制作：产品中心 《策略|"十五五"前瞻初探——"十五五"研究系列》 1、"十五五"规划展望。自 1953 年开始制定第一个"五年计划"以来， 我国已发布十四个"五年规划"。完善统一大市场：推进统一大市场建设 重点在于打破地方保护和市场分割，促进资源的高效配置流动，激发各类 市场主体活力与创造力。2、促进民生消费："十五五"规划可能在以下几 方面进一步对消费进行支持：1.财政支出从投资进一步转向民生；2.大力 支持消费结构升级。3、深化国有企业改革：整体来看，预计"十五五" 中，国有企业改革整体思路或依旧延续精细化区分、"一企一策"的思路， 同时要积极探索尝试有利于创新的国有企业经营机制和公司治理模式。4、 健全资本市场稳定机制："十五五"期间资本市场改革思路或转向"构建 内在稳定、韧性强的现代化资本市场生态系统"。整体来看，"十五五"期 间的资本市场稳定机制建设将是一个系统性的工程，完成从"政策驱动" 到"制度驱动"、从"单一维度"到"生态系统"的转型，推动资本市场 高质量发展,助力加快建设金融强国。 证券研究报告 | 2025 年 08 月 27 日 $$\overline{{{\prod_{\mathrm ...

公司报告 | 半年报点评 零售转型成效显现，多品类均衡发展 公司发布 2025 年中期报告 25Q2 公司实现收入48.9 亿元，同比+7.2%；归母净利润5.0 亿元，同比+5.4%； 扣非归母净利润 4.4 亿元，同比+8.9%； 25H1 公司实现收入 98.0 亿元，同比+10.0%；归母净利润 10.2 亿元，同比 +13.9%；扣非归母净利润 9.0 亿元，同比+15.3%；若剔除股份支付费用 0.36 亿的影响，归母及扣非分别同增 18%、20%。 公司经营业绩持续向好，内贸零售企稳向好，外贸收入持续增长，同时得 益于产品力改善和效率提升，实现结构性增长，同时盈利能力、现金流等 核心经营指标同步优化； 25Q2 毛利率 33.4%，同比+0.4pct，归母净利率 10.3%，同比-0.2pct，盈利 能力保持稳定； 25H1 经营活动产生的现金流量净额 10.94 亿元，同比增长 71.89%。 单品均衡发展，高潜品类展现结构性成长 ①沙发收入 56.67 亿元，同比+14.7%，毛利率 36.1%，同比+1.0pct，其中 功能沙发态势较好，尤其内贸功能沙发业务上半年实现较好的同比增长； 顾家 ...

截至6月30日，顾家家居股东户数2.35万，较上期增加14.88%；人均流通股34547股，较上期减少 12.95%。2025年1月-6月，顾家家居实现营业收入98.01亿元，同比增长10.02%；归母净利润10.21亿元， 同比增长13.89%。 8月26日，顾家家居盘中上涨2.03%，截至09:44，报30.17元/股，成交4488.32万元，换手率0.18%，总市 值247.93亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出262.23万元，大单买入555.84万元，占比12.38%，卖出818.07万元，占 比18.23%。 顾家家居今年以来股价涨15.15%，近5个交易日涨10.51%，近20日涨15.95%，近60日涨28.49%。 资料显示，顾家家居股份有限公司位于浙江省杭州市上城区东宁路599号顾家大厦，成立日期2006年10 月31日，上市日期2016年10月14日，公司主营业务涉及客厅及卧室中高档软体家具产品的研发、设计、 生产与销售。主营业务收入构成为：沙发55.22%，卧室产品17.59%，集成产品13.19%，定制家具 5.37%，其他(补充)4.07%，信息技术服务3.80%，其他0.77% ...

格隆汇8月25日｜信达证券研报指出，顾家家居2025H1归母净利润10.21亿元（同比+13.9%）；2025Q2 归母净利润5.01亿元（同比+5.4%）。认为在"多品类+多渠道+多品牌"的多元化战略下，公司单店经营 能力不断增强，未来有望持续保障公司业绩增长和市占率提升。公司经营稳健性依旧，截至2025H1公 司存货周转天数55.76天（同比-1.48天）、应收账款周转天数27.55天（同比-0.35天）、应付账款周转天 数46.10天（同比-3.05天）。2025H1公司经营性现金流为10.94亿元（同比+4.58亿元），收益质量保持 较好水平。公司全球化战略持续推进，人员本地化逐步提高并逐步落实本地价值链一体化的组织建设， 海外OBM也开始在东南亚市场拓展增量业务。目前公司已在越南、墨西哥、美国等地建立生产基地， 巩固全球供应链基础，并通过跨境电商和自主品牌OBM业务开拓新增长极。尽管上半年受海外经济波 动、关税政策冲击等不利因素影响，公司外销业务依然保持韧性。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Gujia Home has shown a positive stock performance and financial growth in recent months, indicating potential investment opportunities [1][2][3] - As of August 25, Gujia Home's stock price increased by 2.09% to 29.30 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 24.078 billion CNY [1] - The company has experienced a year-to-date stock price increase of 11.83%, with significant gains over the past 5, 20, and 60 trading days of 7.52%, 12.43%, and 24.05% respectively [1] Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, Gujia Home reported a revenue of 9.801 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.02%, and a net profit of 1.021 billion CNY, up 13.89% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.339 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.173 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 14.88% to 23,500, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 12.95% to 34,547 shares [2][3]

2025年8月23日，顾家家居(603816.SH)发布2025年中报。 公司最新毛利率为32.89%，较上季度毛利率增加0.50个百分点。最新ROE为10.42%，较去年同期ROE增 加0.80个百分点。 公司摊薄每股收益为1.26元，较去年同报告期摊薄每股收益增加0.17元，同比较去年同期上涨15.60%。 公司最新总资产周转率为0.55次。最新存货周转率为3.23次，较去年同期存货周转率增加0.08次，同比 较去年同期上涨2.65%。 公司股东户数为2.35万户，前十大股东持股数量为4.90亿股，占总股本比例为59.67%，前十大股东持股 情况如下： | 序号 | 股东名称 | 持股比例 | | --- | --- | --- | | T | 宁波盈峰睿和投资管理有限公司 | 29.42% | | 2 | 顾家集团有限公司 | 12.55% | | 3 | TB Home Limited | 5.01% | | 4 | 芜湖建信鼎信投资管理中心(有限合伙) | 4.90% | | 5 | 李东来 | 2.03% | | ર | 中国建设银行股份有限公司-中欧养老产业混合型证券投资基金 | 1.32% | ...

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown strong performance, breaking through last year's high, with expectations for continued upward movement supported by reasonable valuations and new positive factors such as a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a recovery in public fund issuance [2][3] - The weighted REITs index has decreased by 1.52% during the week of August 18-22, 2025, indicating a downward trend in the secondary market prices of publicly listed REITs [2] Credit Bonds - A total of 375 credit bonds were issued from August 18 to August 22, 2025, with a total issuance scale of 376.74 billion, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 12.45% [3] - The total transaction volume of credit bonds reached 1,286.40 billion, up 16.04% week-on-week, with commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes being the top three in transaction volume [3] Convertible Bonds - The CSI Convertible Bond Index increased by 2.8% during the week, with a year-to-date increase of 17.9%, slightly below the equity market performance [4] - Current valuations of convertible bonds are close to or exceed historical highs, yet the equity market remains robust, suggesting continued strong performance in the convertible bond market [4] High-end Manufacturing - Exports of engineering machinery maintained double-digit growth, with excavators, tractors, and mining machinery showing year-on-year increases of 24%, 30%, and 25% respectively [6] - The report suggests focusing on companies like QuanFeng Holdings, JuXing Technology, and Xugong Machinery due to their strong export performance [6] TMT Sector - The company SUTENG has seen rapid growth in its robotics business, indicating a successful strategic transformation [6] - The report highlights the importance of SUTENG's self-research technology and its competitive advantages in the ADAS and robotics ecosystem [6] Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The report notes a slight decline in pig prices, with the average price of live pigs at 13.75 yuan/kg, down 0.07% week-on-week [6] - The government has initiated pork storage measures to boost market sentiment, suggesting a potential recovery in pig prices [6] Medical and Biological Sector - The report recommends increasing allocations to the medical device sector, highlighting undervalued companies in Hong Kong and those with strong growth potential [7] - Companies like Weikang Medical and Mindray Medical are noted for their robust growth and research capabilities [7] Petrochemical Sector - The report indicates a significant market opportunity for the renovation of old refineries, with companies like Sinopec Engineering and PetroChina Engineering expected to benefit [7] - The report emphasizes the trend of "de-involution" in the refining industry, which may lead to a substantial market for dismantling and renovation [7] Basic Chemicals - The second phase of phosphate fertilizer export quotas has been allocated, with leading companies expected to benefit from high overseas prices [7] - The report anticipates continued high demand for high-grade phosphate rock in the short to medium term [7] Non-Banking Financials - AIA Insurance has seen new business value reach new highs, with stable growth in operating profits [10] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for AIA for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [10] Real Estate - The property management sector shows steady growth, with a stable dividend outlook from companies like Yuexiu Services [10] - The report notes a slight decline in net profit but maintains a positive outlook due to strong project delivery from related companies [10] Electric New Energy - The report highlights the growth potential in the energy storage battery sector, with companies like Yiwei Lithium Energy expected to benefit from increased demand [24] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025, reflecting a strong competitive position in the market [24] Textile and Apparel - The report indicates a decline in profit margins for companies like Li Ning, despite revenue growth [34] - The company is expected to maintain a strong brand presence, with a "buy" rating maintained [34]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Gujia Home Furnishing (603816) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook on the company's performance and growth potential [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that Gujia Home Furnishing has shown effective results from its retail transformation in the domestic market, with a focus on comprehensive home retail operations and soft product innovation [2]. - The company is advancing its globalization strategy, maintaining resilience in its export performance despite external economic challenges [2]. - The core product categories are experiencing growth, with diversified layouts enhancing market share [3]. - Profit margins are stable, supported by organizational changes and digitalization efforts that improve operational efficiency [4]. - The company has a strong cash flow position, with healthy operating cash flow and improved turnover days for inventory and receivables [6]. Summary by Sections Domestic Sales - In H1 2025, domestic sales revenue reached 52.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, with a gross margin of 39.59%, up by 1.77 percentage points [2]. - The retail transformation has led to steady growth in the domestic market, with the company focusing on a comprehensive home retail strategy [2]. International Sales - In H1 2025, international sales revenue was 42.58 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.6%, with a gross margin of 26.36%, an increase of 0.32 percentage points [2]. - The company is enhancing its global strategy by establishing production bases in Vietnam, Mexico, and the United States, and is leveraging cross-border e-commerce to explore new growth avenues [2]. Product Performance - In H1 2025, revenue from key product categories included sofas (5.667 billion yuan, +15%), bedroom products (1.693 billion yuan, +10%), and custom furniture (0.553 billion yuan, +13%) [3]. - The company has improved its product capabilities and efficiency, leading to better performance in both domestic and international markets [3]. Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 32.89%, with a net profit margin of 10.41%, reflecting operational efficiency improvements from organizational changes and digitalization [4]. - The company reported a decrease in expense ratios, with a total expense ratio of 20.06%, down by 1.21 percentage points [4]. Financial Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 19.4 billion yuan, 22.3 billion yuan, and 25.4 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.1X, 10.6X, and 9.3X [6].

Core Viewpoint - Kuka Home's performance shows double-digit growth, with significant support from its actual controller, He Jianfeng [1][3][11] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Kuka Home achieved operating revenue of 9.801 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.02%, and a net profit of 1.021 billion yuan, up 13.89% year-on-year [1][3] - For the years 2021 to 2023, Kuka Home's operating revenues were 18.342 billion yuan, 18.010 billion yuan, and 19.212 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 44.81%, -1.81%, and 6.67% respectively [4] - Net profits for the same period were 1.664 billion yuan, 1.812 billion yuan, and 2.006 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 96.87%, 8.87%, and 10.70% respectively [4] Shareholder Changes - In January 2024, Kuka Home transferred 242 million shares to "Yingfeng Ruihe Investment" for a transaction price of 8.88 billion yuan, making Yingfeng Ruihe the largest shareholder [4][5] - Following this transfer, He Jianfeng's shareholding will increase to 37.37% after a planned private placement to raise 1.997 billion yuan [2][12] Future Growth Prospects - Kuka Home's 2025 net profit target requires a growth of 28.9% compared to the average net profit from 2021 to 2023 [9][10] - The company remains optimistic about future growth, citing opportunities in the market despite challenges in the real estate sector [10] - The 2024 stock incentive plan aims to align management's interests with long-term company performance [7][8] Investment Plans - The planned fundraising of 1.997 billion yuan will be used for various projects, including smart production line upgrades and digital transformation initiatives [11][13] - This investment is expected to enhance Kuka Home's operational capabilities and market competitiveness [11][13]

点击注册小程序 公司发布2025年中报，1H2025公司实现营收/归母净利润分别为98.0/10.2亿元，分别同比+10.0%/+13.9%，实现 经营性活动现金流净额10.9亿元，同比+71.9%；1Q2025实现营收/归母净利润分别为49.1/5.2亿元，分别同比 +12.9%/+23.5%；2Q2025实现营收/归母净利润分别为48.9/5.0亿元，分别同比+7.2%/+5.4%。 点评： 零售转型下内销企稳向好，外贸稳健增长 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 1H2025，分品类看，沙发/床类/集成产品/定制分别实现营收56.7/16.9/11.6/5.5亿元，分别同比 +14.7%/+10.3%/-8.2%/ +12.6%。公司功能沙发经营态势较好，内贸功能 ...