摘要 2017 年至 2022 年，居民存款快速增长，2022 年达 17.8 万亿元峰值， 增速从 1.1%升至 17.4%。2023 年起增速回落，预计 2025 年降至 10%左右。房地产市场下行和资管产品收益下降是存款增长的主要驱动 因素。 金融监管收紧和资管新规落地导致部分资金回流银行存款。央行推进存 款利率市场化改革，2022 年 9 月至 2025 年 5 月，五年期定存利率累 计下调 135 个基点，短端利率下调 60 个基点，促使资金流向理财产品 等。 随着存款利率下调和资本市场收益增强，居民投资偏好多元化，青睐理 财产品、货币基金等类货币金融产品。债券、股票等风险资产在 2024 年相对收益提升，也吸引部分资金流入。 2017/2018 年是居民金融资产配置的重要拐点，现金存款配置比例上 升，2022 年占比达 85%，表明财富回流存款端。2023 年以来，金融 产品和资管产品投资比例回升至 31%，但仍低于 2014-2017 年水平， 存款类配置比例维持在 70%左右。 Q&A 近年来我国居民存款的变化趋势如何？具体有哪些阶段性的特征？ 从 2018 年开始，我国居民存款进入了一个持续 ...

8月5日，甘肃银行发布公告称，该行与甘肃资产管理有限公司（以下简称"甘肃资管"）签订资产转让合同，同意以153亿元的代价向甘肃资管出售所出售资 产。资产转让合同须待独立股东于临时股东大会批准后生效。 公告显示，甘肃省国投直接及间接持有甘肃银行已发行股本约23.41%，为该行主要股东之一，而甘肃资管为甘肃省国投之附属公司。 甘肃银行所出售资产为该行持有的若干低效益资产所组成的资产包，包括信贷资产及金融投资资产。信贷资产主要为贷款，行业分布包括批发和零售业、房 地产业、制造业、采矿业，本金总额为40.85亿元。金融投资资产的本金总额为137.79亿元，包括信托产品76.23亿元、资管计划40.98亿元、债券18.59亿元， 以及私募基金1.99亿元。 公告显示，甘肃银行将收到的资产出售事项的代价为153亿元，其中首付款80亿元，剩余代价73亿元将在5年内分期支付。在考虑时间价值后，剩余代价的现 值估计约为67.96亿元，资产出售事项的代价总现值约为147.96亿元。根据所出售资产的账面净值及代价现值估算，预计资产出售事项将产生的负面财务影响 约为1.26亿元。上述估计或有别于资产出售事项的实际财务影响。 甘肃银行 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gansu Bank has signed an asset transfer contract with Gansu Asset Management Co., intending to sell an asset package for 15.3 billion yuan, which has a total principal and interest balance of approximately 19.719 billion yuan [1][3]. Group 1: Asset Transfer Details - Gansu Bank has accelerated the disposal of non-performing assets since its listing, having sold asset packages totaling nearly 23.8 billion yuan to Gansu Asset Management in eight transactions [2][5]. - The current asset package includes not only credit assets but also non-credit low-yield financial investment assets such as trust and asset management plans [2][3]. - The asset package consists of approximately 17.864 billion yuan in principal and 1.855 billion yuan in accrued interest, with the credit assets primarily in wholesale and retail, real estate, manufacturing, and mining sectors [3]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The sale price of 15.3 billion yuan is slightly higher than the net book value of the disposed assets, which is approximately 14.922 billion yuan after accounting for impairment provisions of about 4.797 billion yuan [3]. - The payment for the asset transfer will be made in installments, with an initial payment of 8 billion yuan due within five working days of the contract's effectiveness, followed by two additional payments over the next five years [4]. Group 3: Industry Context - The trend of accelerating non-performing asset disposal in the banking industry is evident, with Gansu Bank's actions reflecting a broader industry movement towards managing both credit and non-credit asset quality [7]. - Gansu Asset Management, established in 2016, focuses on managing, investing, and disposing of non-performing assets, indicating a growing market for such services in the region [7].

证券代码：301088 证券简称：戎美股份 公告编号：2025-029 日禾戎美股份有限公司 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于同意日禾戎美股份有限公司首次公开发行 股票注册的批复》（证监许可[2021]2597 号）核准，并经深圳证券交易所同意， 公司向社会公开发行人民币普通股（A 股）5,700 万股，每股面值人民币 1.00 元， 每股发行价格人民币 33.16 元，募集资金总额人民币 1,890,120,000.00 元，扣除 相关发行费用后实际募集资金净额为人民币 1,732,678,854.04 元。容诚会计师事 务所（特殊普通合伙）已于 2021 年 10 月 21 日对公司募集资金到位情况进行了 审验，并出具了《日禾戎美股份有限公司首次发行募集资金验资报告》（容诚验 字[2021]201Z0044 号）。公司对募集资金采取专户存储管理，并与保荐机构、募 集资金专户所在银行签署了《募集资金三方监管协议》及《募集资金四方监管协 议》 关于使用部分闲置募集资金与部分闲置自有资金进行现金管理的公 告 二、 募集资金投资项目及使用情况 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gansu Bank has signed an asset transfer contract with Gansu Asset Management Co., Ltd. to sell an asset package for 15.3 billion yuan, marking the eighth asset sale since 2021, with a total transfer of over 23.7 billion yuan and actual recovery of less than 16.3 billion yuan [2][6]. Group 1: Asset Transfer Details - The asset package has a total book balance of approximately 19.719 billion yuan, including a principal balance of about 17.864 billion yuan and accrued interest of about 1.855 billion yuan [3]. - Gansu Bank has made a provision for impairment of 4.797 billion yuan, resulting in a net book value of approximately 14.922 billion yuan, indicating a transfer premium of 2.5% over the net book value [3][4]. - The assets being sold are in a continuous loss state, with pre-tax losses of approximately 669 million yuan in 2023 and further deterioration in 2024, with pre-tax losses expanding to approximately 903 million yuan [3][4]. Group 2: Composition of Assets - The asset package consists of 63% financial investment assets (non-credit bad debts), including trust products (7.623 billion yuan), asset management plans (4.098 billion yuan), bonds (1.859 billion yuan), and private equity funds (199 million yuan) [3][7]. - Traditional credit assets account for only 37%, with a total principal amount of 4.085 billion yuan, distributed across wholesale and retail, real estate, manufacturing, and exploration industries [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Implications - The banking industry is accelerating the disposal of non-credit bad assets, which, while different from traditional credit assets, still negatively impact asset quality and operational efficiency [4][5]. - The payment for the asset transfer will be made in installments, with an initial payment of 8 billion yuan due within five working days, and the remaining 7.3 billion yuan to be paid over five years [4]. - This asset sale is expected to alleviate historical burdens on the bank, improve asset quality, reduce provisions and impairment losses, and enhance profitability [5]. Group 4: Financial Performance - As of the end of 2024, Gansu Bank's total assets reached 414.708 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, but the bank's operating income decreased by 10.7% to 5.954 billion yuan, marking the first decline in net profit in five years [9]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) balance was 4.341 billion yuan, with an NPL ratio of 1.93%, which is still below the average level of commercial banks [8][10].

Summary of Conference Call on China Banks Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the Chinese banking sector, specifically discussing the performance of covered banks in the A/H share markets, with notable mentions of China Merchants Bank (CMB) and Bank of Communications (BoCom) [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments 1. Market Performance - Since the beginning of the year, A/H share performance of covered banks has increased by 15% and 26% respectively, with CMB outperforming BoCom by 15 percentage points [1]. - The banking sector is viewed as having reached an inflection point, supported by recent market performance and evolving economic conditions [1]. 2. Earnings Expectations - Average projected growth for 2Q25 is 0.3% for both Pre-Provision Operating Profit (PPOP) and net profit for covered banks [2]. - Target prices for A/H shares have increased by 7% to 12% on average due to improved dividend outlook and reduced earnings pressure [2]. 3. Dividend Yields and Fund Flows - Current dividend yields are historically low at 4.2% for A shares and 5.0% for H shares, compared to a 10-year median of 4.7% and 6.4% respectively [3][10]. - Despite low yields, there is an anticipated increase in fund allocation to the banking sector, driven by declining deposit rates and increased interest from non-bank financial institutions and retail investors [3][10]. - The 3-year time deposit rate has fallen to 1.25%, down from 1.95% and 2.60% in early 2024 and 2023 respectively, leading to a shift of funds from bank deposits to non-bank financial products [9][12]. 4. Positive Fundamental Changes - Capital strength and asset quality are improving, with proactive fiscal policies easing local government debt pressures [23]. - Net Interest Margin (NIM) is expected to stabilize sooner than previously projected, with a slower rate of decline anticipated in 2025 [24][27]. - Capital injections have strengthened bank balance sheets, allowing for sustained dividend payments despite short-term earnings pressures [29]. 5. Key Risks - Mortgage risk remains a concern, with expectations that NPL ratios will stabilize in 2026, but a sharper decline in housing prices could delay this stabilization [35][42]. - Manufacturing and export-related sectors pose risks, as they represent approximately 40% of bank loan portfolios, with potential increased provisioning expected in 2026 [35][49]. 6. 2Q25 Earnings Expectations - Revenue growth is under pressure, with large SOE banks expected to maintain loan growth while smaller banks may grow rapidly [52]. - Potential NIM stabilization in 2Q25 is highlighted, with some banks indicating lower deposit costs [59]. - Preliminary results from BONB suggest potential improvement in asset quality, contrary to market expectations [58]. 7. Shareholder Returns - While dividend payouts for 1H25 are unlikely to change, there is potential for increases in 2H25 driven by capital injections and pressure from institutional investors [65]. Other Important Insights - Retail investors are increasingly utilizing high-dividend ETFs rather than direct stock purchases, indicating a shift in investment strategies [21]. - The compression of deposit rates is driving funds into trust products and wealth management, further lowering funding costs for non-bank institutions [16]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections regarding the Chinese banking sector as discussed in the conference call, highlighting both opportunities and risks for investors.

Core Viewpoint - Trust products occupy a unique position in the financial market, and their yield stability is a key concern for many investors. Understanding the factors influencing the stability of trust product yields requires a comprehensive analysis [1][2]. Group 1: Factors Affecting Yield Stability - Trust products are based on trust and are a property management system where investors entrust funds to trust companies for management and operation, targeting specific projects such as infrastructure, business operations, and real estate development [1]. - Credit risk is a significant factor in assessing the yield stability of trust products. The credit risk primarily depends on the credit status and repayment ability of the financing party. A financially sound and stable financing party can ensure timely and full payment of yields, thus enhancing yield stability [1]. - Market risk also significantly impacts the yield stability of trust products. Changes in the macroeconomic environment, industry development cycles, and interest rate fluctuations can cause yield volatility. During economic prosperity, trust products often achieve better yields, while economic downturns can adversely affect yield stability [2]. - Policy risk is an unavoidable factor as well. Different industries are affected by policies to varying degrees. For instance, strict real estate regulations can limit financing and development progress for real estate trust projects, impacting their yields [2].

Core Viewpoint - Understanding the differences between bank wealth management products and trust products is crucial for investors to make informed asset allocation decisions [1] Group 1: Issuing Entities - Bank wealth management products are issued by commercial banks or other financial institutions, leveraging their extensive customer base and financial strength [1] - Trust products are issued by trust companies, which manage and utilize trust assets professionally under the principle of "entrusted by others, managing finances for others" [1] Group 2: Investment Thresholds - Bank wealth management products generally have a lower investment threshold, with minimum investment amounts ranging from a few thousand to tens of thousands of yuan, making them accessible to more ordinary investors [1] - In contrast, trust products typically require a higher investment threshold, with common minimum investment amounts starting at 1 million yuan or more [1] Group 3: Investment Directions - The investment direction of bank wealth management products is broad, covering money market instruments, bond markets, and credit markets, allowing for risk diversification and achievement of return objectives [2] - Trust products also have diverse investment areas but focus on large infrastructure projects, real estate projects, and corporate financing, supporting the development of the real economy [2] Group 4: Risk and Return Characteristics - Bank wealth management products are categorized by risk levels, offering a range from low to high risk, with low-risk products providing stable but relatively lower returns [2] - Trust products usually offer higher returns, which correspond to their higher investment thresholds and associated risks, with returns dependent on the operational status of the trust projects and market conditions [2] Group 5: Regulatory Framework - Both bank wealth management products and trust products are under strict regulatory oversight, ensuring compliance in product design, sales, and investment operations to protect investors' rights [3] - Regulatory policies for trust products include guidelines for the establishment, operation, and risk management of trust companies to ensure the healthy and stable development of the trust market [3]

Core Insights - Trust products play a significant role in the investment and financial management sector, making accurate risk assessment crucial for investors [1][2] Group 1: Understanding Trust Products - Understanding the background and purpose of trust projects is essential, as different investment areas such as infrastructure, real estate, or business operations face varying market environments and risk factors [1] - The reputation and strength of trust companies should be evaluated, as reputable companies typically have stricter standards and more experience in project selection and risk management [1][2] Group 2: Risk Assessment Dimensions - The transaction structure of trust products is a key dimension for risk assessment, including the analysis of credit enhancement measures such as collateral and guarantees [2] - Risk control measures established by trust companies, including fund supervision, early warning mechanisms, and stop-loss measures, are critical for minimizing potential losses [2] - Monitoring macroeconomic conditions and regulatory changes is vital, as fluctuations in the economy and updates in policies can significantly impact trust projects [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company has established a comprehensive management system for entrusted financial management to enhance investment returns while controlling risks and safeguarding the interests of the company and its shareholders [1][2]. Group 1: Definition and Scope - "Entrusted financial management" refers to the management of idle funds by entrusting financial institutions to enhance the efficiency of fund usage and increase cash asset returns [2][3]. - The system applies to the company and its subsidiaries, requiring approval for any entrusted financial management activities [2][3]. Group 2: Management Principles - The company must adhere to principles of safety, liquidity, and profitability, prioritizing fund safety and maintaining reasonable liquidity to meet operational and strategic investment needs [5][6]. - Funds used for entrusted financial management must be idle funds, ensuring that normal operational and project funds are not affected [6][7]. Group 3: Approval Authority - The decision-making bodies for entrusted financial management include the chairman, board of directors, and shareholders' meeting, with specific approval requirements based on the transaction amount relative to the company's market value [9][10]. - Transactions exceeding certain thresholds require different levels of approval, ensuring proper oversight [10]. Group 4: Information Disclosure - The company must not use entrusted financial management to circumvent necessary approval and disclosure obligations related to asset purchases or external investments [13][14]. - Any significant changes or risks related to entrusted financial products must be disclosed promptly [14][15]. Group 5: Management and Operation - The finance department is responsible for managing entrusted financial products, including planning, execution, and monitoring of investments [16][17]. - Written contracts must be signed with financial institutions, clearly outlining investment amounts, terms, and responsibilities [18][19]. Group 6: Financial Accounting - Upon completion of entrusted financial management, the company must obtain investment proof and ensure proper accounting and documentation [20][21]. Group 7: Supervision and Risk Control - The internal audit department is tasked with the daily supervision of financial products, ensuring compliance with approval processes and monitoring fund usage [22][23]. - Independent directors and the audit committee have the authority to inspect and review entrusted financial products [24][25].