Summary of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co. Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co. Ltd - **Industry**: Industrial Equipment, specifically hydraulic components - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: Rmb105.00, representing a 12% upside from the current price of Rmb93.96 as of October 27, 2025 [6][8] Financial Performance - **3Q25 Results**: - Revenue increased by 25% YoY to Rmb2,749 million, slightly above Morgan Stanley's estimate of 20% but in line with consensus [8] - Gross Profit Margin (GPM) improved by 1 percentage point YoY to 42%, attributed to better economies of scale [8] - Net Profit (NP) rose by 31% YoY to Rmb813 million, exceeding Morgan Stanley's estimate of approximately 24% [8] - Non-GAAP NP increased by 13% YoY, driven by higher financial asset gains [8] - **Sales and Profit Growth Expectations**: - Management anticipates a sales growth of approximately 12% and net profit growth of around 16% YoY for fiscal year 2025, consistent with the growth observed in the first nine months of 2025 [2][8] Segment Performance - **Revenue Breakdown**: - Excavator cylinders: Rmb675 million in 3Q25, up 24% YoY - Non-excavator cylinders: Rmb629 million, up 22% YoY - Pumps and valves: Rmb1,100 million, up 21% YoY - Components and integrated systems: Rmb88 million, up 55% YoY - Accessories and castings: Rmb222 million, up 38% YoY [3] Market Dynamics - **Demand Recovery**: - Expected recovery in overseas demand for excavator cylinders in 4Q25, alongside continued domestic recovery in the upcycle [2] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: - Price target based on applying a 35x P/E ratio for core business and a 6x P/S ratio for humanoid robot parts revenue, projected at Rmb4 billion [9] - **Risks**: - Upside risks include stronger-than-expected demand for excavators and pumps & valves, and successful penetration into foreign brands' supply chains [11] - Downside risks involve a sharp decline in demand for excavators and pumps & valves in China, and failure to expand market share in non-excavator parts [11] Key Metrics - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb125,984 million - **Average Daily Trading Value**: Rmb874 million - **EPS Forecast**: Expected to grow from Rmb1.87 in 2024 to Rmb2.85 in 2027 [6] Conclusion Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co. Ltd. is positioned for continued growth in the hydraulic components market, supported by strong financial performance and recovery in demand. The company's strategic focus on expanding its product offerings and market share, particularly in the humanoid robotics sector, presents potential investment opportunities. However, investors should remain cautious of market volatility and demand fluctuations in the construction machinery sector.

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - In September, industrial enterprises' profits improved year-on-year to 21.6%, up from 20.4% in August, driven by a low base effect and strong export performance [3] - Revenue growth for industrial enterprises also increased to 3.1% in September from 2.3% in August, indicating a positive trend in cash flow due to anti-involution policies [3] Group 2: Fixed Income Market Analysis - The bond market has shown signs of recovery in October, influenced by trade tensions and a loose liquidity environment, with expectations for a better fourth quarter compared to the third [5] - The market anticipates a controlled impact from new redemption regulations, with a focus on short to medium-term credit bonds as a primary investment strategy [5] Group 3: Oil and Gas Sector - Oil prices have entered a downward trend due to OPEC+ increasing production targets and seasonal demand decline, with Brent crude expected to average $68 in 2025 and $62 in 2026 [9] - Despite short-term volatility from geopolitical tensions, the long-term outlook suggests limited impact from sanctions on oil prices, with high-dividend energy companies presenting investment opportunities [9] Group 4: Real Estate and Construction - The real estate market is experiencing a decline in transaction volumes for both new and second-hand homes, attributed to high base effects and seasonal factors [8] - The construction sector shows mixed signals, with some recovery in cement supply and demand, while asphalt production rates have decreased [8] Group 5: Key Company Performances - Beike-W (2423 HK) is projected to benefit from a gradual market recovery, with a target price of HKD 65.64 based on a 26x PE ratio for 2026 [11] - Zhiou Technology (301376 CH) reported a revenue of CNY 60.8 billion for the first three quarters, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, and is expected to improve profitability as tariff risks ease [12] - Tianhai Defense (300008 CH) showed significant growth in Q3, with a revenue increase of 57.27% year-on-year, driven by strong orders in shipbuilding and defense sectors [14] - Kuka Home (603816 CH) reported steady revenue growth of 6.5% in Q3, with a focus on global expansion and brand strength [15] - Weixing New Materials (002372 CH) experienced a revenue decline of 9.83% in Q3, but is expected to see margin recovery as product prices stabilize [16] Group 6: Consumer Goods and Services - Salted Fish (002847 CH) reported a revenue increase of 14.7% year-on-year, with a focus on optimizing product categories and channels to enhance profitability [27] - Petty Co. (300673 CH) continues to see strong growth in its domestic brand, with a focus on single product strategies despite challenges in overseas markets [18] - Jiangsu Bank (601009 CH) reported a steady growth in net profit and revenue, driven by stable interest income and effective cost management [32]

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 76.70%, despite a slight decline in recent trading days [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hengli Hydraulic achieved a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.31%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.09 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.49% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 5.775 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.708 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Hengli Hydraulic was 36,900, a decrease of 15.76% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 18.70% to 36,379 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the fourth largest, holding 118 million shares, an increase of 15.19 million shares from the previous period [3].

Core Points - The company guarantees the authenticity, accuracy, and completeness of the quarterly report, and assumes legal responsibility for its content [2][7][13] - The third quarter financial report is not audited [3][4] - The company plans to provide a total guarantee amount not exceeding RMB 750 million for its subsidiaries with a debt-to-asset ratio below 70% [13][14][24] Financial Data - The report includes major financial data and indicators, but specific figures are not provided in the excerpts [3][4] - The company has provided guarantees totaling RMB 49.68 million as of September 30, 2025, which is 0.31% of the audited net assets as of December 31, 2024 [24] Shareholder Information - The board meeting on October 25, 2025, was valid with 7 votes in favor and no opposition [9][10][16] - The company has a total of 10 major shareholders, but specific details are not provided in the excerpts [5] Guarantee Details - The guarantee is intended to support the daily operations and business development of subsidiaries [14][24] - The guarantee agreement will be negotiated and finalized at the time of actual guarantee business occurrence [22]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.31% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.087 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 16.49% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.009 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.78% [1] - The basic earnings per share stood at 1.56 yuan [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the performance and changes in the top holdings of the Penghua Dual Bond Plus Fund, which reported a net value growth rate of 19.08% over the past year [1] - The fund's top ten holdings have seen significant changes, with new additions including Zijin Mining, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, Hengli Hydraulic, Shandong Gold, and others [1] - Zijin Mining is the largest holding in the fund, accounting for 0.77% of the total portfolio [1] Group 2 - New top holdings include Zijin Mining with 4.65 million shares valued at 1.37 billion, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft with 1.88 million shares valued at 1.35 billion, and Hengli Hydraulic with 1.30 million shares valued at 1.25 billion [1] - Other new entries in the top ten include Shandong Gold, China Merchants Energy, and several technology companies [1] - The fund has exited from previous top holdings such as Huadian Power, Zhongji Xuchuang, and others, indicating a shift in investment strategy [1]

本公司董事会及董事会全体成员保证公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实、准确和完整承担个别及连带责任。 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）董事会于2025年10月15 日以书面送达以及发送电子邮件方式向公司全体董事发出召开公司第六届董事 会第二次会议的通知，会议于2025年10月25日以现场表决与通讯表决相结合的 方式召开，会议应出席董事7名，实际现场出席董事4名，采用通讯表决方式的 董事3名。本次会议的召集和召开符合《公司法》和《公司章程》的有关规 定，会议决议为有效决议。本次会议由董事长汪立平先生召集并主持。会议审 议了如下议案： 1、审议《江苏恒立液压股份有限公司2025年第三季度报告》； 证券代码：601100 证券简称：恒立液压 公告编号：临 2025-029 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司 第六届董事会第二次会议决议公告 2、审议《江苏恒立液压股份有限公司关于对外提供担保额度预计的议 案》；该议案内容与本公告同日披露于上海证券交易所网站www.sse.com.cn。 表决结果：7票同意、0 票弃权、0 票反对。 特此公告。 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司董事会 2025年 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic (601100) announced that the company does not provide guarantees to entities outside its subsidiaries and has no overdue guarantees [1] Summary by Category - **Company Guarantees** - The company confirmed that it does not have any guarantees provided to entities outside its subsidiaries [1] - There are no overdue guarantees reported by the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic (601100) reported strong financial performance for Q3 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, driven primarily by increased product sales [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 2.619 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.53% [1] - Q3 net profit was 658 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 30.6% [1] - For the first three quarters, net profit totaled 2.087 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.49% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) reported a year-on-year increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating strong financial performance and growth potential in the hydraulic industry [1] Financial Performance - The total operating revenue for the first three quarters reached 7.79 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.31% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.087 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.49% [1] - The basic earnings per share stood at 1.56 yuan [1]