消息面上，广发证券研报指出，2025年市场活跃度回升，经纪两融高增，泛自营贡献分化弹性，券商业 绩高增但估值滞涨。2026年随着慢牛预期改善、政策利好，行业ROE持续提升，alpha有望更加突出， 催化机构资金增配。该行认为，行业景气度持续上行，春季躁动有望打开估值修复窗口期。建议关注受 益于格局优化主线、以及受益于泛财富管理提速回暖、投行资本化弹性的券商。 值得关注的是，年底重要政策窗口期临近。按照惯例，12月中上旬将召开中共中央政治局会议和中央经 济工作会议，部署2026年经济工作。中信证券指出，2025年中央经济工作会议大概率在"稳中求进"总基 调下，从消费扩张、科技创新、财政货币协调、房地产风险化解等方面形成系统部署。短期稳增长、稳 预期是核心任务，中期推动产业与投资结构优化，长期着力构建新质生产力和新发展模式。 中资券商股午后走高，截至发稿，弘业期货（001236）(03678)涨6.1%，报3.48港元；国联民生 （601456）(01456)涨3.9%，报5.6港元；华泰证券（601688）(06886)涨3.66%，报18.39港元；东方证券 （600958）(03958)涨3.27%，报6. ...

本文源自：格隆汇 12月5日，光大证券国际产品开发及零售研究部预期，2026年上半年主要央行维持宽松政策以稳定经 济。美国关税政策及美国政府停摆天数创纪录，虽然短期影响市场情绪，但明年上半年美国仍可能降息 一次，将支持资金流向新兴市场，有利内地及香港股市向上。 光大证券国际证券策略师伍礼贤表示，该行认为恒指明年有机会再次见到30000点以上的水平。在可关 注板块方面，该行认为在2026年，中资金融、智能科技、能源有色、本地金融等四大板块仍存在不错的 投资机遇。 ...

2025 年 12 月 4 日 行业研究 11 月金融数据前瞻：信用活动延续回落态势 ——流动性观察第 119 期 银行业 买入（维持） 作者 分析师：王一峰 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：赵晨阳 执业证书编号：S0930524070005 010-57378030 zhaochenyang@ebscn.com 行业与沪深 300 指数对比图 资料来源：Wind 相关研报 10 月金融数据前瞻：信贷季节性回落，社融、货 币降速——流动性观察第 118 期 9 月金融数据前瞻：社融增速回落，货币活化延续 ——流动性观察第 117 期 8 月金融数据前瞻： 社融增速或现拐点，存款活化 程度提升——流动性观察第 116 期 7 月金融数据前瞻：社融向上、贷款向下——流动 性观察第 115 期 如何看待股债跷跷板和 8 月流动性？——流动性观 察第 114 期 6 月金融数据前瞻：低基数效应下的季节性修复— —流动性观察第 113 期 7 月流动性：自发宽松——流动性观察第 112 期 5 月金融数据前瞻——流动性观察第 111 期 6 ...

光大证券国际表示，恒指目前处于约25700点的水平，与公司2025年全年目标25000点相若，认为港股明 年有机会再次见到30000点以上的水平，值得关注的四大板块为中资金融、智能科技、能源有色、本地 金融。该行产品开发及零售研究部预期，2026年上半年主要央行维持宽松政策以稳定经济。美国关税政 策及美国政府停摆天数创纪录，虽然短期影响市场情绪，但明年上半年美国仍可能减息一次，将支持资 金流向新兴市场，有利内地及香港股市向上。该行证券策略师伍礼贤表示，经历2025年反弹后，从估值 来看，目前恒指市盈率高于过去5年均值，并向上偏离约一个标准差，反映总体估值有所修复，但处合 理区间；而科技指数刚回升至5年均值，反映估值仍有追落后的空间。至于整个市场的股息环境，虽然 恒指股息率以及高息指数的股息率分别回落至大概3%、6%附近的水平，但相对目前内地利率环境，吸 引力仍然突出。 ...

格隆汇12月4日｜光大证券国际指出，市场逐渐消化关税政策消息，转移关注美国的就业数据和减息状 况，以及AI人工智能板块的增长潜力。受到各国关系持续紧张及变化不定影响，黄金成为今年最触目 的资产，年初至今回报率最少达50%。预计现货黄金2026年的目标价为每盎斯4950美元。该行预期美汇 指数将小幅回升，除黄金外，可适时于资产配置中考虑亚洲债券收取稳定息率，亦可逢低吸纳人民币， 达至攻守兼备。 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight decline with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.06%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.4%, and ChiNext Index up by 1.01% [6] - Total trading volume across both markets was 1.55 trillion yuan, a decrease of 121 billion yuan compared to the previous day [6] Fund Performance - The three major ETFs from Huabao, tracking the CSI A50, CSI A100, and CSI A500 indices, provided investors with diversified options for bullish positions on China [2][6] - The CSI A100 ETF fund was launched on August 1, 2022, while the CSI A500 ETF from Huabao was launched on December 2, 2024 [2] Institutional Insights - Everbright Securities noted that despite market adjustments, there is no panic, and the current fluctuations are considered normal, with potential for a rebound if favorable news emerges from upcoming significant meetings [2][6] - Wanhe Securities suggested that the market rebound may continue, particularly in the consumer and technology sectors, focusing on integrated circuits and commercial aerospace [2][6] - According to招商证券, the market is likely to break upward after three months of consolidation, indicating a high probability of a year-end rally [2][6] Sector Capital Inflows - The top three sectors for net capital inflows were household appliances (+2.784 billion yuan), machinery (+2.456 billion yuan), and automobiles [6]

格隆汇12月4日｜光大证券研报指出，杰瑞股份接连斩获北美数据中心超亿美元订单，电力板块有望打 造第三增长曲线。公司在北美数据中心领域接连斩获超亿元订单，标志着公司模块化、智能化的发电解 决方案成功挺进北美高端电力市场，实现了杰瑞在北美数据中心领域的关键业务突破。公司接连斩获北 美数据中心超亿美元订单，该行随之上调公司25-27年归母净利润预测0.6%/5.1%/9.4%至30.7/38.0/45.8亿 元，对应25-27年EPS分别为3.00/3.71/4.47元。随着北美用电需求不断扩大，公司服务范围不断扩展，未 来电力板块有望打造公司第三增长曲线，维持公司"买入"评级。 ...

中国经济网北京12月4日讯 东方生物(688298.SH)近日披露2025年第三季度报告，前三季度公司实现营业收入6.72亿元，同比增 长2.16%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-2.13亿元，上年同期为-2.62亿元；归属于上市公司股东的扣非净利润为-2.32亿元，上年 同期为-3.50亿元；经营活动产生的现金流量净额为-1.55亿元，上年同期为-3.67亿元。 | 人民币 | | --- | | 币种: | | 元 | | 单位: | 东方生物本次发行费用总额为8,668.22万元（不含增值税），其中承销及保荐费用6,060.16万元。 （责任编辑：关婧） 东方生物本次发行募集资金总额为63,750.00万元，募集资金净额为55,081.78万元。 东方生物最终募集资金净额比原计划少1082.16万元。东方生物2020年1月22日发布的招股说明书显示，公司拟募集资金 56,163.94万元，用于年产24,000万人份快速诊断（POCT）产品项目、技术研发中心建设项目、营销网络与信息化管理平台建设项 目、补充流动资金。 2024年，东方生物实现营业收入8.28亿元，同比增长0.95%；归属于上市公司股东的净 ...

公司于2023年启动自主设计的大型储能系统及工商业储能系统产品生产线建设，总产能从2022年底的 45.5MWh大幅增至2024年底的1561.2MWh；第二条生产线已于2024年5月投产运营。 公司从2022年欧洲市场户用储能系统产品及解决方案贡献72.1%的收入，转变为2024年中国大型储能系 统产品及解决方案贡献76.6%的收入，并延续至2025年上半年。 果下科技通过港交所主板上市聆讯，由光大证券国际担任独家保荐人。根据灼识咨询，果下科技为业内 较早实现储能系统解决方案及/或产品的互联网云端整合及开发数字化能源管理全景互联网云平台的参 与者之一。 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Group 2: Core Views of the Report - On November 28, 2025, the CSRC issued the "Announcement on Launching the Pilot Program of Commercial Real Estate Investment Trusts (Request for Comments)" to solicit opinions on the pilot program of commercial real estate investment trusts. On December 1, 2025, the National Development and Reform Commission expanded the industry scope of infrastructure REITs to include commercial office facilities and urban renewal facilities, and added sub - categories such as stadiums, commercial complexes, and four - star and above hotels in consumer infrastructure [3][10][14]. - Launched during the real estate downturn, it provides an opportunity to revitalize the trillion - dollar commercial and office market. It can improve the asset structure of enterprises, help the real estate industry transform into a new development model, and enrich the types of underlying assets in the domestic public REITs market [3][10]. - It is necessary to pay attention to the institutional connection, and detailed rules are still awaited. The overall institutional framework of commercial real estate REITs follows that of infrastructure public REITs, and the specific categories and review mechanisms need further clarification. Implementing a dual - track review system may improve efficiency and accelerate market expansion. The applicability of the key expansion and recruitment mechanism and pilot tax policies in commercial REITs also needs attention [3]. - The secondary market of infrastructure public REITs is under short - term pressure. The valuation and operation quality of new products are the keys. The historical average dividend yields of Japanese office building REITs and hotel REITs are similar to those of current infrastructure public REITs equity - type products [3]. - Investment advice: In a low - interest - rate environment, high - dividend public REITs have an obvious interest - rate spread advantage. With the expansion of categories and improvement of the system, the market is expected to develop rapidly. Attention should be paid to the progress of new - category projects, products with strong underlying asset demand, and expansion and recruitment [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Public REITs Expand to the Commercial Field - On November 28, 2025, the CSRC solicited opinions on the pilot program of commercial real estate investment trusts, with the feedback deadline on December 27, 2025 [10]. - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the expansion of infrastructure REITs to more industries and asset types. On December 1, 2025, it issued the "List of Industry Scope of Infrastructure Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Projects (2025 Edition)", expanding to commercial office facilities, urban renewal facilities, and adding sub - categories in consumer infrastructure [14]. - In Q3 2024, there were 736 five - star hotels in China, accounting for 43.5% of the operating income of star - rated tourist hotels, and 2073 four - star hotels, accounting for 37.6%. The scope of the new expansion includes commercial office facilities (super - A and A - grade commercial buildings in super - large and large cities) and urban renewal projects (old - block and old - factory renovation projects), with isolation mechanisms set up [12]. 3.2 The CSRC Solicits Opinions on the Commercial REITs Pilot - Product definition: A commercial real estate investment trust fund is a closed - end publicly offered securities investment fund that invests in commercial real estate asset - backed securities to obtain the ownership or operating rights of commercial real estate, operates and manages commercial real estate to obtain stable cash flows such as rent and fees, and distributes the main income to fund share holders [15]. - Application process: To apply for the raising of a commercial real estate investment trust fund, the fund manager should submit the registration application materials stipulated by the "Securities Investment Fund Law" and the CSRC to the CSRC [20]. - Current situation of infrastructure public REITs: The current application process is "local NDRC - national NDRC - CSRC", with a long review process and a relatively small market scale. As of November 30, 2025, the issuance scale of the public REITs market (initial offering and expansion and recruitment) was about 209.5 billion yuan, and the market value was about 219.9 billion yuan. For commercial real estate assets with a higher degree of marketization, applying only to the CSRC can shorten the review process and accelerate market expansion [25]. - The scale of China's commercial real estate is huge, about 40 - 50 trillion yuan. Some enterprises are preparing for relevant application work, such as Fosun's progress in the independent listing plan of Sanya Atlantis through the REITs model [25]. 3.3 Pay Attention to the Institutional Connection - The overall institutional framework of commercial real estate REITs follows that of infrastructure public REITs. The "Request for Comments on Commercial REITs" is more concise in terms of the requirements for fund managers and custodians, fund manager responsibilities, and asset requirements. The asset sub - types in the "List of Industry Scope of Infrastructure Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Projects (2025 Edition)" are more specific [26]. - Implementing a dual - track review system for infrastructure public REITs and commercial real estate REITs can provide more choices for issuers, improve review efficiency, and accelerate market expansion. The applicability of the expansion and recruitment mechanism and pilot tax policies in commercial REITs needs attention [27].