Core Viewpoint - Nearly half of the 2957 A-share listed companies that disclosed their 2025 annual performance forecasts are expected to incur losses, indicating a significant downturn in the market [1][2]. Provincial Distribution - The provinces with the highest proportion of companies expecting losses are Hainan (44.44%), Jilin (41.67%), and Qinghai (40%) [3][4]. - Guangdong has the highest number of companies expecting losses at 257, followed by Beijing (172), Jiangsu (160), and Zhejiang (133) [3]. Industry Analysis - The real estate sector is identified as the most affected, with Vanke A (000002.SZ) projected to be the "loss king" with an expected net profit loss of approximately 82 billion yuan [6][7]. - Other industries with significant losses include IT services, semiconductors, and chemical pharmaceuticals, with the number of companies expecting losses in these sectors ranging from 40 to 60 [6][8]. Notable Companies - Vanke A leads the losses in the real estate sector, followed by China Fortune Land Development (华夏幸福) with expected losses between 16 billion to 24 billion yuan, and Greenland Holdings (绿地控股) with losses estimated at 16 billion to 19 billion yuan [6][7]. - In the retail sector, M.K. Home (美凯龙) is projected to incur losses between 15 billion to 22.5 billion yuan, primarily due to investment property valuation losses [7]. - In the electronics sector, Deep Kangjia A (深康佳A) is expected to report losses of 12.58 billion to 15.57 billion yuan, attributed to increased impairment provisions and declining revenue [7]. Sector-Specific Losses - The photovoltaic industry is also facing challenges, with Tongwei Co. (通威股份) expected to incur losses of 9 billion to 10 billion yuan due to supply surplus and rising raw material costs [8]. - In the semiconductor sector, Wentai Technology (闻泰科技) anticipates losses of 9 billion to 13.5 billion yuan, influenced by significant investment losses and asset impairments [8].

Core Viewpoint - Nearly half of the A-share listed companies are expected to report losses for the 2025 fiscal year, with significant regional and industry disparities in the distribution of these losses [2][3]. Group 1: Regional Distribution of Losses - A total of 2,957 A-share companies disclosed their performance forecasts, with 1,442 companies expected to incur losses, representing 49% of the total [3]. - Hainan, Jilin, and Qinghai have the highest proportions of companies forecasting losses, exceeding 40%, with Hainan at 44.44% [4][5]. - Guangdong has the highest number of loss-making companies at 257, followed by Beijing (172), Jiangsu (160), and Zhejiang (133) [4]. Group 2: Industry Analysis - The real estate sector is the most affected, producing the highest number of loss-making companies, including the "loss king" Vanke A, which is expected to report a loss of approximately 82 billion yuan [7][8]. - Other industries with significant losses include IT services, semiconductors, and chemical pharmaceuticals, with 60, 50, and 40-50 companies respectively forecasting losses [7]. - The top ten companies with the highest expected losses include five from the real estate sector, with notable losses from China Fortune Land Development and Greenland Holdings [7][8]. Group 3: Specific Company Losses - Vanke A's losses are attributed to a significant decline in project settlement scale and increased business risks, leading to credit and asset impairment provisions [7]. - Other major loss-makers include China Fortune Land Development, expected to lose between 16 billion to 24 billion yuan, and Greenland Holdings, with losses projected between 16 billion to 19 billion yuan [8]. - In the retail sector, M.K. Home is expected to report losses of 15 billion to 22.5 billion yuan due to investment property valuation losses [8]. - Semiconductor company Wentech Technology anticipates losses of 9 billion to 13.5 billion yuan, primarily due to significant investment losses and asset impairments [9].

Group 1 - Iwojia (000560) is a leading real estate agency in China, established in 2000, focusing on property leasing, second-hand housing transactions, new house agency, and home services, benefiting from the rental and sales rights policy [1][33] - The company has over 3,000 offline stores and has served more than 10 million families, with its "Xiangyu" brand managing over 400,000 rental units [1][33] - Future prospects include market share expansion due to the deepening of rental and sales rights policies and enhanced service experience through digital tools [1][33] Group 2 - Huafa Group (600325) is a well-established real estate company under the Zhuhai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on real estate development and property services, primarily in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [2][34] - The company actively participates in the rental and sales rights sector with its "Huafa Youjia" rental brand and is involved in urban renewal and industrial support projects [2][34] - Future outlook includes value reassessment of land reserves and profit growth from the expansion of rental business [2][34] Group 3 - Caixin Development (000838) is a listed platform under Chongqing Caixin Group, focusing on real estate development and urban renewal, primarily in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle [3][35] - The company integrates into the regional housing rental system through self-owned apartment projects and affordable housing cooperation [3][35] - Future prospects include long-term value release from land reserves and urban renewal projects, with rental business expansion opening new growth opportunities [3][35] Group 4 - China Merchants Shekou (001979) is a flagship real estate platform under China Merchants Group, focusing on real estate development and commercial operations, primarily in key urban clusters [4][36] - The company has over 20,000 rental units under its "Yijian" brand and is deeply involved in the construction of affordable rental housing [4][36] - Future outlook includes profit growth from the expansion of rental business and asset revitalization through REITs pilot projects [4][36] Group 5 - Chengdu Investment Holdings (600649) is a city construction and operation platform under the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on real estate development and water operations [5][37] - The company actively responds to policy directions through affordable housing projects and long-term rental operations [5][37] - Future prospects include expansion of rental business scale and long-term value release from urban renewal projects [5][37] Group 6 - Binjiang Group (002244) is a leading real estate company in Hangzhou, focusing on high-quality residential development and commercial operations [6][39] - The company actively participates in the housing rental market through self-owned commercial properties and long-term rental projects [6][39] - Future outlook includes value reassessment of land reserves and profit growth from rental business expansion [6][39] Group 7 - Sealand (002285) is a leading comprehensive real estate service provider in China, focusing on property agency, rental services, and asset operation [7][40] - The company has served over one million families and manages over 100,000 rental units under its "Hongpu Apartment" brand [7][40] - Future prospects include market share expansion and service experience enhancement through digital tools [7][40] Group 8 - Poly Developments (600048) is a flagship real estate platform under Poly Group, focusing on real estate development and property services [8][41] - The company has over 50,000 rental units under its "Poly Apartment" brand and is involved in affordable rental housing construction [8][41] - Future outlook includes profit growth from rental business expansion and financing advantages under state-owned enterprise background [8][41] Group 9 - Huangting International (000056) is a commercial real estate operator based in Shenzhen, focusing on commercial property operations and financial services [9][42] - The company actively participates in the housing rental market through self-owned commercial property transformation and long-term rental operations [9][42] - Future prospects include further opening of rental space through commercial property transformation and value release from urban renewal projects [9][42] Group 10 - Jinhe Commercial Management (603682) is a leading cultural and creative park operator, focusing on urban renewal and cultural park operations [10][43] - The company integrates into the regional housing rental system through park-affiliated apartment operations and affordable housing cooperation [10][43] - Future outlook includes growth in park-affiliated rental business and consolidation of industry position through ongoing urban renewal projects [10][43] Group 11 - Vanke A (000002) is a leading real estate company in China, focusing on real estate development and rental operations [11][44] - The company has over 200,000 rental units under its "Boyu" brand, making it one of the largest long-term rental apartment operators in China [11][44] - Future prospects include profit growth from rental business expansion and asset revitalization through REITs pilot projects [11][44] Group 12 - Tianjian Group (000090) is a city construction and operation platform under the Shenzhen State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on real estate development and urban construction [12][45] - The company actively responds to policy directions through affordable housing projects and long-term rental operations [12][45] - Future outlook includes expansion of rental business scale and long-term value release from urban renewal projects [12][45] Group 13 - ST Sunshine (000608) is an established glass manufacturing company transitioning into the new energy and real estate sectors [13][46] - The company attempts to enter the housing rental market through self-owned property transformation and affordable housing cooperation [13][46] - Future prospects include growth in rental business and recovery of overall performance through the expansion of photovoltaic glass business [13][46] Group 14 - 365 Network (300295) is a leading real estate internet service platform, focusing on property information and transaction services [14][47] - The company integrates rental housing information through its online platform, benefiting from the rental and sales rights policy [14][47] - Future outlook includes growth in online rental platform traffic and improved profitability through financial technology business expansion [14][47] Group 15 - Debi Group (300947) is a leading cultural and creative park operator, focusing on urban renewal and cultural park operations [15][48] - The company integrates into the regional housing rental system through park-affiliated apartment operations and affordable housing cooperation [15][48] - Future prospects include growth in park-affiliated rental business and consolidation of industry position through ongoing urban renewal projects [15][48] Group 16 - Changjiang Investment (600119) is a logistics and real estate platform under the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on logistics operations and real estate development [16][49] - The company attempts to enter the housing rental market through self-owned property transformation and affordable housing cooperation [16][49] - Future outlook includes growth in rental business and performance improvement through logistics real estate appreciation [16][49] Group 17 - New Huangpu (600638) is a real estate platform under the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on real estate development and financial services [17][50] - The company actively participates in the housing rental market through affordable housing projects and long-term rental operations [17][50] - Future prospects include expansion of rental business scale and long-term value release from urban renewal projects [17][50] Group 18 - Yueshin Health (002162) is a health real estate and elderly care service provider, focusing on health real estate development and elderly care services [18][51] - The company integrates into the regional housing rental system through health community-affiliated apartment operations and affordable housing cooperation [18][51] - Future outlook includes growth in health rental business and improved profitability through the expansion of elderly care services [18][51]

随着2025年度A股上市公司业绩预告披露正式收官，中国经济新旧动能加速转换的图景也愈发清晰。巨灵财经数据显示，截 至2026年1月30日，A股5352家上市公司中（剔除上市未满一年公司），共有2963家发布了2025年年报、快报或业绩预告， 披露率达55.36%。其中，1069家公司实现预喜（含预增、略增、扭亏、续盈），预喜率为36.08%，较2024年的33.38%实现 小幅回升，盈利态势逐步回暖。 从整体数据来看，2025年A股行业分化态势尤为突出。非银金融、有色金属等行业表现亮眼，盈利增速显著；房地产、光伏 等传统行业则深陷调整期，持续承受业绩压力；而以半导体、通信设备为代表的新质生产力相关板块，更是迎来业绩爆发 期。这种行业增减的鲜明对比，不仅直观反映了各行业景气度的差异，更清晰展现出中国经济正逐步摆脱传统要素依赖模 式，向创新驱动的高质量发展稳步迈进。 非银金融、有色金属领衔，优势赛道表现亮眼 从各行业具体表现来看，2025年预喜率排名前五的行业分别是非银金融、有色金属、美容护理、汽车和公用事业。这些行业 凭借自身核心优势或行业周期红利，跻身业绩预喜的核心阵营，其中非银金融板块的集体预增表现最为突出 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,847.322, a slight increase of 0.047% [1] - Real estate stocks saw significant gains, with Shimao Group rising over 14%, Sunac China up over 8%, Vanke Enterprises increasing over 6%, and Yuexiu Property up over 6% [1] - Coal stocks also performed well, with Yanzhou Coal Mining rising over 10% and China Shenhua Energy increasing over 5% [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.844%, with major tech companies showing poor performance [3] - Tencent Holdings fell nearly 4%, Baidu Group declined nearly 3%, Xiaomi Group dropped over 1.8%, JD Group decreased over 1.6%, and Alibaba fell nearly 1% [3][4] - Semiconductor stocks were sluggish, with Fudan Shanghai falling over 5%, Hua Hong Semiconductor down nearly 5%, GigaDevice down over 3%, and SMIC down over 2% [5]

机构观点 2月4日，港股股指早盘震荡走低，午后股指集体拉升高位窄幅震荡，截止收盘，恒指指数上涨12.55 点，涨幅0.05%报26847.32点，恒生科技指数下跌100.82点，跌幅1.84%报5366.44点，国企指数下跌4.73 点，跌幅0.05%报9048.38点。 盘面上，芯片股走低，上海复旦跌超5%，华虹半导体跌近5%，兆易创新跌超3%，中芯国际跌超2%。 科网股低迷，腾讯控股跌近4%，哔哩哔哩跌超3%，百度集团跌近3%。煤炭股涨幅居前，兖矿能源涨超 10%，中国神华涨超5%。内房股走高，世茂集团涨超14%，融创中国涨超8%，万科企业涨超6%，越秀 地产涨超6%。 盘面情况 盘面上，各板块表现可谓"冰火两重天"。 在科技领域，企业合作与业务进展亮点频出。英诺赛科旗下相关产品成功完成在谷歌公司相关AI硬件 平台的重要设计导入，并签订合规供货协议，这一突破为其在AI硬件市场站稳脚跟奠定了坚实基础。 英矽智能也不甘示弱，获美纳里尼3900万港元里程碑付款，且合作项目MEN2501完成首例患者给药， 标志着其在医药科技研发上迈出了重要一步。数盟资本同样有新动作，其迪拜附属公司与一间澳门分销 商签订总额为30 ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong property stocks saw significant gains in the afternoon, with Sunac China (01918.HK) rising over 10% [1] - Longfor Group (03380.HK) increased by more than 7% [1] - Vanke Enterprises (02202.HK) and Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) both rose over 6% [1] Group 2 - Other stocks such as China Resources Land (01109.HK), Agile Group (03383.HK), and Country Garden (02007.HK) also experienced upward movement [1]

据《中国经营报》1月28日报道，万科前任董事会主席、执行副总裁郁亮"失联"半月。《国际金融报》此前报道称1月8日郁亮辞去公司董事、执行副总裁 职务，不再担任万科任何职务，随后开始配合调查。 根据最新报道信息，万科原董事长郁亮突然更新动态，在2026年1月28日左右给一个长隆野生动物园的视频点了"在看"，这是他自退休后的首次公开动 态，引发了市场广泛关注。 万科前高层频频被传失联上了热搜。 与此同时，万科披露的2025年业绩预告，更是被推上风口浪尖。公告披露2025年万科净利润亏损约820亿元。创下A股单年度亏损纪录，加上2024年亏损 的494.78亿元，两年累计亏损1314.8亿元，而万科最新市值仅为556.7亿元，亏损金额是当前市值的2.4倍。 令外界没想到的是，万科另一个前高层王石又突然被传失联。据智通财经2月1日报道，王石在朋友圈和视频主页更新了最新动态，疑似回应失联传言。王 石在发布的骑行视频中专门标注了时间为1月30日，当日他在深圳马峦山骑行14.44公里，历时两个小时。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 东的净利润 | 亏损: ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Basic Fundamental 120 ETF managed by Harvest Fund Management, which opened at 2.461 yuan with a slight increase of 0.37% [1] - The ETF's major holdings include companies such as CATL, Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, BOE Technology Group, Ping An Bank, Luxshare Precision, Vanke A, TCL Technology, Wuliangye, and Weichai Power, with varying performance among these stocks [1] - Since its inception on August 1, 2011, the ETF has achieved a return of 145.57%, while its return over the past month is 2.89% [1] Group 2 - The ETF's performance benchmark is the Shenzhen Basic Fundamental 120 Index, indicating its investment strategy is aligned with this index [1] - The fund manager is Harvest Fund Management Co., Ltd., and the fund manager is Li Zhi [1]

一面是上海核心区位的高品质改善型住宅依然供不应求，一面是上海远郊三宗宅地近期全都底价成交。 这两幅画面，构成了当下中国房地产市场最真实的AB面。 地产已被戏称为"地惨"，背后是这个行业长达二十年的高速增长周期正式落幕。自2020年"三条红线"政 策如一道惊雷直接刺破行业泡沫以后，房地产市场量价从2021年的历史高点快速回落，虽在2023年春季 有过短暂反弹，但随即进入持续三年的深度调整；地方政府的土地出让收入也从2021年8.7万亿元的峰 值，到2025年腰斩至4.1万亿元。 图片来源：视觉中国 与此同时，全国楼市同涨同跌的时代也宣告结束。 越来越多迹象显示，市场对"核心资产"（核心城市 的好房子）和"非核心资产"（多数普通城市的房产以及核心城市的普通房产）的定价预期彻底分离。这 意味着在2026年以及更远的未来，房地产并非一个惨或不惨的简单二元命题，而是开启了一个漫长、复 杂且充满分化的磨底与重构时代。 "地惨"时代：房价分化与城市命运分野 如果要追溯一个确切的时间节点，房地产市场的崩塌或许始于2020年的"三条红线"政策。 2018年至2019年间，行业呈现过热态势，部分企业采取激进融资策略，杠杆率甚至高 ...