Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [8][9]. Core Insights - The company has announced a significant share buyback and increase plan, reflecting confidence in long-term development. The controlling shareholder plans to increase holdings by 200-300 million RMB, while the chairman proposed a buyback of 2-2.5 billion RMB of company stock, intended for capital reduction [2][3]. - The management and major shareholders have repeatedly increased their stakes in the company throughout 2024, totaling approximately 614 million RMB, showcasing their long-term confidence [3]. - The company has maintained a high cash dividend payout rate, with a dividend payout ratio of 59.5% in 2023, positioning it among the leading technology firms in the A+H market [4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are as follows: - Revenue: 97.49 billion RMB (2024E), 109.51 billion RMB (2025E), 124.56 billion RMB (2026E) [6]. - Net profit: 14.36 billion RMB (2024E), 17.88 billion RMB (2025E), 21.58 billion RMB (2026E) [6]. - Earnings per share (EPS): 1.56 RMB (2024E), 1.94 RMB (2025E), 2.34 RMB (2026E) [6]. - The company has shown resilience in profit growth, with net profit maintaining positive growth, excluding the exceptional year of 2022 [4][6]. Growth and Dividend Logic - The company is expected to benefit from domestic demand recovery and digital transformation trends, with revenue growth driven by innovative business segments and overseas markets [4]. - The company has consistently returned value to shareholders through high dividend payouts, with a historical cash dividend rate above 48% since 2015 [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision (002415) is maintained as "Buy" [4][7]. Core Views - The company's management and shareholders demonstrate strong confidence in its future development and long-term profitability through a simultaneous announcement of stock buybacks and shareholder increases [3]. - The chairman proposed a stock buyback plan of 2-5 billion RMB, with a buyback price not exceeding 40 RMB per share, representing a buyback ratio of 0.54%-0.68% [2]. - Shareholders plan to collectively increase their holdings by 300-500 million RMB, with the controlling shareholder planning to buy 200-300 million RMB and another entity planning to buy 100-200 million RMB [1]. Financial Summary - The projected revenue for Hikvision from 2024 to 2026 is 97.48 billion RMB, 109.48 billion RMB, and 123.81 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 14.75 billion RMB, 18.04 billion RMB, and 22.26 billion RMB [4][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.60 RMB, 1.95 RMB, and 2.41 RMB for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 18, 15, and 12 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4][6].

证券代码：002415 证券简称：海康威视 公告编号：2024-052 号 杭州海康威视数字技术股份有限公司 关于公司控股股东及其一致行动人增持公司股份计划的公告 公司控股股东中电海康集团有限公司及其一致行动人中电科投资控股有限 公司保证向本公司提供的信息内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈 述或重大遗漏。 公司于2024年10月18日收到公司控股股东中电海康集团及其一致行动人电 科投资的通知，中电海康集团及电科投资计划自本公告之日起6个月内，通过深 圳证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式增持公司股份。现将有关情况公告如 下： 一、计划增持主体的基本情况 1、计划增持主体情况： 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 特别提示： 1、杭州海康威视数字技术股份有限公司（以下简称"海康威视"或"公司"） 控股股东中电海康集团有限公司（以下简称"中电海康集团"）及其一致行动人 中电科投资控股有限公司（以下简称"电科投资"）基于对公司未来持续稳定发 展的信心和长期投资价值的认可，为增强投资者信心，计划自本公告之日起6个 月内，通过深圳证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式增持公司A股 ...

证券代码：002415 证券简称：海康威视 公告编号：2024-051 号 杭州海康威视数字技术股份有限公司 关于公司董事长提议回购公司股份的提示性公告 公司本次回购的股份拟全部用于依法注销减少注册资本。 三、提议回购的主要内容 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 杭州海康威视数字技术股份有限公司（以下简称"海康威视"或"公司"） 董事会于2024年10月18日收到公司董事长胡扬忠先生的提议，提议公司通过深圳 证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式回购公司已发行的部分人民币普通股 （A股）股票。具体内容如下： 一、提议人的基本情况及提议时间 1、提议人：公司董事长胡扬忠先生 2、提议时间：2024年10月18日 3、是否享有提案权：是 二、提议人提议回购股份的原因和目的 基于对公司未来发展前景的坚定信心和对公司长期价值的高度认可，结合公 司经营情况、主营业务发展前景、公司财务状况以及未来的盈利能力等的基础上， 为维护公司市场形象，增强投资者信心，促进公司的长远发展，公司拟通过深圳 证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易方式回购部分公司已在境内发行的人民币 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Hikvision [4][7]. Core Insights - The report addresses three key questions: 1) How to confirm the current safety margin as shareholder returns increase despite slowing growth; 2) Whether the new growth curves of smart IoT and scenario digitization have sufficient growth space and competitiveness; 3) The elasticity of performance and valuation in the new growth phase [11]. - The company has maintained a high level of shareholder returns, with cumulative cash dividends of approximately 58.4 billion since its IPO in 2010, and a recent dividend payout ratio reaching 60% [4][12]. - The digital business's competitiveness stems from scale effects, with over 500 solutions and high-frequency reuse of software and hardware, allowing the company to meet fragmented demands more efficiently [4][19]. - Historical valuation analysis shows that the company's bottom PE typically hovers around 20x, currently at historical lows, indicating potential for significant valuation recovery [4][7]. Financial Perspective - The company has a stable and abundant free cash flow, with a free cash flow to net profit ratio averaging around 64% over the past decade [13][15]. - The company’s cash reserves are substantial, with 49.6 billion in cash at the end of 2023, sufficient to cover current liabilities [14][15]. - Future dividend rates are expected to maintain at least 60%, with potential for increases based on various scenarios of free cash flow [15][16]. Business Perspective - The market for digital transformation is projected to grow significantly, with an expected expenditure of 428 billion USD in 2024, representing a tenfold growth opportunity compared to the narrow security market [19][20]. - The company has established a clear evolution path for its smart IoT business, enhancing customer value through advanced hardware and software capabilities [20][21]. - The company has accumulated extensive practical experience across various industries, enabling it to meet diverse and fragmented digital transformation demands [23][24]. Valuation Discussion - The report utilizes a PE valuation method, comparing Hikvision with domestic and global digitalization companies, projecting a target market value of 350 billion based on a 20x PE for 2025 [4][7]. - The company’s historical valuation trends indicate potential for significant upward movement in PE ratios, particularly if macroeconomic conditions improve [4][7][8].

证券代码：002415 证券简称：海康威视 公告编号：2024-050 号 杭州海康威视数字技术股份有限公司 关于为子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 公司及控股子公司不存在其他对外担保事项，不存在逾期对外担保、涉及诉 讼的对外担保及因担保被判决败诉而应承担损失的情形。 特此公告。 杭州海康威视数字技术股份有限公司 一、担保情况概述 杭州海康威视数字技术股份有限公司（以下简称"海康威视"或"公司"） 于 2024 年 4 月 18 日召开第五届董事会第二十次会议，审议通过了《关于为子公 司提供担保的议案》，同意公司及控股子公司为其下属全资或控股子公司提供不 超过 166.75 亿元人民币的担保额度。上述事项于 2024 年 5 月 10 日经公司 2023 年年度股东大会审议通过。具体内容详见公司 2024 年 4 月 20 日刊载于《证券时 报》《中国证券报》《上海证券报》和巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）的《关于 为子公司提供担保的公告》（公告编号：2024-016 号）。 二、担保进展情况 2024 ...

Investment Rating - Buy (First Rating) [1] Core Views - The company is a global AIoT leader, transitioning from a traditional security provider to a digital solutions provider with a diversified product matrix of 30,000+ hardware SKUs and 200+ software products [1] - The company's growth is driven by innovation, overseas expansion, and enterprise digital transformation, with PBG (Public Business Group) expected to stabilize in 2024 [1] - The company's software and AI contribute significantly to its gross margin, with the AI Guanlan model enhancing efficiency and reducing costs [1] Business Overview Business Structure - The company operates five major business groups: PBG, EBG, SMBG, Innovation Business, and Overseas Business [1] - PBG focuses on public security and urban governance, with a shift from traditional security to digital city management [1][44] - EBG targets enterprise digital transformation, leveraging AI and SaaS platforms like Yunmou to enhance manufacturing and supply chain efficiency [1][47] - SMBG serves small and medium-sized businesses with fragmented needs, transitioning from traditional distribution to solution-based models [1][60] - Innovation Business includes subsidiaries in smart home, machine vision, and automotive electronics, contributing significantly to growth [1][29] - Overseas Business adopts a localized strategy, with breakthroughs in new product categories and increased penetration in emerging markets [1] Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from 97.49 billion RMB in 2024 to 124.56 billion RMB in 2026, with net profit increasing from 14.36 billion RMB to 21.58 billion RMB [2] - The company's gross margin reached 44.4% in 2023, with a net profit margin of 15.8% [28] - R&D expenses accounted for 12.8% of revenue in 2023, with cumulative R&D investment reaching 56.9 billion RMB since 2006 [17] Innovation and AI - The company's AI Guanlan model reduces training data requirements by 90% while improving recognition accuracy by 18-63% [1] - AI and software contribute significantly to the company's gross margin, with software revenue accounting for 21.3% of total revenue in 2023 [1] - The company's AI open platform has trained over 50,000 algorithms and deployed 4,000 projects, serving more than 15,000 users [23] Market Position - The company is transitioning from a traditional security provider to a global AIoT leader, with innovation and overseas business driving growth [1][10] - The company's PBG business, once dominant, now accounts for only 17.2% of total revenue, reflecting a shift towards enterprise and innovation-driven growth [10][44] Valuation and Target Price - The company is valued at 20x PE for 2025, with a target price of 38.74 RMB per share [2] - The current market price is 26.20 RMB, indicating significant upside potential [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Hikvision [4]. Core Views - Hikvision's total revenue for H1 2024 reached 41.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.13% to 5.064 billion yuan. The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.243 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.11% [2][3]. - The company continues to enhance its innovation and R&D investments, with R&D expenditure in H1 2024 amounting to 5.698 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.81% [3]. Revenue Breakdown - **PBG Business**: Revenue of 5.693 billion yuan in H1 2024, down 9.25% year-on-year, accounting for 13.81% of total revenue [3]. - **EBG Business**: Revenue of 7.489 billion yuan, up 7.05% year-on-year, representing 18.17% of total revenue. The company is focusing on process reform and organizational synergy [3]. - **SMBG**: Revenue of 5.789 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.64% year-on-year, making up 14.05% of total revenue. The company is strengthening its compliance system [3]. - **Overseas Business**: Revenue of 11.441 billion yuan, up 15.46% year-on-year, accounting for 27.76% of total revenue. The company is navigating a complex domestic and international environment [3]. - **Innovation Business**: Revenue of 10.328 billion yuan, a significant increase of 26.13% year-on-year, constituting 25.06% of total revenue. This segment is becoming a strong growth engine for the company [3]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are 98.98 billion yuan, 110.18 billion yuan, and 122.80 billion yuan, respectively. EPS estimates for the same period are 1.63 yuan, 1.76 yuan, and 1.93 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 15, and 14 times [3][4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's overall performance shows steady growth, with revenue for the first half of 2024 reaching 41.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%. However, net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5% to 5.06 billion yuan [3] - Traditional business faces short-term pressure, while AI-enabled digital transformation is expected to provide long-term growth momentum [4] - Innovative businesses, particularly in automotive electronics, robotics, and thermal imaging, are leading the way, contributing to a new growth engine with a revenue increase of 26.13% year-on-year [4] - The company is adjusting its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, expecting net profits of 14.9 billion, 17.3 billion, and 19.2 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16, 14, and 13 times [4] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue (in million yuan) for 2022A was 83,166, 2023A was 89,340, and projections for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 98,238, 110,794, and 123,794 respectively, showing a growth rate of 9.96%, 12.78%, and 11.73% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders (in million yuan) for 2022A was 12,838, 2023A was 14,108, and projections for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 14,893, 17,288, and 19,163 respectively, with growth rates of 5.56%, 16.08%, and 10.85% [2] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is 1.53 yuan per share, with projections for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E being 1.61, 1.87, and 2.08 yuan respectively [2] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 26.44 yuan, with a one-year low of 26.20 yuan and a high of 37.75 yuan [5] - The market capitalization is approximately 244.13 billion yuan [5] Basic Data - The book value per share is 7.90 yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 37.44% [6] - The total share capital is 9,233.20 million shares, with 9,106.00 million shares in circulation [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision (002415.SZ) is "Buy" (maintained) with a market price of 26.71 CNY [1][7]. Core Views - The report indicates that Hikvision's EBG and innovative businesses are experiencing steady growth, although profits are under pressure due to expenses. The company achieved a revenue of 41.209 billion CNY in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.064 billion CNY, down 5.13% year-on-year [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2022A to 2026E, the projected operating revenue is expected to grow from 83.166 billion CNY in 2022 to 120.303 billion CNY in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% [1]. - The net profit is forecasted to increase from 12.837 billion CNY in 2022 to 18.659 billion CNY in 2026, with a growth rate of 4% in 2024E and 14% in 2025E [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.39 CNY in 2022 to 2.02 CNY in 2026 [1]. Business Segments - Domestic main business revenue for the first half of 2024 was 18.971 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 0.26% year-on-year, while the EBG segment achieved a revenue of 7.489 billion CNY, growing by 7.05% year-on-year [4]. - The overseas main business generated 11.441 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.46% [4]. - Innovative business revenue reached 10.328 billion CNY, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 26.13% [4]. Market Position - The company holds a total market capitalization of approximately 246.619 billion CNY, with a circulating market value of about 243.221 billion CNY [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological innovation in driving down costs and improving efficiency in downstream sectors, which is expected to support stable growth for the company [5]. Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratio for 2024E is 17 times, decreasing to 13 times by 2026E, indicating a potential undervaluation as earnings grow [5][6]. - The P/B ratio is expected to decline from 3.6 in 2023A to 2.0 in 2026E, suggesting improving asset efficiency [1]. Analyst Insights - Analysts expect the company's performance to show a trend of lower growth in the first half of 2024, followed by a recovery in the latter half, driven by advancements in AI and digital transformation initiatives [5]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the expectation of a relative price increase of over 15% compared to benchmark indices within the next 6 to 12 months [7].