Group 1: Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metal sector has seen a significant upward trend, with a rise of over 3% as of September 30, driven by strong performances in copper, cobalt, lithium, and precious metals [1][3] - Key stocks such as Jiangxi Copper, Xiyu Co., and Shengtun Mining have reached their daily limit up, indicating robust market activity [1][3] Group 2: Stimulating Factors - Several favorable factors have contributed to the recent strength in the non-ferrous metal sector, including the release of the "Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by multiple government departments [3] - The plan emphasizes the need for a scientific layout of projects in alumina, copper smelting, and lithium carbonate, aiming to avoid redundant low-level construction and enhance investment effectiveness [3] - The suspension of production at the Grasberg copper mine in Indonesia due to a landslide has raised global copper price expectations, with LME copper prices increasing by over 4% in the last five trading days [4] Group 3: Precious Metals Market - Gold prices have surged, with a year-to-date increase of over 47%, and current prices nearing $3,870 per ounce [5][6] - The precious metals market is expected to maintain a strong upward trend, driven by Federal Reserve policy, geopolitical risks, and physical demand, particularly as the traditional consumption peak season approaches in October [6][7] Group 4: Cobalt and Lithium Outlook - The extension of the cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo until October 15 is anticipated to create a significant supply gap, with projections indicating that cobalt exports may only reach 44% of 2024 levels by 2026 [7] - Lithium prices are expected to remain stable due to tight supply-demand conditions, influenced by the approval progress of lithium mines in Jiangxi and strategic discussions regarding lithium resources in the U.S. [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced an overall upward trend on September 30, with the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index reaching a new high for the year, showing an intraday increase of over 2% [3] - New stocks listed on both A-share and Hong Kong markets performed well, with significant gains on their debut [7][15] New Stock Performance - A-share market saw two new stocks listed, with Yunhan Xincheng (301563) experiencing an intraday surge of over 400%, potentially yielding a profit of approximately 57,500 yuan per lot, ranking among the top for the year [8][10] - The other new stock, Ruili Kemi, saw an intraday increase of nearly 90% [11] - In the Hong Kong market, three new stocks were listed, with Xipuni showing an intraday rise of nearly 340% and maintaining a gain of about 250% [12][17] Industry Highlights - The non-ferrous metals sector saw significant gains, with the sector rising over 2% during the session [5] - Key stocks in this sector included Platinum New Materials, which rose by 14.18%, and others like Boki New Materials and Jingyi Co., which also hit their daily limit [4][5] - Gold and silver prices continued to rise, with domestic gold futures reaching a historical high, surpassing 870 yuan per gram [4] Company Insights - Yunhan Xincheng focuses on electronic component distribution and industrial internet integration, providing a one-stop supply chain service for the electronic manufacturing industry [10] - Ruili Kemi specializes in the research, production, and sales of active safety systems for vehicles, positioning itself as a leader in the commercial vehicle safety system market [12] - Xipuni, a leading designer and manufacturer of gold watch cases, is projected to grow its revenue from 324 million yuan to 457 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 28.2% [13] - Botai Che Lian, a supplier of intelligent cockpit solutions, is the third-largest provider in the Chinese passenger car market, holding a market share of 7.3% [18] Stock Index Performance - The Hang Seng Index showed low volatility, initially rising but later narrowing its gains, with notable movements among its constituent stocks [15][16] - Semiconductor company Huahong Semiconductor saw a significant rise of over 13% following an announcement regarding a share issuance and acquisition [19]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the A-share market for the non-ferrous metal sector, with significant gains in various companies following the release of a new growth plan for the industry [1] - On September 28, eight departments issued the "Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", aiming for an average annual growth of about 5% in the industry's added value and a 1.5% annual growth in the production of ten non-ferrous metals [1] - The plan emphasizes the need for improved resource development in copper, aluminum, and lithium, with a target of exceeding 20 million tons in recycled metal production and enhancing the supply capacity of high-end products [1] Group 2 - Notable stock performances include: - Platinum Technology Materials up 14.55% with a market cap of 24.9 billion [2] - Huaxi Nonferrous up 10.01% with a market cap of 21.4 billion [2] - Boji New Materials up 10% with a market cap of 17.1 billion [2] - Other companies such as Xiyang Co., Jiangxi Copper, and Huayou Cobalt also saw significant increases, with gains ranging from 5% to over 8% [1][2] - The overall market sentiment is positive, driven by the MACD golden cross signal formation, indicating a favorable trend for these stocks [2]

Core Insights - The energy metals sector experienced a significant increase of 4.85% on September 29, with Boqian New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Sector Performance - Boqian New Materials (605376) saw a closing price of 59.49, with a rise of 10.00% and a trading volume of 18,400 lots, amounting to 110 million yuan [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) closed at 58.50, up 7.83%, with a trading volume of 1,189,500 lots and a transaction value of 6.772 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Sai Rui Aluminum (300618) at 53.24, up 5.78% [1] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) at 60.25, up 5.46% [1] - Tengyuan Diamond (301219) at 72.27, up 5.20% [1] Capital Flow - The energy metals sector saw a net inflow of 1.344 billion yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 828 million yuan [1] - Ganfeng Lithium had a main fund net inflow of 5.42 billion yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 2.96 billion yuan [2] - Huayou Cobalt also reported a main fund net inflow of 4.97 billion yuan, with retail funds experiencing a net outflow of 4.53 billion yuan [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3872.88 points, up 1.17%, with a total trading volume of 1.7438 trillion yuan [1] - As of the current date, 94 A-shares have surpassed their annual moving average [1] Stocks Surpassing Annual Moving Average - Notable stocks with significant deviation rates include: - Kaiwang Technology (301182) with a deviation rate of 15.21% and a daily increase of 17.68% [1] - Wanli Stone (002785) with a deviation rate of 9.52% and a daily increase of 10.01% [1] - Daqing Huake (000985) with a deviation rate of 9.44% and a daily increase of 10.00% [1] - Other stocks with smaller deviation rates include: - China CNR (601990) and Beidahuang (000995), both just above their annual moving average [1] Additional Stocks with Positive Performance - Other stocks showing positive performance include: - Tonghui Information (430090) with a daily increase of 6.20% and a deviation rate of 4.69% [1] - Huangtai Liquor (000995) with a daily increase of 5.17% and a deviation rate of 4.47% [1] - Nanjing Securities (601990) with a daily increase of 4.09% and a deviation rate of 4.00% [1]

Core Insights - The A-share steel sector experienced a significant upward trend, with Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. nearing a trading limit increase, and Jinzhou Pipeline rising over 7% [1] Company Performance - Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (600808) saw a price increase of 9.92%, with a total market capitalization of 30.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 29.13% [2] - Jinzhou Pipeline (002443) increased by 7.81%, with a market cap of 4.024 billion and a year-to-date increase of 35.86% [2] - Yongxing Materials (002756) rose by 4.97%, with a market cap of 19.6 billion, but has a year-to-date decrease of 2.16% [2] - Wujin Stainless Steel (603878) increased by 4.67%, with a market cap of 5.285 billion and a year-to-date increase of 67.60% [2] - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) rose by 4.32%, with a market cap of 5.217 billion and a year-to-date increase of 14.14% [2] - Hainan Mining (601969) increased by 4.21%, with a market cap of 16.8 billion and a year-to-date increase of 20.41% [2] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) rose by 3.88%, with a market cap of 23.5 billion and a year-to-date increase of 7.05% [2] - Hebei Steel (000709) increased by 3.33%, with a market cap of 25.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 13.69% [2] - Dazhong Mining (001203) rose by 3.04%, with a market cap of 18.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 43.93% [2] - Hebei Resources (000923) also increased by 3.04%, with a market cap of 10.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 21.53% [2]

Report Overview - Report Title: How Will the Balance Evolve under High Supply and Demand Elasticity after the Supply Shock? - Research Institute: Orient Futures Derivatives Research Institute - Date: September 2025 - Analyst: Chen Yixuan 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - In the short term, the lithium market presents a combination of strong reality and weak expectations, with limited de - stocking and a surplus pattern. It is recommended to look for short - selling opportunities on price rallies and reverse spread opportunities for LC2511 - 2512. In the long term, although the static balance remains in surplus, the high - growth demand will ease the apparent inventory build - up pressure in 2026, and the trading strategy can gradually shift from shorting on rallies to buying on dips [61]. 3. Summary by Relevant Directory Q3 Market Review - Since the end of June, lithium prices have rebounded rapidly from the bottom to 90,000 yuan, then fluctuated after a spike. From late June to mid - July, demand expectation correction drove the price to stabilize and rebound; from mid - July to mid - August, supply - side risks led to a rapid price increase; since mid - August, after the market priced in the shutdown of Jianxiaowo, the price corrected to account for the increased supply stimulated by high prices [2][5]. Supply - Side Uncertainty - Since mid - July, mining license risks in Jiangxi and Qinghai have intensified. The shutdown of some projects raised concerns about domestic supply risks, and the expiration of Jianxiaowo's mining license in August triggered market sentiment. However, since late August, the resumption of previously shut - down projects has cooled market enthusiasm [6][8]. Supply Pressure and Inventory - High prices have accelerated the manifestation of supply pressure. After the price rebound, the output of spodumene processing increased rapidly, offsetting the reduction in mica supply. Since late August, the generation of warehouse receipts has accelerated. Currently, domestic ore inventory is still at a moderately high level, and imported ore flows in stably, with new projects expanding production capacity, so there is no significant constraint on lithium salt supply [9][11][12]. Lithium Salt Trade and Resource Output - In terms of lithium salt shipments, South American shipments are in line with capacity ramp - up expectations, and Indonesia has brought marginal increments. The regional premium has changed the trade flow of lithium salts. The revised global lithium resource supply in 2025 is expected to increase by 270,000 tons LCE year - on - year, and the impact of mining license disruptions is limited. In 2026, the project reserve is still sufficient, with an expected year - on - year increase of 300,000 tons LCE, but some mica capacity may face supply uncertainty [16][19][22]. Terminal Demand - In the power market, new - energy passenger vehicle sales in China, Europe, and the US from January to August increased by 36%, 28%, and 4% year - on - year respectively. The new - energy commercial vehicle market is a highlight, with sales in China from January to August increasing by 66% year - on - year. The domestic and overseas energy - storage markets have continuously exceeded expectations, with high growth in domestic large - scale energy - storage project bids and a significant increase in overseas exports [30][36][41]. Market Balance - In the short term, the market is in a de - stocking phase, but the de - stocking amplitude is limited. The fundamental situation supports prices in the short term but cannot drive prices up independently. In the long term, from 2025 to 2026, the global lithium resource market remains in surplus, but the apparent inventory build - up in 2026 may narrow, and the inventory - to - consumption ratio will decrease [48][51][55]. Strategy Recommendation - Short - term: Given the strong reality and weak expectations, limited de - stocking, and the expectation of project resumption, it is recommended to look for short - selling opportunities on price rallies and reverse spread opportunities for LC2511 - 2512. Long - term: As the demand growth will ease the inventory build - up pressure in 2026, the trading strategy can gradually shift from shorting on rallies to buying on dips [61].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share steel sector experienced a significant upward trend, with several companies nearing their daily price limits and notable gains in stock prices [1] Company Performance - Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (600808) saw a price increase of 9.92%, with a total market capitalization of 30.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 29.13% [2] - Jinzhu Pipeline (002443) rose by 7.81%, with a market cap of 4.024 billion and a year-to-date increase of 35.86% [2] - Yongxing Materials (002756) increased by 4.97%, with a market cap of 19.6 billion but a year-to-date decrease of 2.16% [2] - Wujin Stainless Steel (603878) gained 4.67%, with a market cap of 5.285 billion and a year-to-date increase of 67.60% [2] - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) rose by 4.32%, with a market cap of 5.217 billion and a year-to-date increase of 14.14% [2] - Hainan Mining (601969) increased by 4.21%, with a market cap of 16.8 billion and a year-to-date increase of 20.41% [2] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) saw a 3.88% increase, with a market cap of 23.5 billion and a year-to-date increase of 7.05% [2] - Hebei Steel (000709) rose by 3.33%, with a market cap of 25.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 13.69% [2] - Dazhong Mining (001203) increased by 3.04%, with a market cap of 18.4 billion and a year-to-date increase of 43.93% [2] - Hebei Resources (000923) also rose by 3.04%, with a market cap of 10.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 21.53% [2]

长盛转型升级混合（001197）基金经理为王柄方。 从基金十大重仓股角度 截至发稿，王柄方累计任职时间3年71天，现任基金资产总规模3.7亿元，任职期间最佳基金回 报-6.17%， 任职期间最差基金回报-47.99%。 9月29日，永兴材料涨5.14%，截至发稿，报36.40元/股，成交4.32亿元，换手率3.14%，总市值196.23亿 元。 数据显示，长盛基金旗下1只基金重仓永兴材料。长盛转型升级混合（001197）二季度持有股数16.28万 股，与上期相比持股数量不变，占基金净值比例为2.7%，位居第六大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚 取约28.98万元。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 资料显示，永兴特种材料科技股份有限公司位于浙江省湖州市霅水桥路618号，成立日期2000年7月19 日，上市日期2015年5月15日，公司主营业务涉及不锈钢及特殊合金材料等特种金属材料棒线材的研 发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：棒材47.71%，线材24.66%， ...

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a decline in China's wire rod (coil) production, with a projected output of 11.38 million tons in July 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 1.9% [1] Industry Summary - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the cumulative production of wire rod (coil) in China from January to July 2025 is 78.96 million tons, showing a slight decline of 0.1% [1] - The report titled "Market Development Scale and Industry Demand Analysis of China's High-Speed Wire Rod Industry from 2025 to 2031" by Zhiyan Consulting provides insights into the market trends and future demand [1] Company Summary - Listed companies in the wire rod industry include Hangang Co., Ltd. (600126), Shagang Co., Ltd. (002075), Yongxing Materials (002756), Fangda Special Steel (600507), Linggang Co., Ltd. (600231), Fushun Special Steel (600399), *ST Xigang (600117), Liugang Co., Ltd. (601003), Magang Co., Ltd. (600808), and New Steel Co., Ltd. (600782) [1]