Group 1 - The media sector has experienced a significant resurgence at the beginning of 2026, driven by the strong catalyst of the GEO (Generative Engine Optimization) concept, with the media industry index rising by 21.29% in just half a month, making it the top-performing sector in the market [1][3] - The surge in the media sector has led to a "talent war" among sell-side research firms, with several brokerages, including Dongwu Securities, Guosheng Securities, and Everbright Securities, actively recruiting analysts to fill the research gap and capitalize on the new market opportunities [2][3] - The "New Yi Zhong Tian" combination, consisting of Yidian Tianxia, Zhongwen Online, and Tianlong Group, has seen each of its stocks rise by over 40% within the first half of January, with Yidian Tianxia's stock price even doubling [3] Group 2 - The recruitment trend in the media research field began as early as December 2025, with CICC announcing the hiring of media analysts focused on sub-sectors like online gaming and marketing advertising [6][7] - High-profile analysts such as Liu Xin and Yao Lei have recently switched firms, indicating a notable increase in talent mobility within the media sector, which is closely tied to the improving market conditions [7][9] - The media industry has historically faced challenges, ranking at the bottom in performance for several years, but has seen a turnaround starting in 2023, with a significant increase in investor interest and market performance [8][9]

Group 1 - The media sector has experienced a significant resurgence in early 2026, driven by the strong catalyst of the Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) concept, with the media industry index rising by 21.29% in just half a month, making it the top-performing sector in the market [1][2] - The surge in the media sector has led to a "talent war" among brokerage firms, with companies like Dongwu Securities, Guosheng Securities, and Everbright Securities actively recruiting analysts to capitalize on the growing market interest [2][7] - The "New Yi Zhong Tian" combination, consisting of Yidian Tianxia, Zhongwen Online, and Tianlong Group, has seen stock price increases exceeding 40% within the first half of January, with Yidian Tianxia's stock price even doubling [2][8] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities announced plans to recruit analysts specializing in media internet, telecommunications, and overseas technology, led by renowned analyst Zhang Liangwei, who has received multiple accolades for his research [3][6] - The recruitment trend began in late 2025, with major firms like CICC posting job openings for media analysts focused on sub-sectors such as online gaming and advertising [6][7] - High-profile analyst movements have been noted, including Liu Xin joining Tianfeng Securities and Yao Lei moving to Huachuang Securities, reflecting the industry's changing dynamics and the increasing demand for experienced analysts [7][8] Group 3 - The media industry has faced a challenging decade, with significant downturns from 2015 to 2022, but has seen a turnaround starting in 2023, with a notable increase in investment interest due to advancements in AI technology [7][8] - Analysts are now expected to possess a keen sensitivity to technological developments and market trends, solid research capabilities on industry fundamentals, and a refined ability to identify quality investment targets [8]

Core Insights - The "2026 Global and China Capital Market Outlook Forum and the Golden Unicorn Best Wealth Management Institution and Best Investment Advisor Ceremony" was held on January 15, 2026, featuring top experts and thought leaders discussing macro ecology, market strategies, and investment outlooks for 2026 [1] - The event also announced the honors for the 2025 Golden Unicorn Best Wealth Management Institution [1] Group 1 - The forum provided a comprehensive outlook for 2026 from multiple dimensions, including macroeconomic conditions and market strategies [1] - The event highlighted the recognition of outstanding financial institutions and investment advisors through the Golden Unicorn awards [1]

Core Viewpoint - Everbright Securities has experienced a decline in stock price and trading volume, with significant net outflows of capital, indicating potential investor concerns about the company's performance and market conditions [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On January 15, Everbright Securities' stock fell by 2.03%, trading at 17.36 yuan per share, with a total transaction volume of 700 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.02%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 80.043 billion yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has decreased by 1.08%, with a 5-day decline of 2.20%, a 20-day decline of 0.91%, and a 60-day decline of 8.35% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Everbright Securities reported operating revenue of 8.189 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.678 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.55% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 17.065 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.684 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Everbright Securities reached 180,500, an increase of 15.17% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 13.18% to 21,662 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, China Securities Finance Corporation holds 130 million shares, remaining unchanged, while Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited reduced its holdings by 55.7937 million shares to 51.8749 million shares [3].

Core Viewpoint - China has applied to the ITU for over 200,000 satellite frequency resources, indicating a strategic reserve of frequency resources amid increasing competition for space resources among major countries [1][2]. Group 1: Application Details - The application includes over 200,000 satellites, with more than 190,000 coming from the newly established Radio Innovation Institute [2][3]. - The application covers 14 satellite constellations, with the largest being CTC-1 and CTC-2, each requesting 96,714 satellites, totaling 193,428 satellites [3]. Group 2: Diverse Application Entities - The application entities are diverse, including the Radio Innovation Institute, commercial space companies like Galaxy Space and State Grid High-Tech, and traditional telecom operators such as China Mobile and China Telecom [3]. Group 3: National Strategy and Background - The Radio Innovation Institute, established on December 30, 2025, aims to serve the satellite internet industry and is backed by several key organizations, indicating that satellite frequency resource applications have become a national strategic level concern [4]. Group 4: Resource Scarcity and ITU Regulations - Satellite frequency resources are non-renewable and highly scarce, with the ITU's "first come, first served" rule necessitating timely applications [5]. - The ITU requires that new satellite applications must launch the first satellite within seven years and meet specific deployment milestones, or the frequency resources will become invalid [5].

Market Overview - The three major indices collectively rebounded on January 14, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.2%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.98%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.24%. Over 4,700 stocks in the market rose, with more than 100 stocks hitting the daily limit. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.22 trillion yuan, a decrease of 215.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. Sector Performance AI Applications - The AI application sector continued to strengthen, with stocks like Zhejiang Wenlian rising for three consecutive days, and Shiji Information hitting the daily limit. Other notable performers included Guangyun Technology and Zhidema, both rising over 10%. This surge follows Google's announcement of partnerships with major retailers and the launch of an open-source AI protocol for e-commerce [2]. Nonferrous Metals - The nonferrous metals sector experienced a rally, particularly in small and precious metals. Xianglu Tungsten Industry hit the daily limit, while Huaxi Nonferrous, Xingye Silver, and Xiamen Tungsten Industry reached historical highs. The tungsten market has seen significant price increases, with tungsten powder prices exceeding 1.1 million yuan per ton [3]. Semiconductor Equipment - Semiconductor equipment stocks saw continued growth, particularly in the cleanroom segment. Stocks like Shenghui Integration and Yashang Integration hit the daily limit and reached historical highs. The demand for equipment is expected to rise due to increased capacity utilization in domestic wafer fabs and the AI-driven storage supercycle [4]. Quantum Technology - The quantum technology sector experienced fluctuations but ultimately rose, with stocks like Demai Chemical hitting the daily limit. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has indicated a focus on quantum technology and brain-computer interfaces during the 14th Five-Year Plan [5]. Institutional Insights Market Outlook - According to Everbright Securities, the recent market adjustment is primarily due to profit-taking, but the overall market sentiment remains optimistic. The indices are expected to undergo a period of consolidation, with structural trends likely to continue [6][7]. AI in Healthcare - CITIC Securities reports that AI in healthcare is set to accelerate the restructuring of the trillion-yuan pharmaceutical market. By 2026, the commercialization of AI in healthcare is expected to become more certain, with a focus on AI drug development and medical data circulation [8]. Brain-Computer Interface Technology - Galaxy Securities notes that brain-computer interface technology is transitioning from laboratory research to industrial production, with significant developments expected from companies like Neuralink. The industry is supported by various policies aimed at promoting commercialization and innovation [9]. Space Photovoltaics - Guojin Securities highlights that space photovoltaics will emerge as a leading sector in the new energy market by 2026, driven by its high value and market recognition. The recent cancellation of export tax rebates is expected to create a "window" for companies to adjust before the seasonal downturn [10].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities predicts that the total wealth management scale in the market will grow by approximately 3.5 trillion yuan to 33-34 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by multiple factors including deposit "disintermediation," valuation adjustments, and the expansion of products with rights [1] Wealth Management Scale - Deposit "disintermediation" remains a crucial support factor, but the growth pace may experience fluctuations; a neutral estimate suggests an increase of around 3 trillion yuan [2] - The maturity of deposits over 2 years for listed banks in 2026 is estimated to be about 41 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 9 trillion yuan year-on-year [2] Product Layout - The focus is on building a stable low-volatility base while actively expanding products with rights; it is estimated that wealth management could bring in 150-300 billion yuan to the stock market in 2026 [3] - The growth of "fixed income+" wealth management products is projected to be 1.5 trillion yuan in 2025, with a nearly 16% increase in the existing scale by year-end compared to the beginning of the year [3] Asset Allocation - There is a rigid allocation to deposit-type assets, with a shift towards multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches to seek returns; potential marginal changes may lead to a shift in wealth management preferences from deposits to bond-type assets [4] - The report outlines that deposits and specific private bonds will maintain a certain allocation strength, while the demand for short-term bond allocations is expected to remain strong [4] Wealth Management Operations - Performance benchmarks are expected to face downward pressure, with potential liquidity concerns; the "true net value" operation model may lead to weaker customer experience in wealth management returns in 2026 [5] - Factors such as increased liquidity reserves and enhanced investor tolerance are expected to mitigate redemption pressures [5] Competitive Landscape - The market share of wealth management companies is expected to continue rising, with channel factors being a significant variable affecting the competitive landscape [6] - Future changes in the competitive landscape may include further penetration of distribution channels into county-level regions, enhancing customer reach [6]

Core Viewpoint - The report anticipates that the total wealth management scale in the market will grow by approximately 3.5 trillion yuan to reach 33-34 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by multiple factors including deposit "disintermediation" and the expansion of wealth management products [4]. Group 1: Wealth Management Scale - Deposit "disintermediation" remains a crucial support factor, but the growth pace may experience fluctuations; a neutral estimate suggests an increase of around 3 trillion yuan in 2026 [4]. - The maturity of over 41 trillion yuan in deposits from listed banks in 2026 is expected, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 9 trillion yuan [4]. - Factors such as the "true net value" operation leading to increased yield volatility and pressure on "ranking" product scales may cause fluctuations in the growth pace of wealth management [4]. Group 2: Product Layout - The focus is on building a stable low-volatility foundation while actively expanding rights-containing products, with an estimated 150-300 billion yuan in funds expected to flow into the stock market from wealth management in 2026 [5]. - The "fixed income +" wealth management scale is projected to grow by 1.5 trillion yuan in 2025, with a nearly 16% increase in the existing scale by year-end compared to the beginning of the year [5]. - Regulatory bodies are conducting research on the challenges and bottlenecks regarding wealth management funds entering the market, indicating a strong demand for expanding rights-containing products [5]. Group 3: Asset Allocation - There remains a rigid allocation to deposit-type assets, with a shift towards multi-asset and multi-strategy approaches to enhance returns [6]. - The report suggests that the allocation to bonds may increase if the relative "cost-effectiveness" of deposits and bonds changes, alongside changes in the stability of wealth management liabilities [6]. - The forecast for wealth management's bond allocation indicates a strong demand for short-term bonds, while the capacity for mid to long-term allocations may decrease, leading to a steepening yield curve [6]. Group 4: Wealth Management Operations - The performance benchmarks for wealth management are expected to face downward pressure, with potential for increased net value drawdown risks [7]. - The "true net value" operation model may lead to a weaker customer experience in terms of returns in 2026 compared to the previous year [7]. - Despite these challenges, factors such as increased liquidity reserves and regulatory support for liquidity are expected to mitigate redemption pressures [7]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The market share of wealth management companies is expected to continue rising, with channel factors being a significant variable affecting the competitive landscape [8]. - The distribution channels for wealth management are anticipated to further penetrate county-level regions, enhancing customer reach and potentially increasing market share [8]. - The number of wealth management institutions is expected to remain stable, with the possibility of new institutions being established [8].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 1、前言 混合神经网络是指整合了多种神经网络架构的深度学习模型。这类模型通过多层架构实现网络接力式思考，融 合不同类型网络优势，从而实现模型学习能力和性能的提升。在金融时间序列分析上，常见的混合神经网络组 合包括CNN-GRU-ATT、CNN-LSTM-ATT等。其中，CNN（卷积神经网络）具备捕捉局部短期特征的能力， 能够学习短时间内的波动规律；GRU（门控神经网络）和LSTM（长短期记忆神经网络）均属于具有时序记忆 功能的RNN（循环神经网络）的变体，擅长学习长期趋势的特征；ATT（注意力机制）则能调节模型注意力权 重，使其聚焦于重要的时间节点。 3、研究设计 本篇研究的核心思路是将单一神经网络模型与混合神经网络模型进行对 ...

本文模型包含宏观经济、货币政策、市场情绪等输入变量来丰富学习维度，在长短期记忆神经网络（LSTM） 的基础上，引入门控神经网络（GRU）、卷积神经网络（CNN）和注意力机制（ATT）构建多层混合神经网 络模型，最优模型预测：相较于2026年1月末，2月末的十年期国债收益率将下行约3个BP；相较于2025年底， 2026年底十年期国债收益率将下行约6个BP。 （张旭）2026-01-12 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【固收】引入混合神经网络的中长期国债收益率预测——量化学习笔记之二 重点城市 25 年二手房均价：北京 28,194 元/㎡，同比+2.6%；上海 36,962 元/㎡，同比-4.4%；广州 25,832 元/㎡，同比-7.1%；深圳 5 ...