2025 年 11 月 30 日 行业研究 地缘缓和预期下油价低位震荡，关注 OPEC+产量政策 ——石油化工行业周报第 430 期（20251124—20251130） 要点 地缘冲突缓和预期走强，本周油价低位震荡。本周俄乌和平谈判重启，地缘 冲突缓和预期驱动油价振荡加剧，但俄乌双方在核心问题的谈判尚未取得进 展，且 OPEC+增产幅度有望放缓，使得本周油价整体呈低位震荡态势。截至 11 月 28 日，布伦特、WTI 原油分别报收 62.32、58.48 美元/桶，较上周收盘 分别-0.3%、+0.9%。 俄乌谈判核心问题仍存分歧，地缘风险有望持续支撑油价。本周美国与乌克 兰代表在日内瓦举行谈判，美国宣布在达成和平协议方面取得巨大进展，使得 市场对俄乌实现和平预期走强，原油的地缘政治溢价下跌。但是，美乌谈判代 表未透露涉及俄乌重大分歧的具体解决方案，包括领土、乌克兰军队规模、乌 克兰加入北约等众多核心问题。截至本周五，谈判尚未取得任何成果。今年以 来美国数次试图调停俄乌冲突，但我们认为目前美、俄、乌、欧四方就俄乌冲 突的核心问题达成一致的可能性较低，俄乌冲突仍存长期化趋势。此外，委内 瑞拉局势紧张程度不断升 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Insights - The chemical industry is expected to benefit from a shift in supply chain dynamics due to geopolitical tensions, particularly in semiconductor materials, leading to accelerated domestic replacements [5][6] - The chromium salt industry is experiencing a value reassessment driven by increased demand from AI data centers and commercial aircraft engines, with significant price increases noted [8][9] - The report highlights a potential upturn in the chemical industry as supply-side constraints and rising demand could enhance profitability and dividend yields for leading companies [6][10] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The basic chemical sector has shown a 24.0% increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 16.9% [3] Key Opportunities - Focus on low-cost expansion opportunities in companies such as Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng, as well as sectors like tire manufacturing and pesticide formulations [6][9] - Emphasis on sectors with improving market conditions, including chromium salts, phosphate rock, and polyester filament [9][10] Price Trends - Recent price increases for key products include chromium oxide green at 35,500 CNY/ton and metallic chromium at 84,000 CNY/ton, both up by 1,000 CNY/ton from the previous week [8][16] - The report notes a tightening supply for isooctanol, with prices rising due to increased demand and production disruptions [13] Company Focus - The report identifies several key companies for investment, including Dongfang Shenghong, Hubei Yihua, and Wanhua Chemical, with positive earnings forecasts and attractive price-to-earnings ratios [28]

Core Viewpoint - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a decline of 0.31% on November 28, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) leading the drop [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3888.6, up 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12984.08, up 0.85% [1] - The oil and gas extraction sector's individual stock performance showed varied results, with Intercontinental Oil & Gas (600759) rising by 3.89% to a closing price of 2.67, while CNOOC (600938) fell by 1.03% to 27.79 [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The oil and gas extraction sector saw a net outflow of 116 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 2.51 million yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for individual stocks indicated that Intercontinental Oil & Gas had a main fund net inflow of 15.54 million yuan, while CNOOC experienced a significant net outflow of 124 million yuan [2]

Core Insights - The underwater pipeline steel industry is crucial for deep-sea oil and gas resource development, with increasing demand driven by the expansion of offshore oil fields into deeper waters [1][10] - The demand for underwater pipeline steel in China is projected to reach 700,000 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.69%, and is expected to grow to 750,000 tons in 2025, with a 7.14% increase [1][10] - The market size of the underwater pipeline steel industry in China is anticipated to reach 5.5 billion yuan in 2024, up 10% year-on-year, and 6 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 9.09% increase [8] Industry Overview - Underwater pipeline steel is a high-performance steel material used for manufacturing underwater oil and gas transportation pipelines, characterized by high strength, toughness, corrosion resistance, and fatigue resistance [3][4] - The industry has evolved through four stages: reliance on imports, breakthrough in domestic production, full industry chain autonomy, and high-end development [4] Industry Chain - The upstream of the underwater pipeline steel industry includes core raw materials like iron ore, coal, and coke, which directly affect cost control [6] - The midstream is responsible for processing raw materials into various pipeline steel products that meet stringent environmental requirements [6] - The downstream application is primarily focused on major marine engineering projects, mainly in oil and gas development [6] Market Dynamics - The underwater pipeline steel market is dominated by large enterprises such as Baosteel, Hebei Steel, and Ansteel, which possess significant resources and technological advantages [10][11] - Smaller enterprises often focus on niche markets or customized services due to limitations in research and development capabilities [10] Development Trends - The underwater pipeline steel market is expected to continue growing due to increasing global energy demand and marine resource development [13] - Technological innovation will be a key driver, with a focus on new materials and processes to enhance product performance and quality [13] - Environmental sustainability will become increasingly important, with a shift towards eco-friendly production methods and materials [13]

Group 1 - The adjusted date for the first extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2025 is December 16, 2025 [1] - The original date for the meeting was December 10, 2025, and the change is due to meeting coordination reasons [1] - The adjusted date complies with relevant regulations and the company's articles of association [1] Group 2 - The time for the adjusted on-site meeting is set for December 16, 2025, at 10:00 AM [1] - The online voting period is from December 16, 2025, to December 16, 2025, with specific voting times outlined [1] - The voting times through the trading system and internet platform are specified for the meeting day [1] Group 3 - The registration date for shareholders remains unchanged despite the adjustment of the meeting date [2] - The registration time for electronic, mail, or fax submissions is adjusted to before 10:00 AM on December 15, 2025 [3] - On-site registration will occur from 9:00 AM to 10:00 AM on December 16, 2025 [3]

Core Insights - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a slight increase of 0.33% on November 27, with China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3875.26, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12875.19, down 0.25% [1] Sector Performance - CNOOC (600938) closed at 28.08, with a gain of 0.97% and a trading volume of 385,100 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 1.079 billion yuan [1] - Blue Flame Holdings (000968) closed at 6.86, up 0.44%, with a trading volume of 101,200 shares and a transaction value of 69.4482 million yuan [1] - ST Xinchao (600777) closed at 3.91, down 1.01%, with a trading volume of 95,700 shares and a transaction value of 37.5616 million yuan [1] - Intercontinental Oil and Gas (600759) closed at 2.57, down 1.53%, with a trading volume of 1.9467 million shares and a transaction value of 501 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The oil and gas extraction sector saw a net inflow of 23.9948 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 78.0572 million yuan [1] - The sector experienced a net outflow of 102 million yuan from speculative funds [1] Individual Stock Capital Flow - CNOOC had a net inflow of 20.4579 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 72.1105 million yuan from speculative funds and a net inflow of 51.6526 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Blue Flame Holdings had a net inflow of 4.9139 million yuan from institutional investors, with net outflows from both speculative and retail investors [2] - Intercontinental Oil and Gas had a net inflow of 639,300 yuan from institutional investors, with significant net outflows from speculative funds [2] - ST Xinchao experienced a net outflow of 2.0163 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29% on November 27, with 13 out of 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by light industry manufacturing and basic chemicals, which increased by 1.09% and 1.01% respectively [1] - The oil and petrochemical sector ranked third in terms of daily gains, increasing by 0.90% [1] Sector Performance - The oil and petrochemical sector saw a net outflow of 51.06 million yuan, with 47 stocks in the sector; 27 stocks rose, including one hitting the daily limit, while 16 stocks declined [1] - Among the stocks with net inflows, 23 stocks recorded positive cash flow, with 8 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 10 million yuan. China Petroleum led with a net inflow of 42.04 million yuan, followed by Heshun Petroleum and Hengli Petrochemical with inflows of 41.49 million yuan and 23.96 million yuan respectively [1][2] Notable Stocks - The top three stocks with the highest net outflows were Guanghui Energy (-0.40%), Unified Shares (-1.55%), and Rongsheng Petrochemical (1.47%), with net outflows of 91.32 million yuan, 35.35 million yuan, and 18.64 million yuan respectively [1] - Heshun Petroleum experienced a significant increase of 10.00% with a turnover rate of 11.89% and a net inflow of 41.49 million yuan [2] - Hengli Petrochemical and China Petroleum also showed strong performance with increases of 2.45% and 1.22% respectively, alongside notable net inflows [2]

关于2025年第一次临时股东大会调整召开日期 的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 调整后的会议召开日期：2025 年 12 月 16 日 一、 原股东大会有关情况 1. 原股东大会的类型和届次 2025年第一次临时股东大会 证券代码：600938 证券简称：中国海油 公告编号：2025-038 中国海洋石油有限公司 2. 原股东大会召开日期：2025 年 12 月 10 日 3. 原股东大会股权登记日 | 股份类别 | 股票代码 | 股票简称 | 股权登记日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 600938 | 中国海油 | 2025/12/3 | 二、 股东大会调整召开日期的原因 因会议统筹安排原因，本公司决定将 2025 年第一次临时股东大会的召开日 期调整至 2025 年 12 月 16 日召开。 本次临时股东大会的召开日期调整符合《上市公司股东会规则》和《上海证 券交易所股票上市规则》等相关法律法规和《中国海洋石油有限公司组织章程细 则》的规定。 三 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而産生或 因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 （根據公司條例在香港註冊成立的有限責任公司） 股票代號：00883（港幣櫃台）及80883（人民幣櫃台） 股東特別大會調整召開日期 茲提述中國海洋石油有限公司（「本公司」）日期為二零二五年十一月七日的股東特別大 會（「股東特別大會」）通告（「通告」）及通函（「通函」）。除非本公告另有所指， 本公告所用詞匯與通告及通函所界定者具有相同含義。 股東特別大會調整召開日期 因會議統籌安排原因，本公司原定於二零二五年十二月十日（星期三）上午十時舉行之股 東特別大會更改為於二零二五年十二月十六日（星期二）上午十時舉行（「調整後的股東 特別大會」）。調整後的股東特別大會的地點維持不變，為香港中環法院道太古廣場港島 香格里拉大酒店。 就調整後的股東特別大會而言，除上述變更外，通告、通函及代表委任表格所載的所有決 議案、資料及內容均維持不變。 為確定有權在股東特別大會上出席並投票的人員，股東特別大會暫停辦理香港股份過戶登 ...

Group 1 - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a decline of 1.2% on November 26, with *ST Xinchao leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3864.18, down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12907.83, up 1.02% [1] - Major stocks in the oil and gas extraction sector showed varied performance, with notable declines in stocks like *ST Xinchao, which fell by 1.50% to a closing price of 3.95 [1] Group 2 - The oil and gas extraction sector saw a net outflow of 224 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 185 million yuan [1] - Individual stock fund flows indicated that *ST Xinchao had a significant net outflow of 732.21 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 679.33 million yuan [2] - The overall trading volume for the oil and gas extraction sector was substantial, with stocks like Zhongjin Oil and *ST Xinchao showing significant trading activity [1][2]