CGN POWER(003816)
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中国广核:年报点评:核电装机规模增长,分红比例提升-20250331
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-03-31 08:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [3][15]. Core Views - The company achieved an operating revenue of 86.804 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.814 billion yuan, up 0.83% year-on-year [7][15]. - The company’s average on-grid electricity price in 2024 was 0.416 yuan per kilowatt-hour, a decrease of 1.57% year-on-year, while the average market transaction price was approximately 0.3869 yuan per kilowatt-hour, down 3.85% year-on-year [8][10]. - The company managed to increase its total power generation to approximately 242.181 billion kilowatt-hours, a growth of 6.08% compared to 2023 [8][10]. - The company plans to conduct 19 major overhauls in 2025, with a total overhaul duration of approximately 713 days in 2024, which is a reduction of about 207 days from 2023 [9][10]. - The company’s financing costs have decreased, and the cash dividend ratio has been continuously improved, with a proposed dividend of 4.797 billion yuan for 2024, raising the dividend ratio to 44.36% [14][15]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2024 was 86.804 billion yuan, with a net profit of 10.814 billion yuan, reflecting stable growth despite market price fluctuations [7][8]. - The company’s financial expenses decreased by 9.40% year-on-year to 5.133 billion yuan in 2024 [14]. Power Generation and Capacity - The company operates 28 nuclear power units with a total power generation of approximately 242.181 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a 6.08% increase from the previous year [8][10]. - The company’s total installed capacity reached 43.814 million kilowatts, accounting for 45.02% of the national total for operational and under-construction nuclear power units [13][10]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see net profits of 10.968 billion yuan, 11.688 billion yuan, and 13.215 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.22, 0.23, and 0.26 yuan [15][16]. - The company’s market transaction electricity volume is projected to increase, which may impact the average electricity price in 2025 [15].
中国广核(003816):年报点评:核电装机规模增长,分红比例提升
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-03-31 08:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a projected increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [33]. Core Views - The company achieved an operating revenue of 86.804 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.814 billion yuan, up 0.83% year-on-year [7][16]. - The average on-grid electricity price for the company in 2024 was 0.416 yuan per kilowatt-hour, a decrease of 1.57% compared to the previous year, while the average market transaction price fell by 3.85% to approximately 0.3869 yuan per kilowatt-hour [8][10]. - The company managed to increase its total power generation to approximately 242.181 billion kilowatt-hours, a growth of 6.08% year-on-year, with significant contributions from its subsidiaries [8][10]. - The company is in a phase of large-scale nuclear power station construction, with a total installed capacity of 43.814 million kilowatts, accounting for 45.02% of the national total [11][13]. - The company plans to increase its cash dividend to 4.797 billion yuan for 2024, raising the dividend payout ratio to 44.36% [14]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total operating revenue of 86.804 billion yuan for 2024, with a net profit of 10.814 billion yuan, reflecting stable growth despite market challenges [7][16]. - The company’s financial expenses decreased by 9.40% year-on-year to 5.133 billion yuan, aided by lower debt financing costs [14]. Market Position and Growth - The company’s nuclear power generation capacity is expected to grow, with new units coming online and ongoing projects in development [10][11]. - The company’s market share in the national on-grid electricity generation reached 54.38% in 2024, highlighting its significant role in the industry [10]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 10.968 billion yuan, 11.688 billion yuan, and 13.215 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.22, 0.23, and 0.26 yuan [15][16]. - The anticipated decline in market electricity prices in the Guangdong and Guangxi regions may impact the company’s average electricity price in 2025, but the overall power generation volume is expected to maintain an upward trend [15].
中国广核(003816):业绩增长稳健 机组持续扩容
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 06:38
事件: 03 月27 日,公司发布2024 年年度报告。公司2024 年实现营收868.04亿元,同比+5.16%,归母 净利润108.14 亿元,同比+0.83%。24Q4 单季度公司实现营业收入245.34 亿元,同比+8.05%,归母净利 润8.30 亿元,同比-18.98%。 2024 年公司向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利人民币 0.95 元(含税),预计现金分红总额约为 47.97 亿 元,占本年度净利润比例约为 44.36%;公司近年股利支付率逐步提升。 2024 年在建、在运、核准均有增量,核电成长性确定。2024 年,公司控股在建及在运机组容量分别为 731.8 万千瓦及2508.4 万千瓦,同比增长373 万千瓦及123 万千瓦。控股在建机组中,1 台处于设备安装 阶段(陆丰5 号机组,预期2027年投产),2 台处于土建施工阶段(分别为陆丰6 号机组以及陆丰1 号机 组,预期2028 年及2030 年投产),3 台处于FCD 准备阶段。从投产节奏来看,考虑公司控股、合营及 来自控股股东委托管理的在建机组投产规划,公司25-30 年新增机组分别为1(惠州1 号机组)、2(惠 州2 号机组 ...
中国广核(003816):2024年年报点评:业绩增长稳健,机组持续扩容
EBSCN· 2025-03-31 06:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a favorable outlook for investment returns over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 868.04 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.16%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 108.14 billion RMB, up by 0.83% [1]. - The company continues to expand its nuclear power capacity, with significant growth in both operational and under-construction units, ensuring stable growth prospects [3]. - The average on-grid electricity price for 2024 was 0.416 RMB/kWh, a decrease of 1.57% year-on-year, impacting overall revenue from the electricity segment [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 245.34 billion RMB, an increase of 8.05% year-on-year, but a net profit of 8.30 billion RMB, which is a decline of 18.98% [1]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.95 RMB per share, totaling approximately 47.97 billion RMB, which is about 44.36% of the net profit for the year [1]. Operational Highlights - The total on-grid electricity generated in 2024 was 1790.12 billion kWh, an increase of 7.15% year-on-year, with notable contributions from the newly operational units [2]. - The company has a robust pipeline of new nuclear projects, with a total of 731.8 MW under construction and 2508.4 MW in operation, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 373 MW and 123 MW respectively [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The report projects a decline in net profit for 2025 and 2026, with estimates of 107.57 billion RMB and 117.33 billion RMB respectively, while introducing a new estimate for 2027 at 120.10 billion RMB [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.21 RMB for 2025, 0.23 RMB for 2026, and 0.24 RMB for 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 17, 16, and 15 [4].
公用事业ETF(159301)逆市飘红,近1月新增规模位于可比基金首位
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 03:43
截至2025年3月31日11:19,中证全指公用事业指数(000995)上涨0.48%,成分股龙源电力上涨5.86%,大唐发电、华电国际、申能股份、国电电力等个股跟 涨。公用事业ETF(159301)跟随涨势,最新价报0.9元,盘中成交额已达230.79万元,暂居可比ETF首位,换手率3.66%。规模方面,公用事业ETF近1月规模 增长299.65万元,新增规模位居可比基金首位。 从估值层面来看,公用事业ETF跟踪的中证全指公用事业指数最新市盈率(PE-TTM)仅15.67倍,处于近1年5.14%的分位,即估值低于近1年94.86%以上的 时间,处于历史低位。 广发证券发布研报称,公用事业板块企稳与催化信号同步显现,煤价超预期下跌及水电蓄能释放推动火电、水电业绩预期反转,叠加高股息策略和市值管理 方案密集落地,板块配置价值凸显。 公用事业ETF(159301)紧密跟踪中证全指公用事业指数,选取50只涉及电力、环保、储能等领域的股票作为指数样本,按申万三级行业来看,前四大行业 分别为水力发电、火力发电、核力发电和风力发电,合计权重近78%,具备高分红与稳健成长属性,是较为典型的红利成长资产。 | 股票代码 | ...
绿色电力ETF(159625)连续9天净流入,最新规模、份额均创近1年新高!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-31 03:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive performance of the green power sector, with the Guozheng Green Power Index rising by 0.65% and several constituent stocks showing significant gains, such as Jiangsu Xinneng up by 6.12% and Longyuan Power up by 5.99% [1] - The latest scale of the Green Power ETF reached 330 million yuan, marking a one-year high, with the number of shares also reaching 299 million, indicating strong investor interest [2] - The Green Power ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past nine days, totaling 55.07 million yuan, with a single-day peak inflow of 15.56 million yuan, reflecting robust demand for green energy investments [2] Group 2 - The Guozheng Green Power Index's price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) stands at 17.34, which is in the lowest 0.4% of its historical range, suggesting that the index is undervalued compared to the past year [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Green Power Index account for 57.74% of the index, with major players including Changjiang Power and China Nuclear Power [2] - The recent joint issuance of the "Opinions on Promoting the High-Quality Development of the Renewable Energy Green Power Certificate Market" by five government departments is expected to enhance the long-term growth potential of the green certificate market and support the strategic transition of renewable energy in China [3]
中广核电力_2024 财年_收益持平且股息符合预期;2025 年停电天数可能减少
2025-03-31 02:41
Summary of CGN Power Co., Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: CGN Power Co., Ltd (1816.HK) - **Industry**: China Utilities - **Date of Call**: March 26, 2025 Key Points Financial Performance - **Earnings**: FY24 earnings remained flat, with a recurring earnings increase of 1% year-over-year, aligning with expectations [2][7] - **Dividend**: Dividend per share (DPS) announced at Rmb0.095, a 1% increase from Rmb0.094 in 2023, with a payout ratio of 44.4%, slightly lower than expectations [7] - **Revenue**: Total revenue for FY24 was Rmb86.8 billion, a 5% increase from Rmb82.5 billion in FY23 [7] - **Power Generation**: Increased by 6% year-over-year in 2024, capturing a 54.38% market share in China's nuclear power sector [7] Market Conditions - **Tariff Changes**: Anticipated declines in market tariffs in Guangdong (down Rmb0.06) and Guangxi (down Rmb0.10) are expected to negatively impact 2025 earnings. These provinces contributed 54% and 11% of revenue, respectively, in 2024 [3][7] - **Average Market Tariff**: Decreased by 3.85% year-over-year in 2024 [7] Operational Insights - **Overhauls**: CGN plans to conduct 19 overhauls in 2025, compared to 20 in 2024 [7] - **Outage Days**: The company expects fewer outage days in 2025, which may improve operational efficiency [2] Valuation and Outlook - **Price Target**: The price target is set at HK$3.19, indicating a potential upside of 25% from the current price [2] - **P/E Ratio**: A P/E multiple of 13x is applied to the 2025E EPS, reflecting a recovery in power tariff risks [11] Risks - **Upside Risks**: Include higher-than-expected utilization, upward adjustments of on-grid tariffs, and timely approvals of new projects [12] - **Downside Risks**: Include lower-than-expected utilization, downward adjustments of on-grid tariffs, and delays in new project commissioning [12] Additional Insights - **Market Share**: CGN Power holds a significant market share in the nuclear power sector, indicating strong competitive positioning [7] - **Analyst Ratings**: The stock is rated as "Overweight," suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the industry average [2] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call, highlighting CGN Power's financial performance, market conditions, operational strategies, and future outlook.
中广核电力发布2024年度业绩 年度上网电量2272亿千瓦时
Shen Zhen Shang Bao· 2025-03-29 18:36
Core Viewpoint - China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN Power) reported stable operational performance for 2024, with a focus on nuclear safety and maintaining a leading position in installed capacity in the domestic market [1][2]. Group 1: Operational Performance - In 2024, CGN Power achieved a total electricity generation of 227.28 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.13% [1][2]. - The company managed 28 operational units, maintaining a high operational safety standard, with over 86% of its units meeting advanced global standards set by the World Association of Nuclear Operators (WANO) [3]. - The installed capacity of operational and under-construction units exceeded 51.2 million kW, keeping CGN Power at the forefront of the domestic market [1][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - CGN Power reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 10.814 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.83%, while the net profit after excluding non-recurring items was RMB 10.713 billion, up 0.94% [2]. - The board proposed a cash dividend of RMB 0.095 per share, with a dividend payout ratio of 44.36%, continuing its commitment to a five-year dividend plan [2]. Group 3: Safety and Technology - The company emphasizes nuclear safety as a top priority, implementing a rigorous safety management system and conducting regular safety inspections at nuclear power bases [3]. - CGN Power's "Hualong One" technology continues to be optimized, with significant advancements in safety systems and innovative construction techniques being applied [4]. Group 4: Environmental Impact - In 2024, CGN Power's operations resulted in a reduction of approximately 6.891 million tons of standard coal consumption and a decrease of about 18.7 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions, equivalent to planting over 510,000 hectares of forest [5]. - The company is committed to talent development and creating a diverse workplace environment to support employee growth [5].
中国广核(003816):全年业绩微增,可转债获批助力装机成长
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-03-29 13:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported a slight increase in annual performance, with a total revenue of 86.804 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.16%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 10.814 billion yuan, a growth of 0.83% year-on-year [7] - The company is set to benefit from the approval of convertible bonds, which will support its growth in installed capacity. The planned issuance of convertible bonds aims to raise up to 4.9 billion yuan for the construction of the Guangdong Lufeng Nuclear Power Plant [7] - The company has a total of 16 nuclear power units under construction, with several units expected to be operational in the coming years, ensuring stable growth in performance [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 88.092 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 11.270 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 4.2% [6] - The average market electricity price decreased by 3.85% to 0.39 yuan per kilowatt-hour in 2024, impacting revenue growth [7] - The company’s financial expenses are expected to decrease due to lower interest rates, with a forecasted financial expense of 5.133 billion yuan in 2024, down by 5.33 billion yuan year-on-year [7]
中国广核(003816):2024年报点评:电量平稳增长,预计成长空间充足
Huachuang Securities· 2025-03-28 15:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) [1][9] Core Views - The company is expected to have sufficient growth potential in the long term, supported by stable power generation and a strong project pipeline [9] - Revenue for Q4 2024 reached 24.534 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.05%, while total revenue for 2024 was 86.804 billion, up 5.16% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 0.830 billion, a decrease of 18.98% year-on-year, with a total net profit of 10.814 billion for 2024, reflecting a growth of 0.83% [1] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the total installed capacity of the company was 31.798 GW, with total power generation of approximately 242.181 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 6.08% [2] - The total grid-connected power was about 227.284 billion kWh, also up 6.13% year-on-year [2] - The increase in costs, particularly in nuclear fuel, fixed asset depreciation, and provisions for spent fuel disposal, negatively impacted performance, with costs rising by 13.12%, 11.59%, and 17.43% respectively [2] Project Development - As of August 19, 2024, five nuclear power projects, including the Zhaoyuan Phase I and Lufeng Phase I projects, were approved, marking a significant step in project reserves [3] - The Huizhou Unit 1 is in the commissioning phase and is expected to be operational by 2025, while Cangnan Unit 1 and Huizhou Unit 2 are in equipment installation and commissioning stages, expected to be operational by 2026 [3] - By the end of 2024, the company had eight nuclear power units under construction with a total capacity of 9,738 MW, a year-on-year increase of 62.08% [3] Financial Projections - The financial forecast for 2024A to 2027E shows total revenue increasing from 86.804 billion in 2024 to 106.097 billion in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 5.2%, 4.2%, 7.7%, and 8.9% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 10.814 billion in 2024 to 12.175 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 0.8%, 0.4%, 4.8%, and 7.0% respectively [4] - The target price is set at 4.3 yuan, with an expected upside of approximately 18% from the current price of 3.64 yuan [4][9]