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2026年半导体设备行业策略报告:AI驱动新成长,自主可控大时代-20260104
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-01-04 13:04
Group 1 - The semiconductor equipment index has significantly outperformed the market since the beginning of 2025, with a cumulative increase of 62.3% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 42.0% [3][13] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing high prosperity, with the global semiconductor market expected to reach a historical high of $760.7 billion in 2026, driven by AI [3][36] - The domestic semiconductor equipment market is seeing a strong recovery in wafer fab capacity utilization and expansion willingness, supported by the AI-driven storage supercycle [3][36] Group 2 - Four key investment directions are recommended: 1. Focus on etching and thin film equipment leaders driven by AI storage supercycle [3] 2. Domestic lithography machine production is expected to achieve mass production in 2026, boosting subsystem and component companies [3] 3. ALD equipment is entering a golden development period, especially in advanced logic and storage fields [3] 4. Advanced packaging continues to follow Moore's Law, providing significant opportunities for domestic equipment manufacturers [3] Group 3 - Investment suggestions include leading companies such as North China Innovation, Zhongwei Company, and TuoJing Technology, as well as high-elasticity targets like XinYuanWei and HuaHaiQingKe [3] - The overall revenue of the semiconductor equipment industry is projected to grow by 36% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025, with leading companies maintaining high growth rates [15] - The overall net profit of the semiconductor equipment industry is expected to increase by 22% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025, with significant profit acceleration from companies like Shengmei and TuoJing [15][24] Group 4 - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with AI as the core engine driving the market [36] - The global semiconductor market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% from 2004 to 2024, with a significant recovery and expansion phase starting from 2023 [36] - The capital expenditure of the top eight cloud service providers is expected to increase by 40% in 2026, reaching $600 billion, further supporting the semiconductor market growth [36]
盛美上海:公司新设备的验证周期通常为12个月至21个月
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-29 13:13
Core Viewpoint - The company aims to enhance the efficiency of new equipment validation by establishing an internal research and testing platform, which is expected to significantly reduce client-side validation time and improve acceptance of new equipment [1] Group 1: Equipment Validation Process - The validation cycle for new equipment typically ranges from 12 to 21 months, with client-side validation taking between 11 to 20 months [1] - The establishment of the "Research and Process Testing Platform" will allow the company to conduct equipment process validation, stability validation, and product process validation internally, rather than at the client site [1] Group 2: Time Efficiency and Client Acceptance - By moving the validation process to the internal platform, the company anticipates a reduction in client-side validation time by 5 to 8 months [1] - This reduction is expected to enhance clients' willingness to accept new equipment validations, thereby improving the company's new equipment research and development efficiency [1]
盛美上海:公司研发洁净室由专业团队负责运维
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-29 12:29
Group 1 - The company, Shengmei Shanghai, announced on an interactive platform that its private placement project includes the "R&D and Process Testing Platform Construction Project" [2] - This project will utilize clean rooms, semiconductor equipment, and testing equipment mini lines to provide a comprehensive verification platform for the R&D innovation of various process equipment [2] - The company's R&D clean room is managed by a professional team, and over the years, it has established an experienced team for clean room operations and maintenance [2]
100页深度报告:半导体产业的发展复盘与方向探索
材料汇· 2025-12-26 14:58
Global Semiconductor Market Analysis - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $659.1 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.0%, and is expected to grow to $789.3 billion by 2025 [2][14] - Integrated circuits will account for the largest share at 73.9%, while artificial intelligence chips will see the fastest growth at 49.3% [2][14] - In 2023, the top ten companies in the global semiconductor market are primarily from the US, Taiwan, and South Korea, with no mainland Chinese companies in the top ranks [2][16] China Semiconductor Market Analysis - China's semiconductor market is expected to reach $176.9 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9%, and is projected to reach $206.7 billion by 2025 [2][16] - Integrated circuits will dominate the Chinese market, accounting for $139.3 billion, or 78.7% of the total market, with artificial intelligence chips growing at 48.3% [2][16] Historical Development of the Semiconductor Industry - The global semiconductor industry has evolved through four major phases: the rise of personal computers and the internet (1986-1999), network communications and consumer electronics (2000-2010), the smartphone and 3G/4G/5G era (2010-2020), and the current AI technology and data center phase (2023-present) [3][21][24] Semiconductor Industry Chain Overview - The semiconductor industry chain consists of upstream (EDA/IP, semiconductor equipment, semiconductor materials), midstream (semiconductor design, wafer manufacturing, and packaging/testing), and downstream (packaging and testing) segments [6][62] - Upstream EDA/IP is dominated by companies like Synopsys and Cadence, while semiconductor equipment is led by ASML for EUV lithography, with high industry concentration [6][62] Future Development Directions in the Semiconductor Industry - Key future development areas in the semiconductor industry include third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth memory [8][10] Investment Recommendations - The domestic semiconductor industry is expected to make breakthroughs in upstream core equipment, materials, and software, driven by national policies and international dynamics [9] - Investment opportunities are particularly promising in third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth storage [9][10]
爱建电子深度报告:半导体产业的发展复盘与方向探索
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-26 11:31
Investment Rating - The report rates the semiconductor industry as "Outperform" compared to the market [1] Core Insights - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach USD 659.1 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 20.0%, and is expected to grow to USD 789.3 billion in 2025 [2][13] - Integrated circuits will account for the largest share of the market at 73.9% in 2024, while artificial intelligence chips are anticipated to grow the fastest at 49.3% [2][13] - The report identifies four key future development directions for the semiconductor industry: third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth memory [2] Summary by Sections 1. Semiconductor Market Analysis - The global semiconductor market is expected to grow significantly, with integrated circuits leading the market share [13][15] - The Chinese semiconductor market is projected to reach USD 1,769 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9% [15][17] 2. Historical Development of the Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry has evolved through four major phases, driven by technological advancements and market demands [20][22] - The current phase is characterized by AI technology and data centers driving growth [22][23] 3. Semiconductor Industry Chain - The semiconductor industry chain consists of upstream (EDA/IP, semiconductor equipment, materials), midstream (design, wafer manufacturing, packaging), and downstream (packaging and testing) segments [64][73] - The report highlights the importance of domestic companies in advancing technology and achieving breakthroughs in core areas [2][64] 4. Future Development Directions - The report emphasizes the potential of third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth memory as key growth areas [2][4]
盛美上海(688082) - 2026年第一次临时股东会会议资料
2025-12-25 09:30
证券代码:688082 证券简称:盛美上海 盛美半导体设备(上海)股份有限公司 2026 年第一次临时股东会会议资料 2026 年 1 月 盛美半导体设备(上海)股份有限公司 2026 年第一次临时股东会会议须知 为维护全体股东的合法权利,确保股东会的正常秩序和议事效率,保证会议 的顺利进行,根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称《公司法》)《中华人民 共和国证券法》《上市公司股东会规则》以及《盛美半导体设备(上海)股份有 限公司章程》(以下简称《公司章程》)《盛美半导体设备(上海)股份有限公司 股东会议事规则》等相关规定,盛美半导体设备(上海)股份有限公司(以下简 称"公司")特制定 2026 年第一次临时股东会会议须知: 一、为确认出席会议的股东或其代理人或其他出席者的出席资格,会议工作 人员将对出席会议者的身份进行必要的核对工作,请被核对者予以配合。 二、为保证本次会议的严肃性和正常秩序,切实维护股东的合法权益,请出 席会议的股东或其代理人或其他出席者准时达到会场签到确认参会资格,在会议 主持人宣布现场出席会议的股东和代理人人数及所持有的表决权数量之前,会议 登记应当终止。 三、会议按照会议通知上所列顺 ...
中国半导体设备_月度 SPE 进口分析_上海 SPE 需求保持强劲-China Semi Equipment_ Monthly SPE import analysis_ SPE demand in Shanghai remained solid
2025-12-25 02:42
Summary of China Semiconductor Equipment Import Analysis Industry Overview - The report focuses on the semiconductor production equipment (SPE) industry in China, particularly analyzing import trends and demand dynamics in major cities like Shanghai and Beijing [1][4]. Key Highlights - **November 2025 SPE Imports**: Total SPE imports normalized to **US$2.1 billion**, reflecting a **10% YoY decrease** and a **29% MoM decline** from **US$2.98 billion** in October [1]. - **Year-to-Date (YTD) Performance**: Combined import demand for the first eleven months of 2025 reached **US$30.5 billion**, marking a **5% YoY increase** [1]. - **Regional Demand**: Shanghai and Beijing accounted for **67%** of total SPE imports in November, with Shanghai's imports at **US$902 million** (+179% YoY) and Beijing's at **US$525 million** (+41% YoY) [1]. Equipment Type Analysis - **Lithography Equipment**: - November litho imports totaled **US$707 million**, down **15% YoY** and **32% MoM**. However, litho accounted for **33%** of total imports, above the typical range of **20-25%** [2]. - Strong demand for litho suggests sustainable expansion activities in the long term [2]. - **Deposition Equipment**: Imports reached **US$414 million**, up **8% YoY**, driven by other deposition (+72% YoY) and CVD (+24% YoY) [2]. - **Etch Equipment**: Imports were **US$428 million**, down **32% YoY** [2]. Import Sources - The Netherlands and Japan were the top exporters to China, holding **29%** and **28%** market shares, respectively [2]. - Imports from the US accounted for only **4%** of total SPE imports [2]. Major Import Transactions - In November, Shanghai imported **nine litho tools** from the Netherlands for a total of **US$494 million** (average selling price of **US$55 million** per unit) [3]. - Accumulated litho imports from the Netherlands in Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangdong reached **US$3.2 billion**, with Shanghai showing a **71% YoY increase** [3]. Future Outlook - **WFE Spending Projections**: Expected growth of **10%** in 2026 and **1%** in 2027, following an **8%** growth in 2025, driven by advanced logic and memory capacity expansion projects [4]. - **Top Picks**: NAURA is highlighted as a key buy, with buy ratings also on AMEC and ACMR Shanghai [4]. Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Include potential macroeconomic downturns, geopolitical tensions, and slower-than-expected R&D progress [48]. - **Upside Risks**: Faster-than-expected demand recovery and aggressive capex plans from domestic fabs could enhance market conditions [48]. Conclusion - The analysis indicates a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook for the semiconductor equipment sector in China, with significant regional demand and potential for growth in WFE spending, despite existing risks.
研报掘金丨爱建证券:首予盛美上海“买入”评级,在手订单向收入端持续转化
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-24 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The report from Aijian Securities highlights that Shengmei Shanghai's order exposure is clear, and the leading cleaning equipment manufacturer is set to benefit from production expansion in the semiconductor sector [1] Orders and Revenue - As of September 29, 2025, the company has an order backlog of 9.072 billion yuan, clearly directed towards the expansion of storage wafer fabs [1] - The company focuses on single-wafer cleaning equipment and continues to extend its layout into semiconductor electroplating, copper polishing, advanced packaging wet process equipment, vertical furnace tubes, front-end coating and developing (Track), and PECVD fields, enhancing its product matrix [1] Market Position and Growth - The expansion of storage and logic wafer fabs is leading to a continuous conversion of the company's order backlog into revenue [1] - The company's equipment in advanced processes and advanced packaging has passed verification, indicating strong market positioning [1] Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, reflecting confidence in its growth prospects [1]
盛美上海(688082):首次覆盖报告:存储订单饱满,清洗设备龙头迎扩产红利
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-24 07:56
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, 盛美上海 (688082.SH) [5] Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from a strong order backlog, particularly in the storage wafer factory expansion, with an estimated order amount of 9.072 billion yuan, indicating a significant focus on storage-related orders [5] - The global semiconductor equipment market is projected to recover, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.3% from 2024 to 2027, while the Chinese market is expected to grow from 49.1 billion USD in 2024 to 66.2 billion USD in 2027 [5] - The company is the largest semiconductor cleaning equipment manufacturer in China, holding approximately 8% of the global market share and over 30% in the single-wafer cleaning equipment sector [5] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 38.88 billion yuan in 2023 to 98.08 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.3%, 44.5%, 25.1%, 20.2%, and 16.2% respectively [3][27] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 911 million yuan in 2023 to 2.323 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 36.2%, 26.7%, 46.1%, 16.8%, and 18.0% respectively [3][27] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.90 yuan in 2023 to 5.29 yuan in 2027 [3][27] - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 49.4% in 2025 and improve to 51.0% by 2027 [3][27] Industry and Company Situation - The semiconductor cleaning equipment market is highly concentrated, with the top four companies holding a combined market share of 90% [5] - The company is expanding its product matrix beyond single-wafer cleaning equipment to include semiconductor electroplating, copper polishing, and advanced packaging wet process equipment [5] - The company has established a strong customer base, including major semiconductor manufacturers such as 海力士, 华虹集团, and 中芯国际 [22] Key Assumptions - Revenue from semiconductor cleaning equipment is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 27.6%, 22.1%, and 17.7% year-on-year growth from 2025 to 2027 [5] - The gross margin for cleaning equipment is anticipated to improve from 49.4% in 2025 to 55.4% in 2027, enhancing overall profitability [5] Catalysts for Stock Performance - The expansion of storage and logic wafer factories is expected to drive revenue growth, with a strong order backlog translating into sales [5] - Successful validation of equipment in advanced processes and packaging fields will further support the company's growth trajectory [5]
盛美上海股价连续3天上涨累计涨幅8.38%,诺安基金旗下1只基金持246.86万股,浮盈赚取3453.54万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 07:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Shengmei Shanghai's stock price has been on an upward trend, increasing by 1.47% to reach 180.99 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 86.905 billion yuan and a trading volume of 600 million yuan [1] - Shengmei Semiconductor Equipment (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of semiconductor equipment, with 99.72% of its revenue coming from product sales and 0.28% from services [1] - The stock has seen a cumulative increase of 8.38% over the past three days, indicating strong market interest [1] Group 2 - According to data on the top circulating shareholders, the Noan Growth Mixed A Fund has reduced its holdings by 754,100 shares, now holding 2,468,600 shares, which represents 0.57% of the circulating shares [2] - The Noan Growth Mixed A Fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 37.25% and a one-year return of 32.26%, ranking 2,129 out of 8,088 and 2,611 out of 8,058 respectively [2] - The fund manager, Liu Huiying, has a tenure of 3 years and 145 days, with the best fund return during this period being 75.38% [2]