转自：推广 西安从来不缺房子，缺的是值得珍藏的作品。 当高周转成为行业惯性，当"复制粘贴"成为多数房企的效率法则，招商蛇口西安却用12年、22部作品，走出了一条截然相反的路——不复制、只定制，永远 在创新，永远在迭代。这不是营销话术，而是刻在这家企业基因里的产品信仰。 图片来源：招商蛇口 每一块土地都有自己的使命 2014年，招商蛇口首入西安。彼时行业盛行"产品线"打法，一个爆款户型全国通用，一张图纸飞遍大江南北。招商蛇口西安却选择了更笨的方式：读懂每一 块土地。 在曲江，它读懂盛唐的气韵与低密的矜贵；在高新，它回应科创精英的效率与审美；在浐灞，它预判滨水生活的未来；在奥体，它捕捉城市新中心的澎湃； 在经开，它洞察成熟城区的改善渴求。 22部作品，没有两个完全相同的立面，没有两张复刻的图纸。从建筑语汇到户型逻辑，从园林规制到空间情绪，每一部作品都只为那片土地而生。 这便是招商蛇口西安奉行至今的产品信条——"每一块土地都有自己的使命"。所谓定制，不是标新立异，而是让建筑成为土地最恰当的答案。 图片来源：招商蛇口 永不满足的自我迭代 2.0时代，它开启改善赛道，以精准的产品定位填补市场空白； 3.0时代，它冲击高 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The 2026 real estate market is expected to experience a "front low and back high" trend, with two significant turning points anticipated throughout the year [2] - The overall sales volume and price are projected to face pressure in Q1, with potential policy adjustments by the end of Q1 to stabilize the market in Q2 [3][24] - The report emphasizes the need for policy measures to support demand and stabilize investment, particularly focusing on the financial pressures faced by developers [8][19] Sales Forecast - The report forecasts a total sales area of 810 million square meters in 2026, representing a year-on-year decrease of 8% - The average sales price is expected to be 9,144 yuan per square meter, down 4% year-on-year - The total sales amount is projected to be 7.4 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12% decline compared to the previous year [3][22][21] Development Investment - Real estate development investment is anticipated to reach 6.9 trillion yuan in 2026, a decrease of 16% year-on-year, although the rate of decline is expected to narrow compared to 2025 [4][21] - The report indicates that the decline in new construction area is expected to be 18% year-on-year, with a total of 480 million square meters [4][21] Completion Forecast - The report predicts that the completion area will be 490 million square meters in 2026, down 19% year-on-year, continuing the trend of cyclical contraction [5][21] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the main contradiction in the real estate market has shifted from "shrinking transaction volume" to "continuing price declines," particularly affecting the second-hand housing market [9] - It suggests that the market's recovery will depend on effective policy measures and the stabilization of developer financing [8][19] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main lines for investment: 1. Developers with stable fundamentals and high market share in first and second-tier cities 2. Smaller developers showing significant breakthroughs in sales and land acquisition 3. Commercial real estate companies exploring new operational models in the new consumption era [9][21]

Group 1 - The company has released a profit forecast, expecting a year-on-year decline of 69%-75% in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, with the formal report scheduled for the first quarter of 2026 [2] - The board approved a "Valuation Enhancement Plan" on February 6, 2026, focusing on business optimization and risk control to enhance company value [3] - The company announced that from 2026 to 2028, cash dividends will account for no less than 40% of net profit attributable to shareholders, reinforcing investor returns [4] Group 2 - The company regularly publishes sales and land acquisition data, with a signed sales amount of 7.674 billion yuan in January 2026 [5]

Investment Rating - The report rates the real estate sector as "Outperform" [6] Core Insights - The real estate market is experiencing significant year-on-year growth due to a low base from the previous year, particularly during the Spring Festival period, but there is a month-on-month decline in transactions [1][6] - The Shanghai pilot program for purchasing second-hand homes for rental housing is expected to positively influence market expectations and confidence if implemented effectively [2][6] - The new housing transaction area has shifted from positive to negative month-on-month, with a narrowing year-on-year growth rate [6][17] - The inventory of new homes is decreasing both month-on-month and year-on-year, while the de-stocking cycle has decreased month-on-month but increased year-on-year [6][46] Summary by Sections New Housing Market Tracking - In the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, new housing transaction volume in 40 cities was 17,000 units, a month-on-month decrease of 4.3% and a year-on-year increase of 225.1% [18][19] - The new housing transaction area was 163.1 million square meters, with a month-on-month decline of 9.6% and a year-on-year increase of 203.0% [18][27] - The transaction volume and area for first, second, and third/fourth-tier cities showed varying month-on-month and year-on-year growth rates [20][21][22] Second-Hand Housing Market Tracking - The transaction area for second-hand homes in 18 cities was 174.1 million square meters, with a month-on-month decline of 4.7% and a year-on-year increase of 349.7% [6][19] - The month-on-month decline in transaction volume for second-hand homes is more pronounced in first-tier cities compared to second and third/fourth-tier cities [6][19] Inventory and De-stocking Cycle - The inventory of new homes in 12 cities was 11,235 million square meters, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.7% and a year-on-year decrease of 6.4% [46][47] - The de-stocking cycle for new homes is 17.4 months, showing a month-on-month decrease but a year-on-year increase [46][47] Land Market Tracking - The total area of land transactions across 100 cities was 1,188.4 million square meters, with a month-on-month increase of 74.1% and a year-on-year increase of 582.1% [6][14] - The average land price per square meter decreased month-on-month and year-on-year, indicating a cooling in land prices [6][14] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable fundamentals in core cities, those that have made significant breakthroughs in sales and land acquisition, and commercial real estate companies exploring new consumption scenarios [7][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this area [4]. Core Insights - The "old-for-new" policy is being reintroduced in Shanghai, which is expected to effectively stabilize housing prices and stimulate market activity [10][26]. - The policy focuses on acquiring second-hand homes to address inventory issues and enhance market liquidity, with specific criteria for eligible properties [10][26]. - The anticipated financial impact includes a potential market transaction increase of approximately 1,080 billion yuan, representing a 9% boost to total market transactions and a 24% increase in new home sales [3][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Background of the "Old-for-New" Policy - The central government has emphasized the need for policies that control inventory and improve supply, with the "old-for-new" initiative aligning closely with these goals [10][11]. 2. Historical Experience of "Old-for-New" - The "old-for-new" model is categorized into acquisition and assistance types, with the acquisition model being more effective in driving sales [16][21]. - The acquisition model has been implemented in over 20 cities, with a total of 14,520 units identified for trial [16][21]. 3. Shanghai's "Old-for-New" Policy - The policy aims to stabilize housing prices by focusing on second-hand homes, with specific requirements for properties built before 2000 and under 400 million yuan [3][10]. - The estimated funding requirement for the acquisition of 27,000 units is approximately 54 billion yuan, leveraging a 1:2 replacement ratio to maximize market impact [3][10]. 4. Feasibility of the Latest "Old-for-New" Policy - Shanghai is positioned as a key city for the implementation of this policy due to its strong government credibility and market stability [3][10]. - The second-hand housing market in Shanghai has shown signs of stabilization, with a reduction in the average transaction cycle to 22.2 months and a 2% month-on-month price rebound [3][10]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the current environment, characterized by improving transaction volumes and prices in the second-hand market, presents significant investment opportunities [3][10].

Group 1 - Fangda Carbon plans to acquire 100% equity of Tianjin Tongda Huanyu Logistics Co., Ltd. for 319 million yuan [1] - Xiamen Tungsten intends to acquire 39% equity of Jiujiang Dadi Mining Development Co., Ltd. and has signed an intention agreement with a transferor [6] - Wenkai Co. has won a bid for a landscape project worth 50.8162 million yuan [7] Group 2 - Changchun High-tech's subsidiary Jin Sai Pharmaceutical received approval for a clinical trial application for GenSci136, a treatment for IgA nephropathy [3] - China National Pharmaceutical has received drug registration certificates for fumaric acid volnoral tablets, used for treating reflux esophagitis [12] - Zhenhua Group plans to issue convertible bonds not exceeding 1.2 billion yuan [26] Group 3 - CSG Holding's stock may undergo a control change due to share pledge judicial transfer [30] - Ningbo Yunsheng plans to issue H-shares and apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [19] - Keda Guochuang's controlling shareholder intends to transfer 5% of the company's shares through an agreement [28] Group 4 - A number of companies, including Finer Pharma, Yixing Guoyuan Investment, and others, have announced plans to reduce their shareholdings by various percentages [2][4][9][11][15][16][20][21][22][23][25][29] - Highweida plans to repurchase shares worth 30 to 35 million yuan [17] - ST Zhongzhu is under investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected information disclosure violations [24] Group 5 - A number of companies, including Jiekang Equipment and others, have faced legal issues or penalties [27][40] - Aclaris Therapeutics has clarified that reports regarding its robotic products entering mass production were misinterpreted [41]

Market Performance - The real estate sector (CITIC) had a weekly performance of 0.0%, while the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices decreased by -1.3% and -1.5% respectively, resulting in excess returns of 1.3% and 1.4%[5] - Among 29 CITIC industry sectors, real estate ranked 15th in performance[5] New Housing Market - In the week from January 31 to February 6, 2026, the new housing transaction area in 36 cities was 1.392 million square meters, down 2.9% week-on-week but up 175.7% year-on-year[10] - Cumulative transactions from February 1 to February 6 reached 1.204 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 257.9%[10] - Year-to-date transactions as of February 6 totaled 6.798 million square meters, down 16.2% year-on-year[10] Second-Hand Housing Market - For the same week, the transaction area for second-hand housing in 15 cities was 1.644 million square meters, down 3.6% week-on-week but up 245.8% year-on-year[16] - Cumulative transactions from February 1 to February 6 were 1.535 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 423.1%[16] - Year-to-date transactions as of February 6 totaled 8.383 million square meters, up 37.1% year-on-year[16] Inventory and Depletion Cycle - Cumulative new housing inventory in 13 cities was 77.165 million square meters, down 0.7% week-on-week and down 4.6% year-on-year[24] - The new housing depletion cycle for these cities is 22.9 months, with a week-on-week change of -0.1 months and a year-on-year change of +6.2 months[24] Land Market - The land transaction area from February 2 to February 8 was 1.1863 million square meters, down 44.9% week-on-week and down 36.0% year-on-year[43] - The average land price was 1,552 RMB per square meter, up 42.8% week-on-week and up 71.5% year-on-year[43] - Year-to-date land transactions as of February 8 totaled 10.556 million square meters, down 15.8% year-on-year[43] Investment Recommendations - Recommended mainland developers include A-shares: Binhai Group, China Merchants Shekou; Hong Kong stocks: China Overseas Development, Greentown China, China Resources Land, Jianfa International Group[9] - For light asset operation companies, recommended property management companies include Greentown Service and commercial management companies like China Resources Vientiane Life[9] Risk Factors - Risks include potential delays in the relaxation of real estate control policies, continued industry downturns, and ongoing credit risks leading to liquidity deterioration[5]

Group 1: Robotics - Yingzi Network's revenue from intelligent service robots is relatively small [1] Group 2: Photovoltaics - Nanfang A has the capability to produce 9-11N polycrystalline silicon, primarily for the solar photovoltaic industry [1] - Zhongli Group's photovoltaic business has not yet involved space photovoltaic fields [1] - Sungrow Power has not yet engaged in space photovoltaic products [1] Group 3: Batteries - Shuanghuan Technology's sodium-ion battery cathode material pilot base has recently produced its first batch of products [1] Group 4: Commercial Aerospace - Juguang Technology does not have products applied in the commercial aerospace field [1] - Fengmao Co. has not made substantial progress in business expansion within the commercial aerospace sector [1] Group 5: Other Developments - Xinyi Semiconductor's 1.6T optical module products have achieved mass delivery and are in the process of increasing production capacity [1] - China Merchants Shekou has engaged in duty-free business with positive results, covering duty-free services for high-speed passenger ships on Hong Kong-Macau routes and outbound ports [1] - Wanda Film has invested in and produced the film "Fast and Furious 3," scheduled for release during the Spring Festival [1] - Dalian Electric Porcelain's Jiangxi company has a production plan for 2026 that is nearly full [1] - iFlytek's brain science research is still in the exploratory stage, with the company maintaining attention and appropriate investment [1] - Jingyan Technology's Vietnam operations have commenced and received the first batch of orders [1] - Haiguang Information's business layout has not yet involved TPU chips [1] - Haohua Technology has not yet achieved mass production of trifluoromethanesulfonic lithium [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively leveraging its own and China Merchants Group's business resources to engage in the duty-free business, achieving positive results through partnerships [1] Group 1 - The company has established a joint venture with Shenzhen Duty-Free Group to develop its duty-free business [1] - The current business scope includes duty-free services for high-speed passenger ferries on routes to Hong Kong and Macau, as well as outbound duty-free services at ports [1]

Group 1 - Jinwei Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 100% equity of Fusheng Mining for 210 million yuan, which will become a wholly-owned subsidiary and included in the consolidated financial statements [2] - Mengguli intends to invest 929 million yuan to build a project with an annual production capacity of 30,000 tons of lithium-ion battery cathode materials, expected to produce 5,000 tons of high-voltage cobalt acid lithium, 10,000 tons of NCA materials, and 15,000 tons of ultra-high nickel ternary materials [2] - Xiamen Tungsten plans to acquire 39% equity of Jiujiang Dadi Mining, which will help increase mineral resource reserves and improve raw material self-sufficiency [3] Group 2 - Andavil's subsidiary received EASA certification for its aviation kitchen plug-in products, marking compliance with European aviation safety standards [2] - CIMC Vehicles disclosed that the US ITC made a preliminary ruling on anti-subsidy and anti-dumping investigations regarding Van-Type Trailers, indicating potential damage to the US domestic industry [4] - Source Technology plans to invest approximately 1.251 billion yuan to build a second phase project for the R&D and production of optoelectronic communication semiconductor chips and devices [9] Group 3 - Zhongmin Energy intends to acquire 51% equity of Mintou Pumped Storage for 864 million yuan, with the transaction price based on asset evaluation [10] - Ningbo Yunsheng plans to publicly issue H-shares and apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [11] - Wenkai Co., Ltd. won a bid for a landscape project worth 50.8162 million yuan [12] Group 4 - China Merchants Shekou achieved a signed sales amount of 7.674 billion yuan in January 2026 [16] - AVIC Optoelectronics reported a net profit of 2.124 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 36.69% [17] - Tiankang Bio reported a sales revenue of 392 million yuan from pig sales in January 2026, with a month-on-month increase of 6.23% [18] Group 5 - Poly Developments reported a signed amount of 15.617 billion yuan in January 2026, a year-on-year decrease of 13.31% [19] - Chengtou Holdings reported a net profit of 290 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.67% [20] - Qianjin Pharmaceutical reported a net profit of 288 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.74% [21]