Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant price increase in silicon wafers, with various sizes seeing price hikes between 8% and 11.7% [1] - The photovoltaic industry index (931151) has shown strong performance, with component stocks such as Hongyuan Green Energy (603185) and Xiexin Integration (002506) rising by 6.84% and 6.15% respectively [1] - The photovoltaic ETF fund (159863) has also increased by 1.26%, reflecting the overall positive trend in the industry [1] Group 2 - The current focus for the photovoltaic industry is to break away from "involutionary" competition, which is crucial for policy and corporate self-rescue [2] - This transformation is expected to shift the industry from "price wars" to "quality for price," allowing for the orderly exit of backward production capacity [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the photovoltaic industry index account for 55.39% of the index, indicating a concentration of market influence among leading companies [3]

Core Viewpoint - TCL Zhonghuan is expected to report a net loss of 4 billion to 4.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to declining product prices and inventory pressure despite a resilient global photovoltaic installation growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 is projected to be a loss of 400 million to 450 million yuan, compared to a loss of 306.36 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be a loss of 410 million to 460 million yuan, compared to a loss of 348.85 million yuan year-on-year [2]. - Basic earnings per share are projected to be a loss of 1.0017 to 1.1269 yuan per share, compared to a loss of 0.7680 yuan per share in the previous year [2]. - In 2024, TCL Zhonghuan reported an operating income of 28.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 52%, and a net profit loss of 9.82 billion yuan, a decline of 387.4% [2]. Production and Market Position - In 2024, the company shipped 125.8 GW of photovoltaic silicon wafers, a year-on-year increase of 10.5%, maintaining a market share of 18.9% [3]. - As of Q1 2025, the company's production capacity reached 200 GW, with the 210 series products' shipment ratio continuously increasing, and the export market share exceeding 55% [3]. - The company’s component shipments for 2024 were 8.3 GW, with Q1 2025 component shipments reaching 1.9 GW, a year-on-year increase of 19% [3]. Industry Trends and Challenges - The photovoltaic industry is currently at a low point, and TCL Zhonghuan's performance is indicative of broader industry challenges, with expectations that other companies will report similar results [3]. - Recent discussions led by Li Lecheng, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, emphasized the need for the photovoltaic industry to focus on quality improvement and the orderly exit of outdated production capacity to achieve sustainable development [4].

Core Viewpoint - Multiple A-share listed companies have released their performance forecasts for the first half of 2025, indicating significant profit increases for several companies, while others are facing substantial losses [1][2]. Performance Forecast Summary - **North Rare Earth**: Expected net profit growth of 1883%-2015% year-on-year, driven by increased production and sales of rare earth metals and related products [2]. - **Muyuan Foods**: Anticipated net profit growth of 1130%-1190% year-on-year, attributed to higher pig sales compared to the same period last year [2]. - **TCL Zhonghuan**: Projected net loss of 4-4.5 billion yuan due to declining demand in the supply chain and continuous price drops [2]. - **Xianda Co.**: Expected net profit growth of 2443%-2835% year-on-year, benefiting from implemented management measures [2]. - **Jin'an Guoji**: Forecasted non-net profit growth of 4700%-6300% year-on-year, with increased production and slight price recovery in copper-clad laminates [2]. - **TCL Technology**: Expected net profit growth of 81%-101% year-on-year, with semiconductor display business projected to exceed 4.6 billion yuan in net profit, up over 70% [2]. - **Wohua Pharmaceutical**: Anticipated net profit growth of 234%-378% year-on-year, due to adaptation to market changes and effective cost control measures [2]. - **Orient Precision**: Expected net profit growth of 120%-160% year-on-year, driven by revenue growth in packaging and watercraft equipment sectors [2]. - **Yonghe Co.**: Projected net profit growth of 126%-148% year-on-year, supported by rising refrigerant prices and product structure optimization [2]. - **Morning Light Bio**: Expected net profit growth of 102%-132% year-on-year, with recovery in cottonseed business and growth in other product lines [2]. - **New Beiyang**: Anticipated net profit growth of 100%-120% year-on-year, driven by rapid sales growth in intelligent logistics equipment [2]. - **Gan Li Pharmaceutical**: Expected net profit growth of 101%-114% year-on-year, benefiting from significant revenue increase and refined expense management [2]. - **Zhiwei Intelligent**: Projected net profit growth of 63%-99% year-on-year, with strong demand in intelligent computing business and increased orders [2]. - **Torch Electronics**: Expected net profit growth of 50%-70% year-on-year, with improving industry conditions in electronic components [2]. - **Hongta Securities**: Anticipated net profit growth of 45%-55% year-on-year, focusing on differentiated asset allocation and improving asset quality [2].

I. Estimated Performance for the Current Period [1.1 Performance Forecast Period](index=1&type=section&id=1%E3%80%81%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%9C%9F%E9%97%B4) This performance forecast covers the period from January 1 to June 30, 2025 - The performance forecast period is from **January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025**[2](index=2&type=chunk) [1.2 Estimated Performance Overview](index=1&type=section&id=2%E3%80%81%E9%A2%84%E8%AE%A1%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9) The company anticipates a net loss for the first half of 2025, with the loss expected to widen compared to the prior year - The company expects a **net loss** for the first half of 2025[2](index=2&type=chunk) [1.2.1 Details of 2025 Half-Year Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=(1)%202025%20%E5%B9%B4%20%E5%8D%8A%E5%B9%B4%E5%BA%A6%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E8%AE%A1%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) A detailed comparison of key financial metrics for the first half of 2025 shows an expected increase in net losses Comparison of 2025 Half-Year Performance Forecast | Item | 2025 Jan-Jun Forecast (billion CNY) | Prior Year Same Period (billion CNY) | Trend | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders of Listed Company | Loss: 4.00 to 4.50 | Loss: 3.06 | Loss Widening | | Net Profit After Deducting Non-Recurring Gains and Losses | Loss: 4.10 to 4.60 | Loss: 3.49 | Loss Widening | | Basic Earnings Per Share (CNY/share) | Loss: 1.0017 to 1.1269 | Loss: 0.7680 | Loss Widening | II. Pre-Audit Status of Performance Forecast [2.1 Pre-Audit Status](index=1&type=section&id=%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%9C%AA%E7%BB%8F%E6%B3%A8%E5%86%8C%E4%BC%9A%E8%AE%A1%E5%B8%88%E9%A2%84%E5%AE%A1%E8%AE%A1) The current performance forecast has not been pre-audited by a certified public accountant, requiring investor caution - This performance forecast has **not been pre-audited** by a certified public accountant[3](index=3&type=chunk) III. Explanation of Performance Changes [3.1 Main Reasons for Performance Change](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%8F%98%E5%8A%A8%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0%E8%AF%B4%E6%98%8E) The company's losses are primarily due to supply-demand imbalance, continuous price drops in the photovoltaic industry, and inventory impairment - Global photovoltaic installations maintained **resilient growth**, with the domestic distributed market experiencing a short-term rush, leading to **periodically strong market demand**[4](index=4&type=chunk) - From May to June 2025, industry chain demand gradually cooled, coupled with **supply-demand imbalance** across various segments and **inventory pressure**, leading to **continuous product price declines**[4](index=4&type=chunk) - The company' reported a **net operating loss** for the period, primarily impacted by **falling product prices** and **inventory impairment**[4](index=4&type=chunk) [3.2 Company Response Strategies](index=1&type=section&id=%E5%85%AC%E5%8F%B8%E5%BA%94%E5%AF%B9%E7%AD%96%E7%95%A5) The company is implementing strategic initiatives, operational improvements, cost control, and organizational reforms to enhance competitiveness and maintain positive operating cash flow - The company is continuously advancing **strategic implementation, operational improvements, cost reduction and control, and organizational reforms** to enhance operational quality[4](index=4&type=chunk) - Efforts include **enhancing product competitiveness, accelerating turnover, reducing costs, improving efficiency**, and maintaining **positive operating cash flow** for the reporting period, upholding operational integrity[4](index=4&type=chunk) - The company will continue to actively practice **industry self-discipline**, seize development opportunities, proactively address challenges, adhere to **technology-driven innovation**, firmly pursue a **globalization strategy**, strengthen operational control, and strive to **improve annual operating performance**[4](index=4&type=chunk) IV. Other Related Explanations [4.1 Nature of Performance Forecast and Risk Warning](index=2&type=section&id=%E6%9C%AC%E6%AC%A1%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%98%AF%E5%85%AC%E5%8F%B8%E8%B4%A2%E5%8A%A1%E9%83%A8%E9%97%A8%E5%88%9D%E6%AD%A5%E6%B5%8B%E7%AE%97%E7%9A%84%E7%BB%93%E6%9E%9C) This performance forecast is a preliminary estimate, and investors are advised to refer to the official half-year report for final financial data and exercise caution - This performance forecast represents a **preliminary estimate** by the company's finance department[6](index=6&type=chunk) - The **final financial data** will be subject to the company's disclosed 2025 half-year report[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Investors are kindly advised to **exercise caution regarding investment risks**[6](index=6&type=chunk)

TCL中环（002129）公告，预计2025年1月1日-2025年6月30日归属于上市公司股东的净利润亏损40亿元 ～45亿元，上年同期为亏损30.64亿元；扣除非经常性损益后的净利润亏损41亿元～46亿元，上年同期 为亏损34.89亿元；基本每股收益亏损1元/股～1.13元/股，上年同期为亏损0.768元/股。 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.13% on July 9, with 17 out of the 28 sectors rising, led by Media and Agriculture sectors, which increased by 1.35% and 0.65% respectively [1] - The Electric Equipment sector saw a slight increase of 0.17% [1] - The sectors with the largest declines were Non-ferrous Metals and Basic Chemicals, which dropped by 2.26% and 0.85% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 38.536 billion yuan, with only three sectors experiencing net inflows: Media (1.055 billion yuan), Retail (864 million yuan), and Construction Decoration (40.34 million yuan) [1] - The Electronic sector had the largest net outflow, totaling 7.789 billion yuan, followed by Non-ferrous Metals with 5.412 billion yuan [1] Electric Equipment Sector Performance - In the Electric Equipment sector, 358 stocks were tracked, with 99 stocks rising and 252 stocks declining; 5 stocks hit the daily limit up [2] - The top net inflow stock was Ningde Times, with a net inflow of 378 million yuan, followed by Tongguan Copper Foil and Kelu Electronics with inflows of 219 million yuan and 178 million yuan respectively [2] - The sector experienced a total net outflow of 4.576 billion yuan, with 11 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan; the largest outflows were from Rongfa Nuclear Power, Sunshine Power, and Nord Shares, with outflows of 327 million yuan, 250 million yuan, and 226 million yuan respectively [2][3] Top Gainers in Electric Equipment Sector - The top gainers in the Electric Equipment sector included: - Ningde Times: +2.84%, turnover rate 0.75%, main capital flow 377.94 million yuan - Tongguan Copper Foil: +20.02%, turnover rate 48.19%, main capital flow 218.52 million yuan - Kelu Electronics: +10.06%, turnover rate 7.49%, main capital flow 178.39 million yuan [2] Top Losers in Electric Equipment Sector - The top losers in the Electric Equipment sector included: - Rongfa Nuclear Power: +0.42%, turnover rate 33.08%, main capital flow -327.43 million yuan - Sunshine Power: -0.57%, turnover rate 3.01%, main capital flow -249.65 million yuan - Nord Shares: -4.98%, turnover rate 14.04%, main capital flow -226.20 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the photovoltaic (PV) equipment sector in the A-share market is driven by a series of favorable policies aimed at combating "involution" and promoting high-quality development within the industry [1][2]. Policy Background - The central government has intensified signals against "involution," with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) mandating PV companies to report their cost prices, threatening penalties for those selling below cost [2][4]. - High-level meetings involving major PV companies indicate a strong governmental commitment to addressing disordered competition and enhancing product quality [2][4]. - The "anti-involution" measures have been a recurring theme in government discussions since last year, with multiple policy documents emphasizing the need for comprehensive regulation [2][4]. Industry Background - The PV industry is experiencing severe overcapacity, with significant price declines across the supply chain. In 2024, prices for polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules are expected to drop by 39%, 50%, 40%, and 29% respectively [6][7]. - The industry's rapid expansion has led to a situation where many companies are selling products below cost, resulting in substantial losses. In 2024, major PV companies reported losses exceeding 600 billion yuan [6][7]. - The growth of the PV sector is notable, with projected installation capacity growth rates of 13.9%, 59.3%, 148.1%, and 28.3% from 2021 to 2024 [6]. Sichuan Countermeasures - Sichuan, a major player in the PV industry, is implementing strategies to address overcapacity while promoting technological upgrades and competitive advantages [9][10]. - The province is witnessing short-term challenges, including production cuts and layoffs, but long-term benefits are anticipated as companies stabilize and innovate [10][11]. - A combination of self-initiated production cuts and government policies aims to reduce capacity and enhance competitiveness [12][14]. Future Outlook - Despite current challenges, the PV industry is expected to rebound as the market corrects itself. The International Renewable Energy Agency projects that global PV installations will need to reach 18,200 GW by 2050 to meet carbon neutrality goals [14].

Group 1 - The HJT battery concept sector increased by 3.22%, ranking 9th among concept sectors, with 54 stocks rising, including Topray Solar and Tongwei Co., which hit the daily limit [1] - Leading stocks in the HJT battery sector included Trina Solar, Guosheng Technology, and Shichuang Energy, which rose by 8.10%, 8.07%, and 6.90% respectively [1] - The sector saw a net inflow of 1.809 billion yuan from main funds, with 30 stocks receiving net inflows, and 7 stocks exceeding 50 million yuan in net inflow [2] Group 2 - The top net inflow stock was Tongwei Co., with a net inflow of 636 million yuan, followed by Longi Green Energy and Topray Solar with net inflows of 517 million yuan and 137 million yuan respectively [2] - The net inflow ratios for Topray Solar, Tongwei Co., and Longi Green Energy were 54.80%, 22.69%, and 14.34% respectively [3] - The HJT battery concept sector had a significant presence in the market, with various companies showing strong performance in terms of stock price and trading volume [4]

Core Viewpoint - The BC battery sector has seen a collective surge of over 4% as of July 8, with several stocks, including Tongwei Co., Ltd. and Junda Co., Ltd., reaching their daily limit up [1] Industry Summary - BC batteries, or back-contact batteries, integrate both positive and negative metal contacts on the back, allowing for a design that absorbs more sunlight and offers higher efficiency, particularly suitable for distributed photovoltaic and commercial rooftop applications [1] - By April 2025, the mass production efficiency of BC batteries is expected to exceed 27%, with a theoretical efficiency limit of 29.1% [1] - Recent discussions in the photovoltaic industry have focused on "anti-involution," with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizing the need for lawful and orderly competition, which is expected to enhance market expectations for the healthy development of the photovoltaic industry [1] - The BC battery technology is positioned as a high-efficiency, high-value photovoltaic technology, offering better performance compared to traditional P-type and TOPCon batteries, and is anticipated to play a significant role in the industry's transformation and upgrade [1] Company Summary - Longi Green Energy (601012) has a BC production capacity of 30GW HPBC (High-efficiency Passivated Back Contact) battery project, which is already in mass production [2] - Junda Co., Ltd. has established an experimental line for BC products based on N-type technology, moving towards pilot testing and mass production of N-type products [2] - Tongwei Co., Ltd. has a comprehensive layout in various technology routes, including TOPCon, HJT, BC batteries, and perovskite/silicon tandem batteries, with ongoing breakthroughs in N-type batteries [2] - Dongcai Technology (601208) focuses on technological innovation and explores differentiated photovoltaic product development strategies, with products already applied to BC batteries [2] - Jiejia Weichuang (300724) is developing XBC battery testing and sorting equipment to address issues related to the positioning accuracy of battery grid lines on the back [3] - Foster (603806) is the largest supplier of packaging materials for Longi and Aiko's BC batteries [4] - Aiko Co., Ltd. (600732) has launched a new generation of N-type back-contact ABC battery technology components and photovoltaic energy solutions [4] - TCL Zhonghuan (002129) is enhancing its product lineup by transforming TOPCon standard component production lines and establishing a 2GW BC component production line [4]

Group 1 - The photovoltaic ETF fund (159863.SZ) has increased by 5.08%, with major components such as Sungrow Power (up 8.98%), Longi Green Energy (up 6.08%), Tongwei Co. (up 10.00%), Daqo New Energy (up 14.84%), and TBEA Co. (up 3.02%) [1] - There are rumors that silicon material does not have a guiding price and cannot be sold below their full cost, with policies reiterating "supply-side expectations rising" [1] - The photovoltaic industry is currently undergoing a clearing process that can be categorized into financial, policy, and technical clearings, with expectations of challenges in domestic demand in Q3 and an anticipated increase in polysilicon production in July [1] Group 2 - Zhongyi Securities' strategy team notes that the current market environment is similar to the end of 2014, with investors having accumulated profit effects in the industry, and policy expectations stabilizing [1] - China Post Securities highlights that the photovoltaic industry has been officially named for "involution-style" competition, with leading photovoltaic glass companies planning to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has signaled stronger regulatory measures, requiring companies to report cost prices and planning to impose heavy penalties on low-price sales, indicating an escalation in industry governance [2]