Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan indicates that the performance pressure in Q2 is limited, with expectations for improved new business performance and further reductions in the cost of new liabilities due to anticipated interest rate cuts in Q3 [1] Group 1: Market Conditions and Fund Flows - A-share listed insurance companies are significantly underrepresented compared to the CSI 300 index, with public fund regulations expected to drive incremental capital inflows [1] - As of the end of Q1, the allocation of equity funds in the non-bank sector is underweight by 9.68% compared to the CSI 300 index, second only to banks [1] Group 2: New Liability Costs and Product Transformation - The cost of new liabilities has decreased significantly, with some insurance companies optimizing their existing liability costs [2] - The NBV (New Business Value) and VIF (Value of In-Force) yield performances for major insurers show a year-on-year decline, indicating effective risk management of interest spread losses [2] - The transformation of participating insurance products has exceeded expectations, with major insurers elevating this strategy to a strategic level [3] Group 3: Insurance Capital Market Participation - The implementation plan for promoting long-term capital market participation highlights the role of insurance capital as a key player, with sustainable growth in insurance fund utilization expected [4] - The upper limit for equity allocation for insurance capital has been unexpectedly relaxed, allowing for a total equity allocation scale of 9.29 trillion yuan, an increase of 505.5 billion yuan from previous regulations [4] - The reduction of investment risk factors for stock investments further opens up the equity allocation limits for insurance capital [4]

金十图示：2025年06月11日（周三）富时中国A50指数成分股午盘收盘行情一览：证券、石油行业走强，银行股涨跌不一 保险 R 中国人保 中国太保 中国平安 咖啡 3701.55亿市值 3417.15亿市值 9900.90亿市值 24.63亿成交额 5.07亿成交额 6.20亿成交额 35.52 54.37 8.37 +0.64(+1.83%) +0.94(+1.76%) +0.05(+0.60%) 酸酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 18645.12亿市值 2170.80亿市值 4846.96亿市值 29.50亿成交额 11.07亿成交额 7.71亿成交额 1484.25 177.94 124.87 +9.24(+0.63%) +0.48(+0.39%) +1.12(+0.63%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2226.12亿市值 3165.52亿市值 2519.64亿市值 7.68亿成交额 29.28亿成交额 9.26亿成交额 416.74 603.57 136.19 +1.68(+0.28%) -5.79(-4.08%) -0.26(-0.06%) 汽车整车 铁路公路 比亚迪 ...

Core Insights - The insurance sector is expected to attract incremental capital inflows due to significant underweighting compared to the CSI 300 index, driven by new public fund regulations [4][12][13] - The cost of new liabilities has significantly improved, with the transformation of participating insurance progressing beyond expectations, indicating effective cost control measures [4][25][29] - Insurance capital is accelerating its market entry, supported by a series of policies aimed at addressing existing barriers, enhancing the sustainability of insurance fund utilization [4][22][41] Funding Aspect - The public fund regulations are anticipated to lead to increased capital inflows into the insurance sector, which is currently underweighted compared to the CSI 300 index by 9.68% [11][12] - The insurance sector's weight in public funds is expected to gradually correct, with major insurers like Ping An and China Life showing significant underweighting [4][12][13] Liability Aspect - The new liability cost has decreased significantly, with the NBV breakeven yield for major insurers showing improvements: Ping An at 2.42%, China Life at 2.43%, and China Pacific at 2.60% [25][29] - The transformation of participating insurance is progressing well, with major insurers increasing their focus on this product type, indicating a strategic shift in product offerings [4][29] Asset Aspect - Insurance capital is entering the market more rapidly, with policies in place to facilitate this process, including adjustments to the equity investment limits for insurance funds [4][22][41] - The relaxation of investment risk factors for insurance capital is expected to enhance the equity allocation limits, allowing for greater investment in the stock market [4][22] Investment Analysis - The insurance sector is positioned to outperform the market, with policy support and performance recovery being key highlights [7][10] - The sector's performance has been bolstered by favorable regulatory changes and improved earnings, with the insurance index outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.6 percentage points year-to-date [7][10]

中国的银行保险从1 9 9 6年开始起步。银保产品一直以趸交为主，到2 0 0 7年银保渠道的 新单保费已经超过了所有其他渠道新单保费之和。从2013年到2016年，银保总保费占 寿险行业总规模保费的一半，近几年降到30%左右。最近三年，银保期交保费也逐步赶 上了个险渠道，越发显示出其重要性。 在第一部分，首先回顾了银保业务发展的六个阶段，从2024年开始，进入"报行合一"的 全新阶段。我们汇总了全行业银保新单保费和期交保费数据，另外我们将寿险公司分为 六组，也汇总了每组的保费数据。 在第二部分，我们展示了7 6家寿险公司过去十五年的新单保费和40家大中型公司的行业 排名。我们用亿元做单位，数字0表示保费小于0.5亿元。 这篇文章《银保渠道的过去和未来》是我最近写的研究报告，主要内容分为三个部分在 这里连载。2 0 2 2年初在研究银保渠道时，我选了15家以银保为主并且规模较大的公司， 分为两组，分别称为银保七雄和八大金刚，并且将所有做银保的寿险公司分为六大类， 这种分类对分析银保保费的变化和趋势有很大帮助。 二、2005到2012年 正常增长的时代 根据不完全统计，2005年银保渠道的总保费为9 5 2亿， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing enthusiasm of insurance capital entering the capital market, exemplified by China Pacific Insurance's establishment of two large-scale funds totaling 500 billion yuan, indicating a significant trend in the insurance sector's investment strategies [3][4][12]. Fund Establishment - China Pacific Insurance has launched two funds: the Taibao Zhanxin M&A Fund with a target size of 300 billion yuan and the Taibao Zhiyuan No. 1 Private Securities Investment Fund with a target size of 200 billion yuan [4][7]. - The Taibao Zhanxin M&A Fund aims to focus on the reform of state-owned enterprises and the construction of a modern industrial system in Shanghai, emphasizing mergers and acquisitions as a key strategy [8][9]. - The Taibao Zhiyuan No. 1 Fund is designed to invest in the secondary market, responding to national calls for expanding insurance institutions' participation in private securities investment funds [10]. Market Trends - Since 2022, various policies have been introduced to encourage insurance capital to enter the market, making insurance funds a significant source of long-term capital, especially in the primary market [4][12]. - The insurance sector's participation in M&A funds has surged, with a reported increase of over 60% year-on-year in 2024 [9]. Financial Performance - In 2024, China Pacific Insurance reported a revenue of 404.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.74%, and a net profit of 46.44 billion yuan, up 66.39% [13]. - The group's total investment income reached 120.39 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 130.5%, highlighting the importance of investment as a growth driver [13]. Policy Support - Recent regulatory changes have facilitated insurance capital's entry into equity investments, with significant policy shifts allowing higher investment limits in venture capital funds [14]. - By the end of 2024, the scale of insurance capital participating in equity investments is expected to reach 1.92 trillion yuan, with indirect equity investments through funds and products amounting to 950 billion yuan [14]. Investment Challenges - Despite the growing interest, insurance capital has stringent requirements for fund management scale, past performance, and investment focus, making it challenging for many funds to secure investment [15]. - The article suggests that as policies continue to loosen, more insurance funds are likely to enter the primary market, providing additional capital to the sector [15].

Financial Sector - The banking sector showed positive performance with Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and Zhao Bank reporting market capitalizations of 1,977.40 billion, 1,610.30 billion, and 576.28 billion respectively, with respective trading volumes of 1.62 billion, 1.25 billion, and 0.83 billion [3] - Construction Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China also performed well, with market capitalizations of 2,255.10 billion and 2,548.30 billion, and trading volumes of 0.61 billion and 2.13 billion respectively [3] - The overall trend in the banking sector was positive, with most banks showing slight increases in stock prices [3] Insurance Sector - The insurance sector saw China Life Insurance, China Pacific Insurance, and Ping An Insurance with market capitalizations of 370.60 billion, 982.99 billion, and 340.46 billion respectively, and trading volumes of 1.31 billion, 0.57 billion, and 0.50 billion [4] - All three companies experienced slight increases in stock prices, indicating a stable performance in the insurance market [4] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector had mixed results, with North China Huachuang, Cambricon Technologies, and Haiguang Information reporting market capitalizations of 224.69 billion, 254.35 billion, and 329.78 billion respectively [4] - Trading volumes varied significantly, with Cambricon Technologies leading at 6.80 billion, while North China Huachuang had a trading volume of 1.36 billion [4] - The sector experienced fluctuations, with some companies showing declines in stock prices [4] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector was led by BYD and Great Wall Motors, with market capitalizations of 282.79 billion and 1,068.63 billion respectively [4] - Trading volumes were significant, with BYD at 3.50 billion and Great Wall Motors at 0.21 billion [4] - The sector showed a positive trend with BYD's stock price increasing by 1.00% [4] Energy Sector - In the energy sector, China Petroleum and Sinopec reported market capitalizations of 699.59 billion and 1,599.60 billion respectively, with trading volumes of 0.62 billion and 0.46 billion [4] - The sector showed slight increases in stock prices, indicating a stable performance [4] Other Sectors - The liquor industry, represented by Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, had market capitalizations of 1,860.43 billion, 216.46 billion, and 485.09 billion respectively, with Kweichow Moutai experiencing a slight decline [4] - The food and beverage sector, including companies like Zhongjin Securities and Haitai, showed varied performance with slight fluctuations in stock prices [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing involvement of long-term capital in China's capital markets, driven by policy initiatives aimed at promoting long-term investments and enhancing the investment environment for institutional investors [1][2][5]. Group 1: Long-term Capital Initiatives - China Pacific Insurance has launched the Taibao Zhiyuan No. 1 private securities investment fund with a target size of 20 billion yuan, marking a commitment to long-term investment strategies [1][2]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has reported that social security, insurance, and pension funds have net purchased over 200 billion yuan in A-shares this year, indicating a positive cycle of long-term capital inflow and market stability [2][5]. - The approval of the first batch of new floating fee rate funds, which link management fees to fund performance, aims to encourage long-term holding by investors [3][4]. Group 2: Policy and Regulatory Changes - The CSRC has introduced a floating management fee structure that aligns the interests of fund managers and investors, promoting a focus on risk-return balance and long-term goals [3][4]. - Recent regulatory changes allow private equity funds that hold investments for over four years to reduce their lock-up periods, enhancing liquidity and investment efficiency [4]. - The government plans to expand the pilot scope for long-term insurance investments by an additional 60 billion yuan, further encouraging insurance companies to increase their market participation [5]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Recommendations - Experts suggest that the ongoing implementation of policies to facilitate long-term capital entry into the market will optimize the investment environment and address existing barriers [5]. - There is potential for growth in personal pension contributions, with recommendations to increase contribution limits and develop low-fee index products to attract more long-term capital [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the non-bank financial sector continues to benefit from a rebound in new account openings, with a year-on-year increase of 23% in May. The overall performance of the non-bank sector has outperformed the market, particularly in the insurance segment, driven by expectations of benchmark recovery and easing trade tensions [3][4] - The report anticipates that the brokerage sector will maintain good growth momentum in the upcoming interim reports, supported by low base effects and improving trading volumes. The insurance sector is expected to see a slight decline in growth rates due to elevated performance bases in the second quarter [3][4] - The report highlights specific investment opportunities in Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) and Jiangsu Jinzhong Leasing, which are expected to benefit from the expansion of the Hong Kong market and high dividend yields [3] Summary by Sections Brokerage Sector - In May, the average daily trading volume for stock funds reached 14.2 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.4% month-on-month. The number of new A-share accounts opened in May was 1.5556 million, a year-on-year increase of 23%, with a cumulative total of 10.9514 million new accounts opened from January to May, reflecting a 30% year-on-year growth [3] - The report notes that the valuation and institutional holdings in the brokerage sector are currently low, and macroeconomic measures to stabilize the stock market are expected to continue, creating favorable conditions for growth [3] Insurance Sector - China Ping An announced plans to issue zero-coupon convertible bonds totaling 11.765 billion HKD, aimed at supporting its future business development and capital needs. The initial conversion price is set at 55.02 HKD per share, representing a premium of approximately 18.45% over the closing price [4] - The insurance sector is currently underrepresented in public fund allocations compared to the CSI 300 index, with favorable PB and ROE ratios. The report expects a rebound in new business value (NBV) growth in the second half of the year, although overall growth rates may decline compared to 2024 [4] Recommended and Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include Jiangsu Jinzhong Leasing, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing, and China Pacific Insurance. Beneficiary stocks include Guosen Securities, Jiufang Zhitu Holdings, China Galaxy Securities, and others [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the establishment and recruitment of various mother funds across multiple cities in China, focusing on sectors such as robotics, new energy, integrated circuits, new materials, artificial intelligence, and low-altitude economy [1][4][10]. Fund Establishment - Several cities including Shenzhen, Nanjing, and Tianjin have announced the establishment or registration of funds, primarily targeting sectors like biopharmaceuticals, smart healthcare, high-end medical devices, and integrated circuits [1]. - The China Pacific Insurance Company has launched a new merger and acquisition private equity fund with a target size of 30 billion yuan and an initial size of 10 billion yuan [2]. Specific Fund Initiatives - The Jintan District Industry Innovation Development Mother Fund is seeking general partners (GPs) with a total scale of 10 billion yuan, focusing on five new industries including new energy and new medical technology [3]. - The Pukou District High-Quality Development Mother Fund is also recruiting GPs, emphasizing investment in strategic emerging industries such as integrated circuits and artificial intelligence [4]. - The Shanghai State-owned Assets Fund has selected 17 sub-funds, with a total investment amount of 4.15 billion yuan, focusing on integrated circuits and biomedicine [6]. Investment Strategies - The Hangzhou High-tech Zone plans to establish an industry investment fund and an intellectual property fund, focusing on smart IoT, biomedicine, and green energy [9]. - The Yangzhou Biopharmaceutical Industry Fund has been set up with a total scale of 1.5 billion yuan, targeting innovative drug development and high-end medical devices [10]. - The Nanjing Biomedical Valley is seeking fund managers for a specialized fund focusing on medical engineering and biomedicine, with a maximum scale of 300 million yuan [12]. New Fund Launches - The first S fund in Yancheng has been established to support technology innovation and modern industrial system construction [13][14]. - The Shenzhen Artificial Intelligence Terminal Industry Fund has been set up with a total investment of 1.44 billion yuan, focusing on equity investment and asset management [19]. - The first QFLP fund in Fangchenggang has been registered, targeting strategic emerging industries such as healthcare and advanced manufacturing [20]. Collaborative Efforts - The Qianhai Dinghui Deep Hong Kong Co-investment Fund has been established to focus on artificial intelligence and biotechnology, promoting deep collaboration between Shenzhen and Hong Kong [21]. - The Tianjin Chip Fire Integrated Circuit Venture Capital Fund has been officially registered, aiming to support the development of the integrated circuit industry [22]. Regulatory Developments - The Guangdong Provincial Government has issued a management method for government investment funds, emphasizing performance evaluation and management fees [23].

Group 1 - The first central enterprise venture capital mother fund, "Chengtong Science and Technology Investment Fund (Beijing) Partnership (Limited Partnership)," has been established with an initial scale of 100 billion yuan and a planned total scale of 300 billion yuan, focusing on new materials, advanced manufacturing, and new generation information technology [2][10] - Shanghai's three leading industry mother funds have selected 17 sub-funds from 79 applicants, with a total investment amount of 41.5 billion yuan and a total fund scale of 241.5 billion yuan, achieving a leverage ratio of 5.82 times [3] - China Pacific Insurance has launched a new merger and acquisition fund with a total scale of 500 billion yuan, including a target scale of 300 billion yuan for the "Taibao New Merger and Acquisition Private Fund," focusing on Shanghai's state-owned enterprise reform and modernization of the industrial system [4] Group 2 - The first Qualified Foreign Limited Partner (QFLP) fund in Fangchenggang, Guangxi, has been established with a total scale of 500 million yuan and an initial scale of 100 million yuan, targeting strategic emerging industries such as health and advanced manufacturing [6] - The first S fund in Yancheng has been successfully established, focusing on technology and healthcare sectors, supporting quality enterprises in their growth phases through a "project + sub-fund" investment approach [7] - The Wuhan Chegu Science and Technology Investment Fund has completed registration with a total scale of 10 billion yuan, focusing on hard technology fields such as artificial intelligence and biomedicine, with a long-term investment horizon of 12 years [8]