Core Viewpoint - As of November 18, a total of 89 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net buying from major funds for five consecutive days or more, indicating strong investor interest in these stocks [1] Group 1: Stocks with Significant Net Buying - The stocks with the longest consecutive net buying days are CITIC Bank and Galaxy Microelectronics, both having recorded net buying for 15 consecutive trading days [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net buying days include Lianrui New Materials, Suzhou Kedah, Hexin Instruments, Aidi Te, Mingxin Xuteng, Kaidi Co., Jiangsu Bank, and Tongling Co. [1]

Core Points - Bank stocks experienced a volatile rise on November 19, with notable gains among several banks [1] - China Bank's stock price reached a new high, increasing by over 2% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Bank's stock rose by 2.94%, reaching a price of 5.95 [2] - Everbright Bank's stock increased by 1.98%, with a price of 3.60 [2] - Jiangsu Bank's stock saw a rise of 1.49%, priced at 10.89 [2] - Traffic Bank's stock rose by 1.75%, reaching 7.56 [2] - Chongqing Bank's stock increased by 1.07%, priced at 11.32 [2] - CITIC Bank's stock rose by 1.52%, with a price of 8.04 [2] - China Merchants Bank's stock increased by 1.21%, priced at 43.40 [2]

Core Insights - The A-share market saw a collective rise in bank stocks, with notable increases in China Bank, which rose nearly 3%, and other banks like Everbright Bank, Bank of Communications, and Agricultural Bank of China also showing gains of over 1% [1] Summary by Category Stock Performance - China Bank increased by 2.77%, reaching a total market capitalization of 191.39 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 12.62% [2] - Everbright Bank rose by 1.98%, with a market cap of 21.27 billion and a year-to-date decline of 2.61% [2] - Bank of Communications saw a 1.75% increase, with a market cap of 66.80 billion and a year-to-date increase of 2.38% [2] - Agricultural Bank of China increased by 1.10%, with a market cap of 289.79 billion and a year-to-date increase of 62.02% [2] - Other banks such as Construction Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China also reported gains, with year-to-date increases ranging from 15.34% to 25.13% [2] Historical Performance - China Bank reached a new historical high, following similar achievements by Agricultural Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank stocks experienced fluctuations but ultimately rose, with notable gains in several major Chinese banks on November 19 [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - China Bank saw an increase of nearly 2% [1]. - Other banks that performed well include Everbright Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Transportation Bank, Chongqing Bank, Citic Bank, and China Merchants Bank, which had significant gains [1].

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 基金管理人：广发基金管理有限公司 基金托管人：中信银行股份有限公司 发售日期：2025年11月27日至2025年12月10日 二〇二五年十一月 重要提示 1.广发中证A50交易型开放式指数证券投资基金（以下简称"本基金"）经2025年11月3日中国证监会证监 许可〔2025〕2440号文准予募集注册。 2.本基金类别为股票型、指数型证券投资基金，运作方式为交易型开放式。 3.本基金的基金管理人为广发基金管理有限公司（以下简称"本公司"），基金托管人为中信银行股份有 限公司，登记结算机构为中国证券登记结算有限责任公司。 5.本基金自2025年11月27日至2025年12月10日进行发售。投资者可选择网下现金认购和网上现金认购2 种方式（本基金暂不开通网下股票认购）。本公司可根据基金销售情况调整基金发售时间，并及时公 告。 6.网上现金认购是指投资人通过具有基金销售业务资格的深圳证券交易所会员利用深圳证券交易所网上 系统以现金进行的认购。网下现金认购是指投资者通过基金管理人及其指定的发售代理机构以现金进行 的认购。 7.投资者应保证用于认购的资金来源合法，投资者应 ...

每经AI快讯，11月18日，科力远公告，公司为鄂尔多斯市鸾星新能源科技有限公司在中信银行贷款本 金5.25亿元及相关的利息及实现债权费用等提供担保。 ...

Core Insights - The article reports that Beijing Boson Quantum Technology Co., Ltd. has won a bid for a quantum computing service procurement project as announced by the official website of CITIC Financial Holdings' electronic procurement system [1] Group 1 - The procurement project is related to quantum computing services [1] - The announcement was made on November 18 [1] - The bid win indicates a significant step for Beijing Boson Quantum in the quantum computing sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan indicates a significant trend of long-term capital, represented by insurance funds, increasingly allocating to the banking sector, with a potential inflow space of approximately 600 billion yuan if 40% of new funds are allocated to bank stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Capital Inflow and Allocation - The unprecedented low interest rate environment is driving incremental capital towards dividend sectors, with the banking sector offering superior value. The current banking index dividend yield is about 4.3%, significantly higher than the ten-year government bond yield, making it an attractive investment option [1]. - Assuming that 40% of the new capital is allocated to OCI and 40% to bank stocks, this could lead to a potential inflow of around 600 billion yuan. Additionally, public fund reforms are expected to increase capital allocation to underrepresented sectors, with bank stock holdings in public funds dropping to a near ten-year low of 1.74% in Q3 2025, suggesting an additional potential inflow of over 370 billion yuan if allocations align with the CSI 300 [2]. Group 2: Expected Changes in Banking Fundamentals - The central bank has explicitly stated its support for stabilizing net interest margins, linking this to the expansion of monetary policy's counter-cyclical adjustment space. It is anticipated that by 2026, bank interest margins may reverse their downward trend and show a slight year-on-year increase, with banks that can improve deposit costs expected to perform better than their peers [3]. - The importance of "high provisioning" is becoming more pronounced as banks' provisioning capacity is gradually consumed. While systemic risks from real estate and platforms may ease, risks in retail sectors still require provisioning. Focus should be on banks with low non-performing loans and high loan-to-deposit ratios, as well as those with clear asset quality improvements [3]. - Some small and medium-sized banks may face revenue growth challenges due to high base pressures in their capital market operations, with reduced non-interest income growth and declining financial investment yields [3]. Group 3: Capital Focus and Investment Recommendations - Bank capital is becoming a focal point, with banks that have strong internal capital generation or substantial reserves being better positioned for stable lending and dividends. External financing remains challenging, making convertible bonds a scarce resource [4]. - The banking sector is entering a new cycle of stable profitability, with long-term capital inflows ongoing. If the macro environment sees a gradual recovery in PPI and marginal increases in long-term interest rates, this will create favorable operating conditions for banks. Even under economic pressure, banks with clear risk thresholds and stable dividend expectations remain attractive dividend assets [5]. - The report recommends focusing on a dual strategy of "leading banks (state-owned and China Merchants Bank) as the foundation" and "bottom-tier joint-stock banks and quality city commercial banks as the performers." Leading banks are expected to see valuation recovery, while quality small and medium-sized banks with improving fundamentals are likely to exhibit stock price elasticity in response to economic recovery [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that listed banks have sold approximately 2 trillion yuan in bonds to realize floating profits from their available-for-sale (AC) accounts in the first three quarters of 2025 [13] - It is estimated that in Q4 2025, listed banks will need to sell about 900 billion yuan in bonds to support non-interest income [10] - The cumulative floating profit of listed banks' AC accounts is approximately 3.3 trillion yuan as of the end of H1 2025, accounting for 58.3% of the total revenue for the year 2024 [30] Summary by Sections Investment Growth - Since 2024, the investment growth rate of listed banks' AC accounts has consistently lagged behind the growth rate of financial investments, with a year-on-year growth of 11.5% in Q3 2025, which is 4.28 percentage points lower than that of financial investments [13][15] - The growth rates for different types of banks from Q2 2023 to Q2 2025 are as follows: state-owned banks 14.7%, joint-stock banks 2.8%, city commercial banks 9.7%, and rural commercial banks -3.8% [13] Bond Selling and Profit Realization - The report estimates that the floating profit realization ratio for listed banks' AC accounts in the first three quarters of 2025 is about 3.06%, with a bond selling scale of approximately 2.04 trillion yuan [36] - The selling proportions for different bank types are: state-owned banks 2.26%, joint-stock banks 5.29%, city commercial banks 5.57%, and rural commercial banks 9.65%, with rural commercial banks showing the highest selling intensity [36] Financial Performance - The floating profit from the sale of bonds in the first three quarters of 2025 is estimated to be 1,078 billion yuan, which represents 2.50% of the total revenue, an increase of 1.59 percentage points compared to 2024 [22][25] - The breakdown of floating profit realization ratios by bank type is as follows: state-owned banks 2.24%, joint-stock banks 2.44%, city commercial banks 3.79%, and rural commercial banks 5.52% [22] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a bottom-line allocation to large state-owned banks, with beneficiaries including Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China [6] - Core allocations should focus on leading comprehensive banks such as China Merchants Bank, CITIC Bank, and Industrial Bank [6] - Flexible allocations can be made to banks like Jiangsu Bank, Chongqing Bank, and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [6]

证 券 研 究 报 告 盈利新周期，估值新起点，迎银行长牛 2026年银行业投资策略 证券分析师： 郑庆明 A0230519090001 林颖颖 A0230522070004 冯思远 A0230522090005 李禹昊 A0230525070004 联系人： 郑庆明 A0230519090001 2025.11.18 投资要点 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 ◼ 站在当下，我们更为坚定地看好银行板块正处于长牛修复的起点：2018年以来银行板块从"破净"到估值深度承压（最低0.49倍PB）再到当前行业整体 仍仅约0.7倍PB，核心压制无外乎两点："看不清的风险趋势"、"难以扭转的盈利下行"。相对乐观的是，这两点在当下都已"拨云见日"。 ◼ 不容忽视，银行板块价值回归的资金驱动力：1）"前所未有的低利率环境"是带动增量资金流向红利板块最直接驱动，银行板块性价比更优。对标美国 和日本，低利率环境中红利高股息策略总体跑赢，也是险资更为青睐的投资方向；而当前银行指数股息率约4.3%，较十年国债利率溢价位居过去十年超 70%分位，在红利板块中性价比更为突出。2）耐心资本入市仅是开端，以险资为代 ...