Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that China's three major telecom operators achieved an overall net profit growth of approximately 5% year-on-year in the first half of this year, primarily supported by cost optimization measures [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The three telecom operators have increased their dividend payout ratios year-on-year, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing shareholder returns [1] - Morgan Stanley estimates that the H-share dividend yield for the three telecom operators remains attractive at 5% to 6%, with China Mobile having the highest yield at 6% [1] Group 2: Revenue Trends - The year-on-year growth of cloud revenue for the three telecom operators has significantly slowed from an estimated 17% to 35% in 2024 to 5% to 10% in the first half of this year, attributed to increased market share of internet companies and a slowdown in digitalization demand from state-owned enterprises [1] Group 3: Investment Outlook - Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook on China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, all rated as "Overweight," due to strong dividend returns, profit growth, and potential upside in cloud revenue [1] - China Telecom is highlighted as the preferred stock due to its highest proportion of cloud business and the resilience of its traditional mobile and broadband services [1]

小摩估计三大电讯商H股股息率维持于5%至6%的吸引水平，当中以中国移动(00941)最高，达到6%。小 摩又指，注意到三大电讯商的云收入同比增幅从2024年的17%至35%，显著放缓至今年上半年的5%至 10%，相信是由于互联网公司市场份额提升，以及国企数字化需求减慢所致。该行仍对中国移动、中国 电信(00728)及中国联通(00762)维持正面看法，全数给予"增持"评级，看好强劲股息回报率、盈利增长 及潜在云收入上行空间。小摩继续列中电信为首选股，因其云业务占比最高及传统移动与宽带服务最具 韧性。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，中国三大电讯商今年上半年整体纯利均录得约5%同比增 幅，主要受到成本优化(营运开支下降、资本开支及折旧减少等)支持，三大营运商均同比提高上半年派 息比率，显示出对提升股东回报的承诺。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that the overall net profit of China's three major telecom operators recorded an approximately 5% year-on-year increase in the first half of this year, primarily supported by cost optimization measures [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The three major telecom operators' operating expenses, capital expenditures, and depreciation have decreased, contributing to the profit growth [1] - The estimated dividend yield for the H-shares of the three telecom operators remains attractive at 5% to 6%, with China Mobile having the highest yield at 6% [1] Group 2: Cloud Revenue Trends - The year-on-year growth of cloud revenue for the three telecom operators has significantly slowed from an estimated 17% to 35% in 2024 to 5% to 10% in the first half of this year [1] - This slowdown is attributed to the increasing market share of internet companies and a deceleration in the digitalization demands of state-owned enterprises [1] Group 3: Investment Outlook - Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook on China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, giving them an "overweight" rating due to strong dividend returns, profit growth, and potential upside in cloud revenue [1] - China Telecom is highlighted as the preferred stock due to its highest proportion of cloud business and the resilience of its traditional mobile and broadband services [1]

Summary of China Cloud Market Research Industry Overview - The research focuses on the **China Cloud Market** with projections from 2020 to 2027, indicating significant growth in market size and revenue. - The market is expected to grow from **RMB 187.2 billion** in 2020 to **RMB 899.1 billion** by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately **14%** from 2023 to 2027 [3][3]. Key Market Data - **Market Size Projections**: - 2020: RMB 187.2 billion - 2021: RMB 262.3 billion (40% YoY growth) - 2022: RMB 393.2 billion (50% YoY growth) - 2023: RMB 500.2 billion (27% YoY growth) - 2024: RMB 589.1 billion (18% YoY growth) - 2025E: RMB 688.2 billion (17% YoY growth) - 2026E: RMB 790.8 billion (15% YoY growth) - 2027E: RMB 899.1 billion (14% YoY growth) [3][3]. Market Share of Major Players - **AliCloud**: - 2023: 21% - 2024: 20% - 2025E: 21% - 2026E: 22% - 2027E: 23% - **Tencent Cloud**: - 2023: 12% - 2024: 11% - 2025E: 11% - 2026E: 11% - 2027E: 12% - **Huawei Cloud**: - 2023: 11% - 2024: 12% - 2025E: 12% - 2026E: 14% - 2027E: 15% - **China Telecom**: - 2023: 19% - 2024: 19% - 2025E: 19% - 2026E: 18% - 2027E: 17% - **China Mobile**: - 2023: 17% - 2024: 17% - 2025E: 16% - 2026E: 15% - 2027E: 14% [3][3]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape shows that **AliCloud** remains the market leader, but its market share is declining, while **Huawei Cloud** is gradually increasing its share. - The **China Telecom** and **China Mobile** are also significant players, with their cloud services growing rapidly [5][5]. Benchmarking Against the US Market - The research indicates that the **China cloud market** has a potential **4x upside** when benchmarked against the US market, highlighting the disparity in cloud-related spending as a percentage of GDP [10][10]. - **Cloud-related spending** in China is significantly lower than in the US, suggesting room for growth in the coming years [10][10]. Margin Analysis - The margins of Chinese cloud operators are significantly lower than their US counterparts, indicating potential for improvement in operational efficiency and profitability [16][16]. Digitalization Trends - **Enterprise digitalization revenue** is outpacing traditional telecom service revenue, with a projected CAGR of **18%** from 2022 to 2024 for enterprise digitalization services [19][19]. - This trend indicates a shift in focus for telecom operators towards cloud and digital services, which are becoming increasingly important for revenue growth [19][19]. Conclusion - The **China Cloud Market** is poised for substantial growth, driven by increasing digitalization and cloud adoption across various sectors. - Major players are adapting to the competitive landscape, with a focus on enhancing service offerings and improving margins to capture a larger share of the growing market.

Core Insights - The 9th Future Network Development Conference showcased innovative technologies and achievements in the field of future networks, with participation from major telecom operators, leading communication equipment companies, and internet giants [3][6] - A significant highlight was the demonstration of deterministic network drone remote control, which addresses communication bottlenecks that hinder the rapid development of the low-altitude economy [3][4] - The conference also featured advancements in computing power scheduling platforms aimed at optimizing the use of computing resources across regions, addressing inefficiencies in current computing resource distribution [4][5] Group 1: Technological Innovations - The deterministic network capabilities of CENI allow for remote control of drones over hundreds to thousands of kilometers, enabling a single operator to control hundreds of drones simultaneously [4] - The "super wide highway" developed by ZTE enhances data transmission capacity, effectively doubling the number of data lanes, which supports Jiangsu's role as a major data scheduling center [5] - China Telecom introduced its upgraded network large model, which significantly improves network fault handling efficiency, reducing troubleshooting time by 30% compared to traditional methods [6] Group 2: Industry Implications - The advancements presented at the conference highlight the strong industrial support capabilities of technologies like intelligent networks and deterministic networks, which are essential for the high-quality development of the digital economy [6] - The integration of artificial intelligence models with data infrastructure demonstrates a seamless connection between technology and industry, providing strong momentum for the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - In H1 2025, the company's operating performance steadily improved, with a notable recovery in service revenue growth in Q2. The company maintains its guidance for good growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net profit for the full year. The core business showed steady growth, while emerging businesses rapidly developed, fully upgrading the strategy from "cloud transformation" to "cloud transformation and intelligent benefits" [2][12]. - The company achieved operating revenue of 269.4 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23 billion yuan, up 5.5% year-on-year [6][12]. Summary by Sections Operating Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 269.4 billion yuan, a 1.3% increase year-on-year, with service revenue at 249.1 billion yuan, up 1.2%. In Q2 alone, revenue reached 134.9 billion yuan, growing 2.6% year-on-year, and net profit was 14.2 billion yuan, a 7.1% increase [12]. - The company maintains its guidance for good growth in revenue, EBITDA, and net profit for the full year [12]. Core Business and Emerging Strategies - The mobile communication service revenue reached 106.6 billion yuan in H1 2025, up 1.3%, while fixed-line and smart home service revenue was 64.1 billion yuan, a 0.2% increase. The mobile ARPU was 46.0 yuan, down 0.6%, and broadband ARPU was 48.3 yuan, unchanged [12]. - The company is actively promoting the upgrade of its enterprise strategy from "cloud transformation" to "cloud transformation and intelligent benefits," enhancing the integration of innovative-driven core and digital businesses [12]. Financial Management - The company reduced its full-year capital expenditure guidance to less than 83.6 billion yuan, with H1 capital expenditure at 34.2 billion yuan, down 27.5% year-on-year. The operating cash flow net amount was 47 billion yuan, a 19.4% decrease year-on-year, while free cash flow increased by 13.9% to 13.1 billion yuan [12]. - The interim dividend per share was 0.1812 yuan, an 8.4% increase, with a payout ratio of 72%. The company clarified that the full-year payout ratio for 2025 will be further increased compared to 2024 [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [10]. Core Insights - The communication sector has seen a 6.96% increase in the 33rd week of 2025, ranking second among major industries in the Yangtze River region. Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 30.93%, also ranking second [2][4]. - China's total computing power is rapidly expanding, with a projected year-on-year growth of 20% for general computing power and 43% for intelligent computing power in 2025. The daily token consumption in China has surged from approximately 1 trillion at the beginning of 2024 to over 30 trillion by mid-2025, indicating a dramatic increase in computing demand [5]. - Lumentum and Coherent have both reported significant revenue growth in optical communication, with Lumentum achieving $480 million in revenue for FY25Q4, a 56% year-on-year increase, and Coherent reporting $1.53 billion, a 16.4% increase [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The communication sector's performance in the 33rd week of 2025 shows a 6.96% increase, with notable individual stock performances including Hengbao Co. (+49.2%), Guangku Technology (+48.9%), and Shengke Communication (+38.9%) [4]. Computing Power Expansion - China's computing power is expected to reach a total scale that ranks second globally, with a consistent annual growth rate of about 30% over the past five years. The demand for AI applications has skyrocketed, with token consumption increasing over 300 times in just a year and a half [5]. Optical Communication Revenue - Lumentum's optical module revenue exceeded expectations, with a significant contribution from cloud computing and networking, while Coherent's communication business also saw substantial growth, despite challenges in its industrial segment [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies across various segments, including operators like China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom, as well as optical module manufacturers such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng [8].

从中证华夏经济蓝筹股票指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比57.87%、深圳证券交易所占 比42.13%。 从中证华夏经济蓝筹股票指数持仓样本的行业来看，工业占比18.68%、可选消费占比16.16%、信息技 术占比13.65%、通信服务占比10.08%、原材料占比9.82%、主要消费占比8.99%、金融占比7.49%、房地 产占比6.16%、医药卫生占比4.18%、公用事业占比2.55%、能源占比2.24%。 据了解，中证华夏经济蓝筹股票指数分行业选取一定数量财务基本面良好的蓝筹证券作为指数样本，行 业权重根据各行业对国民经济的贡献度进行分配，行业内样本根据财务基本面综合得分加权，以综合反 映国民经济产业结构变迁及发展趋势。该指数以2004年12月31日为基日，以1000.0点为基点。 从指数持仓来看，中证华夏经济蓝筹股票指数十大权重分别为：中国建筑（2.64%）、中国中免 （2.35%）、牧原股份（2.23%）、温氏股份（1.92%）、神州数码（1.85%）、保利发展（1.85%）、中 国电信（1.85%）、中国中铁（1.64%）、招商银行（1.52%）、中国电建（1.42%）。 资料显示，指数样本 ...

Group 1 - The article highlights the significance of seasonal consumption trends, particularly the rise in demand for freshly made beverages during the autumn season, driven by consumer emotions and promotional activities from delivery platforms [1] - The collaboration between beverage brands and technology companies, such as the partnership between沪上阿姨 and Ant Group's digital subsidiary, showcases the integration of AI technology to enhance operational efficiency and product quality in the beverage industry [3] - The application of AI in the beverage sector is becoming increasingly common, with brands like 奈雪 and 喜茶 utilizing automated machines, indicating a competitive race towards a "digital beverage" market [3] Group 2 - Telecommunications operators are leveraging their technological advantages in cloud, network, and AI to drive digital consumption upgrades, exemplified by China Telecom's deployment of high-speed networks in various cities [4] - The integration of AI into consumer experiences is transforming standardization into personalization, as seen in the tourism sector where AI assists in providing tailored services to visitors [4] - As digital consumption grows, operators are enhancing security measures to protect payment systems, with China Telecom's翼支付 implementing advanced encryption and AI-driven monitoring to safeguard user data [5]

中期净利处于10亿元-20亿元区间的公司有25家。从净利同比增速来看，达仁堂净利同比增长193.08%居首，北新建材、神火股份、华 润三九、铜陵有色、龙佰集团、海油工程、盛屯矿业7家公司净利出现同比负增长。 新华财经注意到，从中期净利超过10亿元的48家公司来看，中期净利负增长的企业分布于建材、电力、中药、有色、化工和基建等行 业。 | 代码 | 名称 | 净利(万元) | 同比增长率(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600941.SH | 中国移动 | 8,423,500.00 | 5.03 | | 600519.SH | 贵州茅台 | 4,540,296.23 | 8.89 | | 300750.SZ | 宇德时代 | 3,048,513.90 | 33.33 | | 601728.SH | 中国电信 | 2,301,704.42 | 5.53 | | 601138.SH | 工业富联 | 1,211,335.70 | 38.61 | | 600011.SH | 华能国际 | 926,188.50 | 24.26 | | 603259.SH | 药明康德 | 856,08 ...