Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The beauty sector experienced a stable conclusion during the 618 shopping festival, with significant changes in platform and brand dynamics driven by reduced commission policies and interest-based content ecosystems [1][2] - The total GMV for beauty products across four major e-commerce platforms (Taobao, JD, Douyin, Kuaishou) during the 618 period was between 600-700 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 10% [1] - Taobao maintained the largest market share at 41.3%, followed by Douyin at 35.7%, JD at 14.8%, and Kuaishou at 8.2% [1][13] Summary by Sections E-commerce Platform Dynamics - Douyin's beauty segment is rapidly growing, supported by merchant subsidies and interest-driven consumer engagement, achieving double-digit growth [2] - Douyin's promotional strategies included a 1.4 billion yuan subsidy for merchants in May, with individual merchant reductions reaching up to 2.99 million yuan [2] Skincare and Makeup Categories - In the skincare category, domestic brands like Proya and Han Shu led the market, maintaining their top positions on Taobao and Douyin [3] - The top five brands in the skincare category on Taobao remained stable, with Proya and Han Shu continuing to dominate [3] - In the makeup and fragrance category, new domestic brands are emerging, with Ti Luo Wei achieving rapid growth by focusing on base makeup products [4] International and Domestic Brand Strategies - International brands are performing well due to localized marketing strategies and a willingness to engage with local consumers [8] - Domestic brands are expected to break out of the competitive cycle focused on ingredients and efficacy, emphasizing brand influence and comprehensive user experience [8] Investment Recommendations - Focus on domestic companies with strong brand equity and comprehensive channel strategies, particularly Proya and Han Shu [9] - Highlight technology-driven skincare brands like Betaini and Juzi Biology that target specific consumer needs [9] - Consider daily chemical brands with strong cost-performance ratios and excellent management of emerging channels, such as Runben and Dengkang [9]

Summary of Runben Co. Conference Call Company Overview - Runben Co. has expanded its product categories from mosquito repellent and infant care to the youth skincare market, successfully launching differentiated products like egg yolk oil cream and infant sunscreen gel, demonstrating its innovation capability and market adaptability [2][5][6]. Key Points and Arguments Industry and Market Position - The mosquito repellent market remains a pillar for Runben, with significant growth potential in the infant care and youth skincare segments. The company benefits from brand recognition and high repurchase rates, with cream products achieving a 50% repurchase rate [2][8]. - The youth skincare market is a blue ocean opportunity, with an estimated total transaction volume of approximately 3.6 billion RMB in 2023. Runben aims to leverage differentiated competition and channel operations to create standout products [9]. Financial Performance and Projections - Runben's revenue performance in Q1 2025 was strong, driven by rapid sales of sunscreen products, achieving nearly 100% growth in January and February. However, growth slowed in subsequent months, with April showing a 32% increase and May around 10% [3][18]. - The company expects to achieve a profit of 380 million RMB in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.9%, and 470 million RMB in 2026, a 23.2% increase [4][18]. Product Innovation and Strategy - Runben has introduced innovative products in the mosquito repellent category, including timed heating and remote control features, which have been well-received in the market [10][11]. - The company plans to continue expanding its product lines in the infant and youth skincare markets, with potential new products targeting specific needs such as acne treatment and sensitive skin solutions [12][16]. Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The infant care market is fragmented, but Runben's strong brand presence and high customer loyalty position it well for growth. The company anticipates that the overall market will grow to 50 billion RMB by 2027, despite challenges from declining birth rates [13][14]. - The youth skincare segment is projected to be a billion-dollar market, with Runben aiming for a 5% market share, which could yield significant profits [16]. Challenges and Adjustments - The company has faced challenges in sales growth, particularly in traditional channels like Tmall and JD, leading to a downward adjustment in growth expectations for Q2 [3][18]. - Despite short-term performance adjustments, Runben maintains a strong long-term growth outlook across its product categories [4][18]. Additional Important Insights - Runben's ability to quickly adapt to market demands and consumer insights is a core strength, enabling it to lead in product innovation and maintain a competitive edge [11]. - The company is strategically expanding its offline presence, particularly through channels like Sam's Club, which is expected to enhance brand visibility and sales [15]. This comprehensive overview highlights Runben Co.'s strategic positioning, market opportunities, financial outlook, and innovative capabilities within the rapidly evolving consumer goods landscape.

Group 1: Retail Industry Overview - The retail industry is focusing on three main investment themes for the second half of 2025: strong product momentum, improved operational conditions, and large comprehensive enterprises [7] - The beauty and personal care sector is showing strong performance, with a year-on-year growth of 62.51% in Q1 2025 for companies like Jinbo Biological and 28.01% for Marubi Biological [38] - The jewelry sector is witnessing a shift towards lighter and more affordable gold products, driven by younger consumers and the trend of diversification in the market [7] Group 2: Consumer Confidence and Sales Performance - In the first quarter of 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 12.47 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [14] - The consumer confidence index showed a recovery trend in early 2025, indicating a positive outlook for retail consumption [14] - The beauty and jewelry categories experienced year-on-year retail sales growth of 5.48% and 8.06% respectively in the same period [14] Group 3: E-commerce and Offline Trends - E-commerce sales showed a mixed performance, with a total sales index of 50.6% in May 2025, reflecting a slight decline compared to previous months [23] - The offline retail market is stabilizing, with a noticeable recovery in shop rental rates, which reached 53.6% in April and May 2025 [29] - The operating space index showed fluctuations but remained stable, indicating a cautious approach to new store openings [29] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong product momentum and operational improvements, such as Proya, Giant Biological, and Marubi Biological [62] - The beauty sector is highlighted for its resilience and growth potential, with specific companies recommended for investment based on their strong performance metrics [62] - The medical beauty sector is also emphasized, particularly companies that are expanding their product lines and improving operational capabilities [7][63]

股票简称：润本股份 股票代码：603193 公告编号：2025-027 润本生物技术股份有限公司 关于召开2024年度暨2025年第一季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 润本生物技术股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 4 月 25 日披露公司 2024 年年度报告和 2025 年第一季度报告，详见上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）。 为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司 2024 年度、2025 年第一季度经营成果、财务状况， 公司计划于 2025 年 6 月 18 日召开 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会，会议时间为 14:00-15:30，会上公司将就投资者关心的问题进行交流。 一、说明会类型 本次业绩说明会以网络互动方式召开，公司将针对 2024 年度、2025 年第一季度经营成 果及财务指标的具体情况与投资者进行互动交流和沟通，在信息披露允许的范围内就投资者 普遍关注的问题进行回答。 二、说明会召开的时间、地点 （一 ...

Group 1 - The beauty and personal care sector has shown strong performance in Q1 2025, with the SW Beauty Care Index rising by 13.4%, leading all 31 SW primary industries [4][10][12] - The cosmetics segment is focusing on enhancing brand matrices and introducing new ingredients, benefiting from an optimized competitive landscape [4][6] - The medical beauty market is evolving with new products stimulating consumer interest, and domestic companies are expected to become major competitors in the light medical beauty sector [4][6] Group 2 - The e-commerce sector is witnessing new consumption models and brands, which are helping to drive growth in the industry [4][6] - The report recommends several companies in the cosmetics sector, including Up Beauty and Proya, which have low PE multiples and strong growth potential [4][6] - In the medical beauty segment, companies with high R&D barriers and strong profitability, such as Aimeike, are highlighted as key investment opportunities [4][6] Group 3 - The personal care market is projected to reach CNY 283.3 billion by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.4% from 2023 to 2028 [32][34] - Domestic brands are increasingly replacing foreign brands in the personal care sector, with a notable rise in innovative products and marketing strategies [32][36] - The high-end market is experiencing significant growth, with premium products seeing a 27% increase in average transaction value in H2 2024 [44]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **New Consumption Market**: The new consumption market has seen a significant increase in attention, with investors actively seeking potential stocks. Traditional leading companies also present investment opportunities due to high dividends and competitiveness [1][6] - **Investment Focus for 2025**: Key investment themes include the rise of domestic brands, emotional consumption, the silver economy, and AI smart home products [1][11] Core Insights and Arguments - **Consumer Trends**: The new consumption sector is characterized by a shift towards products that reflect future consumption trends, such as trendy toys, gold jewelry, and beauty products. Companies with strong market positions and high growth potential are recommended despite their valuations being relatively high [1][9] - **Tea Beverage Industry**: The tea beverage sector is thriving, with chain tea brands being the top recommendation. Companies like Mixue Ice City and Gu Ming are highlighted for their unique business models and growth potential [1][29][31] - **Gold and Jewelry Sector**: The gold and jewelry sector benefits from rising gold prices and increased penetration of premium gold jewelry. Companies like Lao Pu Gold and Chow Tai Fook are recommended for their strong brand positioning and product differentiation [4][34][37] Notable Companies and Their Performance - **Pop Mart and Miniso**: These companies are recognized as leaders in the trendy toy industry, with successful overseas market expansions and innovative product offerings [1][27][52] - **Beauty Sector**: Companies like Juzi Biotechnology and Runben are noted for their solid fundamentals and reasonable valuations, despite some short-term growth slowdowns [4][43][44] - **Children's Retail**: Kid's King is highlighted for its robust growth in direct sales and rapid expansion of its franchise business [4][38] Additional Important Insights - **Market Volatility**: The new consumption sector is expected to experience increased volatility, with many stocks having already seen significant price increases. The focus should remain on companies with strong growth prospects and competitive advantages [9][10] - **Investment Opportunities in Hong Kong and A-shares**: The top ten new consumption companies in Hong Kong and A-shares include Pop Mart, Miniso, and others, indicating a broad interest in this sector [8][11] - **Emerging Trends**: The rise of emotional consumption and the demand for personalized products are reshaping consumer preferences, leading to opportunities for companies that can innovate and adapt [13][44] Conclusion The new consumption market is evolving rapidly, with significant opportunities in various sectors such as trendy toys, beauty products, and gold jewelry. Companies that can leverage these trends and maintain strong growth trajectories are likely to attract investor interest.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with an expectation of over 10% return relative to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [11]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the life care sector, focusing on mosquito repellent and baby care products, with a diversified product line enhancing market competitiveness [5]. - The company achieved a revenue of 1.318 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.61%, and a net profit of 300 million yuan, up 32.80% year-on-year [5][7]. - The online sales channel has shown significant growth, particularly on platforms like Douyin, contributing to the overall revenue increase [5][7]. - The company is expected to maintain steady growth due to product innovation and channel optimization, with projected net profits of 372 million yuan, 481 million yuan, and 615 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Founded in 2006, the company aims to become a global leader in life and personal care products, offering a range of items including mosquito repellent and baby care products [5]. - The company has established a broad sales network both domestically and internationally, with a strong online presence [5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.318 billion yuan, a 27.61% increase from the previous year, and a net profit of 300 million yuan, reflecting a 32.80% growth [5][9]. - The quarterly revenue breakdown for 2024 shows significant growth, particularly in Q2 and Q4, with Q4 net profit experiencing some fluctuations due to increased promotional expenses [5][7]. Product Performance - The mosquito repellent product line generated 439 million yuan in revenue in 2024, a 35.39% increase, with a gross margin improvement to 54.18% [7]. - The baby care product line achieved 690 million yuan in revenue, up 32.42%, with a gross margin of 59.81% [7]. Channel Strategy - The online sales channel contributed 970 million yuan in revenue, a 23.80% increase, while non-platform distribution revenue reached 347 million yuan, growing by 39.64% [7]. - The company is enhancing its collaboration with e-commerce platforms to optimize its market presence and improve gross margins [7]. Future Projections - The company forecasts continued revenue growth, with expected revenues of 1.710 billion yuan, 2.131 billion yuan, and 2.530 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9]. - The projected net profit for the next three years indicates a robust growth trajectory, with EPS expected to rise from 0.92 yuan in 2025 to 1.52 yuan in 2027 [9].

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices rebounded collectively, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.35%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.73% [1] - The total market turnover reached 763.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.7 billion yuan compared to the same period of the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,400 stocks in the market experienced gains [1] Sector Performance - The gold sector led the market, with Western Gold hitting the daily limit [1][9] - The innovative drug sector remained active, with stocks like Wanbangde and Qianhong Pharmaceutical also hitting the daily limit [1] - The new consumption concept saw renewed activity, with stocks like Ruoyuchen and Wancheng Group hitting their historical highs [1][12] Sports Sector Impact - The Jiangsu City Football League ("Su Chao") attracted significant attention, with 15,669 fans attending a match despite rain [3] - The popularity of "Su Chao" translated into the capital market, with Jinling Sports hitting a 20% limit up and 11 stocks in the Jiangsu sector reaching their daily limits [4][6] Gold Market Insights - Gold prices rebounded, with COMEX gold futures surpassing $3,400 per ounce [11] - The gold sector in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showed strong performance, with several companies like China Silver Group and Zijin Mining also experiencing gains [9][11] New Consumption Trends - The new consumption sector saw significant growth, with stocks like Ruoyuchen and Wancheng Group achieving historical highs [12] - Recent data indicated that several new consumption stocks have seen their prices more than double, with Ruoyuchen and Wancheng Group increasing over four times [18]

Industry Overview - The main listed companies in the maternal and infant industry include Kidswant (301078), Runben (603193), Aiyingshi (603214), Mengjie (002397), Jinfalabi (002762), Beiyinmei (002570), Keka (301009), China Feihe (06186.HK), Babytree Group (01761.HK), Goodbaby International (01086.HK), and Newman (02530.HK) [1] - The development history of China's maternal and infant industry can be divided into several stages: Exploration Period (1990s), Development Period (2000-2010), Explosion Period (2011-2018), and Integration Period (2019-present) [1][2] Development Stages - Exploration Period (1990s): Introduction of foreign parenting culture and products, with limited specialized maternal and infant stores [1] - Development Period (2000-2010): Increased acceptance of maternal and infant products, emergence of regional chain markets, and the rise of online maternal and infant communities [1] - Explosion Period (2011-2018): Rapid growth of online maternal and infant platforms and the establishment of offline stores as the primary consumption channel [1] - Integration Period (2019-present): Growth of private traffic through social media and the need for a "online + offline" shopping experience to maintain competitive advantage [2] Global Trends - The global maternal and infant industry began to flourish in the 1950s-60s, with significant growth in countries like Japan and the USA, leading to the emergence of chain brands [3] - By 1990, the maternal and infant market in developed countries matured, prompting international brands to enter markets like China, where domestic brands also began to rise [3] - The future of maternal and infant products will see increased diversification and innovation in sales channels and models to meet modern consumer demands [3] Market Share Insights - According to Grand View Research, baby cosmetics and toiletries account for 33.5% of the global baby products market, driven by the importance of hygiene and convenience for parents [7] - Baby food holds a 25.3% market share, with demand driven by urbanization, busy work schedules, and increasing parental focus on nutrition [7] Demographic Trends - The number of women of childbearing age in China is on a declining trend, decreasing from 380 million in 2011 to 310 million in 2022, with projections indicating a further decline by 2025 [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment outlook for the beauty and personal care industry, emphasizing the potential of domestic brands in the offline channel [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights the transformation of offline channels as a key growth driver for beauty brands, especially in the context of slowing e-commerce growth [4][5]. - It identifies the need for brands to enhance their offline presence to create a differentiated competitive advantage [5][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Online Channel Competition Intensifies, Offline Channel Advantages Emerge - E-commerce growth is slowing, with China's physical goods online retail expected to reach 13.1 trillion yuan in 2024, growing at 6.5% [4][15]. - The number of internet users in China is projected to reach 1.108 billion by the end of 2024, with an internet penetration rate of 78.6% [4][15]. - New consumption policies are being implemented to boost offline consumption, enhancing brand influence and customer engagement [4][27]. 2. Multi-Dimensional Analysis of Offline Channel Formats - Offline channels serve both sales and brand marketing functions, with a variety of formats emerging to meet consumer needs [40]. - High-end beauty counters are experiencing a phase of quality improvement, with a significant increase in average sales per counter from 3.36 million yuan in 2019 to nearly 5 million yuan in 2023 [46][50]. - The report notes that high-end brands are increasingly occupying the beauty counter space, with a 32% increase in high-end counters from 2019 to 2023 [50][53]. 3. Brand Strategies in Offline Channel Development - Domestic brands are actively expanding their offline presence, with several launching flagship stores in major cities [38][39]. - The report recommends specific companies for investment, including: - Shangmei Co., which is developing a balanced multi-brand matrix [5]. - Shanghai Jahwa, known for its extensive presence in supermarkets and counters [5]. - Proya, which is focusing on offline channels with its energy series [5]. - Betaini, leveraging pharmacy channels to establish a professional image [5]. - Maogeping, which has a unique offline counter layout [5]. - Runben, a leading brand in maternal and infant products, expanding its offline market [5].