股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 11,930,709,471 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 公司名稱: 萬科企業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02202 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 2,206,512,938 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 2,206,512,938 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 2,206,51 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：HB投资笔记 12月1日，万众期待的万科展期方案出炉。和之前网传10%、10%、80%方案完全不同，原定于12月15日 到期的20亿元中期票据"22万科MTN004"的展期方案简单粗暴：本金及利息展期一年，票面利率维持3% 不变。 万科的"金身"终于还是破了，而且破得比所有人预想的都要难看。 对的，展期首付比例为零。 这是一个极具破坏意义的信号。从2021年开始，在房地产债展期的漫长历史中，有一个不成文的惯例， 即在首次展期时，通常都会拿出一笔"诚意金"，或多或少，兑付10%甚至20%的本金，最差也要兑付利 息，以换取投资人的谅解和时间。 这不仅仅是诚意问题，更是偿债能力的试金石。从过去三年的地产债违约历史来看，展期债的最终偿债 来源，大头往往就是这首次展期时的兑付款。对于绝大多数债权人而言，那笔首付可能是他们唯一能落 袋为安的真金白银。 万科此次"一分钱不付"，直接击穿了市场的心理底线。 这意味着什么？意味着这家曾经被视为行业标杆、被无数金融机构奉为"优等生"的企业，其流动性枯竭 程度远超外界想象。在没有股东的支持的情况下，连2 ...

港股万科企业尾盘拉升涨超3%，现报3.66港元。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent extension of Vanke's debt has drawn comparisons to the 2020 Yongmei default event, raising concerns about a potential repeat of significant adjustments in the bond market. However, Dongfang Securities argues that the current situation differs fundamentally from that of late 2020, suggesting that Vanke's extension will have a limited impact on market fundamentals and is unlikely to trigger systemic risks [1][2]. Group 1: Comparison with Yongmei Default - The market's tendency to draw parallels between Vanke's extension and the Yongmei default lacks a solid foundation, as the latter caused a collapse of "faith" in AAA-rated provincial state-owned enterprises, leading to a severe emotional shock and subsequent negative feedback from fund redemptions [2][3]. - The Yongmei default resulted in a rapid increase in yields for AAA and AA+ rated medium-term notes, with one-year yields rising by 14.4 and 17.4 basis points respectively during the week of the default, and reaching maximum increases of 28 and 54 basis points for the month [3]. - The central bank's swift response to the Yongmei event, including significant liquidity injections, helped stabilize the market quickly, contrasting with the current situation where the risk spread is minimal and does not necessitate similar interventions [8][9]. Group 2: Current Market Conditions - The weakening trend in the real estate sector is already a market consensus, and while Vanke's extension may have surprised some investors, it has not shattered any prevailing "faith," resulting in lower panic levels compared to the Yongmei event [9]. - The current credit risk diffusion is limited, and the negative feedback pressure on the funding and bond markets is manageable, meaning there is no need for large-scale central bank interventions [9][10]. - Looking ahead to December, the funding pressure is expected to remain controllable, with a decrease in the issuance scale of interest rate bonds and seasonal fluctuations in the funding market anticipated [10].

What this tells us. We had this obviously expectations, but now it's finally happened. And what do we understand.You know, you definitely show bankers under severe liquidity strains now. And I think the plan we are seeing about a one year delay is actually worse than a lot of investors expectation. And that could also have another you know, it's over ¥3 billion coming due in late December.So right now, investor are expecting that you know, we'll probably see the same treatment. And you know overall Vancouve ...

Core Insights - The liquidity strains faced by bankers are severe, with a one-year delay in payments being worse than investor expectations, particularly with over ¥3 billion due in late December [1][2] - Vancouver is facing over $30 billion in payments due by the end of next June, raising concerns about potential contagion effects similar to those seen with Evergrande [2][4] - The failure of Banker, a state-backed developer, raises questions about the safety of state-backed developers and could shift homebuyer confidence [4][5] Company and Industry Analysis - The sales of state-owned developers have decreased by 9% this year, while private developers have seen a 29% decline, indicating a significant impact on the market [5] - The situation with Banker, which has ties to Shenzhen Metro, a state-owned entity, may serve as a tipping point for the market, potentially affecting perceptions of state-backed developers [6][10] - Bondholders are closely monitoring the situation, with offshore bondholders holding over $1.3 billion in notes, indicating a heightened level of scrutiny and concern [8][9] - The Chinese government has intervened by instructing data providers to withhold key home sales data, likely to manage the narrative around homebuyer confidence [11][12] - Predictions indicate a 30% year-over-year decline in November home sales data, with expectations of continued steep declines into December, reflecting the ongoing challenges in the market [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The company is facing severe operational challenges and has announced a one-year extension for the repayment of its "22 Vanke MTN004" bond due to various influencing factors [1] Group 1: Bond Extension Details - The original repayment date for the "22 Vanke MTN004" bond, with a principal amount of 2 billion and an annual interest rate of 3%, was set for December 15, 2025 [1] - The new repayment date has been extended to December 15, 2026, with interest accrued before the extension to be paid on the same date without compound interest [1][4] - The bondholders' meeting to discuss the extension will take place on December 10, 2025, with a final version of the proposal to be disclosed by December 5, 2025 [1][4] Group 2: Market Reactions and Comparisons - Many bondholders have shown a high acceptance of the extension plan but expressed dissatisfaction regarding the arrangement for unpaid and new interest, with some demanding at least the current interest to be paid [2] - The comparison with the "18 Ocean Group 01" bond extension highlights a significant difference in repayment structure, where Ocean Group offered a combination of principal installments and a one-time interest payment, contrasting with Vanke's all-extension approach [3][4] Group 3: Industry Implications - The handling of Vanke's debt situation is critical for the real estate industry, as improper management could negatively impact market sentiment and the capital market [5] - The one-year extension is seen as a positive signal, indicating Vanke's capability to manage its debt, which may provide psychological support to the market [6] - Continuous efforts in debt resolution and operational improvement are necessary for Vanke to navigate the upcoming peak repayment period and the complex market environment [6]

Fixed Income Research - In the current low interest rate environment, real estate bonds have certain yield exploration space, but the fundamentals of the sector still need further improvement. The overall strategy recommendation remains focused on steady defense [2][6]. Paper and Light Industry Research - The operational efficiency and employee motivation of Bohui Paper Industry have improved, backed by Golden Light Paper Industry, enhancing long-term competitiveness [2][10]. Telecommunications Research - Guangku Technology has raised its profit forecast and target price, maintaining a buy rating. Revenue has significantly increased, driven by rapid growth in data communication [2][12]. Retail and Social Services Research - Tongcheng Travel's Q3 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with seasonal growth in hotel and transportation sectors improving sequentially. The company continues to achieve stable profit release through take rate enhancement and efficiency improvements [2][15][16]. Public Utilities Research - In the context of market capitalization assessment, state-owned enterprises with weak stock prices may have buyback demands. There is also potential for thermal power companies to increase dividends or buybacks [2][19][37].

1.奇瑞汽车：集团五大品牌11月总销量同比减少约2% 12月1日，奇瑞汽车在港交所公告，集团于2025年11月的五大品牌总销量为255,809辆汽车，较去年同期减少 约2%。 2.曾毓群回应宁德时代基层员工涨薪：没错 据21世纪经济报道，12月1日，"宁德时代发布涨薪通知"的词条迅速冲上微博热搜首位，引发大量网友关 注。宁德时代通知称，为更好地吸引和保留新老员工，不断地提升工作效率和产品品质，以增强公司竞争 力，经公司管理层决定，2026年1月1日起对1~6职级员工进行薪资调整，基本工资上调150元，其他薪资结 构及标准不变。据了解，此次宁德时代涨薪涉及的员工职级为基层员工。据中国企业家杂志报道，记者就 此事向宁德时代创始人、董事长曾毓群求证，曾毓群回应称"没错"。 点评：成本与人心博弈，涨薪留人显战略远见。 3.英伟达与新思科技扩大合作，投资20亿美元购买后者普通股 12月1日，英伟达与新思科技宣布扩大合作，将整合英伟达在人工智能和加速计算方面的优势，以及新思科 技的工程解决方案，帮助研发团队以更高精度、更快速度和更低成本设计并验证智能产品。此外，英伟达 宣布投资20亿美元购买新思科技普通股。 8.Stra ...

Core Viewpoint - Vanke's bond prices have significantly declined, raising concerns about its debt issues despite a preliminary extension plan for its bonds [2][4][6] Group 1: Bond Performance - As of December 2, several Vanke bonds experienced substantial declines, with "21 Vanke 06" dropping over 30% and "21 Vanke 02" falling over 19% [2][3] - The decline in bond prices has led to temporary trading suspensions for multiple bonds due to significant volatility [2] Group 2: Debt Extension Plan - Vanke is set to hold a creditors' meeting on December 10 to discuss the extension of a 2 billion yuan medium-term note originally due on December 15, 2025, to December 15, 2026 [4][5] - The preliminary extension plan maintains a 3.00% interest rate during the extension period, but the proposal is still under negotiation and not finalized [4][6] - Industry insiders believe the proposed one-year extension is weaker than a previously rumored eight-month plan that included staggered principal payments [6] Group 3: Debt Pressure and Liquidity - Vanke's short-term debt pressure remains significant, with 42.7% of its interest-bearing debt (approximately 151.3 billion yuan) maturing within a year, while cash reserves have decreased by 25.5% to 65.68 billion yuan [6] - The company's cash-to-short-term debt ratio has dropped to 0.43, indicating a tightening liquidity situation [6] Group 4: Future Funding Gaps - Goldman Sachs estimates that Vanke will face a funding gap of approximately 30 billion yuan in 2026, contingent on support from banks or major shareholders [7][9] - The company is likely to face a bond maturity wave of about 11.4 billion yuan between December 2025 and May 2026, with projected negative operating cash flow [9]