Group 1 - The HBM index rose by 2% during intraday trading on January 28 [1] - Among the constituent stocks, Deep Technology surged by 7% [1] - Taiji Industry increased by 6%, while stocks like Tongfu Microelectronics, Guoxin Technology, and Yake Technology also experienced gains [1]

Group 1 - The core transaction of Jac Tech involved a block trade of 185,000 shares, with a total transaction value of 17.205 million yuan, accounting for 1.39% of the total trading volume on that day [1][2] - The transaction price was 93 yuan per share, which remained stable compared to the market closing price of 93 yuan [1][2] - The buyer and seller of the shares were both from CITIC Securities, with the buying department located in Shanghai and the selling department in Beijing [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the impact of rising international oil and natural gas prices, leading to price increases in disperse dyes and refrigerant R125 [1] - Key investment suggestions for January include focusing on undervalued industry leaders, the effects of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials and certain new energy materials companies amid strong downstream demand [1][11] - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in demand supported by policy, ongoing supply-side optimization, and the growth prospects in emerging sectors such as semiconductor materials and OLED materials [11] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - During the week of January 19-25, 43 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 24 experienced declines, and 33 remained stable [10][32] - The average price of NYMEX natural gas rose by 62.90% to $5.05 per mmbtu, and WTI crude oil prices increased by 2.74% to $61.07 per barrel [10][33] Investment Recommendations - As of January 23, the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for the SW basic chemical sector is 29.45, placing it in the 84.71 percentile historically, while the P/E for the SW oil and petrochemical sector is 14.08, in the 42.32 percentile historically [11] - Recommended stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Yike Technology, among others, with a focus on companies benefiting from strong demand and favorable pricing conditions [11] Price Changes and Market Trends - The price of disperse dyes increased, with disperse black ECT300% averaging 18 yuan/kg, a rise of 5.88% [34] - Refrigerant R125 prices rose to 50,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 3.09% increase from the previous week and a 16.38% increase year-on-year [35]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current trends in the chemical industry, focusing on price movements, supply and demand dynamics, and investment opportunities in undervalued leading companies amid a backdrop of geopolitical tensions and changing market conditions [1][4][8]. Industry Dynamics - In the week of January 12-18, 49 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 20 experienced declines, and 31 remained stable. The average monthly price of 49% of products rose compared to the previous month [3]. - The average price of WTI crude oil futures increased by 0.54% to $59.44 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures rose by 0.66% to $63.76 per barrel during the same week [4]. - As of January 9, U.S. crude oil production averaged 13.753 million barrels per day, a decrease of 58,000 barrels from the previous week but an increase of 272,000 barrels year-on-year. Total U.S. oil demand was 21.009 million barrels per day, up by 178,200 barrels from the previous week [4]. Price Movements - The price of butadiene rose by 4.04% to 9,663 yuan per ton as of January 18, with a month-on-month increase of 25.98% but a year-on-year decrease of 20.8%. The production of butadiene was 109,300 tons, down 2.85% from the previous week [5]. - Epoxy propane prices increased by 8.84% to 8,620 yuan per ton, with a year-on-year rise of 9.88%. The market operating rate was 65.38%, reflecting a 1.51% increase from the previous week [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - As of January 18, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the SW basic chemical sector is 14.68, at the 59.64% historical percentile, while the price-to-book ratio is 1.54, at the 40.20% historical percentile. The SW oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM P/E ratio of 13.44, at the 39.81% historical percentile [8]. - Investment suggestions include focusing on undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, and the growing importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials and certain new energy materials amid rising prices [2][8]. - Recommended stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, with a focus on sectors like semiconductor materials, OLED materials, and new energy materials [8][9].

Group 1 - Nanda Optoelectronics is a core enterprise in the semiconductor materials field, focusing on the R&D and mass production of ArF photoresists, having achieved breakthroughs that disrupt the monopoly of Japanese and American companies in the mid-to-high-end photoresist market [1][38][39] - The company has established deep cooperation with foundries in the Yangtze River Delta and has successfully validated its ArF photoresist for 28nm processes, leading to significant order growth and capacity expansion following the introduction of U.S. semiconductor tariffs in 2026 [1][39] - The National Big Fund has provided financial support for its photoresist projects, enhancing its first-mover advantage in the domestic photoresist market [1][39] Group 2 - Tongcheng New Materials, based in Shanghai, is a leading domestic rubber additive company that has entered the photoresist market through the acquisition of Beixu Electronics, focusing on the R&D and production of KrF photoresists [2][40] - The company has established stable partnerships with major domestic foundries, achieving large-scale production of KrF photoresists widely used in memory chips and power devices [2][40] - Plans for an H-share listing in 2026 aim to raise funds for high-end photoresist R&D and capacity expansion, further enhancing its competitive edge in the domestic market [2][40] Group 3 - Dinglong Co., headquartered in Wuhan, is a leader in printing and copying consumables, diversifying into semiconductor materials with a focus on polishing pads and supporting materials for photoresists [3][41] - The company has established close cooperation with major foundries like SMIC, achieving import substitution for its CMP polishing pads, which supports its photoresist business [3][41] - Following the U.S. semiconductor tariffs, there has been a surge in demand for localized supporting materials, leading to increased orders for its photoresist and related products [3][41] Group 4 - Yake Technology, located in Jiangsu, has entered the semiconductor photoresist market through the acquisition of South Korea's UP Chemical, focusing on KrF and ArF photoresists [4][42] - The company has integrated the technical advantages of the Korean team with domestic market resources, positioning itself as a core supplier of mid-to-high-end photoresists in the global semiconductor supply chain [4][42] - The electronic specialty gas business complements its photoresist offerings, providing a one-stop material solution for foundries [4][42] Group 5 - Dongcai Technology, based in Sichuan, specializes in high polymer resin materials for photoresists, leveraging its chemical industry foundation in the Southwest [5][43] - The company has achieved batch supply of resin products for various photoresist models, including G/I line and KrF, validated by multiple domestic photoresist manufacturers [5][43] - The demand for localized raw materials has surged following the U.S. semiconductor tariffs, leading to increased production capacity and a focus on high-end resin materials for ArF photoresists [5][43] Group 6 - Lianhong New Materials, located in Shandong, produces core raw materials such as monomers and solvents for photoresists, achieving low-cost production with quality meeting import standards [6][44] - The company has established long-term partnerships with downstream photoresist manufacturers, enhancing product adaptability and market share [6][44] - The acceleration of domestic substitution due to U.S. tariffs has led to a significant increase in orders for its photoresist raw materials [6][44] Group 7 - Shengquan Group, based in Shandong, focuses on developing phenolic and epoxy resins for photoresists, achieving breakthroughs in green and high-performance materials [7][45] - The company has become a core supplier for downstream photoresist manufacturers, benefiting from the growing demand for upstream resin materials following the U.S. semiconductor tariffs [7][45] - Increased R&D investment aims to develop high-end resin materials for KrF photoresists, further extending its position in the semiconductor materials industry [7][45] Group 8 - Shanghai Xinyang, a leader in semiconductor cleaning liquids, has diversified into the photoresist market, focusing on G/I line and electroplating photoresists [8][46] - The company has achieved large-scale production of G/I line photoresists, becoming a major supplier for domestic packaging applications [8][46] - The introduction of U.S. tariffs has accelerated the domestic adoption of photoresist materials, significantly increasing order volumes for its products [8][46] Group 9 - Jingrui Electric Materials, located in Jiangsu, is a leader in microelectronic materials, with its photoresist business covering multiple models including G/I line and KrF [9][48] - The company has accumulated extensive experience in photoresist R&D and production, with KrF photoresists entering the customer validation phase [9][48] - The U.S. semiconductor tariffs have led to a significant increase in domestic procurement of photoresists, resulting in notable revenue growth for the company [9][48] Group 10 - Huamao Technology, based in Fujian, has entered the photoresist market through the acquisition of XuZhou Bokan, focusing on ArF photoresist R&D [10][49] - The company aims to leverage its technical reserves to achieve breakthroughs in the production of mid-to-high-end photoresists, particularly in automotive semiconductor applications [10][49] - The acceleration of domestic substitution due to U.S. tariffs positions the company favorably in the ArF photoresist market [10][49] Group 11 - Jingfang Technology, headquartered in Jiangsu, specializes in semiconductor packaging and testing, relying on photoresists as a core consumable in its processes [11][50] - The company is enhancing cooperation with domestic photoresist manufacturers to optimize supply chain costs amid the push for domestic substitution [11][50] - The growth in demand from automotive electronics and AIoT sectors is driving the expansion of its packaging business, indirectly benefiting from the photoresist market [11][50] Group 12 - Xinlai Yingcai, based in Jiangsu, is a leader in ultra-pure fluid equipment, providing clean production equipment for photoresist manufacturing [12][51] - The company is expanding its product offerings to include ultra-clean equipment suitable for ArF and EUV photoresist production [12][51] - The demand for clean equipment has surged following the U.S. semiconductor tariffs, leading to significant order growth [12][51] Group 13 - Hubei Yihua, located in Hubei, is a leader in basic chemicals, producing raw materials for photoresists such as chlorobenzene and phosphorus trichloride [13][53] - The company has achieved large-scale production of photoresist raw materials, benefiting from the growing demand for localized supply following U.S. tariffs [13][53] - Its integrated chemical industry advantages help reduce production costs, enhancing its competitiveness in the photoresist supply chain [13][53]

Core Viewpoint - The demand for high bandwidth memory (HBM) driven by artificial intelligence and high-performance computing continues to rise, leading to active performance in the HBM sector on the secondary market. Company Summaries - **Unisoc (紫光国微)**: Latest stock price is 86.69 CNY with a daily increase of +10.00%. The company's HBM products are in the sample system integration verification stage [1] - **Chipone (芯源微)**: Latest stock price is 209.09 CNY with a daily increase of +10.63%. The company has received high recognition from downstream customers in the HBM and 2.5D/3D packaging fields, with multiple products in mass production [2] - **Zhongke Feimeng (中科飞测)**: Latest stock price is 196.98 CNY with a daily increase of +9.20%. The company's graphic wafer defect detection equipment and 3D morphology measurement equipment have passed verification from multiple domestic HBM customers, achieving mass shipments [3] - **Yake Technology (雅克科技)**: Latest stock price is 92.68 CNY with a daily increase of +6.63%. The company's subsidiary UP Chemical is a core supplier of precursors for SK Hynix, supplying materials needed for HBM [4] - **JCET (长电科技)**: Latest stock price is 43.99 CNY with a daily increase of +4.79%. The company has launched the XDFOI high-performance packaging technology platform, which supports advanced packaging requirements for HBM [5] - **Shannon Microelectronics (香农芯创)**: Latest stock price is 170.53 CNY with a daily increase of +4.29%. The company is one of the distributors for SK Hynix and holds agency qualifications for HBM products, positioned in the core supply chain of the industry [6] - **Semei Shanghai (盛美上海)**: Latest stock price is 204.77 CNY with a daily increase of +5.23%. The company’s wet processing equipment and copper plating equipment can be used in HBM manufacturing processes, and related packaging equipment can be used for its 2.5D packaging technology [7] - **Lianrui New Materials (联瑞新材)**: Latest stock price is 64.65 CNY with a daily increase of +6.74%. The company supplies packaging materials for HBM, including ball silicon and Lowα ball aluminum used in GMC (granular epoxy molding compound) [8] - **Feikai Materials (飞凯材料)**: Latest stock price is 26.19 CNY with a daily increase of +6.94%. The company produces and sells epoxy molding compounds (EMC), which are key materials required for HBM storage chip manufacturing [9]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Yake Technology has shown significant growth, with a year-to-date increase of 21.77% and a notable rise in revenue and net profit for the fiscal year 2025 [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On January 14, Yake Technology's stock rose by 2.01%, reaching a price of 90.23 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.114 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 3.94%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 42.943 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 1.81% over the last five trading days, 24.20% over the last 20 days, and 18.97% over the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yake Technology reported a revenue of 6.467 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 796 million CNY, up by 6.33% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.156 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 752 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3]. Group 3: Business Overview - Yake Technology, established on October 29, 1997, and listed on May 25, 2010, is located in Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, and specializes in the research, production, and sales of electronic materials, LNG insulation materials, and flame retardants [2]. - The company's revenue composition includes semiconductor chemical materials and photoresists at 49.23%, LNG insulation composite materials at 27.13%, LNG engineering installation at 7.91%, and other segments [2]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Yake Technology had 59,300 shareholders, a decrease of 3.50% from the previous period, with an average of 5,367 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 3.63% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 8.6671 million shares, a decrease of 7.7969 million shares from the previous period, while the Guotai Zhongzheng Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme ETF is a new entrant with 3.0082 million shares [3].

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor industry is expected to strengthen in 2026, driven by AI demand and domestic substitution, with a notable increase in semiconductor equipment and materials [1] Group 1: Semiconductor Equipment and ETF Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) opened up 1.15% on January 12, with a net inflow of nearly 100 million yuan over the past two trading days [1] - The index tracked by the semiconductor equipment ETF has risen over 15% this year, outperforming mainstream semiconductor indices [2] - Key stocks such as Zhongwei Company and Cambrian have seen significant gains, with Zhongwei up nearly 4% and Jianghua Micro up over 5% [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Pricing - A significant increase in trading volume in A-shares indicates the start of a spring market, with semiconductor equipment leading the upward trend [4] - NVIDIA's new AI chip architecture, Vera Rubin, showcases a fivefold increase in inference performance compared to the previous generation, indicating a surge in storage demand [5] - Major international storage companies plan to raise server DRAM prices by 60% to 70% in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025 [5] Group 3: Domestic Substitution and Material Demand - The domestic substitution process for semiconductor materials is advancing, with a recent anti-dumping investigation into dichlorodihydrosilane from Japan, a key material for chip manufacturing [5] - The demand for semiconductor materials and electronic chemicals is expected to rise due to the upgrade of storage driven by AI data centers [6] - The global semiconductor materials market is projected to reach approximately $70 billion by 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 6% [6] Group 4: Industry Outlook and Key Players - The trend of "supply security + domestic substitution" for key semiconductor materials is strengthening, driven by AI computing and data center demands [7] - Leading companies with technological accumulation and production capacity in high-end materials are expected to gain market share and profitability amid advanced process promotion and domestic substitution trends [7] - The semiconductor equipment ETF focuses on leading companies in the sector, with over 90% of its holdings in the upper and mid-stream areas of the semiconductor industry, which have the highest technical barriers and value concentration [7]

Summary of Semiconductor Equipment and Materials Conference Call Industry Overview - The global semiconductor market is benefiting from the development of AI, with increased storage demand, particularly for DRAM and HBM, indicating a strong upward trend in the industry [1][2] - The semiconductor equipment market is expected to grow by 40%-50% by 2028/2029, showing significant growth potential [1][4] Key Insights - **Market Drivers**: The primary drivers of the semiconductor market include the expansion of storage demand and advancements in technology, particularly with TSMC's transition from 3nm to 2nm processes [3] - **Investment Opportunities**: A-share equipment companies are currently undervalued compared to their US counterparts, with significant potential for domestic expansion and local substitution [1][4] - **Long-term Growth**: Despite short-term high valuations, the semiconductor equipment industry is at the beginning of a super cycle, with strong order growth and certainty in future demand [7] Company-Specific Insights - **Changxin Technology**: Currently operating at high capacity with clear expansion needs, which will secure orders for related equipment companies. Their upcoming IPO is expected to boost market confidence [1][6] - **Jingce Electronics**: Notable for its high customer concentration (70%-80%), benefiting from the expansion of major clients and recognized technology in the measurement field, making it a company to watch [1][8][9] - **Material Sector**: Domestic companies like Dinglong and Shanghai Xinyang are making progress in the photoresist market, with significant potential for local substitution against Japanese firms, which currently dominate high-end materials [10][12][13] Competitive Landscape - **Japanese Dominance**: Japan holds a significant market share in high-end materials, particularly in photoresists (70%-80%) and silicon wafers (50%-60%), indicating a substantial gap for domestic companies to fill [11] - **Domestic Material Companies**: The emergence of leading domestic companies in the photoresist sector is noteworthy, although breakthroughs in technology may take time [12][13] Future Outlook - The semiconductor equipment and materials sector has experienced an initial surge, but the overall market is expected to continue growing, especially with the upcoming IPO of Changxin and the expansion of advanced processes [14] - Confidence in China's semiconductor development remains strong amid the US-China competition, suggesting a positive long-term outlook for the sector [14]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the benchmark index over the next 6-12 months [49]. Core Insights - The report suggests focusing on undervalued leading companies in the industry, the impact of "anti-involution" on the supply side of related sub-industries, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies amid strong downstream demand and price increases in certain new energy materials [3][12]. - The report highlights a mid-to-long-term investment theme where policy support is expected to lead to demand recovery, continuous optimization of the supply side, and potential dual improvements in performance and valuation for excellent leading enterprises [3][12]. - Emerging fields such as semiconductor materials, OLED materials, and new energy materials are identified as having significant growth potential due to rapid development in downstream industries [3][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - As of January 9, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemical sector is 27.07, at the 80.09 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 2.45, at the 67.22 percentile historically [3][12]. - The SW oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 13.49, at the 40.05 percentile historically, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.31, at the 42.27 percentile historically [3][12]. Price Changes and Market Performance - During the week of January 5-11, 34 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 31 experienced declines, and 35 remained stable. Overall, 49% of products had month-over-month price increases, while 41% saw decreases [9][30]. - The average price of WTI crude oil rose to $59.12 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 3.14%, while Brent crude oil reached $63.34 per barrel, up 4.26% [31][30]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Satellite Chemical, and others, with a focus on companies benefiting from policy support and strong demand in emerging sectors [3][12]. - The report identifies "golden stocks" for January as Wanhua Chemical and Yake Technology, emphasizing their potential for growth [3][12].