Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 1.46%, ranking in the upper middle among all primary industries. The energy metals sector rose by 5.08%, while the precious metals sector increased by 0.68% [1][14] - Gold prices have broken through the consolidation range, while silver's bullish sentiment has peaked, indicating a potential risk of a sharp short-term correction [1][49][50] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.33%, with the non-ferrous metals sector outperforming the index by 1.44 percentage points [14] - The report highlights the performance of various sub-sectors, with energy metals leading the gains [14] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Prices fluctuated with LME copper at $11,882 per ton (up 2.85%) and SHFE copper at ¥93,180 per ton (down 0.96%). Supply remains weak, with a forecasted global copper shortage of 150,000 tons by 2026. Demand is deteriorating as construction projects pause, leading to increased spot market discounts [2][30] - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum rose to $2,945 per ton (up 2.43%), while SHFE aluminum was at ¥22,185 per ton (up 0.07%). Supply conditions are stable, with new capacity coming online, but demand remains cautious due to a downturn in the real estate sector [3][35] - **Zinc**: Prices fell, with LME zinc at $3,073 per ton (down 2.12%) and SHFE zinc at ¥23,065 per ton (down 2.29%). Inventory levels showed mixed trends [41] - **Tin**: Prices increased, with LME tin at $43,227 per ton (up 5.11%) and SHFE tin at ¥343,040 per ton (up 3.02%). Supply from Indonesia has increased, but demand remains cautious [46] Precious Metals - **Gold**: COMEX gold closed at $4,368.70 per ounce (up 0.90%), while SHFE gold was at ¥979.90 per gram (up 0.95%). Economic data from the U.S. showed mixed results, but overall inflation appears to be cooling, which may influence future gold prices positively [4][49] - **Silver**: The report warns of extreme bullish sentiment in silver, with potential for a sharp correction as market volatility peaks [50]

今天早盘，贵金属期货继续一骑绝尘！现货黄金突破前期高点，站上4384美元上方，再创历史新高。沪 银期货主力合约一度涨超5%，突破16000元关口，续创历史新高，今年累计上涨超114%。现货铂金突 破2000美元大关。A股市场上，贵金属概念跟随震荡走强，紫金矿业涨超5%，再创历史新高，白银有 色触及涨停，盛达资源、湖南白银、西部黄金、豫光金铅跟涨。过去几个交易日，贵金属市场呈现罕见 集体爆发行情，铂、钯期货连续大涨，市场做多情绪高涨，呈现出资金推动与情绪共振的显著特征。贵 金属市场全面爆发的同时，市场似乎陷入了狂热与理性并存的矛盾状态：一边是创纪录的涨幅和资金涌 入，另一边则是越来越多机构对风险积累的警告。分析师们几乎一致认为，供需基本面不会在短期内发 生根本性改变。但在连续创下历史新高后，市场正面临着"预期兑现"后的获利了结压力。 ...

2025.12. 22 本文字数：2953，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 魏中原 从长三角地区来看，总市值达到31.51万亿元，占A股总市值的26.2%，其中，苏州、无锡、杭州等 市值增长幅度排名居前。合肥、武汉、绍兴等今年相继跨入万亿市值城市阵营。 市值变化背后，是经济增长动能的新旧转换。透过上市公司市值排名的升降，不仅可以看到各地产业 结构的差异，更能看出资本对区域经济前景的投票。 在城市竞争中，除传统金融与科技中心外，一 批制造业基础扎实、创新生态活跃的地级市正迎头赶上，推动A股市值地图向更加均衡、多元的方向 演进。 五强稳固，福建夺目，贵州下滑 2025年A股总市值跨过100万亿关口，截至12月19日已达120.31万亿，较年初增长22.2%。 从一杯白酒到一束"光"，A股上市公司四川省市值头把交椅的变化，正是电子行业爆发的缩影。 在川渝地区， 五粮液（000858.SZ）不再是四川省独一份的存在，取而代之的是光模块龙头新易盛 （300502.SZ），该股首次问鼎四川省市值第一 。 即将过去的这一年，AI掀起巨浪，电子与通信产业毫无悬念地站上潮头，科技牛股在各个行业加速 涌现，更在区域维度上 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant market movements in A-shares, particularly the surge in various sectors such as the Hainan Free Trade Zone and semiconductor industry, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [3][4]. Market Performance - As of midday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.64%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.36%, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.8% [3]. - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.19 trillion yuan, an increase of 97.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [4]. Sector Highlights - The Hainan Free Trade Zone sector saw a notable increase of 9.59%, with 22 stocks hitting the daily limit [4]. - Other sectors that performed well include: - Precious metals, up 4.34% - Free Trade Port, up 4.14% - Storage chips, up 3.32% [4]. Notable Stocks - Zhangzhou Development surged to its daily limit, attributed to the "14th Five-Year Plan" proposal focusing on cross-strait integration [5]. - China Duty Free Group's A-shares and H-shares both rose over 10%, following a strong sales performance of 118 million yuan on the first day of customs closure in Sanya [6]. Commodity Movements - Palladium futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hit the daily limit, while precious metals like gold and silver also saw significant price increases, with gold surpassing 4,380 USD per ounce [7][10][19].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the CSI 300 ETF managed by CICC shows a slight increase, with notable movements in its constituent stocks, indicating mixed market sentiment and sector performance [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - As of the midday close on December 22, the CSI 300 ETF (510320) rose by 0.98%, priced at 1.240 yuan, with a trading volume of 1.2508 million yuan [1] - The performance benchmark for the CSI 300 ETF is the return rate of the CSI 300 Index, with a return of 22.91% since its inception on April 16, 2025, and a recent one-month return of -0.30% [1] Group 2: Constituent Stocks Performance - Notable movements among the top holdings include: - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (宁德时代) decreased by 0.91% - Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. (贵州茅台) increased by 0.09% - Ping An Insurance (中国平安) fell by 0.45% - China Merchants Bank (招商银行) declined by 0.17% - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. (紫金矿业) rose by 4.24% - NewEase Technology (新易盛) increased by 6.19% - Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创) grew by 5.60% - Midea Group (美的集团) decreased by 0.31% - East Money Information Co., Ltd. (东方财富) rose by 0.39% - Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. (长江电力) fell by 1.18% [1]

麦格理发表报告指，紫金矿业旗下关键铜矿项目Kamoa-Kakula更新了2026及2027年的铜产量指引，分 别调整至38万至42万公吨，及50万至54万公吨，消除了较早前营运中断所引发的产量忧虑。该行将2025 至2027年黄金价格预测分别上调2%、22%及35%，铜价预测上调2%、13%及0%。该行将紫金矿业同期 盈利预测分别上调20%、61%及35%，上调目标价75%至40港元，相当于预测明年市盈率9.6倍，维 持"跑赢大市"评级。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the shift in market capitalization leadership in Sichuan Province from Wuliangye to the optical module leader, Xinyi Sheng, reflecting the explosive growth in the electronics industry [2][3] - The AI wave has significantly impacted the electronic and communication industries, leading to a surge in technology stocks across various sectors and driving profound changes in the market landscape [3][4] - The total market capitalization of A-shares has increased from 48.6 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year to 56.5 trillion yuan by year-end, marking a growth of nearly 8 trillion yuan [4] Group 2 - As of December 19, 2025, the total market capitalization of A-shares reached 120.31 trillion yuan, representing a year-to-date increase of 22.2% [5][6] - The top five provinces in terms of market capitalization are Beijing, Guangdong, Shanghai, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu, with a highly concentrated "pyramid" structure in market value distribution [5][6] - Fujian Province saw a remarkable market capitalization growth of 51.73%, driven by the strong performance of major companies like CATL and Zijin Mining, moving from seventh to sixth place in rankings [9] Group 3 - The Yangtze River Delta region leads with a total market capitalization of 31.51 trillion yuan, accounting for 26.2% of the A-share market, with significant contributions from semiconductor and AI hardware companies [10][11] - The market capitalization of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces grew by over 29%, showcasing their robust private economy and industrial upgrade momentum [11][12] - The total market capitalization of the Pearl River Delta reached 18.3 trillion yuan, benefiting from the development of electronics, automotive, and biomedicine industries [12] Group 4 - Major cities like Beijing, Shenzhen, and Shanghai continue to dominate A-share market capitalization, with Beijing's market value at 32.88 trillion yuan, supported by state-owned enterprises and tech companies [15] - Shenzhen's market capitalization increased by 23.1% to 12.23 trillion yuan, driven by key players in technology, finance, and new energy sectors [15] - The city of Suzhou experienced a significant market capitalization increase of 8839 billion yuan, with strong performances in advanced manufacturing sectors [16]

麦格理发表报告指，紫金矿业旗下关键铜矿项目Kamoa-Kakula更新了2026及2027年的铜产量指引，分 别调整至38万至42万公吨，及50万至54万公吨，消除了较早前营运中断所引发的产量忧虑。该行将2025 至2027年黄金价格预测分别上调2%、22%及35%，铜价预测上调2%、13%及0%。该行将紫金矿业同期 盈利预测分别上调20%、61%及35%，上调目标价75%至40港元，相当于预测明年市盈率9.6倍，维 持"跑赢大市"评级。 ...

行 业 及 产 业 有色金属 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 证券分析师 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 22 日 美国通胀降温助推降息预期，金属 板块景气持续 看好 ——金属&新材料行业周报 20251215-20251219 究 报 告 相关研究 - 、 ⚫ 一周行情回顾：据 ifind，环比上周 1）上证指数上涨 0.03%，深证成指下跌 0.89%，沪深 300 下跌 0.28%，有色金属 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a strong performance in gold-related stocks, with China Gold International rising over 5%, and Zijin Mining and Zhaojin Mining both increasing by over 4% [1] - Gold-related ETFs also saw significant gains, with an average increase of over 3% across various funds [1] - Analysts suggest that the ongoing purchases of gold by global central banks are a key variable disrupting traditional supply and demand balance, while a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy towards easing is expected to further benefit gold [2] Group 2 - The specific performance of gold stock ETFs includes: - ETF code 159322 at a price of 1.663, up by 0.051 or 3.16% - ETF code 159321 at a price of 1.569, up by 0.047 or 3.09% - ETF code 159315 at a price of 1.676, up by 0.049 or 3.01% - ETF code 517400 at a price of 1.617, up by 0.048 or 3.06% - ETF code 159562 at a price of 2.236, up by 0.065 or 2.99% - ETF code 517520 at a price of 2.049, up by 0.060 or 3.02% [2] - Long-term factors influencing gold prices include changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, central bank reserve behaviors, and geopolitical risks [2]