Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.39 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit of 2.51 billion, up 0.40% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 2.42 billion, a 2.56% increase, and a net profit of 618 million, up 2.61% year-on-year [5][8] - The demand in the excavator industry has bottomed out, with the company’s pump and valve products and overseas markets performing better. In 2024, the total sales of excavators in China reached 201,131 units, a 3.13% increase, ending three consecutive years of decline [8] - The company has made breakthroughs in new products and technologies, with its screw rod products entering mass production. The world's largest pile-driving ship cylinder was successfully produced, setting a Guinness World Record [8] - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been lowered, and a new forecast for 2027 has been added, with expected net profits of 2.76 billion, 3.10 billion, and 3.54 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 10.29 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.6%. The net profit is projected to be 2.76 billion, reflecting a 9.9% increase [7] - The gross margin for 2024 was 42.83%, an increase of 0.93 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 26.76%, down 1.11 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company’s earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 2.06 yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 37 [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [3][30]. Core Viewpoints - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see significant growth, with a projected cumulative demand of approximately 2 million units by 2030, indicating a critical breakthrough phase from 0 to 1 [6][24]. - The report highlights key companies to watch in the humanoid robot supply chain, including Tier 1 suppliers and core component manufacturers [6][24]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological advancements in various sectors, including photovoltaic equipment, energy storage, semiconductor equipment, automation, and hydrogen energy, suggesting a favorable outlook for leading companies in these areas [6][25][26]. Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - Recent developments include the launch of the first domestic AI-powered exoskeleton robot by Zhiyuan, which features advanced technology for various applications [7]. - The first batch of 220 humanoid robots was delivered by Chery, showcasing their capabilities in customer service and sales guidance [17]. - The World Humanoid Robot Sports Competition is set to take place in August, highlighting the growing interest and innovation in the humanoid robotics field [23]. Photovoltaic Equipment - The penetration rate of N-type photovoltaic technology is accelerating, strengthening the competitive edge of leading companies [25]. - The report suggests focusing on companies that are innovating in cost-reduction technologies and expanding production capacity [25]. Energy Storage - Favorable policies are expected to drive growth in both generation-side and user-side energy storage [25]. - Companies like Xingyun Co. are positioned to benefit from strategic partnerships in the energy storage sector [25]. Semiconductor Equipment - The semiconductor equipment market is projected to reach $140 billion by 2030, with a focus on domestic alternatives due to low current localization rates [26]. - The report recommends monitoring companies that are well-positioned to capitalize on this trend [26]. Automation - The market for industrial tools is expected to grow from approximately 40 billion to 55.7 billion by 2026, with opportunities for leading companies to gain market share through increased concentration and import substitution [26]. Hydrogen Energy - The report highlights the potential of green hydrogen in achieving carbon neutrality, with a focus on companies that integrate the hydrogen supply chain [25].

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high and the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index reported 5990.16 points [1] - The CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index has increased by 4.51% in the past month, 2.70% in the past three months, and 4.12% year-to-date [2] - The CSI 300 Index categorizes its 300 sample stocks into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries [2] Group 2 - The top ten weights in the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index are: Huichuan Technology (18.27%), Sany Heavy Industry (14.28%), CRRC Corporation (10.71%), Weichai Power (9.94%), XCMG (9.0%), China Shipbuilding (8.24%), China Heavy Industry (6.03%), Hengli Hydraulic (4.98%), Zoomlion (4.63%), and Yutong Bus (4.29%) [2] - The market segments of the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index are composed of 54.62% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and 45.38% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] Group 3 - The industry composition of the CSI 300 Machinery Manufacturing Index includes: Engineering Machinery (27.91%), Electric Motors and Industrial Control Automation (18.27%), Shipbuilding and Other Marine Equipment (17.25%), Commercial Vehicles (15.10%), Urban Rail and Railways (13.81%), Fluid Machinery (4.98%), and Other Specialized Machinery (2.68%) [3] - The index sample is adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [3] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the CSI 300 Index samples [3]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing rapid iteration and policy catalysis, with Tesla's robot updates potentially creating structural investment opportunities. The enhancement of algorithm intelligence is a significant factor, and domestic advancements from companies like Huawei are noteworthy [1][2][3]. - The robot sector has shown strong rebounds since late April, driven by rapid hardware and software iterations, government support, and an increase in players and product launches [2][5]. Company-Specific Developments UBTECH Robotics - UBTECH leads in the humanoid robot field with over 15 industrial scene partnerships. The first order from Dongfeng Limited was for 20 units, totaling over 10 million yuan. The company expects to deliver 300-500 industrial robots this year, with a production capacity of 1,000 units. The new Work S2 model features autonomous battery swapping, enabling 24-hour operation and cost efficiency [1][3]. Zhaowei Electromechanical - Zhaowei will launch a new generation of dexterous hands in May-June, optimizing structure and motor solutions to reduce size, weight, and cost, thereby enhancing product competitiveness [1][4]. Keda Li - Keda Li has partnered with Taiwan's Amlit to focus on reducers, launching lightweight and fully sealed integrated products. The company anticipates exponential revenue growth this year, with a current valuation of less than 20 times earnings [1][10]. Hengli Hydraulic - Hengli has invested approximately 1.5 billion yuan in a linear actuator project, with total investments potentially reaching 2 billion yuan. The company has developed a cost-effective solution for robot screw applications, maintaining costs under 1,000 yuan [1][19][21]. - The company is also expanding its global production capacity, with a factory in France and plans for North American production to cater to humanoid robot clients [20][21]. Heng Erda - Heng Erda acquired German grinding machine company SMS for 850,000 euros. SMS specializes in high-precision CNC grinding machines and has a strong market position in the thread grinding sector [24][25]. Tongkun Co. - Tongkun focuses on specialty fibers, expanding into aramid and aramid paper businesses. The demand for ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene (UHMWPE) ballistic materials is surging, with overseas inquiries increasing significantly. The company expects profits from its main business to exceed 200 million yuan this year [1][17][18]. New Era Energy - New Era Energy has seen a threefold increase in electric heavy truck battery tray data in the first four months of 2025, with expected profits between 250 million to 300 million yuan. The company is also expanding into the robotics sector through acquisitions [11]. Market Dynamics - The rapid iteration of products by both domestic and international companies, including Tesla's third-generation robot updates and Huawei's supply chain advancements, is expected to drive the industry forward [2][5][6]. - The upcoming events hosted by UBTECH, such as the robot fighting competition and humanoid robot sports event, are anticipated to boost technological advancements and showcase industry confidence [2][3]. Investment Opportunities - The overall robot sector remains a strong thematic investment area, with numerous catalysts expected throughout the year, including product launches and technological advancements [2][6]. - Companies like Keda Li and Tongkun are highlighted as undervalued investment opportunities due to their innovative products and market positioning [10][18]. Conclusion - The humanoid robot industry is poised for significant growth, driven by technological advancements, strategic partnerships, and increasing market demand. Companies that adapt quickly and innovate will likely capture substantial market share and investment interest in the coming years [1][2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 93.01, compared to the last closing price of 76.10 [1][5]. Core Views - The demand for construction machinery is recovering, and the linear actuator project is expected to ramp up production, creating new growth opportunities for the company [1][4]. - The company reported a revenue of 93.90 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit of 25.09 billion, up 0.40% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is actively pursuing international expansion and diversifying its product offerings to enhance competitiveness [2][4]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 93.90 billion, with product breakdowns showing hydraulic cylinders at 47.61 billion (up 1.44%), hydraulic pumps and valves at 35.83 billion (up 9.63%), hydraulic systems at 2.96 billion (up 1.64%), and parts and castings at 6.84 billion (up 1.76%) [3]. - The company's gross margins for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 42.83% and 39.40%, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year change of +0.93 percentage points and -0.7 percentage points [3]. Market Outlook - The domestic excavator sales in 2024 are projected to reach 100,543 units, marking an 11.7% year-on-year increase, indicating a positive trend in domestic demand supported by policy initiatives [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the construction machinery sector and the anticipated growth in exports as it expands its international market presence [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are 102.96 billion, 117.99 billion, and 139.34 billion, respectively, with net profits projected at 27.71 billion, 31.93 billion, and 37.76 billion [5][6]. - The expected revenue growth rates are 9.6% for 2025, 14.6% for 2026, and 18.1% for 2027, while net profit growth rates are projected at 10.5%, 15.2%, and 18.3% for the same years [6].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the engineering machinery industry, with expectations of domestic and international demand recovery [6][31]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery industry is expected to benefit from a domestic demand recovery that exceeds expectations, leading to a resonance between domestic and international markets [6][31]. - The excavator segment is showing signs of recovery, while other machinery types are stabilizing, indicating a potential for overall industry growth [6][31]. - The report highlights significant improvements in profitability, with a projected year-on-year increase in net profit of 26% for 2024 and 41% for Q1 2025 [13][16]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a recovery phase, with excavators leading the way in sales growth [6][31]. - The report notes that the domestic excavator sales for 2024 are expected to reach 101,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [12]. Financial Performance - The total revenue for the engineering machinery sector is projected to increase by 3% in 2024 and 11% in Q1 2025, driven by domestic demand and export recovery [12][9]. - The net profit for the sector is expected to rise significantly, with major companies like SANY Heavy Industry and Zoomlion showing strong profit growth [16][14]. Company Analysis - SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and LiuGong are identified as leading companies in the excavator market, with SANY's revenue growth outpacing the industry average [12][40]. - The report provides detailed financial metrics for 13 listed companies in the engineering machinery sector, highlighting their market capitalization, revenue, and profit margins [4][12]. Market Dynamics - The report discusses the cyclical nature of the industry, indicating that the bottom of the cycle has been reached and a replacement cycle is underway [32][35]. - It emphasizes the importance of cost control and efficiency improvements among leading companies, which have contributed to enhanced profitability [22][27]. Export Market - The global excavator market is projected to recover as interest rates decline, with emerging markets showing strong demand for mid to large-sized excavators [43][44]. - The report notes that exports to new markets are performing well, particularly in Southeast Asia and Latin America, which are expected to drive future growth [44].

Core Viewpoint - The annual report season for listed companies in Jiangsu has concluded, revealing significant financial performance with a total revenue of 34,536.1 billion yuan and a net profit of 2,381.2 billion yuan, indicating that nearly 80% of companies reported profits, with over 100 companies experiencing a net profit growth of 50% [1][4]. Group 1: Nanjing Companies - Jiangsu Bank ranked as the most profitable listed company in Jiangsu with a net profit of 31.843 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 10.76% [3][4]. - Nanjing Bank and Huatai Securities followed, with net profits of 20.177 billion yuan and 15.351 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 9.05% and 20.40% [3][4]. - Jiangsu Bank's net profit exceeded the total net profit of the top 20 listed companies in Wuxi, which was approximately 28.033 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Suzhou Companies - Suzhou Bank emerged as the most profitable company in Suzhou with a net profit of 5.068 billion yuan and a net profit margin of 41.5% [6][7]. - The automotive parts manufacturer Huguang Co. reported a remarkable net profit growth of 1,139.15%, driven by the increasing demand in the new energy vehicle market [7]. - The top 10 companies in Suzhou's net profit rankings were predominantly from the financial sector, indicating a strong performance in this industry [6]. Group 3: Wuxi Companies - WuXi AppTec led Wuxi companies with a net profit of 9.450 billion yuan, although it experienced a slight decline in both revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.73% and 1.63%, respectively [10][11]. - The company derived over 60% of its revenue from the U.S. market, highlighting its significant international exposure [11]. Group 4: Changzhou Companies - Hengli Hydraulic reported a net profit of 2.509 billion yuan, showing a modest increase of 0.4% year-on-year, while its revenue grew by 4.51% to 9.39 billion yuan [12][14]. - New City Holdings, despite a revenue decline of 25.32% to 88.999 billion yuan, managed to maintain a positive net profit of 0.752 billion yuan, indicating resilience in a challenging real estate market [14].

中国国际金融股份有限公司（以下简称"中金公司"或"保荐机构"）作为 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司（以下简称"恒立液压"或"公司"）持续督导的保 荐机构，根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《上海证券交易所股票上市规 则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 11 号——持续督导》《上海证券 交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——规范运作》以及《上市公司监管指引第 2 号——上市公司募集资金管理和使用的监管要求（2022 年修订）》等相关法律、 法规和规范性文件的规定，中金公司出具 2024 年度持续督导年度报告书。 序 号 项目 工作内容 1 建立健全并有效执行持续督导工作制度， 并针对具体的持续督导工作制定相应的工 作计划 保荐机构已建立健全并有效执行了持 续督导制度，并制定了相应的工作计 划 2 根据中国证监会相关规定，在持续督导工 作开始前，与上市公司或相关当事人签署 持续督导协议，明确双方在持续督导期间 的权利和义务，并报上海证券交易所备案 保荐机构已与恒立液压签署保荐协 议，该协议明确了双方在持续督导期 间的权利和义务，并报上海证券交易 所备案 3 通过日常沟通、定期回访、现场检查、尽 职调查等方式 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 86.24 CNY for the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit of 2.509 billion CNY, up 0.4% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.422 billion CNY, a 2.56% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 618 million CNY, up 2.61% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on overseas capacity construction and electrification, with significant capital expenditures planned for 2023 and 2024, amounting to 1.37 billion CNY and 1.07 billion CNY respectively [1]. - The company is experiencing robust growth due to increased market share in excavator pumps and valves, expansion in non-construction machinery sectors, and international business growth [1]. Financial Performance - The company's gross and net profit margins for 2024 were 42.8% and 26.8%, respectively, with slight changes year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 39.4% and the net margin was 25.6% [2]. - R&D expenses for 2024 and Q1 2025 were 728 million CNY and 149 million CNY, reflecting increases of 4.8% and 40% year-on-year, respectively [2]. Business Development - The linear actuator project is progressing, with trial production expected to start in Q2 2024, and the Mexican factory project has reached 75% completion and is now in trial production [3]. - The company aims to enhance its electric strategy and expand its presence in the North American market through these initiatives [3]. Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 10.48 billion CNY, 12.16 billion CNY, and 14.17 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.6%, 16%, and 16.5% respectively [8]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 2.63 billion CNY, 3 billion CNY, and 3.61 billion CNY, with growth rates of 5%, 14.1%, and 20.3% respectively [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 9.39 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion yuan, up 0.40% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.51% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 2.51 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.40% year-on-year [1] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 2.42 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.56% [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The hydraulic pump and valve segment was the main driver of revenue growth in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 9.63% [2] - The hydraulic cylinder segment experienced a modest revenue growth of 1.44% in 2024, primarily driven by non-standard cylinders in heavy equipment [2] - The company’s international revenue grew by 7.6% year-on-year, accounting for 22.2% of total revenue, an increase of 0.6 percentage points [2] Group 3: Market Trends - The domestic excavator industry saw a significant increase in sales, with a year-on-year growth of 38.3% in the first quarter of 2025, benefiting the company's related businesses [3] - The company anticipates good growth in its excavator-related business due to the upward cycle in domestic excavator sales [3] - The marine engineering and industrial sectors are expected to continue driving growth in non-standard hydraulic components [3] Group 4: Profitability and Cost Management - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 42.83%, an increase of 1.09 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost reduction and product structure optimization [3] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 26.76%, a decrease of 1.11 percentage points year-on-year, due to increased sales and management expenses [3] - The company expects a slowdown in the rate of increase in expense ratios as new production capacity begins to contribute to revenue in 2025 [3] Group 5: New Projects - The linear drive project has entered mass production, expected to contribute to new revenue and profit growth [4] - The company has developed various products for the linear drive project and has begun trial production and validation [4] - Projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are 2.86 billion yuan and 3.35 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 35 and 30 [4]