Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a slight increase of 0.31% on January 19, with Blue Flame Holdings leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The oil and gas extraction sector's individual stock performance is summarized in the table, with Blue Flame Holdings closing at 6.99, up 1.90%, and Intercontinental Oil & Gas at 3.39, up 0.89% [1]. - The trading volume for Blue Flame Holdings was 105,400 shares, with a transaction value of 73.41 million yuan, while Intercontinental Oil & Gas had a trading volume of 2.73 million shares and a transaction value of 917 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The oil and gas extraction sector saw a net outflow of 56.19 million yuan from main funds, while speculative funds had a net inflow of 83.76 million yuan, and retail investors experienced a net outflow of 27.57 million yuan [1]. - The detailed capital flow for individual stocks indicates that Blue Flame Holdings had a main fund net outflow of 6.16 million yuan, with a speculative fund net inflow of 10.48 million yuan [2]. - Intercontinental Oil & Gas reported a main fund net outflow of 9.91 million yuan, with a speculative fund net inflow of 23.08 million yuan [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current trends in the chemical industry, focusing on price movements, supply and demand dynamics, and investment opportunities in undervalued leading companies amid a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and changing market conditions [1][4][8]. Industry Dynamics - In the week of January 12-18, 49 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 20 experienced declines, and 31 remained stable. The average monthly price of 49% of products rose compared to the previous month [3]. - The average price of WTI crude oil futures increased by 0.54% to $59.44 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures rose by 0.66% to $63.76 per barrel during the same week [4]. - As of January 9, U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.753 million barrels per day, a decrease of 58,000 barrels from the previous week but an increase of 272,000 barrels year-on-year. Total U.S. oil demand was 21.009 million barrels per day, up by 178,200 barrels from the previous week [4]. Price Movements - The price of butadiene rose by 4.04% to 9,663 yuan per ton as of January 18, with a month-on-month increase of 25.98% but a year-on-year decrease of 20.8%. The production of butadiene was 109,300 tons, down 2.85% from the previous week [5]. - Epoxy propane prices increased by 8.84% to 8,620 yuan per ton, with a year-on-year rise of 9.88%. The market operating rate was 65.38%, reflecting a 1.51% increase from the previous week [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - As of January 18, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the SW basic chemical sector is 14.68, at the 59.64% historical percentile, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.54, at the 40.20% historical percentile. The SW oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM P/E ratio of 13.44, at the 39.81% historical percentile [8]. - Investment suggestions include focusing on undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, and the growing importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials and certain new energy materials amid rising prices [2][8]. - Recommended stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, with a focus on sectors like semiconductor materials, OLED materials, and new energy materials [8][9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that geopolitical risks are driving up oil prices, with Brent and WTI crude oil futures prices increasing by 1.9% and 0.7% respectively as of January 16, 2026 [1] - The Iranian situation may lead to significant impacts on oil production and exports if tensions escalate, with Iran's average monthly oil production projected at 3.26 million barrels per day for 2025 [1] - OPEC forecasts an increase in global oil demand by 1.38 million barrels per day in 2026 and 1.34 million barrels per day in 2027, while OPEC+ is expected to increase production by 2.21 million barrels per day in 2025 [1] Group 2 - The "Big Three" oil companies in China, namely China National Petroleum Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and Sinopec, are expected to maintain high capital expenditures and strengthen their natural gas market expansion, showing resilience during oil price downturns [2] - As of January 19, 2026, the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index rose by 1.31%, with significant gains in stocks such as Jiufeng Energy and China Merchants Energy [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Petroleum and Natural Gas Index account for 67.11% of the index, including major players like China National Petroleum Corporation and Sinopec [2]

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) aims to become a world-class energy resource group with distinct marine characteristics during the 14th Five-Year Plan and is setting ambitious goals for the 15th Five-Year Plan [4]. Group 1: Achievements and Future Goals - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, CNOOC made significant progress in energy security, quality improvement, and technological advancements, successfully completing major objectives [4]. - For the 15th Five-Year Plan, CNOOC will focus on high-quality development, enhancing core competitiveness, and ensuring energy security while addressing the challenges posed by international oil price fluctuations [4][5]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives for the 15th Five-Year Plan - CNOOC plans to strengthen its oil and gas core business, enhance exploration and production capabilities, and accelerate overseas production [5]. - The company will refine its refining, chemical, and new materials sectors, optimize product structures, and improve fertilizer production [5]. - CNOOC aims to strategically develop "electricity-hydrogen-carbon" businesses and explore marine mineral resources [5]. Group 3: Operational Focus for 2026 - In 2026, CNOOC will prioritize domestic oil and gas production, enhance investment efficiency, and promote innovation through AI applications [6]. - The company will implement reforms to improve organizational management and ensure safety and environmental protection [7]. - CNOOC will strengthen compliance management and risk prevention measures, particularly in overseas operations [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Iran, are significant factors influencing oil prices. The Brent and WTI oil prices were reported at $64.13 and $59.34 per barrel, respectively, as of January 16, 2026 [2][9]. Oil Price Overview - As of January 16, 2026, Brent crude futures settled at $64.13 per barrel, up $0.79 (+1.25%) from the previous week. WTI crude futures settled at $59.34 per barrel, up $0.22 (+0.37%). The Urals crude price remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while ESPO crude rose by $0.49 (+0.98%) to $50.39 per barrel [2][26]. Offshore Drilling Services - As of January 12, 2026, the global number of offshore self-elevating drilling platforms was 377, an increase of 1 from the previous week. The number of floating drilling platforms was 130, also up by 1 [2][35]. U.S. Oil Supply - As of January 9, 2026, U.S. crude oil production was reported at 13.753 million barrels per day, a decrease of 58,000 barrels from the previous week. The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. was 410, with an increase of 1 rig [2][49]. U.S. Oil Demand - U.S. refinery crude processing was 16.958 million barrels per day as of January 9, 2026, an increase of 49,000 barrels from the previous week. The refinery utilization rate was 95.30%, up 0.6 percentage points [2][57]. U.S. Oil Inventory - As of January 9, 2026, total U.S. crude oil inventories were 836 million barrels, an increase of 3.605 million barrels (+0.43%) from the previous week. Strategic oil inventories were 414 million barrels, up 214,000 barrels (+0.05%) [2][67]. Related Companies - Key companies mentioned include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and PetroChina [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the oil and petrochemical sector [1]. Core Viewpoints - The uncertainty in the Middle East has increased, leading to a short-term strong fluctuation in oil prices. WTI crude futures closed up by 1.02% and Brent oil futures by 1.87% during the week of January 9 to January 16, 2026 [6]. - Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving Iran and the U.S., are significant factors affecting oil prices. Iran's oil inventory has reached record levels, equivalent to about 50 days of production, due to Western sanctions [6]. - The fluorochemical sector is expected to maintain high prosperity due to supply quota constraints and favorable demand driven by policy support. The production quota for HFCs in 2026 has increased by 5,963 tons year-on-year [6]. Summary by Sections Oil and Petrochemical - The report highlights the increased uncertainty in the Middle East, which is likely to impact oil prices in the short term. The geopolitical situation, including U.S. sanctions and military movements, is a critical factor [6][7]. - The report notes that domestic oil companies are diversifying their oil sources and integrating upstream and downstream operations to mitigate the impact of volatile international oil prices [7]. Fluorochemical - The fluorochemical sector is experiencing a favorable environment due to supply constraints and policy-driven demand. The production quotas for HFCs have been adjusted, with significant increases in specific categories [6][7]. - The report indicates that the demand for refrigerants is expected to grow, supported by national subsidy policies, with production of household air conditioners projected to increase by 11% year-on-year in January 2026 [6]. Semiconductor Materials - The semiconductor materials sector is on an upward cycle, with improving fundamentals and domestic substitution trends. The report suggests that there is potential for further price increases in this sector [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [5] Core Views - Geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Iran, have driven significant fluctuations in oil prices, providing a favorable backdrop for oil price recovery [1] - OPEC+ is expected to cautiously increase production in 2026, which may help alleviate the oversupply situation in the oil market [2] - Global oil demand is projected to improve, with the chemical raw material demand expected to dominate the growth in 2026 [3] - The report expresses a positive long-term outlook for major Chinese oil companies and the oil service sector, emphasizing their resilience during price fluctuations [4] Summary by Sections Oil Supply and Demand - OPEC forecasts a demand increase of 1.38 million barrels per day in 2026, with a cautious production increase expected to improve the supply-demand balance [2] - The IEA has raised its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast to 860,000 barrels per day, attributing this to improved macroeconomic conditions [3] Price Trends - As of January 16, 2026, Brent and WTI crude oil futures closed at $64.20 and $59.22 per barrel, reflecting increases of 1.9% and 0.7% respectively from the previous week [1] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on major Chinese oil companies, including China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec, and CNOOC, as well as their associated oil service engineering firms [4]

Report Overview - Report Title: Crude Oil Weekly Report: International Oil Prices Fluctuated and Rose Supported by Concerns over Iranian Supply - Report Date: January 18, 2026 - Chief Analyst: Chen Shuxian, CFA - Analyst: Zhou Shaowen 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report Core View The report mainly presents the weekly data of crude oil and refined oil in the United States, including prices, inventories, production, demand, and import and export volumes. It also provides the performance and valuation of related listed companies, and recommends a number of oil - related companies [2][3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - **Upstream Key Company Performance**: The report shows the recent performance of upstream key companies such as CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinopec, including stock price changes in the past week, month, quarter, year, and year - to - date. It also provides the valuation of these companies, including total market value, net profit attributable to the parent company, P/E ratio, and P/B ratio [8]. - **Crude Oil Market**: Brent and WTI crude oil futures had average weekly prices of $64.8 and $60.3 per barrel respectively, up $3.2 and $2.6 from the previous week. The total US crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory were 8.4 billion, 4.2 billion, 4.1 billion, and 0.2 billion barrels respectively, with a week - on - week increase of 361, 339, 21, and 75 barrels. US crude oil production was 13.75 million barrels per day, down 60,000 barrels per day week - on - week. The number of active US crude oil rigs was 410, up 1 week - on - week, and the number of active fracturing fleets was 156, up 4 week - on - week. US refinery crude oil processing volume was 16.96 million barrels per day, up 50,000 barrels per day week - on - week, and the refinery operating rate was 95.3%, up 0.6 percentage points week - on - week. US crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 7.09 million, 4.31 million, and 2.79 million barrels per day respectively, up 750,000, 40,000, and 710,000 barrels per day week - on - week [2][8]. - **Refined Oil Market**: The average weekly prices of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel were $76, $92, and $89 per barrel respectively, with a week - on - week change of +$3.0, +$3.5, and -$5.1. The inventory of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 250 million, 130 million, and 40 million barrels respectively, with a week - on - week change of +8.98 million, -30,000, and -890,000 barrels. The production of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 9.03 million, 5.3 million, and 1.85 million barrels per day respectively, with a week - on - week change of +30,000, -20,000, and -20,000 barrels. The consumption of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel was 8.3 million, 4.1 million, and 1.88 million barrels per day respectively, with a week - on - week change of +130,000, +900,000, and +180,000 barrels. The import, export, and net export of US gasoline were 130,000, 860,000, and 730,000 barrels per day respectively, with a week - on - week change of +30,000, -110,000, and -130,000 barrels. Similar data is also provided for diesel and jet fuel [2][9]. - **Oil Service Market**: The average weekly daily rates of self - elevating offshore drilling platforms and semi - submersible offshore drilling platforms remained unchanged week - on - week, month - on - month, and quarter - on - quarter [9]. 3.2 This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review - **Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance**: The report presents the performance of the petroleum and petrochemical sector, including the sector's overall performance and the performance of its sub - industries. However, specific numerical data is not fully presented in the provided text [11]. - **Listed Company Performance in the Sector**: The report shows the stock price changes of upstream companies in the sector, including CNOOC, PetroChina, Sinopec, and other companies, in the past week, month, quarter, year, and year - to - date. It also provides the valuation of these companies, including total market value, net profit attributable to the parent company, P/E ratio, and P/B ratio [22][23]. 3.3 Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Crude Oil Price**: The report shows the prices of various crude oils such as Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO, as well as their price differences. It also analyzes the relationship between the US dollar index, LME copper price, and WTI crude oil price [8][9]. - **Crude Oil Inventory**: It presents the inventory data of US crude oil, including total inventory, commercial inventory, strategic inventory, and Cushing inventory, and analyzes the relationship between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices [8][41]. - **Crude Oil Supply**: It shows the production data of US crude oil, including production volume, the number of drilling rigs, and the number of fracturing fleets, and analyzes the relationship between the number of drilling rigs, fracturing fleets, and oil prices [8][60]. - **Crude Oil Demand**: It presents the crude oil processing volume and operating rate of US refineries, as well as the operating rates of Chinese local and major refineries [8]. - **Crude Oil Import and Export**: It shows the import, export, and net import data of US crude oil and petroleum products [8]. 3.4 Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Refined Oil Price**: It analyzes the relationship between international oil prices and domestic gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices, and presents the prices and price differences of refined oils in different regions such as the US, Europe, and Singapore [9][91]. - **Refined Oil Inventory**: It shows the inventory data of US and Singapore gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel [9]. - **Refined Oil Supply**: It presents the production data of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel [9]. - **Refined Oil Demand**: It shows the consumption data of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, as well as the number of airport security checks of US passengers [9][150]. - **Refined Oil Import and Export**: It shows the import, export, and net export data of US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel [9]. 3.5 Oil Service Sector Data Tracking The report presents the average daily rates of self - elevating and semi - submersible offshore drilling platforms [9]. 3.6 Related Listed Companies - **Recommended Companies**: CNOOC/China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina/PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec/China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), CNOOC Development Co., Ltd. (600968.SH) [3]. - **Companies to Watch**: Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (600339.SH), Sinopec Machinery Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the commitment of the China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) to build a world-class energy group with distinct marine characteristics during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and outlines the strategic direction for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [4][5] - CNOOC aims to enhance its energy security capabilities, improve operational efficiency, and foster innovation while addressing challenges posed by external market conditions [4][6] - The company plans to focus on high-quality development, technological innovation, and digital transformation to strengthen its core competitiveness and contribute to national energy security [5][6] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - CNOOC has established a comprehensive marine energy development system, covering conventional oil and gas, deepwater oil and gas, LNG, and offshore wind power, positioning itself as a leader in marine energy development in China [8] Strategic Goals for the "15th Five-Year Plan" - CNOOC will focus on eight key areas: enhancing oil and gas exploration and production, refining and chemical industries, sales and trade of oil and gas products, strategic development of "electricity-hydrogen-carbon" businesses, exploration of marine mineral resources, improving technical service capabilities, enhancing financial service capabilities, and boosting technological innovation [6][7] Performance and Financial Outlook - CNOOC's oil production is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.0% from 2021 to 2024, while natural gas production is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.5% [9] - The company has shown resilience in performance during periods of declining oil prices, with significant improvements in free cash flow exceeding 100 billion yuan from 2022 to 2023 [9] - CNOOC plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027, highlighting its commitment to returning value to investors [9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on CNOOC and its subsidiaries, including CNOOC Oilfield Services, CNOOC Engineering, and CNOOC Development, due to their integrated advantages across the oil and gas value chain and strong growth potential [11]

Core Viewpoint - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) disclosed the salary information of over 80 central enterprise leaders for the year 2024, indicating a stable salary range without extreme high salaries, showcasing significant industry differentiation [1][5]. Group 1: Salary Disclosure - The disclosure of salary information is part of SASAC's ongoing efforts to enhance transparency in key areas and respond to public concerns [2]. - The overall salary of central enterprise leaders in 2024 remains within a stable range, characterized by "top leaders leading, median concentration, and low compliance," with no extreme high salary phenomena observed [5]. Group 2: Salary Rankings - The top tier of salaries is dominated by leaders from telecommunications and energy central enterprises, with China Mobile's former chairman Yang Jie leading with a pre-tax salary of 1.2582 million yuan, followed by China Telecom and China Unicom chairmen with salaries of 1.2160 million yuan and 1.2101 million yuan respectively [6]. - In the energy sector, PetroChina's chairman Dai Houliang and general manager Hou Qijun both have an annual salary of 978,500 yuan, ranking first among energy central enterprises [7]. - Other notable salaries include China Huaneng Group's chairman Wen Shugang at 961,700 yuan and State Power Investment Corporation's chairman Yu Bing at 953,700 yuan, both of whom are also in the top tier [8]. Group 3: Salary Distribution - The second tier includes core central enterprises in electricity, construction, and automotive industries, with notable figures such as State Grid's chairman Zhang Zhigang earning 735,000 yuan and China National Nuclear Corporation's chairman Yang Changli earning 930,000 yuan [15]. - The third tier consists of central enterprises with strong public welfare attributes, such as China Forestry Group's chairman Shan Zhongli and Overseas Chinese Town Group's chairman Zhang Zhenggao, both earning 438,500 yuan, which is below the average level for central enterprises [16]. Group 4: Salary Variability - Within the same industry, the salary differences among central enterprise executives are manageable, with the highest annual salary for energy central enterprise chairmen (PetroChina at 978,500 yuan) and the lowest (National Pipeline Network at 872,900 yuan) showing a difference of about 100,000 yuan [20].