Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen, celebrating its 45th anniversary, highlights the symbiotic relationship between local banks and the city's development, showcasing the innovative financial practices of institutions like China Merchants Bank and Ping An Bank [2][8]. Group 1: Historical Context and Development - Shenzhen's financial industry has evolved significantly since the 1980s, with local banks like China Merchants Bank and Ping An Bank serving as examples of successful financial innovation [2][8]. - China Merchants Bank was established in 1987 in Shenzhen, starting with 100 million yuan in capital and growing to over 12 trillion yuan in total assets by mid-2025 [8]. - As of June 2025, China Merchants Bank reported 1.16 trillion yuan in deposits and 536.3 billion yuan in loans in Shenzhen, serving 15.78 million retail customers and 310,000 corporate clients [8]. Group 2: Leadership and Management - Wang Liang, the long-serving president of China Merchants Bank, emphasizes a market-oriented approach and innovative service models as key to the bank's success [11]. - In contrast, Ji Guangheng, the relatively new president of Ping An Bank, brings extensive experience from other major banks and focuses on leveraging technology and industry support for growth [5][10]. Group 3: Strategic Innovations - China Merchants Bank's "Zhaoyin Model" includes a modern corporate governance structure and a competitive hiring process, fostering a dynamic work environment [11]. - Ping An Bank's strategy involves supporting technology-driven enterprises and enhancing industrial upgrades, with a focus on creating specialized financial products for key sectors [12][13]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Challenges - Both banks face challenges such as declining interest rates and consumer spending, with China Merchants Bank reporting a 2.08% decrease in net profit year-on-year for Q1 2025 [16]. - Ping An Bank's half-year report for 2025 showed a 10% decline in revenue and a 3.9% decrease in net profit, although some key performance indicators showed signs of recovery [16]. Group 5: Future Directions and Goals - The financial sector in Shenzhen aims to align with national goals for high-quality development, with China Merchants Bank focusing on a "value bank" strategy to maximize stakeholder benefits [18]. - Ping An Bank seeks to integrate with Shenzhen's growth, supporting the real economy and enhancing financial services for the community [18].

Market Overview - The A-share market has shown strong performance, breaking through last year's high, with expectations for continued upward movement supported by reasonable valuations and new positive factors such as a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a recovery in public fund issuance [2][3] - The weighted REITs index has decreased by 1.52% during the week of August 18-22, 2025, indicating a downward trend in the secondary market prices of publicly listed REITs [2] Credit Bonds - A total of 375 credit bonds were issued from August 18 to August 22, 2025, with a total issuance scale of 376.74 billion, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 12.45% [3] - The total transaction volume of credit bonds reached 1,286.40 billion, up 16.04% week-on-week, with commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes being the top three in transaction volume [3] Convertible Bonds - The CSI Convertible Bond Index increased by 2.8% during the week, with a year-to-date increase of 17.9%, slightly below the equity market performance [4] - Current valuations of convertible bonds are close to or exceed historical highs, yet the equity market remains robust, suggesting continued strong performance in the convertible bond market [4] High-end Manufacturing - Exports of engineering machinery maintained double-digit growth, with excavators, tractors, and mining machinery showing year-on-year increases of 24%, 30%, and 25% respectively [6] - The report suggests focusing on companies like QuanFeng Holdings, JuXing Technology, and Xugong Machinery due to their strong export performance [6] TMT Sector - The company SUTENG has seen rapid growth in its robotics business, indicating a successful strategic transformation [6] - The report highlights the importance of SUTENG's self-research technology and its competitive advantages in the ADAS and robotics ecosystem [6] Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The report notes a slight decline in pig prices, with the average price of live pigs at 13.75 yuan/kg, down 0.07% week-on-week [6] - The government has initiated pork storage measures to boost market sentiment, suggesting a potential recovery in pig prices [6] Medical and Biological Sector - The report recommends increasing allocations to the medical device sector, highlighting undervalued companies in Hong Kong and those with strong growth potential [7] - Companies like Weikang Medical and Mindray Medical are noted for their robust growth and research capabilities [7] Petrochemical Sector - The report indicates a significant market opportunity for the renovation of old refineries, with companies like Sinopec Engineering and PetroChina Engineering expected to benefit [7] - The report emphasizes the trend of "de-involution" in the refining industry, which may lead to a substantial market for dismantling and renovation [7] Basic Chemicals - The second phase of phosphate fertilizer export quotas has been allocated, with leading companies expected to benefit from high overseas prices [7] - The report anticipates continued high demand for high-grade phosphate rock in the short to medium term [7] Non-Banking Financials - AIA Insurance has seen new business value reach new highs, with stable growth in operating profits [10] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for AIA for 2025-2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [10] Real Estate - The property management sector shows steady growth, with a stable dividend outlook from companies like Yuexiu Services [10] - The report notes a slight decline in net profit but maintains a positive outlook due to strong project delivery from related companies [10] Electric New Energy - The report highlights the growth potential in the energy storage battery sector, with companies like Yiwei Lithium Energy expected to benefit from increased demand [24] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025, reflecting a strong competitive position in the market [24] Textile and Apparel - The report indicates a decline in profit margins for companies like Li Ning, despite revenue growth [34] - The company is expected to maintain a strong brand presence, with a "buy" rating maintained [34]

Summary of the Conference Call on China Banks Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China banking sector** and provided insights into the performance and outlook for various banks in the region, particularly in the context of macroeconomic challenges expected in the second half of 2025 [2][5][9]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Performance Metrics**: Since July 2025, MSCI China banks and CSI 300 banks have underperformed MSCI China and CSI 300 by 11 percentage points and 10 percentage points, respectively [2][9]. 2. **Revenue and Profit Growth**: Despite a challenging macro environment, banks' revenues and profit growth are expected to improve sequentially in 2H25, driven by stabilization in Net Interest Margin (NIM) and a moderate recovery in fee income, particularly from wealth management [2][5][12]. 3. **Dividend Yields**: The average forecasted dividend yield for A-share banks is approximately 4.3%, significantly higher than the 3-year deposit yield, 10-year China Government Bonds (CGB), and 3-month Wealth Management Products (WMP) yields [5][12]. 4. **Investment Preferences**: There is a preference for banks with strong deposit franchises, with **China Merchants Bank (CMB-A)** being highlighted as a top pick due to its decent dividend yield and higher earnings sensitivity to capital markets [2][5][11]. 5. **Rating Changes**: - **Bank of Communications (BoCom)** was upgraded from Neutral to Overweight due to its higher revenue contribution from capital-market related fees and resilient NIM [5][41]. - **Ping An Bank** was upgraded to Neutral as its retail business restructuring is nearing completion, and it has a high NPL coverage ratio [5][57]. - **Agricultural Bank of China (ABC)** was downgraded to Neutral due to its low dividend yield and potential capital raising in 2026 [5][67]. Additional Important Insights 1. **NIM Stabilization**: The stabilization of NIM is expected as the rate cut cycle nears its end, with one or two more rate cuts anticipated in 2H25 or 2026 [5][12]. 2. **Asset Quality Concerns**: The Non-Performing Loan (NPL) formation ratio may increase due to declining macro growth, but impairment charges are expected to remain stable due to improved bad debt recovery efforts [5][12]. 3. **Market Sentiment**: The overall macro outlook does not support a large-scale rotation into growth stocks, maintaining demand for yield stocks [5][12]. 4. **Potential Upside**: Analysis suggests a potential share price upside of 10-20% for A and H share banks in the next six months, contingent on improvements in the earnings outlook [10][12]. 5. **Seasonality Effects**: Historically, banks' share prices have underperformed in July and August, but this trend is expected to fade as banks have started distributing interim dividends since 2024 [12][18]. Conclusion The conference call provided a comprehensive outlook on the China banking sector, emphasizing the resilience of banks amidst macroeconomic challenges, the attractiveness of dividend yields, and strategic investment recommendations. The insights suggest a cautiously optimistic view on the sector's performance in the latter half of 2025, with specific banks positioned favorably for growth.

Group 1: North Exchange Specialized and Innovative Index - The North Exchange Specialized and Innovative Index focuses on innovative small and medium-sized enterprises, emphasizing "specialized, refined, unique, and innovative" small giants, providing differentiated value as a rare high-quality small-cap growth index in the market [11][12] - The index consists of high-quality underlying assets, with a market capitalization median of 3.74 billion yuan, lower than other indices, indicating a focus on smaller companies [11] - The index has shown high growth potential, with a revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40.4% over the past three years, and a high research and development investment ratio of 6.2% [11] Group 2: Saint Bella (2508HK) - Saint Bella is a well-known company in the high-end confinement service sector, aiming to provide comprehensive family care services from pregnancy to elderly care, with a projected adjusted net profit of 117 million, 191 million, and 287 million yuan for 2025-2027 [3][14] - The company has established four core advantages: strong brand recognition in high-end confinement services, a light asset model with standardized training, vertical and horizontal expansion in family services, and international market penetration targeting overseas Chinese [17] - The family care industry in China is expected to grow from 392.8 billion yuan in 2019 to 711.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 12.6%, indicating a favorable market environment for Saint Bella [17]

Core Viewpoint - Recent announcements from multiple banks emphasize that credit card funds cannot be used for investment purposes, aiming to prevent financial risks associated with credit funds flowing into the stock market as investor enthusiasm rises [1][5]. Summary by Sections Credit Card Usage Regulations - Several banks, including Ping An Bank and CITIC Bank, have reiterated that credit card funds, including cash advances, must not be used for investment activities such as purchasing stocks, funds, futures, and other financial products [3][4]. - Banks have implemented stricter regulations on cash advances, stating that these funds cannot be used for any non-consumption activities, including investments [4][6]. Market Context - The A-share market has shown strong performance recently, leading to increased investor interest, which may tempt some cardholders to use credit cards for stock investments [5][10]. - The People's Bank of China and the former China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission issued guidelines in 2022 that explicitly prohibit the use of credit card funds for investment, and recent bank announcements reflect a deeper implementation of these regulations [4][10]. Risks of Using Credit Cards for Investments - Using credit card funds for stock trading can lead to severe consequences, including transaction failures and potential criminal charges for malicious overdraft [6][8]. - The high-interest rates associated with credit card cash advances can amplify investment risks, leading to significant financial pressure if investments do not perform well [10][11]. Recommendations for Investors - Experts advise investors to strictly adhere to the intended use of credit card funds for daily consumption and to avoid any attempts to circumvent regulations through indirect methods [11]. - Maintaining credit health by making timely repayments and understanding the risks associated with using credit cards as investment leverage is crucial [11].

Core Insights - Ping An Bank reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with operating income at 69.385 billion yuan, down 10% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 24.87 billion yuan, down 3.9% [1][2] - The bank continues to implement a mid-term dividend, distributing 2.36 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 4.58 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank's basic earnings per share for the first half of 2025 was 1.18 yuan [1] - As of June 30, the personal loan balance was 1.725978 trillion yuan, a decrease of 2.3% from the end of the previous year, with mortgage loans making up 64.3% of personal loans [1] - The non-performing loan ratio for personal loans was 1.27%, a decrease of 0.12 percentage points from the end of the previous year [1] Group 2: Deposit and Wealth Management - Personal deposit balance reached 1.327338 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.1% from the end of the previous year [2] - The average daily balance of personal deposits was 1.317087 trillion yuan, up 5.6% year-on-year, with an average interest rate of 1.92%, down 37 basis points from the previous year [2] - Wealth management fee income for the first half was 2.466 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, with personal insurance agency income growing by 46.1% to 666 million yuan [2] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - The bank indicated that some key performance indicators have shown positive trends in the first half of 2025 [2] - Plans for the second half include refining business strategies and enhancing professional capabilities to stabilize and improve overall performance [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Ping An Bank [2] Core Views - The bank's revenue for the first half of 2025 decreased by 10% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders down by 3.9% [5][7] - The bank's asset quality remains in line with expectations, with a slight decrease in the non-performing loan ratio to 1.05% and an increase in the provision coverage ratio to 238% [5][9] - The report highlights a shift in focus towards credit structure adjustment, indicating that the reduction in high-risk retail loans may be entering its later stages [7][9] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue is projected to decline from 164,699 million in 2023 to 134,676.6 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of -8.19% [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decrease slightly from 46,455 million in 2023 to 44,109.44 million in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of -0.90% [6] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to decline from 11.37% in 2023 to 9.39% in 2025 [6] Revenue and Profitability Analysis - The decline in net interest income continues to pressure revenue, with a 9% year-on-year decrease in the first half of 2025 [7][8] - Non-interest income also saw a decline of 11% year-on-year, but the rate of decline has slowed compared to previous quarters [7] - The bank's net interest margin is reported at 1.8%, down 16 basis points year-on-year, with expectations of further pressure on loan pricing [9][12] Loan and Asset Quality - The bank's non-performing loan generation rate is estimated at 1.66% for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 20 basis points compared to 2024 [9] - The report indicates a continued focus on reducing high-risk retail loans, with a significant reduction in the volume of such loans observed [7][10] - The bank's total loans decreased by 0.1% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025, with a net reduction of approximately 32 billion [7][10] Dividend Policy - The bank plans to maintain its mid-term dividend at 2.36 yuan per 10 shares, corresponding to a dividend payout ratio of 20.1% [7][9]

Group 1 - The A-share market has seen a significant increase in investor activity, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking the 3800-point mark, although not reaching the explosive levels seen in late 2024 [1] - New account openings and inquiries at brokerage firms have increased by approximately 20%, with daily stock fund trading volume rising by 20% in July compared to June, and a further 12% increase from July to the first half of August [1] - Competition among brokerages is intensifying, shifting from price wars to a focus on enhancing service quality, as evidenced by discussions on commission rates and margin financing interest rates [1] Group 2 - Online services have become a priority for brokerages, with AI technology being leveraged to improve service efficiency and user experience, as seen in the upgrade of the Guangfa Securities app to provide proactive, 24/7 investment assistance [2] - Guojin Securities has introduced an investment style assessment tool during the "8.18" financial festival, utilizing AI to match users with suitable investment tools based on their preferences, thereby reducing decision-making costs [3] - The launch of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board's growth tier has prompted brokerages like Ping An Securities to rapidly develop online functionalities to facilitate trading, completing system upgrades ahead of schedule [4] Group 3 - Despite the rise of online services, offline interactions remain crucial, with a 20% increase in customer visits and a 30% rise in business inquiries at Ping An Securities' branches [6] - Brokerages are increasing personnel to manage the surge in customer service demands, particularly for older clients who require in-person assistance for complex transactions [6] - The current bull market has led to a shift in brokerage services, with a focus on timely information delivery and investment advice, utilizing platforms like WeChat for communication [7] Group 4 - The ongoing bull market in the A-share market has made service upgrades a key driver of market development, with brokerages adapting to meet the diverse needs of investors through both online and offline channels [8] - The competition among brokerages is expected to intensify, with those that can accurately understand investor needs and innovate service models likely to stand out in the market [8]

单季净利息收入环比-4.7%，负债端成本率延续大幅改善趋势。2Q25 单季净利息收入环比-4.7%，单季 年化净息差环比下降7bp 至1.76%。资产端来看，下行趋势仍然延续，生息资产收益率环比下降14bp 至 3.48%，主要是利率因素的影响。 结构因素为正向贡献，贷款占比较一季度末提升1.4 个点至68.2%，零售贷款占比企稳。负债端来看， 存款成本率边际下行10bp 至1.71%，带动整体负债成本率下降10bp 至1.74%。 资产负债：零售贷款下降幅度明显收窄。（1）资产端贷款占生息资产比重提升至68.2%（环比+1.4 个 点），2Q25 单季新增贷款-32.15 亿元，其中对公贷款（不含票据）新增430.78 亿元，但票据压降 432.25 亿元；零售贷款减少30.68 亿元，下降幅度较之前几个季度明显收窄，预计调结构带来的压力接 近尾声。上半年增量贷款主要由卫生、社会保障和社会服务业、按揭和制造业贡献。（2）负债端存款 占计息负债比重升至74.1%（环比+0.2 个点），企业定期存款占比提升至29.9%（环比+0.8 个点）、个 人定期存款占比提升至20.2%（环比+0.1 个点），定期化趋势延 ...

8 月 22 日晚，平安银行披露 2025 年半年报，1H25 实现营业收入 693.85 亿元， 同比降幅收窄至-10.04%；归母净利润 248.70 亿元，同比-3.9%。不良率环比下 降 1bp 至 1.05%，拨备覆盖率 238.5%，环比上升 2pct。 评论： 公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 平安银行（000001）2025 年半年报点评 推荐（维持） 非息收入回暖，零售贷款继续改善 目标价：15.41 元 事项： 全国性股份制银行Ⅲ 2025 年 08 月 24 日 | | | 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：贾靖 邮箱：jiajing@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040004 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 证券分析师：林宛慧 邮箱：linwanhui@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524110001 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 1,940,591.82 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(万股) | 1,940,557.19 | | 总市值(亿 ...