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行业周报(3.24-3.30):绿证核发实施细则(试行)发布,板块市场表现偏弱-2025-04-01
Great Wall Securities· 2025-04-01 12:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power and utilities sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The implementation details for the green certificate issuance have been released, which is expected to positively impact the renewable energy sector [31]. - The overall market performance of the utilities sector has been weak, with the industry index declining by 0.73% during the week of March 24-30, 2025, underperforming compared to major indices [2][10]. - The report highlights specific stocks with investment ratings, including "Buy" for Guodian Power and "Overweight" for Longyuan Power, among others [1]. Market Performance Summary - The Shenyin Wanguo Utilities Industry Index PE (TTM) is at 16.44x, down from 16.61x the previous week, and significantly lower than 19.85x in the same period last year [2][22]. - The PB ratio for the utilities sector is currently 1.72x, slightly down from 1.73x last week and lower than 1.82x a year ago [2][25]. - The sector's performance ranks 11th among 31 major industries, with specific sub-sectors showing varied performance, such as thermal power down by 0.94% and hydropower up by 1.35% [10][16]. Stock Performance Summary - The top five performing stocks for the week include ST Lingda (+11.87%), Meinuo Energy (+4.46%), and Chuan Investment Energy (+4%) [3][28]. - Conversely, the worst performers include ST Xulan (-22.39%) and Guang'an Aizhong (-16.72%) [3][28]. Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has initiated a consultation on the implementation details for the issuance of renewable energy green certificates, which will standardize the management of green certificates for various renewable energy projects [31]. - The administration is also focusing on enhancing the integration of renewable energy consumption and the construction of external transmission channels to ensure energy security [32][33]. Key Data Tracking - As of March 28, 2025, the price of Shanxi mixed coal (5500) is 667 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.89% [38]. - The trading volume for green certificates from March 24 to March 30 totaled 96.10 and 111.15 million for wind and solar power, respectively [41].
南网储能(600995):2024年年报点评:来水好转拉动业绩增长,2025年或进入机组投产期
Guohai Securities· 2025-04-01 08:33
[Table_Title] 来水好转拉动业绩增长, 2025 年或进入机组投产期 ——南网储能(600995)2024 年年报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/03/31 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 南网储能 | -2.1% | -5.6% | 1.9% | | 沪深 300 | -0.1% | -1.2% | 9.9% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/03/31 | | 市场数据 | 2025/03/31 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格(元) | 9.55 | | 周价格区间(元) 52 | 8.63-12.16 | | 总市值(百万) | 30,521.86 | | 流通市值(百万) | 10,591.92 | | 总股本(万股) | 319,600.58 | | 流通股本(万股) | 110,910.16 | | 日均成交额(百万) | 87.33 | | 近一月换手(%) | 0.78 | 2025 年 04 月 01 日 公司研究 评级:买入(维持) 相关报告 《南 ...
南网储能20250331
2025-04-01 07:43
Summary of the Conference Call for Nanfang Energy Storage Company Overview - **Company**: Nanfang Energy Storage - **Year**: 2024 - **Industry**: Energy Storage and Hydropower Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue**: 6.174 billion CNY, up 9.67% year-on-year [3] - **Net Profit**: 1.126 billion CNY, up 11.14% year-on-year [3] - **Operating Cash Flow**: 3.855 billion CNY, up 8.39% year-on-year [3] - **Earnings Per Share**: 0.35 CNY, up 9.38% year-on-year [3] - **Total Assets**: 50.467 billion CNY, up 13.44% year-on-year [3] - **Net Assets**: 21.345 billion CNY, up 2.44% year-on-year [3] - **Debt-to-Asset Ratio**: 50.57% [3] Project Development and Capacity - **Hydropower Stations Under Construction**: 9 stations with a total capacity of 10.8 million kW [5] - **Upcoming Projects**: - Nanning and Meixu Phase II expected to be operational by the end of 2025, adding 2.4 million kW [5] - Zhaoqing Langjiang and Huizhou Zhongdong expected to be operational by the end of 2026, adding another 2.4 million kW [5] - Additional projects expected to come online between 2027 and 2029, subject to construction complexities [5] Business Focus and Strategy - **Focus on Energy Storage Orders**: High initial capital expenditure but stable returns [6] - **Capacity Pricing Policy**: Implemented from June 1, 2023, expected to enhance revenue in 2024 [7] - **Market Entry**: Meixu Phase II entered the spot market in October 2024, leading to increased revenue but not yet a long-term trend [8] Financial Outlook and Capital Expenditure - **2025 Capital Expenditure**: Approximately 9.9 billion CNY, expected to maintain this level in subsequent years [16] - **Projected Operating Cash Flow for 2025**: 3.3 billion CNY [16] - **Debt Financing**: Plans to utilize various financing methods including loans and preferred stock [16] Risk Management and Financial Health - **Debt Management**: Group requires debt-to-asset ratio not to exceed 65% [18] - **Research and Development Investment**: Increased to 56.99 million CNY, up 118% year-on-year, indicating a focus on technological innovation [4] Market Dynamics and Regulatory Environment - **Future Capacity Pricing**: Expected to remain stable in 2025 if no new adjustments to national pricing policies [10] - **Investment Climate**: Uncertainty in new energy market due to policy changes affecting large-scale investments [12] - **Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Requirement**: New projects must achieve an IRR of over 5% [13] Conclusion Nanfang Energy Storage is positioned for steady growth with a focus on expanding its hydropower capacity and enhancing its financial stability through strategic capital expenditures and effective debt management. The company is navigating a complex regulatory environment while aiming to leverage its technological advancements and market opportunities in the energy storage sector.
南网储能(600995):来水增加增厚24年利润,新抽蓄25年投产可期
Haitong Securities· 2025-04-01 06:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that increased water inflow has enhanced profits for 2024, with a projected revenue of 6.174 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.67%, and a net profit of 1.126 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.14% [7] - The company is set to launch new pumped storage projects in 2025, aiming to achieve a total installed capacity of 4.8 million kilowatts during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [7] - The report anticipates stable profit growth for the company in 2024, driven by increased water inflow and new power station operations [7] Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue and net profit forecasts for the company from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: Revenue of 5.630 billion yuan, net profit of 1.014 billion yuan - 2024: Revenue of 6.174 billion yuan, net profit of 1.126 billion yuan - 2025E: Revenue of 6.626 billion yuan, net profit of 1.301 billion yuan - 2026E: Revenue of 7.617 billion yuan, net profit of 1.487 billion yuan - 2027E: Revenue of 8.413 billion yuan, net profit of 1.654 billion yuan [6][7] - The report projects a comprehensive diluted EPS of 0.32 yuan in 2023, increasing to 0.52 yuan by 2027 [6] Product Profitability Forecast - The profitability forecast for different products in 2024 and beyond is as follows: - Pumped storage revenue is expected to be 4.147 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 44% - Peak regulation hydropower revenue is projected at 1.634 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 61% - New energy storage revenue is anticipated to reach 278 million yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 24% [9][10] Valuation - The report assigns a valuation range of 12.21 to 14.24 yuan for the company based on a projected PE ratio of 30-35 times for 2025 [7][11]
[年报]扣非净利续创历史新高!南网储能盈利上台阶、稳定分红底色鲜明 在手优质项目储备充沛
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-03-31 03:43
值得指出的是,公司2024年实现扣非后归母净利润11.56亿元,继续创出历史新高,盈利水平再上台 阶。 主业拓展方面,公司2024年发电业务营收同比增长8.73%至60.59亿元,其中调峰水电营业收入16.34亿 元,同比增长55.54%,毛利率达到60.71%,较上年增加19.97个百分点。新型储能业务营业收入2.78亿 元,同比增长197.62%,充分显示公司在新兴储能领域的快速扩张和技术突破。 南网储能(600995)披露的2024年年度报告显示,公司当期实现总营业收入61.74亿元,同比增长 9.67%;利润总额达到18.30亿元,同比增长22.6%;实现归母净利润11.26亿元,同比增长11.14%。 根据规划,公司规划抽水蓄能2025年投产装机达1268万千瓦,到2030年达2900万千瓦左右,到2035年达 4400万千瓦左右。新型储能到2025年装机规模达200万千瓦,到2030年达500万千瓦,到2035年达1000万 千瓦,在建产能十分充裕。 按照分红预案,公司拟就2024年度经营成果每10股派发现金红利0.6655元(含税),共分派现金红利 2.13亿元。 全景网了解到,南网储能自200 ...
南网储能2024年实现营收净利双增 抽水蓄能、新型储能装机规模持续扩充
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-03-30 13:44
南网储能把握"双碳"目标机遇,积极发展抽水蓄能、新型储能业务。2024年,公司投运的抽水蓄能装机 容量已突破1000万千瓦,正在加快南宁、梅蓄二期等9个抽水蓄能项目建设,推动韶关新丰、清远下坪 等5个项目纳入国家2024年—2028年核准项目清单,新取得云南文山西畴等3个抽水蓄能项目开发权。 3月29日,南方电网储能股份有限公司(以下简称"南网储能(600995)")披露2024年年度报告。2024 年,公司实现营业收入61.74亿元,同比增长9.67%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润11.26亿元,同比增 长11.14%;扣非净利润11.56亿元,同比增长12.43%;经营活动产生的现金流量净额为38.55亿元,同比 增长8.39%;报告期内,南网储能基本每股收益为0.35元,同比增长9.38%。公司2024年度分配预案为: 拟向全体股东每10股派现0.6655元(含税)。 对于业绩的增长,年报显示,主要是南网储能克服抽水蓄能政策性减利的持续影响,统筹推进稳经营促 增长各项举措落实落地,抓住西部流域来水较好时机,优化汛期水库调度,确保调峰水电机组"能发尽 发",发电量同比增加;公司佛山宝塘储能站投产,新型储能收 ...
南网储能:利润总体符合预期,分红率维持30%-20250330
HTSC· 2025-03-30 04:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.75 RMB [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.174 billion RMB for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.126 billion RMB, up 11.1% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 30%, consistent with the previous year [1]. - The hydropower generation for 2024 increased by 57% year-on-year, contributing significantly to the revenue growth [2]. - The revenue from pumped storage decreased by 6.4% year-on-year due to a reduction in capacity pricing, but future projects are expected to drive growth [3]. - The new energy storage segment underperformed expectations, leading to a downward revision of revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 6.174 billion RMB in 2024, with a net profit of 1.126 billion RMB, indicating a growth of 9.7% and 11.1% respectively [1][5]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.655 billion RMB, a 5.9% increase year-on-year, but a significant drop in net profit by 58.2% [1]. Hydropower and Storage Business - The hydropower segment saw a substantial increase in generation, with specific plants reporting growth rates of 55.3%, 80.9%, and 11.1% [2]. - The average on-grid electricity price for the hydropower stations remained stable at 0.22 RMB per kWh [2]. Future Projections - The company anticipates a revenue decline in the pumped storage segment but expects new projects to contribute positively in the coming years [3]. - Revenue forecasts for the new energy storage business have been revised downwards by 68% and 73% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a target price of 13.75 RMB based on a projected PE ratio of 31x for 2025, reflecting the company's growth potential in the pumped storage and independent energy storage sectors [4][6].
南网储能(600995) - 南方电网储能股份有限公司审计报告
2025-03-28 12:55
南方电网储能股份有限公司 审 计 报 告 大信审字[2025]第 1-00015 号 大信会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) WUYIGE CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS LLP. WUYIGE Certified Public Account: Room 2206 22/F.Xuevuan International To No.1 Zhichun Road,Haidian Dist. Beijing.China. 100083 审计报告 大信审字[2025]第 1-00015 号 南方电网储能股份有限公司全体股东: 一、审计意见 我们审计了南方电网储能股份有限公司(以下简称"贵公司")的财务报表,包括 2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及母公司资产负债表,2024年度的合并及母公司利润表、合并及母公司 现金流量表、合并及母公司股东权益变动表,以及财务报表附注。 我们认为,后附的财务报表在所有重大方面按照企业会计准则的规定编制,公允反映了 贵公司 2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及母公司财务状况以及 2024 年度的合并及母公司经营成果 和现金流量。 二、形成审计意见的基础 我 ...
南网储能(600995) - 中国国际金融股份有限公司关于南方电网储能股份有限公司2024 年度募集资金存放与使用情况的核查意见
2025-03-28 12:55
一、募集资金基本情况 (一)扣除发行费用后的实际募集资金金额、资金到账时间 根据中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准云南文山电力股份有限公司向中国 南方电网有限责任公司发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金的批复》(证监许可 〔2022〕1902 号),公司向特定投资者非公开发行 630,575,243 股人民币普通股 (A 股),每股发行认购价格为人民币 12.69 元,发行募集资金总额为 8,001,999,833.67 元,扣除保荐承销费及其他发行费用人民币 52,515,054.05 元(不 含税),实际募集资金净额为人民币 7,949,484,779.62 元。 上述募集资金于 2022 年 11 月 10 日存入公司募集资金监管专户,已经天职 国际会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙)审验,并出具了《南方电网储能股份有限公 司非公开发行股票募集配套资金验资报告》(天职业字(2022)第 44934 号)。 (二)以前年度已使用金额、本年度使用金额及当前余额 中国国际金融股份有限公司 关于南方电网储能股份有限公司 2024 年度募集资金存放与使用情况的核查意见 中国国际金融股份有限公司(以下简称"中金公司"、"独立财务顾 ...
南网储能(600995) - 南方电网储能股份有限公司内控审计报告
2025-03-28 12:55
南方电网储能股份有限公司 内控审计报告 大信审字[2025]第 1-00122 号 大信会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) WUYIGE CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS LLP. 邮编 100083 大信会计师事务所 北京市海淀区知春路 1 号 学院国际大厦 22 层 2206 WUYIGE Certified Public Accountants.LLP Room 2206 22/F, Xueyuan International Tower No.1 Zhichun Road, Haidian Dist. Beijing,China,100083 电话 Telephone:+86(10)82330558 传真 Fax: +86(10)82327668 网址 Internet: www.daxincpa.com.cn 内部控制审计报告 大信审字[2025]第 1-00122 号 南方电网储能股份有限公司全体股东: 按照《企业内部控制审计指引》及中国注册会计师执业准则的相关要求,我们审计了南 方电网储能股份有限公司(以下简称南网储能公司)2024 年 12 月 31 日的财务报告内部控制 的 ...