一季度工程机械出口继续增长 对等关税政策或影响有限 金十数据4月23日讯，2025年一季度，国内工程机械出口额同比增长7.61%至129.20亿美元。2023年和 2024年，国内工程机械出口额分别为485.52亿美元和528.59亿美元，同比增长9.57%和8.87%。工程机械 巨头三一重工和中联重科的海外营收占比持续扩大。2024年，这两家企业的海外营收占比分别为 63.98%和51.41%。"不光是行业巨头，去年我们的海外营收占比也过半了。"一名国内工程机械企业管 理人员对记者说。 （财新） ...

按申万行业统计，景津装备所属的机械设备行业共有191家公司公布了2024年度分配方案，派现金额最 多的是中国中车，派现金额为60.27亿元，其次是三一重工、中联重科，派现金额分别为30.34亿元、 26.03亿元。（数据宝） 2024年度机械设备行业分红排名 | | 简称 | 每10股送转 | 每10股派现 | 派现金额（万 | 派现占净利润比例 | 股息率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （股） | （元） | 元） | （%） | （%） | | 601766 | 中国中 | 0.00 | 2.1 | 602700.00 | 48.65 | 2.86 | | 代码 | | | | | | | | 车 | | --- | 4月22日景津装备发布2024年度分配预案，拟10派4元（含税），预计派现金额合计为2.31亿元。派现额 占净利润比例为27.18%，以该股2024年度成交均价计算，股息率为2.01%。这是公司上市以来，累计第 8次派现。 公司上市以来历次分配方案一览 | 日期 | 分配方案 | 派现金额合计（亿元） | 股息率（%） ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of increased tariffs on agricultural machinery and the expected growth in demand for domestic agricultural machinery in China due to reduced imports from the U.S. and rising grain prices [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Impact and Agricultural Machinery Demand - The U.S. has raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%, prompting China to respond with similar tariffs on U.S. goods, which is expected to decrease imports of agricultural products from the U.S. and support domestic grain prices [1]. - Analysts predict that the total volume of agricultural imports from the U.S. will decline, which may lead to an increase in domestic grain prices, positively affecting the demand for agricultural machinery [1][2]. - Since the second half of 2024, China's grain imports have already begun to slow down, with significant decreases in imports of wheat and corn expected to continue into early 2025 [1]. Group 2: Trends in Agricultural Machinery Industry - The agricultural machinery industry is experiencing a trend of import substitution, with 52 types of agricultural machinery imported from the U.S. in 2024 totaling 490,000 units and $1.46 million, indicating a significant reliance on domestic production [2]. - China's agricultural mechanization rate is approximately 55%, which is significantly lower than that of the U.S. and Europe, suggesting substantial room for growth in mechanization to ensure food security [2]. - The industry is transitioning from quantity expansion to improvements in technology and quality, with companies focusing on enhancing their production capabilities and targeting specialized machinery for diverse agricultural needs [2][3]. Group 3: Government Support and Company Strategies - The State Council emphasizes the importance of agricultural machinery in ensuring national food security and encourages the development of key technologies and products [3]. - Companies like Zoomlion and YTO are investing in R&D to advance agricultural machinery towards high-end, green, and intelligent solutions, with a focus on expanding their market presence both domestically and internationally [4]. - The global agricultural machinery market is valued at approximately $1 trillion, with the domestic market around $200 billion, indicating significant growth potential for companies like Zoomlion, which expects a 122.29% increase in agricultural machinery revenue in 2024 [4].

今日，国务院关税税则委员会公布公告称， 4月10日，美国政府宣布对中国输美商品征收"对等关税"的 税率进一步提高至125% ，美方对华肆意加征畸高关税，严重违反国际经贸规则。国务院关税税则委员 会调整对原产于美国的进口商品加征关税措施，由84%提高至125%。在此背景下，农机产业需求释放 的预期增强。 东吴证券分析师周尔双介绍， 2024年我国从美国进口的主要商品中，农副产品金额占比达到16.3%， 仅次于机械电子类产品 。周尔双判断，关税提升之后我国从美国进口农产品总量预计有所下降，有望 对国内粮食价格形成上涨支撑，利好农机行业需求。 事实上，自2024年下半年以来，我国粮食进口已经逐渐放缓，小麦、玉米等进口大幅下降，且在2025 年一季度粮食进口有望延续下降趋势。 对于粮价向农机需求的传导，中联重科(000157)近期接待调研时表示，2025年粮食价格有望回升，随 着粮食价格上涨，预计后续用户购机意愿会有所提升，但受制于农户2024年收益大幅降低或亏损，今 年的采购不会出现增长或下滑，随着粮食价格的增长和2025年的用户收益增加，有望看到2026年农业 机械市场景气度转好。 进口替代则是农机行业另一大趋势 ...

证券代码：000157 证券简称：中联重科 公告编号：2025-026 号 中联重科股份有限公司 关于持股 5%以上股东股份解除质押及质押的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 中联重科股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"本公司"）于近 日收到股东佳卓集团有限公司（GOOD EXCEL GROUP LIMITED） （以下简称"佳卓集团"）的通知，获悉其所持本公司的股份办理了 解除质押及质押相关手续，具体情况如下： 一、股东股份解除质押及质押的基本情况 （一）本次股东股份解除质押及质押的基本情况 | 股东 名称 | 是否为控 股股东或 第一大股 | 本次解除质 押数量 | 占其所持 股份比例 | 占公司 总股本 | 起始日 | 解除日期 | 质权人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 东及其一 | （股） | | 比例 | | | | | | 致行动人 | | | | | | | | 佳卓 集团 | 否 | 29,816,201 | 100.00% | 0.34% | 2 ...

Summary of the Conference Call Industry and Company Involved - The conference call focused on the **engineering machinery sector** and the **robotics sector**. - The discussion was led by **Zhang Fan**, the chief analyst for the machinery sector at Huazhong Securities. Key Points and Arguments Engineering Machinery Sector 1. The engineering machinery sector showed a strong performance, with the sector index rising nearly **4.5%** on the day of the call, ranking second among over **130 secondary industry indices** [2][3]. 2. The sector is characterized by its **cyclical nature**, with a confirmed recovery in demand for excavators and other machinery since last year, indicating a bottoming out and upward trend [3][6]. 3. The **March sales data** for excavators is critical, as it is traditionally a strong month, with expectations for positive results driving optimism for the entire year [4][12]. 4. The **domestic sales** of excavators are projected to grow by **25% to 30%** year-on-year for January and February, indicating a stronger-than-expected recovery [8][10]. 5. The overall industry growth forecast has been revised upward from **10%** to **20%** for the year, reflecting improved market conditions [8][10]. 6. The engineering machinery index has increased by over **26%** since mid-January, indicating a sustained bullish trend [6][10]. 7. The potential for **reconstruction demand** in northern regions post-conflict in Ukraine could further boost the sector's performance [5][10]. 8. The outlook for the engineering machinery sector remains positive, with expectations for absolute returns throughout the year [11][12]. Robotics Sector 1. The robotics sector, particularly in **industrial robotics**, has seen significant growth, with domestic brands increasing their market share to over **50%** [30][31]. 2. The integration of **AI** with robotics is a key driver of growth, with advancements in technology leading to increased investor interest and market activity [34][36]. 3. The sector is characterized by a **thematic and stage-based market**, where opportunities arise from catalysts and market sentiment rather than consistent performance metrics [42][43]. 4. The demand for humanoid robots and AI-driven solutions is expected to grow, driven by factors such as aging populations and the need for automation in various sectors [34][43]. 5. The robotics market is still evolving, with many companies exploring opportunities in the humanoid robot space, which is seen as having significant potential for future growth [45][46]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. The engineering machinery sector's recovery is not just a short-term trend but is expected to continue as the market adjusts to new economic conditions and infrastructure needs [22][25]. 2. The discussion highlighted the importance of **supply chain dynamics** and the role of key manufacturers in shaping the industry's future [44][46]. 3. The potential for **export growth** in the engineering machinery sector is also noted, particularly if domestic demand continues to rise [10][24]. 4. The call emphasized the need for investors to remain vigilant about market fluctuations and the cyclical nature of both sectors, suggesting that while growth is expected, there may be periods of volatility [18][19][20].

马克小松等国际一些品牌展开差异化竞争对反制造残杀全团相达两处生产基地全面升级具备了200亿级别的产能的智能制造条件单是高控器械国内出租率差70%未来渗透率还有导弹提升空间电动化产品的渗透率达90%海外本地化资源整合高效推进墨西哥希拉里工厂顺利建设 发达市场迅速拓展一带一路市场高速增长这是个农业机械国内市场排名深至行业第五烘干机市占率第一小麦机稳屈行业前二拖拉机同比增长超200%200马力段中高端拖拉机进入行业前三海外一带一路市场开拓足有成效国际市场开拓能力在国产农机品牌中属于领先 第四部分是全球化战略基础继续深化第一是市场扩展全球销售网络持续扩展已在全球四十多个重点国家吃了超过四百个碗饼产品覆盖了一百七十多个国家第二是本土化布局海外本土员工四千四百人占海外总员工数超百分之七十拥有超过两百一十个服务备件仓库海外制造产能合计也已经超百亿 专事管理升级搭建基于大数据和数字软身技术的品质型管理架构实现前后台高效协同及总部对全球员工业务的有效管理强化分控第五部分是财务情况第一 营业能力全年毛利率28.17%净利率8.81%同比分别提升1.04个百分点和0.8个百分点 第二是风险控制回款持续优化全年销售回款率80.3%同 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the machinery industry [4] Core Insights - In March 2025, domestic excavator sales exceeded expectations, with a total of 29,590 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.5%. Domestic sales accounted for 19,517 units, up 28.5% year-on-year, while exports reached 10,073 units, a 2.87% increase [1] - The increase in domestic excavator sales is attributed to stock demand renewal and policy funding support, with small excavators showing faster growth [1] - The ongoing tariff conflicts are expected to drive opportunities for domestic production and internal demand development, as high tariffs on imports from the U.S. may lead to a significant reduction in imported goods, benefiting domestic products [2] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales Performance - In the first three months of 2025, a total of 61,372 excavators were sold, marking a 22.8% year-on-year increase. Domestic sales for the same period reached 36,562 units, up 38.3%, while export sales were 24,810 units, a 5.49% increase, with exports accounting for 40.4% of total sales [1] Tariff Impact and Domestic Opportunities - The report outlines the escalation of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods, which could lead to a decline in imports from the U.S. and create opportunities for domestic products, particularly in machinery and electrical equipment sectors [2] - Suggested focus areas include agricultural machinery, engineering machinery, coal machinery, instrumentation, and domestic robotic systems [2] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends attention to various companies within the machinery sector, including: - Engineering Machinery: Zhonglian Heavy Industry (000157, Buy), Anhui Heli (600761, Buy) [2] - Industrial Equipment: Yizumi Precision Machinery (300415, Buy) [2] - Energy Equipment: Jereh Petroleum Equipment (002353, Buy), Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery (601717, Buy) [2] - Service & Consumption: Yongchuan Intelligent (603901, Buy) [2]

投资要点 2025 年一季度：周期成长，百花齐放；重视工程机械、人形机器人等 1、主线一：周期反转 【工程机械】反转逻辑加强，海外国内共振；【船舶】景气上行，盈利改善；【工业气体】气价历史低 位，拐点即将来临；【检测检验】需求逐步改善，有望拐点向上；【轨交装备】铁路固定资产投资稳步 推进，景气持续；【机床刀具】周期复苏、国产替代、出海、新领域。 2、主线二：成长崛起 【人形机器人】日新月异，内外并进；【半导体设备】先进扩产、国产提速；【低空经济】低空翱翔， 拉开序幕。 3、主线三：供应全球 【出口链】库存扰动解除，降息接力复苏；【油服装备】景气持续，聚焦海上、出海。 2024 年机械子行业业绩前瞻/回顾：工程机械行业盈利能力改善明显，五大主机厂实现利润正增；船舶 行业盈利能力逐步修复，景气上行。 2025 年第一季度机械子行业业绩前瞻：工程机械有望开门红，出口链业绩释放，船舶景气持续，工业 气体、光伏设备筑底。 工程机械：反转逻辑持续验证中，海外市占率提升，国内更新周期有望逐步开启1、3 月挖掘机国内销 量同比增长28.5%；重视工程机械一季度旺季行情2025 年3 月挖掘机总销量29590 台，同比增长18 ...