Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，马斯克在达沃斯论坛上表示Tesla和SpaceX将在三年内在美 国分别建设100GW光伏产能。本轮北美光伏扩产，将给相关国产辅材、设备及头部制造公司带来价值 重估，尤其需要重视辅材机会，其持续性强，且技术路线分歧较小。其中地面辅材确定性高，太空辅材 市场空间大;同时，部分掌握核心专利的主链公司也有望受益。 招商证券主要观点如下： 马斯克在达沃斯论坛上表示Tesla和SpaceX将在三年内在美国分别建设100GW光伏产能 北美地面扩产预计沿用中国成熟技术路线和辅材供应链，而太空设备、辅材需要针对性开发、设计，价 值量将明显高于地面。本轮北美光伏扩产，将给相关国产辅材、设备及头部制造公司带来价值重估，尤 其需要重视辅材机会，其持续性强，且技术路线分歧较小。 北美地面光伏将给中国相关供应链带来机会，太空方案还在迭代 据产业反馈，SpaceX目前方案有可能倾向P-HJT路线，钙钛矿及钙钛矿叠层也在积极尝试，预计HJT与 钙钛矿装备厂会受益。同时，考虑太空复杂环境，超薄硅片和组件封装对相关环节提出更高要求。北美 地面光伏，从经济性出发可能选择N型TOPCon，但专利、工艺掌握在中 ...

恒生科技指数ETF（513180.SH）恒生互联网ETF（513330.SH）开年走低，权重股阿里巴巴、腾讯控 股、小米集团等再陷调整。 消息面上，春节假期，美联储降息预期下修，港股作为对外部流动性极为敏感的市场，节后表现较弱。 美国当地时间2月18日下午，美联储公布1月议息会议纪要，美联储官员对未来政策展望呈现巨大分歧， 市场认为短期内降息节奏可能放缓；2月19日，美国公布的初请失业金人数显示美国就业市场仍保持一 定韧性，而就业是降息周期中美联储重点关注的指标，基于此市场降低对美联储降息预期；2月20日， 美国公布的12月PCE高于预期，强化美联储暂缓降息预期，市场对6月降息预期下降至45.6%，降息预期 推迟至7月。 招商证券张夏团队点评称：短期美联储政策预期反复有扰动，但流动性冲击最大的阶段已经过去，且美 联储仍处降息周期，一旦降息预期重新稳固，港股作为离岸市场将显著受益；且春节后随着南下资金的 流入，也将为港股带来流动性支持。 投资工具方面，持续关注港股科技相关ETF：恒生科技指数ETF（513180.SH）、恒生互联网ETF （513330.SH）、港股通科技ETF基金（159101.SZ）。其中， ...

t 31 - 11 - 1 Friday of Special A JUDD 深圳商报·读创客户端记者 钟国斌 马年初八将迎来A股首个交易日，A股市场将如何运行？招商证券首席策略分析师张夏接受记者采访时表示，马年A股慢牛行情有望延续。"2026年上市公司 盈利增速有望进一步回升，预测非金融及两油A股上市公司2026年有望实现5%至10%的温和增长，盈利增速将会对A股市场上行产生关键动力。"他分析指 出，2026年A股整体仍处在盈利增速回升和估值温和扩张的阶段，预计上证指数上涨幅度介于10%至15%之间。 "A股本轮上行周期正从流动性驱动、赛道股占优的'牛市第二阶段'，向以盈利改善为驱动力的'牛市第三阶段'过渡。关键观察变量是PPI的触底回升，这通常 标志着企业盈利实质性改善"。张夏表示，在此过渡期内，市场风格将趋于均衡。 2026年以来，A股日均成交额保持在2万亿元上方。张夏认为，在A股过去两年有较好赚钱效应以及整体中高回报率资产荒的背景下，2026年A股资金供需有 望延续较大规模净流入，或达1.56万亿元，为实现慢牛带来流动性支持。 具体来看，资金供给端，公募基金将延续发行回暖趋势，如果能够有效突破扭亏阻力 ...

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a positive outlook for the non-bank financial sector, driven by favorable policies and continued capital inflow, suggesting potential for sector rebound [1][6]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the sector, indicating expected strong performance relative to the market [2]. Market Performance - As of February 14, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.39%. The CSI 300 Index saw a modest gain of 0.36% [12]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.11 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12.3% decrease week-on-week [6]. Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The report indicates that listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest margins. The insurance fund utilization scale reached 38.5 trillion yuan in Q4 2025, up 15.7% year-on-year [18]. - The report suggests that the upcoming spring market rally may drive better-than-expected performance for insurance companies in Q1 2026, supported by a stable long-term interest rate and an upward trend in the equity market [18]. Securities Sector - The report discusses the recent optimization measures for refinancing announced by the three major exchanges, which aim to enhance financing efficiency and support high-quality enterprises [19]. - The new refinancing rules are expected to create structural opportunities for securities firms, shifting the focus from compliance to the ability to identify and serve quality clients [20]. - The report emphasizes that the optimization of refinancing will lead to a more differentiated regulatory system, benefiting quality companies while tightening controls on weaker entities [22]. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed valuations for several key companies in the sector, including: - China Ping An (601318.SH) with a target price of 85.17 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - New China Life (601336.SH) with a target price of 94.21 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - China Life (601628.SH) with a target price of 55.47 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - The report also highlights the expected earnings per share (EPS) growth for these companies, indicating a positive outlook for their financial performance in 2025 and 2026 [7].

作者：柳白 中信建投表示，考虑到春节前避险情绪升温，情绪指数回落的季节性效应，预计市场短期面临情绪降温和指数回调压力。综合考虑当前市场增量资金和情绪 指数各分项指标，预计全A指数调整空间有限，且有望在春节前企稳，春节前后迎来新一轮上行行情。 招商证券指出，春节之后，由于临近两会召开，政策催化将会加速出现，春节之后指数有望有更好的表现。基本面层面，1-2月是数据真空期，从目前来 看，产业端的边际变化带来的业绩改善趋势仍然是市场关注的方向。顺周期涨价品种，以半导体光模块为代表的AI链依然是景气趋势之所在。 对于今年的春节行情，天风证券表示，不论是"十五五"开局之年的政策预期，全球流动性宽松前景，还是居民资金向权益资产配置的趋势，都可能强化节后 市场上涨的规律，今年"春节躁动"行情或更持续。另外，今年受"史上超长九天春节假期"的影响，消费需求释放明显早于往年，出行与消费规模有望再突 破，市场对"经济开门红"的预期或更稳定。 粤开证券则对当前市场行情提示了相关风险。粤开证券指出，2月行情并非毫无风险，短期仍需警惕三大扰动因素：一是海外市场的波动传导，美国加征关 税的政策落地、美股科技股的调整，或对A股相关板块形成短期 ...

Core Viewpoint - The January CPI in the U.S. is 2.4% year-on-year, lower than the market expectation of 2.5%, primarily driven by declines in energy prices and used car prices. The core CPI month-on-month increase of 0.3% meets expectations, with moderate trends in rent and persistent price increases in some services. Despite the cooling inflation, overseas markets still anticipate two rate cuts in June as a high-probability scenario due to stable non-farm employment and statements from Federal Reserve officials [2][4]. Inflation Data Summary - January CPI month-on-month is 0.2% (previous value 0.3%), and year-on-year is 2.4% (previous value 2.7%). Core CPI month-on-month is 0.3% (previous value 0.2%), and year-on-year is 2.5% (previous value 2.6%) [1][2]. - Energy prices in January decreased by 1.5% month-on-month (previous value 0.3%), significantly contributing to the cooling inflation. Energy commodities fell by 3.3% month-on-month (previous value -0.3%), with gasoline down 3.2% (previous value -0.3%) and fuel oil down 5.7% (previous value -0.8%) [2][3]. Food Prices and Core CPI - Food prices increased moderately in January, with an overall month-on-month increase of 0.2% (previous value 0.7%). Household food prices rose by 0.2% (previous value 0.6%), while non-household food prices increased by 0.1% (previous value 0.7%). Beef prices fell by 0.4% (previous value 1.1%) due to tariff reductions [3][4]. - The core CPI month-on-month increase of 0.3% (previous value 0.2%) shows a slowdown in rent prices, with rent items rising by 0.2% (previous value 0.4%). Some service prices continue to rise, with overall service CPI increasing by 0.4% (previous value 0.3%) [3][4]. Vehicle Prices and Market Reactions - Prices for new and used vehicles are under pressure from demand-side cooling, with the CPI for used cars and trucks down 1.8% month-on-month (previous value -0.9%). The CPI for new transportation tools rose by 0.1% (previous value 0.0%) [4]. - Following the data release, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 3.4 basis points to around 3.41%, and the 10-year yield decreased by 3.6 basis points to approximately 4.06%. The dollar index remained stable around 96.9 [2][4].

Core Viewpoint - Chinese securities firms are increasingly expanding their overseas operations, with multiple major and mid-sized firms announcing initiatives for international capital operations at the beginning of the year [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Developments - On February 13, major firms including CITIC Securities, CICC, and Zhongtai Securities announced guarantees for their overseas subsidiaries [2]. - GF Securities reported a change in registered capital from 7.606 billion RMB to 7.825 billion RMB due to a completed H-share placement, with funds aimed at enhancing overseas subsidiary capital [2]. - GF Securities plans to list its zero-interest convertible bonds on the Vienna MTF [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends - GF Securities is not the first to pursue overseas financing; Huatai Securities recently issued 10 billion HKD in zero-interest convertible bonds for international business support [5]. - Since 2025, over ten securities firms have made significant strides in international business, with firms like Western Securities and Dongwu Securities establishing wholly-owned subsidiaries in Hong Kong [6]. - The push into overseas markets represents a shift for Chinese securities firms from local intermediaries to global traders, driven by the need for risk hedging and capital flow [6]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - As of mid-2025, 13 out of 16 comparable A-share listed securities firms reported over 10% year-on-year growth in overseas business revenue [7]. - Notable revenue figures include CITIC Securities at 6.912 billion RMB (up 13.57%), CICC at 4.024 billion RMB (up 75.66%), and Haitong Securities at 2.459 billion RMB (up 76.21%) [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts predict that a significant number of quality domestic enterprises will connect with global markets through Hong Kong, creating opportunities for IPOs and cross-border capital services [9]. - The competitive edge in overseas business will increasingly focus on cross-border derivatives and FICC (Fixed Income, Currency, and Commodity) operations [10]. - Chinese securities firms are expanding beyond Hong Kong to Southeast Asia and the Middle East, establishing a comprehensive international business landscape [10]. Group 5: Strategic Considerations - The future growth potential for Chinese securities firms lies in cross-border wealth management, offshore RMB-related businesses, and investment banking in emerging markets [11]. - Firms are advised to build a composite team that understands both international rules and Chinese industries, while also enhancing cross-cultural integration [12].

Group 1 - The company Zhongmi Holdings announced that it will accept investor research on February 13, 2026, with Liang Yutao, the director of the board office and securities affairs representative, participating in the reception and answering investor questions [1] Group 2 - The article highlights a significant investment success by Xu Xin, known as the "Queen of Venture Capital," who achieved an 18-fold return on a single investment, contributing to her wealth exceeding 10 billion yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes the importance of risk management in all its business activities, adhering to regulatory requirements and internal risk control standards [1] Group 1: Risk Management - The company places risk management at the core of its business operations [1] - All investment activities are conducted in strict compliance with regulatory requirements and internal risk control standards [1] - The company employs diversified asset allocation and dynamic management to effectively mitigate potential market volatility [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company aims to balance returns and risks in its future operations [1] - The commitment to creating sustainable value for investors remains a priority [1]