证券之星消息，12月16日水泥板块较上一交易日下跌1.84%，福建水泥领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3824.81，下跌1.11%。深证成指报收于12914.67，下跌1.51%。水泥板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600678 | 四川金顶 | 15.18 | 6.45% | 153.18万 | 22.78亿 | | 605122 | 四方新材 | 12.83 | 0.63% | 9.67万 | 1.26亿 | | 000401 | 金属草东 | 4.49 | -0.44% | 7.22万 | 3249.45万 | | 002233 | 塔牌集团 | 9.45 | -0.74% | 15.81万 | 1.50亿 | | 600801 | 华新建材 | 23.62 | -1.09% | 10.64万 | 2.50亿 | | 600585 | 海螺水泥 | 21.92 | -1.62% | 23.32万 | 5.13亿 | | 000789 | 万年青 | 5.3 ...

证券研究报告|行业策略报告 2025 年 12 月 16 日 向内看"反内卷"显效，向外拓"新市场"机遇 建材行业 2026 年度投资策略 中游制造/建材 2025 年以来，我们看到走出较优行情的玻纤、水泥、耐火材料均有供需改善逻 辑。首先是企业达成"反内卷"共识，保障供给收缩或维持，其次是结构性需 求有增长点，如玻纤的特种电子布供需缺口、水泥的海外市场拓展、耐火材料 的高端/特种耐材需求等。从供需格局角度来看，我们认为 2026 年建材行业仍 存结构性机会：国内的浮法玻璃、瓷砖、管材、卫浴等板块仍待磨底；防水、 涂料等板块或有盈利改善空间；玻纤、海外水泥、海外消费建材等板块关注特 定产能落地后对公司的业绩贡献弹性和兑现度，以及行业供需边际变化。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 96 | 1.9 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 948.2 | 0.9 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 852.6 | 0.9 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -6.2 12.3 10.2 相对表现 -4.5 -5.5 -5.5 资料来源： ...

Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market and combating "involution" in competition, aiming to promote the construction of "good houses" and accelerate the establishment of a new model for real estate development [6][15] - The report suggests that the cement, glass, and certain consumer building materials industries may see continued optimization in supply-side dynamics, leading to increased concentration and improved profitability [6][15] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is experiencing a recovery in retail due to high demand for second-hand housing and supportive subsidy policies, with leading companies showing strong operational resilience [6][31] - Long-term demand stability and increasing industry concentration provide significant growth potential for quality leading companies in the consumer building materials sector [6][31] - Key companies to watch include Sanke Tree, Rabbit Baby, Hanhai Group, Dongfang Yuhong, China Liansu, Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, and others [6][31] Cement - National cement market prices increased by 0.05% week-on-week, with the average price at 355 RMB/ton as of December 12, 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 69.17% [6][31] - The report anticipates that cement prices will maintain a slight fluctuation in the future, with industry valuations at historical lows, highlighting companies like Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, and others for potential investment [6][31] Glass - Float glass prices are showing mixed trends, while photovoltaic glass inventories continue to rise, with the average price of float glass at 1156 RMB/ton, down 1.0% month-on-month and 18.0% year-on-year [6][31] - The report indicates that leading glass companies have low valuations and suggests focusing on Qibin Group, Xinyi Solar, and others for investment opportunities [6][31] Fiberglass/Carbon-based Composites - The market for fiberglass is stable, with direct yarn prices holding steady, while electronic yarn prices have stabilized after previous increases [6][31] - The report identifies leading companies in the fiberglass sector, including China Jushi and others, as having a significant competitive edge [6][31] Market Data and Trends - The report notes that the consumer building materials sector has seen a year-on-year revenue decline of 4.2% in the first three quarters of 2025, with a notable improvement in revenue growth rates for leading companies [33][34] - The profitability of the consumer building materials sector is stabilizing, with net profit margins hovering at the bottom, indicating potential for recovery as market conditions improve [34][41]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying investment opportunities in the building materials sector as it transitions from a period of intense competition to one focused on value extraction and growth [1]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities in the Building Materials Sector - Four key investment themes are highlighted: traditional building material leaders emerging from the bottom of the cycle, overseas capacity expansion, high-demand new materials, and policy support for industry consolidation [5]. - Traditional building material leaders are expected to recover first, with a focus on alpha opportunities as the sector stabilizes [14]. - The overseas expansion of building material capacity is driven by high demand in foreign markets, particularly in Africa, where Chinese companies are increasingly investing [20][22]. Group 2: Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is stabilizing, with a narrowing decline in real estate indicators expected in 2026, leading to a potential rebound in demand [15]. - Strong alpha leaders in the sector are anticipated to achieve positive revenue growth first, with companies like Sanke Tree and Dongfang Yuhong highlighted as key players [15][16]. - Profit margins are expected to improve in 2026 due to price stabilization, structural optimization, and enhanced operational efficiency [15]. Group 3: Glass Fiber Industry - The glass fiber market is projected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance, with demand expected to grow by 5.8% in 2025 and 4.6% in 2026 [5][25]. - The report notes that the profitability of traditional glass fiber products is on an upward trajectory, with leading companies benefiting from differentiated product advantages [5][28]. Group 4: Cement Industry - The domestic cement market is facing a decline in demand, with expectations of a 7% drop in 2025 and a 6% drop in 2026, while overseas markets remain robust [5][31]. - The report suggests that supply-side policies will play a crucial role in stabilizing the market, with potential profitability improvements anticipated in 2026 [5][36]. Group 5: Glass Industry - The glass industry is expected to see supply optimization as a key theme in 2026, with a slight decline in demand for float glass anticipated [5][40]. - The photovoltaic glass segment is projected to experience a balanced supply-demand situation, with potential profitability improvements if production resumes [5][45].

↓↓↓ 编辑石展溥责编宁可坚校审宋华 公告显示，2025年10月28日，塔牌集团相关股东提交《简式权益变动报告书》，10月30日公司据此披露称，EMERGING ASIA EQUITY FUND、APG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND(以下简称"APG FUND")、FIDELITY EXJAP、HERMES CHINA EQUITY FUND、WOO HAY TONG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND作为一 致行动人通过集中竞价交易持有公司6270.92万股，占总股本5.26%。 后经自查发现，基金管理人HIML对APG FUND持有的公司股票不拥有表决权，故一致行动人认定不准确，持股比例应更正为4.95%。公司已于11月29日 发布《关于信息披露义务人对 <简式权益变动报告书> 的更正公告》及补充公告对此进行说明。 广东证监局在警示函中指出，相关主体在简式权益变动报告书中错误披露APG FUND与其他信息披露义务人属于一致行动人，违反《上市公司收购管理办 法(2025年修正)》第三条第三款规定，依据《证券法》第一百七十条第二款及《上市公司收购管理办法(2025年修正)》第七十六条，决定对其采取出 ...

广东 塔牌集团 股份有限公司（证券简称： 塔牌集团 ，证券代码：002233）12月13日公告称，公司股东 EMERGING ASIA EQUITY FUND等多只基金及其管理人Hermes Investment Management Limited（以下 简称"HIML"）于12月12日收到 中国证券监督管理委员会广东监管局 出具的警示函及 深圳证券交易所 下发的监管函。上述监管措施因相关股东此前在简式权益变动报告书中对一致行动人认定不准确，导致 持股比例披露错误，从原披露的5.26%更正为4.95%。 公告显示，2025年10月28日，相关股东提交《简式权益变动报告书》，10月30日公司据此披露称， EMERGING ASIA EQUITY FUND、APG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND（以下简称"APG FUND"）、 FIDELITY EXJAP、HERMES CHINA EQUITY FUND、WOO HAY TONG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND作为 一致行动人通过集中竞价交易持有公司6270.92万股，占总股本5.26%。后经自查发现，基金管理人 HIML对APG FUND持有的 ...

关于公司股东收到广东证监局行政监管措施决定书及深圳证券交易所监管 函的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 广东塔牌集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股东 EMERGING ASIA EQUITY FUND、 APG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND、FIDELITY EXJAP、HERMES CHINA EQUITY FUND、WOO HAY TONG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND 及其管理人 Hermes Investment Management Limited 于 2025 年 12 月 12 日收到中国证券监督管理委员会广东监管局下发的《关于对 Hermes Investment Management Limited 等主体采取出具警示函措施的决定》(〔2025〕148 号)(以下简称"警示函") 和深圳证券交易所下发的《关于对 HERMES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED、 EMERGING ASIA EQUITY FUND、APG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND、FIDELITY E ...

塔牌集团公告，公司股东EMERGING ASIA EQUITY FUND、APG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND、FIDELITY EXJAP、HERMES CHINA EQUITY FUND、WOO HAY TONG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND及其管理人 Hermes Investment Management Limited于2025年12月12日收到中国证券监督管理委员会广东监管局下发 的警示函和深圳证券交易所下发的监管函。因公司在2025年10月28日提交的简式权益变动报告书中披露 APG ASIA EX JAPAN FUND与其他信息披露义务人属于一致行动人与事实不符，违反了相关法规。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for both the real estate and building materials sectors [1][3] Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market, with expectations for new policies to be introduced to control supply, reduce inventory, and improve the quality of housing supply [4][25] - In November, first-tier cities saw a significant increase in second-hand housing transactions, reaching 49,033 units, a 20% month-on-month increase, marking a seven-month high [4][25] - The building materials sector is focusing on improving profitability, with a target for green building materials revenue to exceed 300 billion yuan by 2026 [5][47] Summary by Sections Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector is currently in a "bottoming" phase, with expectations for policy support to enhance market stability and recovery [4][25] - The report highlights a shift from high leverage and turnover to a focus on quality, service, and sustainability in the industry [4][25] - Key companies to watch include Poly Developments, Binjiang Group, and China Merchants Shekou, which are expected to perform well in the evolving market landscape [4][25] Building Materials Sector - The building materials sector has seen a slight increase of 0.89% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index [26] - The cement industry is undergoing structural upgrades, with over 83.59 million tons of clinker capacity being eliminated as part of the capacity replacement policy [47] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields, such as Conch Cement, Taipai Group, and Huaxin Cement [47] Market Trends - The report notes that the overall profitability of the cement industry has significantly improved, with leading companies showing strong cash flow and performance [47] - The glass fiber sector is experiencing a shift in demand from traditional construction materials to high-growth areas such as renewable energy and high-end electronic fibers [5][48] - The report indicates that the market for photovoltaic glass is under pressure due to high inventory levels and weak demand, but long-term growth prospects remain strong [5][42]

据天眼查APP显示，广东塔牌集团股份有限公司成立于1995年06月29日，注册资本119227.5016万人民 币。（数据宝） 12月11日塔牌集团大宗交易一览 | 成交量 | 成交金 | 成交价 | 相对当日收 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | （万 | 额（万 | 格 | 盘折溢价 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | 股） | 元） | （元） | （%） | | | | 673.60 | 5873.79 | 8.72 | -10.01 | 国联民生证券股份有限 公司杭州金城路证券营 | 中国中金财富证券有限公司上海 浦东新区陆家嘴环路证券营业部 | | | | | | 业部 | | （文章来源：证券时报网） 塔牌集团12月11日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量673.60万股，成交金额5873.79万元，大宗交易成 交价为8.72元，相对今日收盘价折价10.01%。该笔交易的买方营业部为国联民生证券股份有限公司杭州 金城路证券营业部，卖方营业部为中国中金财富证券有限公司上海浦东新区陆家嘴环路证券营业部。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，塔牌集团今日 ...