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【有色】TC现货价续创历史新低,铜精矿现货延续紧张——铜行业周报(20260202-20260206)(王招华/方驭涛)
光大证券研究· 2026-02-09 23:06
Core Viewpoint - Short-term copper prices are fluctuating, but the outlook for copper prices is positive for 2026 due to ongoing supply-demand tightness [4]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of February 6, 2026, SHFE copper closed at 100,100 CNY/ton, down 3.45% from January 30, while LME copper closed at 13,060 USD/ton, down 0.08% [4]. - The market perceives a low probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in March 2026, which supports overall commodity sentiment [4]. Group 2: Inventory - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 4.0%, while LME copper inventory rose by 4.9% [5]. - As of February 6, 2026, domestic mainstream port copper concentrate inventory stood at 638,000 tons, down 5.2% from the previous week [5]. - Global electrolytic copper inventory totaled 1,021,000 tons, up 3.6% from January 30, with LME copper inventory at 183,000 tons, up 4.9% [5]. Group 3: Supply - The price difference between refined copper and scrap copper decreased by 504 CNY/ton this week [6]. - In October 2025, China's copper concentrate production was 137,000 tons, up 12.9% month-on-month but down 9.9% year-on-year [6]. - Global copper concentrate production in November was 1,923,000 tons, down 1.9% year-on-year and 0.6% month-on-month [6]. Group 4: Smelting - The TC spot price reached a new low this week, at -51.23 USD/ton, down 0.9 USD/ton from January 30 [7]. - In January 2026, China's electrolytic copper production was 1,179,300 tons, up 0.1% month-on-month and 16.3% year-on-year [7]. - In December 2025, electrolytic copper imports were 260,000 tons, down 4.0% month-on-month and 29.8% year-on-year [7]. Group 5: Demand - Cable manufacturing, which accounts for 31% of domestic copper demand, saw an increase in operating rate to 60.15%, up 0.69 percentage points from the previous week [8]. - Air conditioning production, which represents 13% of domestic copper demand, is projected to decline by 31.6% in February, 6.5% in March, and increase by 4.0% in April [8]. - Copper rod production, accounting for 4.2% of domestic copper demand, had a January operating rate of 50.86%, down 1.9 percentage points month-on-month but up 9.2 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Group 6: Futures - As of February 6, 2026, SHFE copper active contract positions decreased by 21.4% to 175,000 lots, placing the position at the 47th percentile since 1995 [9]. - COMEX non-commercial net long positions were 48,000 lots, down 1.2% from the previous week, at the 77th percentile since 1990 [9].
光大证券:合并是重大信息,公司不存在应披露而未披露的信息
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-09 13:29
证券日报网讯 2月9日,光大证券在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,合并是重大信息,公司不存在应 披露而未披露的信息。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
光大证券:公司持续贯彻“以投资者为本”的理念
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-02-09 12:53
证券日报网讯 2月9日,光大证券(601788)在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,公司持续贯彻"以投资 者为本"的理念,切实加强投资者保护,制定和披露了《公司市值管理工作办法》,不断建立健全市值 管理运作机制,完善与资本市场的持续沟通交流机制。公司合法合规地开展市值管理,将综合运用经营 提升、现金分红、投资者关系管理、信息披露等方式提升公司投资价值。公司将继续加强与市场分析 师、投资者的密切沟通交流,进一步提升资本市场对公司投资价值的发现和认可,使公司股价更合理地 体现公司价值。公司也将继续加强经营管理,促进公司稳定健康发展,努力提升业绩和股东回报水平。 公司将一如既往地承担央企责任,践行国家战略,助力资本市场建设,持续为客户创造价值。 ...
关于同意光大证券股份有限公司为华夏中证农业主题交易型开放式指数证券投资基金提供主做市服务的公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:02
上证公告(基金)【2026】307号 特此公告。 上海证券交易所 2026年02月09日 为促进华夏中证农业主题交易型开放式指数证券投资基金(以下简称农业,基金代码:516810)的 市场流动性和平稳运行,根据《上海证券交易所基金自律监管规则适用指引第2号——上市基金做市业 务》等相关规定,本所同意光大证券股份有限公司自2026年02月10日起为农业提供主做市服务。 ...
关于同意光大证券股份有限公司为中证800交易型开放式指数证券投资基金提供主做市服务的公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:02
为促进中证800交易型开放式指数证券投资基金(以下简称800ETF,基金代码:515800)的市场流 动性和平稳运行,根据《上海证券交易所基金自律监管规则适用指引第2号——上市基金做市业务》等 相关规定,本所同意光大证券股份有限公司自2026年02月10日起为800ETF提供主做市服务。 上证公告(基金)【2026】304号 2026年02月09日 特此公告。 上海证券交易所 ...
关于同意光大证券股份有限公司为华夏中证文娱传媒交易型开放式指数证券投资基金提供主做市服务的公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 10:02
2026年02月09日 上海证券交易所 上证公告(基金)【2026】309号 为促进华夏中证文娱传媒交易型开放式指数证券投资基金(以下简称文娱ETF,基金代 码:516190)的市场流动性和平稳运行,根据《上海证券交易所基金自律监管规则适用指引第2号——上 市基金做市业务》等相关规定,本所同意光大证券股份有限公司自2026年02月10日起为文娱ETF提供主 做市服务。 特此公告。 ...
春节前最后一个交易周,持股还是持币?券商最新研判来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 01:12
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a significant upward trend after the Spring Festival, with a 70% probability of rising in the first five trading days post-holiday, and a projected increase of 4.85% in 2024 [1][2]. Market Trends - Historical data shows that the market typically rebounds in the five trading days leading up to the Spring Festival, with a notable upward trend continuing until around T+6 days post-holiday [2]. - The trading volume is characterized by a "decrease before the holiday and an increase after" [1]. Institutional Recommendations - Major brokerage firms recommend "holding stocks over the holiday," anticipating a resurgence in market activity post-Spring Festival [1][3][4]. - Economic and profit expectations are likely to improve during the holiday, with positive consumer data anticipated [5]. Liquidity and Market Sentiment - Liquidity is expected to remain loose during the Spring Festival, with potential for accelerated capital inflow post-holiday [5]. - Market sentiment is projected to be neutral, with limited external risks impacting domestic markets [5]. Sector Focus - Key sectors to watch include technology growth and cyclical industries, which are expected to outperform due to policy support and ongoing industry trends [5][6]. - Specific attention is recommended for AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment sectors [6]. Style Rotation - There is a notable style rotation expected, with large-cap stocks outperforming small-cap stocks before the holiday, while small-cap stocks are anticipated to lead post-holiday [7]. - The market is expected to shift towards a more defensive strategy, gradually moving towards growth sectors [8].
【固收】信用债发行量整体环比下降,各行业信用利差涨跌互现——信用债周度观察(20260202-20260206)(张旭/秦方好)
光大证券研究· 2026-02-08 23:02
Primary Market - In the week from February 2 to February 6, 2026, a total of 432 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 399.33 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.10% week-on-week [4] - Among the issuances, industrial bonds accounted for 184 bonds with an issuance scale of 166.02 billion yuan, down 30.88%, representing 41.57% of the total issuance [4] - Local government bonds issued 210 bonds with an issuance scale of 141.50 billion yuan, an increase of 19.61%, making up 35.43% of the total [4] - Financial bonds totaled 38 bonds with an issuance scale of 91.82 billion yuan, down 17.94%, accounting for 22.99% of the total [4] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 2.82 years, with industrial bonds at 2.29 years, local government bonds at 3.49 years, and financial bonds at 2.19 years [4] - The average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.13%, with industrial bonds at 2.03%, local government bonds at 2.25%, and financial bonds at 1.91% [4] - Four credit bonds were canceled during the week [4] Secondary Market - In terms of credit spreads, the largest increase for AAA-rated industries was in food and beverage, up 2.2 basis points, while the largest decrease was in light industry, down 1.2 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated industries, the largest increase was in non-ferrous metals, up 5.6 basis points, and the largest decrease was in agriculture, down 2.4 basis points [5] - The largest increase for AA-rated industries was in non-bank financials, up 1.8 basis points, while the largest decrease was in computers, down 6.3 basis points [5] - Regionally, the largest increase in AAA-rated local government bonds was in Jilin, up 5.9 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Inner Mongolia, down 2.1 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated local government bonds, the largest increase was in Beijing, up 5.8 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Fujian, down 2.7 basis points [5] - The largest increase for AA-rated local government bonds was in Guangxi, up 1.5 basis points, while the largest decrease was in Yunnan, down 6.7 basis points [5] Trading Volume - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1,470.41 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.17% week-on-week [6] - The top three categories by trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes [6] - Commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 497.06 billion yuan, down 8.95%, accounting for 33.80% of the total trading volume [6] - Corporate bonds had a trading volume of 413.42 billion yuan, down 9.23%, representing 28.12% of the total [6] - Medium-term notes had a trading volume of 312.07 billion yuan, down 7.75%, making up 21.22% of the total [6]
春节前最后一个交易周!持币观望,还是持股过节?券商发声
券商中国· 2026-02-08 09:51
近日,多家券商研究所陆续发布关于春节行情的研判观点。根据记者梳理,"持股过节"是机构的主流建议,其 理由既来自对历史"春节效应"的复盘,也基于对当前经济预期、流动性环境及风险偏好的综合评估。 投资者该如何把握春节前后的市场节奏?对此,多家券商认为,节前要注重均衡与防御,节后聚焦成长与产业 趋势。 解码"春节效应" A股在春节前后往往呈现明显的"日历效应",无论是量能变化、风格轮动还是行业表现,均有规律可循。记者 注意到,多家券商近期对近20年A股春节前后的市场表现进行复盘。 "节前缩量、节后放量"是券商眼中春节行情的典型特征。 据东吴证券策略团队分析历史数据,节前市场量能 通常自T-8日(T为春节)起开始回落。该团队认为,本轮行情亦贴合上述规律,2026年2月4日成为量能分水 岭,5日、6日成交金额跌破2.5万亿元,向2万亿元水平靠拢。"根据历年经验,缩量的趋势一般会持续到节后 首个交易日,T+2日起市场量能中枢显著抬升,交投热情回暖,市场流动性逐步修复。" 如何应对春节前的最后一个交易周? 春节长假将至,近期A股成交量下滑,杠杆资金持续流出。投资者再次面临选择:是持币观望规避不确定性, 还是持股博弈"红包行 ...
纳芯微连亏3年 2022年A股上市超募48亿元光大证券保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-08 08:01
中国经济网北京2月8日讯 纳芯微(688052.SH)近日发布2025年年度业绩预告。 经财务部门初步测算,纳芯微预计2025年度实现营业收入330,000.00万元至340,000.00万元,较上年同期 相比,将增加133,972.58万元至143,972.58万元,同比增长68.34%至73.45%;预计2025年度实现归属于 母公司所有者的净利润-25,000.00万元至-20,000.00万元,较上年同期相比,亏损将收窄15,287.82万元至 20,287.82万元;预计2025年度实现扣除非经常性损益后归属于母公司所有者的净利润-29,000.00万元 至-24,000.00万元,较上年同期相比,亏损将收窄16,677.81万元至21,677.81万元。 纳芯微2024年实现营业收入19.60亿元,同比增长49.53%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润-4.03亿元,上 年同期为-3.05亿元;归属于上市公司股东的扣非净利润-4.57亿元,上年同期为-3.93亿元;经营活动产 生的现金流量净额为9505.33万元,上年同期为-1.39亿元。 纳芯微于2022年4月22日在上交所科创板上市,公开发行股票2 ...