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招商证券:当前做多港股科技,胜率和赔率均较高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-10 01:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the recent volatility in Hong Kong's technology sector, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping 6.5% in a week, is primarily due to liquidity shocks, but the outlook for investing in Hong Kong tech stocks remains positive with high odds and win rates [1] - From the perspective of odds, the discount of Hong Kong tech stocks relative to A-share tech stocks is near historical lows, suggesting significant undervaluation, especially in the context of improved regulatory and economic conditions compared to 2022 and 2023 [1] - In terms of win rates, favorable factors are accumulating, including the peak of overseas liquidity shocks having passed, the effectiveness of the "buy the dip" strategy, and the potential for a rebound as the relative valuation of Hong Kong tech stocks approaches historical lows [1] Group 2 - Investment opportunities in Hong Kong tech-related ETFs are highlighted, including the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180.SH), Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH), and Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101.SZ), which provide low-threshold access for A-share investors [2] - The Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330.SH) focuses on major Hong Kong internet companies such as Alibaba, Baidu, Tencent, and NetEase, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect Tech ETF (159101.SZ) emphasizes leading companies and includes innovative pharmaceutical stocks [2] - These ETFs are listed on mainland stock exchanges and support T+0 intraday trading, offering convenience for investors without the need for cross-border accounts or currency exchange [2]
招商证券:当前为何坚定看好恒生科技?
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 22:28
Core Viewpoint - The recent weakness in the Hang Seng Tech index is attributed to a significant liquidity shock, but the fundamental outlook and bullish logic for Hong Kong tech stocks remain unchanged [1][2]. Group 1: Liquidity Analysis - The peak of the overseas liquidity shock has passed, and the "buy the dip" strategy is considered effective [1][2]. - The recent liquidity shock from the "Wash Trade" has led to a sharp decline in Hong Kong stocks, but this is expected to gradually subside [2][3]. - Domestic liquidity disturbances caused by public funds over-allocating to Hong Kong stocks are also coming to an end, reducing selling pressure [3]. Group 2: Valuation Insights - The relative valuation of Hong Kong tech stocks is at a historical low compared to A-share tech stocks, indicating a potential for a rebound [3][4]. - The current valuation levels are significantly lower than previous lows in March and October 2022, suggesting that Hong Kong tech stocks are undervalued in the context of a favorable regulatory and economic environment [3][4]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Fundamentals - Strict control over IPO quality is expected to improve market sentiment, as excessive IPOs have previously contributed to weak performance in Hong Kong stocks [4]. - The fundamental outlook for Hong Kong stocks remains solid, with earnings expectations stabilizing after recent declines [4][5]. - The tech industry is experiencing positive developments, with major companies like Tencent and Alibaba promoting large models, indicating ongoing innovation and growth [4].
关于同意招商证券股份有限公司为易方达中证红利低波动交易型开放式指数证券投资基金提供主做市服务的公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:01
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 上海证券交易所 为促进易方达中证红利低波动交易型开放式指数证券投资基金(以下简称低波红利,基金代 码:563020)的市场流动性和平稳运行,根据《上海证券交易所基金自律监管规则适用指引第2号——上 市基金做市业务》等相关规定,本所同意招商证券股份有限公司自2026年02月10日起为低波红利提供主 做市服务。 2026年02月09日 特此公告。 上证公告(基金)【2026】321号 ...
慕思股份跌1.43% 2022年上市募15.6亿招商证券保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-09 08:22
上市次日即2022年6月24日,慕思股份盘中最高价报61.67元,为该股上市以来最高价。该股目前处 于破发状态。 慕思股份首次公开发行股票募集资金总额为155,758.93万元,扣除发行费用8,044.55万元,募集资金 净额为147,714.38万元。慕思股份于2022年6月13日披露的招股说明书显示,该公司原拟募集资金 147,714.38万元,用于华东健康寝具生产线建设项目、数字化营销项目、健康睡眠技术研究中心建设项 目。 中国经济网北京2月9日讯 慕思股份(001323.SZ)今日股价下跌,该股收盘报28.26元,跌幅1.43%。 (责任编辑:魏京婷) 慕思股份于2022年6月23日在深圳证券交易所主板上市,发行的股票数量为4,001.00万股,发行价格 为38.93元/股,保荐机构为招商证券股份有限公司,保荐代表人为邓永辉、康自强。 慕思股份首次公开发行股票的发行费用约8,044.55万元(各项费用均为不含税金额),其中,保荐 及承销费用5,700.00万元。 慕思股份于2025年8月15日发布分红方案,拟每10股转增1股。除权除息日为2025年8月21日,红股 上市日为2025年8月21日。 ...
招商证券:LCD面板价格2月涨幅扩大 供需共振释放业绩弹性
智通财经网· 2026-02-09 07:01
Supply Side - The oligopoly structure has formed, with mainland Chinese manufacturers achieving absolute dominance in the LCD sector, leading to stable profitability due to cyclical weakening [2] - The reduction in supply from panel manufacturers during the Spring Festival will further support the upward trend in panel prices [3] Demand Side - The World Cup events in North America and Mexico are driving demand, while rising storage costs are accelerating the trend towards larger TV sizes, with BOM cost for storage in TVs expected to rise from 2.5-3% to 6-7% [3] - TCL Electronics' acquisition of Sony's TV division poses a challenge to Samsung's global TV leadership, with projected shipments in 2025 showing only a 1 million unit difference between TCL+Sony and Samsung [3] Upstream Panels - Mainland China's LCD panel global market share is 72%, with TCL Huaxing and BOE holding over 50% market share [4] - The depreciation peak for TCL Huaxing's panel lines has passed, releasing profit elasticity, with overall depreciation expected to decline from 2026 onwards [4] Downstream TVs - The global shipment of MiniLED TVs is expected to exceed 20 million units by 2026, with a penetration rate surpassing 10%, which will indirectly reduce panel cost proportions [5] - The combination of MiniLED technology and larger sizes is expected to alleviate cost pressures, with TCL Electronics and Hisense Visual continuing to be favored for their global strategies and technological leadership [5]
十大券商策略:A股很可能迎来一段“天时地利人和”的上涨机会
天天基金网· 2026-02-09 01:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that there is no need to worry about short-term market fluctuations, as the underlying trends indicate a shift from virtual to real economies in Europe and the US, alongside the disruptive innovation brought by AI [2] - The article highlights the increasing urgency for strategic security investments and the balancing act between short-term shareholder interests and long-term infrastructure investments in the US and Europe [2] - It suggests that China's capital market has already completed the transition from virtual to real pricing and is currently in the process of validating and pricing for quality and efficiency improvements [2] Group 2 - The outlook for the A-share market in the next 1-2 months is optimistic, with historical data indicating a strong seasonal effect around February and the Spring Festival [3] - The article notes that the number of companies with low expectations or losses has reached a new high, suggesting that negative earnings reports are being digested, which may lead to a lighter market environment starting in February [3] - It encourages investors to regain confidence and prepare for the first wave of the upcoming bullish cycle around the 4000-point level [3] Group 3 - The article advocates for holding stocks during the holiday season, citing a positive outlook for the Chinese market driven by a shift towards domestic demand and government support for capital market stability [4] - It mentions a resurgence in stock buybacks among A-share companies, indicating a strengthening market sentiment [4] - The recommendation includes maintaining positions in sectors such as consumer services, food and beverage, and emerging technologies like internet and robotics [5] Group 4 - The article discusses the limited impact of external shocks on the Chinese market, suggesting that the recent adjustments are more about emotional digestion rather than fundamental changes [6] - It highlights the potential for a recovery in the market post-Spring Festival, driven by increased risk appetite and upcoming catalysts in various sectors [6] - The focus is on sectors like AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming market environment [10] Group 5 - The article indicates that the Hang Seng Technology Index has potential for recovery, especially if the liquidity shock subsides and new catalysts emerge in the AI sector [7] - It suggests that the market may experience a rotation towards sectors benefiting from major projects outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, such as construction materials and energy [7] - The overall sentiment is that the market will likely see a stronger performance post-holiday compared to pre-holiday levels [7] Group 6 - The article emphasizes the revaluation of Chinese assets, driven by a recovery in manufacturing and the return of capital from export enterprises [8] - It suggests that the focus should be on physical assets and sectors with global competitive advantages, such as energy and equipment manufacturing [8] - The recommendation includes sectors like oil, copper, and lithium, which are expected to benefit from a stabilization in demand and low inventory levels [8]
十大券商看后市|无需焦虑短期波动,持股过节兼具胜率与赔率
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 00:25
Core Viewpoint - The majority of brokerages believe that despite recent volatility in the A-share market, market sentiment has been sufficiently released, and the adjustment phase may be nearing its end. The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to bring positive calendar effects, making it a good opportunity to hold stocks during the holiday [1][10][12]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Brokerages suggest that the current external disturbances have not significantly impacted China's industrial fundamentals, and the market's emotional release indicates that the adjustment is largely complete. A spring market rally is anticipated post-Spring Festival, making it advisable to hold stocks during the holiday [1][10][13]. - The sentiment in the market is expected to improve due to the "Spring Festival effect" and increasing event catalysts, which could create a favorable environment for equity assets [14][13]. - Historical data shows that A-shares tend to rise around the Spring Festival, and with manageable external risks, the current market remains in a bullish atmosphere, suggesting that holding stocks during the holiday may be a relatively better strategy [12][10]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Sector Focus - Investment strategies should focus on maintaining a base in "resources + traditional manufacturing," while also increasing allocations in consumer and real estate chains. There is a recommendation to look for opportunities in the technology sector, particularly in AI-related industries [2][4][18]. - The focus on high-growth technology sectors, such as AI computing, robotics, and semiconductors, is emphasized as a key investment direction, alongside cyclical commodities that are expected to see price increases [18][5]. - The market is expected to experience a rotation, with sectors like TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) likely to perform better post-holiday, as historical trends indicate a recovery in risk appetite after the Spring Festival [17][11].
非银金融行业周报:新年新开户数亮眼,中国平安再次增持中国人寿(H)-20260208
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-08 13:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4][48]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings, with 4.9158 million new accounts in January 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 213% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 89% [4]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing shift of funds from traditional banks to capital markets and non-bank financial institutions, driven by the expiration of 70 trillion yuan in one-year or longer deposits and a decline in net interest margins [4]. - The report discusses the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerages [4]. - The report notes that the international business landscape for brokerages is expanding due to the deepening process of RMB internationalization and the demand for cross-border wealth management and investment banking services [4]. - The report mentions that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting a strong confidence in the insurance sector [4][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,643.60 with a decline of 1.33%, while the non-bank index closed at 2,030.92 with a decline of 0.60% [8]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [8]. Non-Bank Industry News and Key Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [10]. - Ping An Group's recent acquisitions of shares in China Life (H) are detailed, showcasing a strategic investment approach [12]. - Huatai Securities plans to issue 10 billion HKD in zero-coupon convertible bonds to support overseas business development [14]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brokerages with strong comprehensive capabilities, recommending stocks such as Guotai Junan A+H, GF Securities A+H, and CITIC Securities A+H [4]. - For insurance, the report recommends China Life (H), New China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance, highlighting the systemic value reassessment opportunities in the insurance sector [4].
A股趋势与风格定量观察20260208:节前维持看好观点-20260208
CMS· 2026-02-08 13:11
证券研究报告 | 金融工程 2026 年 2 月 8 日 节前维持看好观点 ——A 股趋势与风格定量观察 20260208 1. 当前市场观察 王武蕾 S1090519080001 wangwulei@cmschina.com.cn 王禹哲 S1090525080001 wangyuzhe@cmschina.com.cn 2. 市场最新观点 ❑ 风格轮动:本周末成长价值轮动模型建议超配成长,小盘大盘轮动模型建议 超配大盘,故综合推荐大盘成长风格。 风险提示:择时和风格轮动模型结论基于合理假设前提下结合历史数据统计规 律推导而出,市场环境变化下可能导致出现模型失效风险。 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 定期报告 ❑ 择时观点上,节前维持偏乐观的观点。国内层面,1 月制造业 PMI 录得 49.30,处于历史中性水平,虽仍呈现"上游强于下游"的结构性问题,但 与前期并无明显变化,在无超预期走弱的情况下,权益市场对此类信号或 趋于钝化。海外层面,地缘风险短期有所下降,叠加美股部分科技巨头财 报披露后利空/利好靴子落地,美股纳指有所反弹、道指持续新高,短期内 全球风险偏好或仍将处于高位。量能情绪上,节前谨慎以及获利了结情绪 ...
北交所策略专题报告:2025北交所券商执业全景:特色券商优势巩固,头部券商逐渐跃居前列
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-02-08 09:41
北交所策略专题报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 2025 北交所券商执业全景:特色券商优势巩固,头部券商逐渐跃居前列 ——北交所策略专题报告 北交所研究团队 诸海滨(分析师) zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790522080007 专题:2025 年格局重塑:头部券商成为执业主力军,特色券商优势巩固 2026 年 1 月 30 日北京证券交易所、全国股转公司根据对证券公司 2025 年的执 业质量情况进行了评价。2025 年度,115 家证券公司中,14 家证券公司子公司 纳入其母公司合并评价,由高到低分别被评为一、二、三、四档,其中,一档占 比 19.80%;二档占比 39.60%;三档占比 19.80%;四档占比 20.79%。从一档券 商变化来看,北交所市场券商执业格局"大洗牌",头部券商逐渐跃居前列。2025 年排名前十名分别为国泰海通、华泰证券、招商证券、申万宏源、中信证券、国 金证券、东吴证券、开源证券、中信建投、平安证券,其中华泰证券、中信证券、 平安证券分别由 2024 年的第二档跃升为第一档。从专业质量总分变化来看,头 部券商进步明显。2025 年排名前五名分别为 ...