Core Viewpoint - The Yarlung Tsangpo River Hydropower Station project, with a total investment of 1.2 trillion yuan, is not only a massive infrastructure initiative but also holds significant economic, energy, and geopolitical implications for China [1]. Investment and Economic Impact - The project is expected to generate over 20 billion yuan in annual fiscal revenue for Tibet, highlighting its potential economic benefits [1]. - Despite the slowdown in traditional large-scale infrastructure projects, strategic projects like the Yarlung Tsangpo Hydropower Station continue to receive investment due to their long-term significance for energy security and ecological protection [1]. Project Specifications - The total investment for the project is 1.2 trillion yuan, which includes the construction of five large dams and aims for a total installed capacity of 60 to 81 million kilowatts, equivalent to three Three Gorges dams [1]. - If fully operational, the hydropower station could generate 300 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, potentially earning 75 billion yuan from electricity sales alone [1]. Engineering Machinery Demand - It is estimated that at least 15% of the total investment (approximately 180 billion yuan) will be allocated to construction equipment, indicating a significant demand for engineering machinery [5]. - The major players in the engineering machinery sector, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and LiuGong, are expected to benefit from this demand, although their combined domestic revenue in 2024 is projected to be less than 120 billion yuan [5][6]. Profitability and Market Dynamics - The profitability of medium and large-tonnage equipment is expected to be higher than that of smaller equipment, with a potential net profit margin of 10% for the machinery used in the Yarlung Tsangpo project, translating to over 18 billion yuan in profits for the engineering machinery sector [6]. - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo project is anticipated to significantly boost the profitability of the engineering machinery industry, which has been facing challenges in recent years [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the engineering machinery industry [1] Core Insights - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project presents significant opportunities for the engineering machinery industry, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan and an expected annual power generation of 300 billion kWh, which is three times that of the Three Gorges Dam [1][2] - The project is expected to drive domestic demand for engineering machinery, with a projected demand increase of 100-150 billion yuan annually, potentially rising to 150-200 billion yuan when considering electrification and automation trends [2] - The overseas market for engineering machinery is showing signs of recovery, with a significant portion of profits (over 80%) coming from international markets, particularly in regions like Indonesia, South America, Africa, the Middle East, and Europe [3] Summary by Sections Yarlung Tsangpo Project Impact - The Yarlung Tsangpo project involves the construction of five hydropower stations with a total installed capacity of 60 GW, significantly boosting the demand for various types of engineering machinery [1][2] Electrification and Automation - The high-altitude environment of the project site is expected to favor the adoption of electric and unmanned machinery, enhancing the value of each unit and increasing the overall market size beyond initial estimates [2] Profitability and Market Trends - The report anticipates a profit increase of 30-40 billion yuan annually for major machinery manufacturers, with an overall profit estimate of 170 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a profit elasticity of over 20% [2] - The domestic non-excavation segment is expected to recover, reducing profit drag on major manufacturers, with gross margins projected to improve from 15% to 20% by mid-2025 [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that large infrastructure projects will boost domestic demand, indicating a clear upward trend in the industry [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Market Weight" [36] Core Viewpoints - In June 2025, excavator sales reached 18,804 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.26% and a month-on-month increase of 3.31%. Domestic sales were 8,136 units, up 6.20% year-on-year but down 3.05% month-on-month. Export sales were 10,668 units, up 19.30% year-on-year and 8.75% month-on-month, accounting for 56.73% of total sales [2] - Loader sales in June 2025 totaled 12,014 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.30% and a month-on-month increase of 14.04%. Domestic sales were 6,015 units, up 13.58% year-on-year but down 0.36% month-on-month. Export sales were 5,999 units, up 9.11% year-on-year and 33.37% month-on-month [3] - The average working hours and operating rates of major construction machinery products decreased by 8.56% and 2.65 percentage points respectively, indicating weak terminal demand. However, the report suggests that sufficient project reserves in domestic downstream sectors could enhance operating rates if funding is timely [4] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - June 2025 excavator sales: 18,804 units, +13.26% YoY, +3.31% MoM - Domestic sales: 8,136 units, +6.20% YoY, -3.05% MoM - Export sales: 10,668 units, +19.30% YoY, +8.75% MoM, 56.73% of total sales - H1 2025 cumulative sales: 120,520 units, +16.77% YoY [2] Loader Sales - June 2025 loader sales: 12,014 units, +11.30% YoY, +14.04% MoM - Domestic sales: 6,015 units, +13.58% YoY, -0.36% MoM - Export sales: 5,999 units, +9.11% YoY, +33.37% MoM - H1 2025 cumulative sales: 64,769 units, +13.59% YoY [3] Market Outlook - The report highlights a positive outlook for overseas expansion of domestic manufacturers, which is expected to enhance global penetration of domestic equipment. The export trade value of construction machinery in May 2025 was $5.024 billion, up 8.64% YoY, while the cumulative export value from January to May was $23.097 billion, up 9.00% YoY [4]

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund, China Enterprise Dividend Mixed A (019015), reported a profit of 1.6032 million yuan for Q2 2025, with a net value growth rate of 4.59% during the period, and a total fund size of 33.8038 million yuan as of the end of Q2 2025 [3][16]. Fund Performance - As of July 18, the unit net value was 1.128 yuan, with a one-year cumulative net value growth rate of 9.58%, ranking 446 out of 584 comparable funds [3][4]. - The fund's performance over the last three months showed a growth rate of 8.11%, ranking 436 out of 615, and over the last six months, it had a growth rate of 9.65%, ranking 338 out of 615 [4]. Investment Strategy - The fund manager indicated that with the implementation of U.S. President Trump's tariff policies, global trade tensions are rising. They believe that state-owned enterprise stocks with self-controllable and domestic demand attributes will have better defensive characteristics [3]. - The report suggests that the concept of "dividend" investment, particularly high-dividend stocks, is expected to expand to broadly defined dividend stocks with potential high dividend capabilities. These companies typically have high operational barriers, stable ROE, and abundant operating cash flow, indicating a potential for sustained dividends while still being undervalued historically [3]. Fund Holdings - As of June 27, the fund's top ten holdings included Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Shandong Publishing Group, Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., New Media Group, Bohai Ferry, Phoenix Media, Nanjing Steel Group, Nanjing High Accurate Drive Equipment Manufacturing Group, China Shenhua Energy Company, and China Construction Bank [19]. Risk Metrics - The fund has a Sharpe ratio of 0.6765 since inception, indicating a reasonable risk-adjusted return [9]. - The maximum drawdown since inception is 14.12%, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q3 2024 at 11.88% [12]. Fund Positioning - The average stock position since inception has been 91.66%, compared to the peer average of 83.17%. The fund reached a peak stock position of 93.42% at the end of Q1 2024 and a low of 89.12% at the end of 2024 [15].

7月16日晚间，中联重科官方辟谣称，"经调查确认，该男子并非我司员工，与我司无劳动关系，其个人不当言行与我司无 关。" 据新黄河报道，7月17日记者在济南市公安局历城分局鲍山派出所见到了越野车驾驶人李某。他表示，自己并非中联重科公司 员工。 "我穿的这个衣服，是因为前些年我与中联重科公司有过业务往来，但我不是中联重科的员工，也不是他们的代理商。"李某 说，他也认识到了自己的错误，表示愿意接受公安机关的处罚。 "李某对其违法行为供认不讳，因寻衅滋事被依法行政拘留。"民警表示。 出品：21财经客户端南财快讯工作室 《辟谣财知道》注意到，有投资者在互动平台向中联重科提问：请问网络上别停摩托车男子是否属于公司下属企业或者经销 商？ 7月19日，中联重科回复称，近日，公司注意到网络流传"越野车别停摩托车"的视频，引发社会关注。公司对此高度重视，已 第一时间展开全面核查。经核实，该男子与公司从未存在劳动关系，其所在企业与中联重科之间的业务合作已于2024年底终 止，当前并非公司下属企业或授权经销商。其在视频中的行为属于个人行为，与中联重科无关。 此前7月16日下午，"一段越野车司机别停摩托车并辱骂骑手"的视频在社交平台引 ...

有投资者在互动平台向中联重科（000157）提问：请问网络上别停摩托车男子是否属于公司下属企业或 者经销商？对此，中联重科回复称，近日，公司注意到网络流传"越野车别停摩托车"的视频，引发社会 关注。公司对此高度重视，已第一时间展开全面核查。经核实，该男子与公司从未存在劳动关系，其所 在企业与中联重科之间的业务合作已于2024年底终止，当前并非公司下属企业或授权经销商。其在视频 中的行为属于个人行为，与中联重科无关。公司一贯高度重视企业声誉，始终严格要求员工恪守职业道 德和社会公德，积极维护和谐友善的社会环境。(人民财讯) ...

Macro and Strategy Research - In June, social financing increased by over 90 billion yuan year-on-year, with government bond financing contributing over 50 billion yuan, indicating a strong support for social financing growth [2] - The short-term loans for enterprises increased significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 110 billion yuan in June, reflecting a cautious approach towards long-term loans due to external uncertainties and profit pressures [2][3] - M1 growth rate rebounded significantly by 2.3 percentage points to 4.6% in June, driven by accelerated fiscal spending and a reduction in seasonal government deposits [3] Economic Data Review - The actual GDP growth rate for Q2 2025 was 5.2%, slightly below expectations, while the industrial added value in June grew by 6.8%, exceeding expectations [5] - The contribution rates of final consumption expenditure, gross capital formation, and net exports to GDP growth were 52.3%, 24.7%, and 23.0% respectively, indicating consumption as the main driver of GDP growth [5] - The industrial production index showed a significant rebound in June, supported by increased working days and the release of policies [6] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment growth has declined for three consecutive months, with manufacturing investment decreasing by 2.7 percentage points to 5.1% in June, reflecting cautious corporate investment sentiment [7] - Real estate investment growth rate fell to -12.9%, indicating ongoing demand-side pressures in the real estate sector [8] Industry Research - The mechanical equipment industry saw a 1.56% increase in the index from July 9 to July 15, outperforming the broader market [10] - Excavator sales in June reached 18,800 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, indicating a strong domestic market for construction machinery [10] - The easing of tariff uncertainties in Southeast Asia is expected to positively impact export dynamics in the mechanical equipment sector [10]

Group 1 - In the first half of 2025, infrastructure investment across the country showed a "blossoming" trend, providing continuous momentum for economic development, with an average construction machinery operating rate of 44.81% [1] - The operating rate in the second quarter was 47.1%, an increase of 4.62% compared to the first quarter, with 15 provinces exceeding an average operating rate of 50% [1] - Six provinces, including Anhui, Fujian, Henan, Jiangxi, Zhejiang, and Chongqing, maintained a comprehensive operating rate above 50% for six consecutive months, indicating strong performance particularly in East and South China [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, the average operating rate of lifting equipment was 66.87%, ranking first among various types of equipment [1] - In June 2025, sales of various aerial work vehicles reached 539 units, a year-on-year increase of 153%, with domestic sales of 509 units up by 147% and exports of 30 units up by 329% [1] - From January to June 2025, a total of 2,445 aerial work vehicles were sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.9%, with domestic sales of 2,312 units increasing by 25% and exports of 133 units rising by 115% [1] Group 3 - In June 2025, sales of various forklifts reached 137,570 units, a year-on-year increase of 23.1%, with domestic sales of 83,892 units up by 27.3% and exports of 53,678 units up by 17.2% [2] - From January to June 2025, a total of 739,334 forklifts were sold, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.7%, with domestic sales of 476,382 units increasing by 9.79% and exports of 262,952 units rising by 15.2% [2] - Major engineering machinery companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and Liugong have continued to see steady growth in overseas markets, with overseas sales accounting for nearly or exceeding 50% [2]

证券代码：000157 证券简称：中联重科 公告编号：2025－041 号 中联重科股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 公司以实施2024年度利润分配时股权登记日的总股本为基数， 向全体股东每10股派发现金红利人民币3.00元（含税），不送红股， 不以公积金转增股本。 如在分配预案披露之日起至实施权益分派股权登记日期间，因可 转债转股、股份回购、股权激励行权、再融资新增股份上市等原因致 使公司总股本发生变动的，公司拟维持每股分配比例不变，相应调整 分配总额。 公司实施本次分配方案的总股份数为8,648,535,236股，其中A股 二、本次实施的利润分配方案 公司 2024 年度利润分配预案为：以实施 2024 年度利润分配时 股权登记日的总股本为基数，向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利人民 币 3.00 元（含税） ，不送红股，不以公积金转增股本。 如在分配预案披露之日起至实施权益分派股权登记日期间，因可 转债转股、股份回购、股权激励行权、再融资新增股份上市等原因致 使公司总股本发生变动的，公司拟维持每股分配比例不变，相应 ...

证券代码：000157 证券简称：中联重科 公告编号：2025－041 号 中联重科股份有限公司 2024 年度 A 股权益分派实施公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 中联重科股份有限公司 2024 年度权益分派方案已获 2025 年 6 月 26 日召开的公司 2024 年年度股东大会审议通过，现将此次权益 分派事宜公告如下： 一、股东大会审议通过利润分配方案情况 1、中联重科股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"、"本公司"）于 2025 年 6 月 26 日召开的 2024 年年度股东大会审议通过的《公司 2024 年度利润分配预案》具体如下： 公司以实施2024年度利润分配时股权登记日的总股本为基数， 向全体股东每10股派发现金红利人民币3.00元（含税），不送红股， 不以公积金转增股本。 如在分配预案披露之日起至实施权益分派股权登记日期间，因可 转债转股、股份回购、股权激励行权、再融资新增股份上市等原因致 使公司总股本发生变动的，公司拟维持每股分配比例不变，相应调整 分配总额。 2、2024年度分配方案披露至实施期间，公司总股本 ...