oil prices due to escalating tensions in the Middle East [6] - Brent crude oil futures surged by 13% to over $82 per barrel, marking a 14-month high, while WTI crude oil saw an increase of over 12% [6] - The stock prices of China's three major oil companies reached significant highs, with PetroChina hitting an 11-year peak, CNOOC setting a record since its 2022 listing, and Sinopec recovering to levels not seen since October 2024 [6] Group 3 - Domestic fuel prices in China are set to be adjusted on March 9, with an expected increase of 130 yuan per ton, translating to a rise of 0.10 to 0.12 yuan per liter for gasoline and diesel [10] - The current rate of change in crude oil prices has reached 3.16%, influenced by the recent surge in international oil prices [10] - Analysts suggest that ongoing increases in oil prices may lead to heightened market risk aversion and significant volatility across asset classes [11]

Core Viewpoint - The oil, gas, and shipping sectors have experienced significant gains despite a broader market downturn, driven by geopolitical tensions and supply chain concerns [12][13]. Group 1: Market Performance - On March 3, major Asia-Pacific stock indices fell sharply, with the Nikkei 225 down over 3% and the Korean Composite Index down 7.24%, marking its largest single-day drop since August 5, 2024 [1]. - The A-share market also declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping 1.43% to 4122.68 points, and the ChiNext Index falling 2.57% [2]. - Despite the overall market weakness, the oil, gas, and shipping sectors saw substantial gains, with major companies like China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec hitting consecutive daily limits [2][5]. Group 2: Sector Highlights - In the oil sector, companies such as Keli Co. and Tongyuan Petroleum reached their daily limits, with Keli Co. up 30% and Tongyuan Petroleum up 20% [6][7]. - The gas sector also showed strength, with Kaiti Gas hitting a 30% limit and several other companies like Shenzhen Gas and Meino Energy seeing gains of over 20% [8][9]. - The shipping sector saw continuous gains, with companies like China Merchants Energy and China Merchants Shipping achieving daily limits [10]. Group 3: Geopolitical Impact - Reports indicate that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed by Iranian forces, raising concerns about global oil supply disruptions, as approximately 20% of the world's oil transport passes through this strait [12]. - The escalation of tensions in the Middle East is expected to significantly increase global shipping prices, benefiting various shipping segments [13]. Group 4: Banking and Insurance Performance - The banking sector showed resilience, with Agricultural Bank of China rising nearly 4% and other major banks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank increasing over 2% [15][16]. - The insurance sector also saw gains, with companies like New China Life and China Life Insurance rising over 1% [17]. Group 5: Semiconductor Sector Decline - The semiconductor sector faced a sharp decline, with companies like Zhenlei Technology and Canxin Technology dropping over 10% [19][20]. - Despite the current downturn, institutions remain optimistic about long-term investment opportunities in semiconductor-related sectors due to ongoing demand for AI infrastructure [21][22].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the recent surge in the oil sector, particularly the "three oil giants" (China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC), is primarily driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, specifically the conflict between the U.S. and Iran, which has led to fears of a disruption in global oil supply [3][4][5] - The conflict has escalated to a point where Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for approximately 20% of global oil trade, which could lead to significant supply chain disruptions and increased oil prices [4][6] - Short-term market sentiment is currently high due to geopolitical risks, with Brent crude oil prices recently spiking over 13% to exceed $82 per barrel, marking a 14-month high [5][6] Group 2 - The potential investment opportunities in the oil sector include upstream resource companies like the "three oil giants," which stand to benefit directly from rising oil prices, as well as oil service and equipment firms that may see increased capital expenditures due to high oil prices [6][7] - The shipping sector may also benefit from increased freight rates due to longer shipping routes resulting from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, positively impacting companies like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy [7] - However, the article warns that while the current surge in oil prices may present short-term trading opportunities, the long-term outlook for oil prices is bearish due to an oversupply situation and the rapid development of renewable energy sources, which could lead to a supply surplus of 3.73 million barrels per day by 2026 [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas sector has experienced significant price increases and stock surges due to geopolitical tensions, particularly following the announcement of LNG production halts by Qatar Energy due to drone attacks from Iran [1][3][4]. Group 1: Stock Market Reactions - On March 3, Hong Kong gas stocks surged, with Dazhong Public Utilities rising over 80% at one point, while Zhongyu Energy and Tianlun Gas also saw substantial gains [1][3]. - In the A-share market, oil and gas concept stocks collectively surged, with over 50 stocks, including major players like China Petroleum and Sinopec, hitting the daily limit or rising over 10% [3]. - The "Big Three" oil companies (China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and Sinopec) achieved consecutive daily limits, a rare occurrence [3]. Group 2: Commodity Market Trends - Domestic commodity futures closed mostly higher, with shipping and energy products leading the gains, including significant increases in crude oil and low-sulfur fuel oil [1]. - European natural gas futures saw a dramatic rise, with prices increasing by over 50% following the news of Qatar's LNG production suspension [3]. Group 3: Geopolitical Impact on Prices - The halt in LNG production by Qatar Energy, which accounts for about 20% of global LNG exports, is a key factor driving up European gas prices [3][4]. - Analysts predict that if Iran adopts a hardline stance and attacks neighboring energy facilities, Brent crude oil prices could exceed $100 per barrel, and European gas prices could surpass €60 per MWh [7]. - Historical context indicates that the last time oil prices exceeded $100 per barrel was during the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022, highlighting the potential for similar price surges due to current Middle Eastern tensions [6]. Group 4: Future Price Predictions - Goldman Sachs has revised its TTF gas price forecast for April 26 from €36 to €55 per MWh, reflecting the anticipated impact of supply disruptions [4]. - Analysts from various financial institutions suggest that if the conflict continues, oil prices could reach unprecedented levels, with estimates ranging from $100 to $200 per barrel depending on the duration and intensity of the conflict [7][6].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector has experienced a significant adjustment, with the Wind non-ferrous metal index dropping by 5.53% and a trading volume close to 350 billion yuan, indicating a need for capital rotation after a prolonged period of price increases [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector saw a collective decline, with major stocks like Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and others experiencing significant pullbacks [3]. - Over 10 stocks, including Reborn Technology and Shenghe Resources, hit the daily limit down [1][3]. - The non-ferrous metal index has risen over 30% this year, leading to profit-taking among investors [3]. Group 2: External Influences - The rise in coal and oil prices has diverted some capital away from the non-ferrous sector, as the oil and petrochemical sectors have become the strongest in the A-share market due to the impact of the US-Iran conflict [3]. - The "three barrels of oil" (China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and Sinopec) have seen consecutive limit-up days, contributing to a year-to-date increase of over 40% in the oil and petrochemical sector [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite the recent adjustments, many institutions remain optimistic about the future of the non-ferrous metal sector, viewing it as a key area for investment [5][6]. - East China Securities suggests that geopolitical events may further strengthen the inflation trading logic for strategic resources and energy, benefiting the non-ferrous sector [5]. - Guojin Securities emphasizes the importance of physical assets in the current global landscape, recommending metals like copper, aluminum, and tin, which are less likely to be replaced by AI and are expected to benefit from increased global attention on resource products [6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The geopolitical situation in Iran is escalating, which may impact the supply expectations and fundamentals of related chemical products. Methanol and urea may face supply disruptions, as Iran's methanol production capacity is significant, accounting for 59.78% of the Middle East's total capacity and 22.86% of international capacity (excluding China) as of February 2026. Urea exports from Iran are projected to be around 4.5 million tons in 2024, making it the third-largest exporter globally [3][4] - Major chemical companies are raising prices for MDI and TDI products, indicating potential price increases in traditional peak seasons. For instance, Hunstman announced a price increase of $260 per ton for MDI in the U.S. market, effective immediately [3][4] - The U.S. government has signed an executive order to protect the supply of phosphorus and glyphosate, which may lead to a revaluation of phosphate resources. This strategic resource is expected to maintain high demand and price stability [3][4] - The chemical industry is anticipated to experience a cyclical recovery and industrial upgrade in 2026, driven by domestic growth policies and a potential easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. This may lead to a moderate recovery in traditional chemical demand [5][6] Summary by Sections Geopolitical Impact - The Iranian geopolitical situation is causing concerns over supply disruptions for chemical products like methanol and urea, with significant production capacities in Iran [3] - Sulfur and aluminum carbonate, which have high import dependencies, may also be affected by geopolitical factors, leading to potential price increases [3] Price Trends - The price of TMP has continued to rise due to tight supply conditions, with a reported price of 12,750 RMB per ton as of February 27, 2026, reflecting a 6.3% increase week-on-week [8] - Prices for refrigerants are expected to rise due to supply constraints and increased demand post-holiday, with notable price increases reported for various refrigerants [4][8] Long-term Investment Recommendations - The chemical industry is expected to benefit from a cyclical recovery and industrial upgrades in 2026, with a focus on sectors like pesticides and tire manufacturing, which may see increased pricing opportunities due to trade barriers [5] - Emerging industries such as sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and lithium battery materials are projected to grow significantly, driven by global decarbonization policies [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a significant surge in oil stocks due to the impact of the US-Iran conflict, with the Shenwan Oil and Petrochemical Index reaching a 10-year high [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On March 3rd, the A-share market's oil stocks experienced a substantial increase, with the Shenwan Oil and Petrochemical Index rising over 7% and surpassing its 2021 peak [3]. - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) has reached a 10-year high in A-share price, and its adjusted price has hit a 17-year high since 2009 [1][6]. - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has also seen its A-shares hit a historical high for the second consecutive trading day [4]. Group 2: Individual Stock Movements - The oil and petrochemical sector has witnessed a wave of stocks hitting the daily limit, including Tongyuan Petroleum and Qianeng Hengxin, with over ten stocks reaching the limit [5]. - China Petroleum's A-shares have also been on a limit-up streak for two consecutive days, achieving a recent 10-year high [6]. Group 3: Futures Market - Domestic oil-related futures have shown remarkable growth, with the main fuel futures contract hitting the daily limit with a 12% increase, totaling over 20% in two trading days [10]. - The main crude oil futures contract has also reached the daily limit with a similar 12% increase, accumulating over 20% in two days [11]. - Other related futures, such as low-sulfur oil and liquefied gas, have also experienced significant gains [12]. Group 4: Institutional Insights - Huazhang Futures believes that the US-Iran conflict has evolved into a regional crisis affecting global oil supply, with key variables including the production capacity of Iran and surrounding oil-producing countries, as well as the navigability of the Strait of Hormuz [15]. - Dongwu Securities suggests that while the initial phase of the conflict may exert downward pressure on global markets, the impact on the A-share market may be pulse-like and not lead to a systemic shift, with China's stable industrial trends continuing to drive A-share performance [16].