格隆汇8月15日｜天风证券研报指出，鹏鼎控股上半年汽车、服务器用板增速亮眼，消费电子及计算机 用板快速增长，持续推进降本增效，毛利率同环比改善明显。新增产能逐步释放，持续贡献业绩增量。 高阶AI硬板持续高景气，公司积极扩大资本开支。因客户对高阶AI产品的未来订单需求明显成长，臻 鼎董事长沈庆芳表示，臻鼎规划提高今、明两年的资本开支金额至新台币300亿元以上，其中近50%资 本开支将用于扩大HDI及HLC以掌握相关产品成长契机。积极布局前瞻技术，卡位关键高增长赛道。积 极与全球人形机器人的领先厂商及脑机接口领域的科研机构建立合作关系，通过深入探讨未来人形机器 人及脑机接口领域PCB产品的应用场景与产品发展路线。考虑高端算力pcb高景气，将26年归母净利润 由50亿上修到54亿，新增27年归母净利润62亿业绩预期，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Pengding Holdings (002938.SZ) is rated as a "buy" due to its strong position in the FPC industry and growth driven by new product categories such as AI edge devices and foldable screens/AI glasses [2] - The company maintains a leading position in the FPC industry, benefiting from the AI edge wave and new product categories [2] - Pengding Holdings is expanding into high-end HDI markets, specifically in servers and optical modules, achieving a comprehensive layout across the AI cloud-network-end industry chain [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant presence of social security funds in the stock market, particularly focusing on their investments in various sectors and specific companies as of the first half of 2025 [1][3]. Group 1: Social Security Fund Holdings - As of August 13, 2025, 281 A-share listed companies have disclosed their mid-year reports, with 42 companies having social security funds among their top ten circulating shareholders [3][6]. - The total number of shares held by social security funds amounts to 789 million, with a market value of 14 billion yuan [3][9]. - The top three companies by market value held by social security funds are Changshu Bank (20.47 billion yuan), Pengding Holdings (13.78 billion yuan), and Haida Group (12.32 billion yuan) [3][4]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - Social security funds have significant holdings in the basic chemical and banking sectors, each exceeding 2 billion yuan, while holdings in the electronics and pharmaceutical sectors exceed 1.2 billion yuan [9][11]. - The total market value of social security fund holdings in the basic chemical sector is 23.97 billion yuan, and in the banking sector, it is 20.47 billion yuan [9][11]. Group 3: Changes in Holdings - In the second quarter of 2025, social security funds entered the top ten shareholders of 15 new stocks, with notable investments in Yanjing Beer, Chuanfeng Power, and Weixing Chemical, each exceeding 300 million yuan [6][9]. - The largest increase in holdings was seen in Changshu Bank, with an additional 23.8 million shares acquired, followed by Haida Group and Pengding Holdings with increases of 10.15 million shares and 6.51 million shares, respectively [8][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 16.375 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.233 billion yuan, up 57.22% year-on-year [3][4] - The company is the largest FPC manufacturer globally, holding over 30% market share, and is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI-related products and new categories such as foldable screens and AI glasses [4][5] - The company is expanding its high-end HDI and SLP product lines into the AI server and optical module markets, with ongoing collaborations with well-known server manufacturers and CSPs [5] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 19.07%, an increase of 1.10 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 7.49%, up 1.51 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, expecting net profits of 4.514 billion, 5.515 billion, and 6.502 billion yuan respectively, reflecting an upward adjustment from previous estimates [3][6] - The company's P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 26.9, 22.0, and 18.7 times respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [6]

Core Insights - The Social Security Fund (SSF) has invested in 57 stocks by the end of Q2, with 21 stocks held for over 8 quarters, indicating a long-term investment strategy [1][2] Group 1: Investment Holdings - The SSF's longest-held stock is Changshu Bank, held for 30 quarters since Q1 2018, with a total holding of 278 million shares, representing 8.38% of the circulating shares [1][3] - Other notable long-term holdings include Aide Biology (26 quarters), Sanrenxing (21 quarters), and Pengding Holdings (20 quarters) [1][3] - By the end of Q2, the top holdings by quantity include Changshu Bank (278 million shares), Huafa Co. (9.04 million shares), and Pengding Holdings (4.3 million shares) [2] Group 2: Shareholding Changes - Among the 21 stocks held for over 2 years, 7 saw an increase in holdings, with Hai Da Group, Hongfa Co., and Huagong Technology showing significant increases of 93.26%, 76.77%, and 62.89% respectively [2][3] - Conversely, 5 stocks experienced a decrease in holdings, with Huajin Co., Aide Biology, and Gongda Electronics showing declines of 56.76%, 52.54%, and 27.27% respectively [2][4] Group 3: Industry Performance - The 21 stocks held by the SSF are concentrated in the electronics, pharmaceutical, and basic chemical industries, with 3 stocks each from electronics and pharmaceuticals, and 2 from basic chemicals [2] - In terms of performance, 16 out of the 21 stocks reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with notable increases from Jifeng Co. (189.51%), Pengding Holdings (57.22%), and Yanjing Beer (45.45%) [3][4] - The stocks with declining net profits include Huafa Co. (down 86.41%), Huajin Co. (down 33.15%), and Xinwei Communication (down 20.18%) [3][4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Pengding Holdings (SZ002938) reported significant growth in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, indicating strong operational performance [1] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 16.375 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.75% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.233 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 57.22% [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.149 billion yuan, which is a 51.90% increase compared to the same period last year [1] - The basic earnings per share (EPS) was 0.53 yuan, up 55.88% from the previous year [1] Group 2 - The gross margin for Pengding Holdings in the first half of 2025 was 19.07%, an increase of 1.10 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The net profit margin improved to 7.49%, up 1.51 percentage points from the same period last year [2] - The company's operating expenses for the first half of 2025 amounted to 1.582 billion yuan, an increase of 241 million yuan compared to the previous year [2] - The expense ratio decreased to 9.66%, down 0.56 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Sales expenses increased by 10.71%, while management expenses rose by 6.68%, and research and development expenses decreased by 0.63% [2] Group 3 - Pengding Holdings' total revenue for 2024 was 35.14 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.59% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 3.620 billion yuan, which is a 10.14% increase compared to the previous year [7] - The company specializes in the design, research and development, manufacturing, and sales of various printed circuit boards [7]

Core Insights - The Social Security Fund has disclosed its stock holdings as of the end of Q2, appearing in the top ten shareholders of 57 companies, with new investments in 16 stocks and increased holdings in 15 stocks [1][2] Group 1: Stock Holdings Overview - The total number of shares held by the Social Security Fund is 1.026 billion, with a total market value of 17.667 billion yuan [1] - The most significant holdings are in Changshu Bank, with four Social Security Fund portfolios listed among the top ten shareholders, holding a total of 277.913 million shares, accounting for 8.38% of the circulating shares [1][2] - Other notable holdings include Nanwei Medical at 4.89% and companies like Kaili New Materials, Xinwei Communication, and Ganyuan Food with significant share percentages [1][2] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Among the stocks held, 43 companies reported year-on-year net profit growth, with the highest increase seen in Rongzhi Rixin at 2063.42% [2] - The average increase in stock prices for Social Security Fund heavyweights since July is 12.74%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - The best-performing stock is Dingtong Technology, with a cumulative increase of 75.47%, followed by Pengding Holdings and Guomai Culture with increases of 63.75% and 50.12%, respectively [2] Group 3: Sector Distribution - The stocks held by the Social Security Fund are primarily concentrated in the basic chemical, pharmaceutical, and electronics sectors, with 8, 7, and 5 stocks respectively [2] - The distribution includes 41 stocks from the main board, 8 from the ChiNext board, and 8 from the Sci-Tech Innovation board [2] Group 4: Detailed Stock List - A detailed list of stocks held by the Social Security Fund includes Changshu Bank, Huafa Shares, and Pengding Holdings, among others, with varying percentages of circulating shares [3][4][5] - The list highlights significant changes in holdings, such as increases and decreases in share quantities and percentages for various companies [3][4][5]

Core Viewpoint - Pengding Holdings, a leading global PCB company, has experienced significant revenue and profit growth driven by its strategic positioning in the AI sector and robust operational strategies [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%, with net profit around 1.2 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate exceeding 50% [1][2]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw remarkable growth, with revenue reaching 8.29 billion yuan, up 28.7%, and net profit soaring by 159.5% to 745 million yuan [2]. - The operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 4.277 billion yuan, marking a 53.3% increase year-on-year [2]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has leveraged its leadership in the FPC industry to capitalize on the AI edge computing trend, focusing on high-end HDI products for the server and optical module markets [1][6]. - Pengding Holdings has maintained a strong financial position, with a debt-to-asset ratio of only 29.24% and cash assets amounting to 13 billion yuan as of June 30, 2025 [1][6]. R&D and Product Development - The company is actively advancing its R&D and marketization processes, particularly in high-end products for AI servers and optical communications [1][6][7]. - As of June 30, 2025, Pengding Holdings had applied for 2,732 patents, with 1,525 patents granted [7]. Geographic Revenue Distribution - In the first half of 2025, revenue from the U.S. region was 13.08 billion yuan, accounting for 79.87% of total revenue [6]. - The company has consistently generated a significant portion of its revenue from overseas markets, particularly the U.S., with revenue from this region increasing from 20.6 billion yuan in 2020 to 28.88 billion yuan in 2024 [5][6]. Institutional Interest - As of August 12, 2025, 47 institutional investors held shares in Pengding Holdings, collectively owning 1.866 billion shares, which is 80.52% of the total share capital [3]. - The top ten institutional investors account for 79.91% of the holdings, including notable entities such as the Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and the National Social Security Fund [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price indicating a potential return of over 20% within the next six months [8][18]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 16.375 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 24.75%. In the second quarter of 2025, revenue reached 8.288 billion yuan, up 28.72% year-over-year and 2.49% quarter-over-quarter [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 was 1.233 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 57.22%, with a non-recurring net profit of 1.149 billion yuan, up 51.90% year-over-year [1][2]. - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, particularly in Thailand and Taiwan, to meet the growing demand in AI servers and automotive electronics [3][4]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 20.28% in Q2 2025, an increase of 4.81 percentage points year-over-year, and a net profit margin of 8.93%, up 4.47 percentage points year-over-year [2]. - Operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 4.277 billion yuan, reflecting a significant year-over-year improvement of 53.29% [2]. Product Segmentation - Revenue from communication boards, consumer electronics, and automotive/server boards showed significant growth, with automotive and server boards increasing by 87.42% and 261.27% year-over-year, respectively [2][3]. - The company is focusing on high-end AI products, with plans to increase capital expenditures to over 30 billion New Taiwan dollars in the next two years, targeting HDI and HLC products [3][4]. Market Positioning - The company is strategically positioning itself in high-growth sectors such as AI servers, optical communications, and automotive electronics, with ongoing collaborations for next-generation products [4][3]. - The company has developed advanced technologies for flexible printed circuits (FPC) and low-orbit satellite antennas, aiming to capture future market opportunities in satellite internet and robotics [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company has shown a significant increase in revenue and net profit, with a 24.75% year-over-year revenue growth to 16.375 billion and a 57.22% increase in net profit to 1.233 billion in the first half of 2025 [1] - The company is expanding its capital expenditure (CAPEX) to over 7 billion for 2025-2026, indicating strong confidence in future growth, particularly in high-end PCB markets [3] - The company is actively increasing its market share in various sectors, including AI computing and automotive applications, with notable revenue growth in these areas [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 16.375 billion (YoY +24.75%) and net profit of 1.233 billion (YoY +57.22%), with a gross margin of 19.07% and a net margin of 7.49% [1] - For 2Q25, revenue reached 8.288 billion (YoY +28.71%, QoQ +2.49%) and net profit was 745 million (YoY +159.55%, QoQ +52.59%) [1] Product Segments - Revenue from communication boards was 10.268 billion (YoY +17.62%) with a gross margin of 15.98%, while consumer electronics and computer boards generated 5.174 billion (YoY +31.63%) with a gross margin of 24.52% [2] - The company is a key supplier for foldable devices and wearable technology, leveraging advanced FPC module technology [2] CAPEX and Future Outlook - The company has revised its CAPEX guidance upwards, with ongoing projects in Thailand and Taiwan progressing well, and plans to increase high-end PCB production capacity [3] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, expecting net profits of 4.2 billion, 5.8 billion, and 7.3 billion respectively, with growth rates of 24%, 38%, and 26% [3]