It's the first week of February, and most Americans have recovered from the holiday hangover and stopped mistakenly writing the year 2025 in dates. While we are ready to turn the page on a rollercoaster 2025 and move on to 2026, some of the negative economic trends from last year appear to be spilling over into the new year. U.S.-based employers announced 71,321 job cuts in November, according to outplacement consultancy firm Challenger, Gray, & Christmas. The number for November 2025 was 24% higher th ...

亚马逊表示，预计 2026 年全公司的资本支出约为2000 亿美元，而 2025 年这一数字约为 1310 亿美元。 亚马逊对第一季度营业利润的预测为 165 亿至 215 亿美元，这一结果令人失望，低于分析师预测的 220.4 亿美元。 过去几天的科技公司财报显示，华尔街向科技企业传达了一个明确的信息：只有当公司展现出相应的运 营或财务回报时，人工智能领域的巨额支出才能继续下去。 亚马逊公司周四表示，预计今年的资本支出将大幅增长逾50%，加入了大举投资以构建人工智能基础设 施的同行之列。其股价在盘后交易中大跌了近10%。 这是最新的迹象，表明大型科技公司短期内不会放缓在AI领域的巨额投资步伐。在常规交易时段，亚 马逊的股价下跌了 4.4%，因为人们对AI热潮所带来的巨大成本愈发感到担忧。 美国排名前四的超大型科技公司——亚马逊、微软、Alphabet和Meta——今年的总支出预计将超过 6300 亿美元。 亚马逊还发布了其第一季度的盈利目标区间，该区间的下限比分析师的预期低四分之一。这一预测中包 含了约 10 亿美元与其高速互联网业务Leo相关的额外成本，以及在快速电子商务领域和其国际门店业 务中提高价格所 ...

亚马逊称，计划中的2000亿美元资本支出将主要用于AWS。 ...

Group 1 - U.S. stock indices fell over 1.2%, with AMD and Qualcomm dropping more than 8%, while the Chinese concept index rose by 0.9% [1] - Bitcoin dropped below $65,000 [1] - Silver prices plummeted by 19.5%, and gold fell by 4% [1] - U.S. crude oil futures closed down over 2.8%, at $63.29 per barrel [1] - UBS and Goldman Sachs warned about volatility and liquidity issues in the silver market [1] - HP and Dell are reportedly researching the use of mainland China's memory chips [1] - South Korean stocks fell by 3.86%, with foreign investors recording a record high net sell-off [1] - JPMorgan stated that strong demand from central banks could push gold prices to $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026 [1] - In January, the number of layoffs by Challenger companies in the U.S. rose to 108,000, the highest for the same period since 2009 [1] - Nvidia delayed the release of new gaming chips due to a shortage of memory chips [1] - Amazon's stock dropped by 11% after hours, with expected annual capital expenditures of approximately $200 billion [1] Group 2 - Meituan plans to acquire Dingdong for $717 million [2] - Multiple foreign institutions continue to increase their investment willingness in China [2] - China Telecom and China Unicom have initiated trial commercial use of Beidou SMS [2] - AUX announced a price increase of 6%-10% for all central air conditioning products starting March 1 [2] - Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported that the amount raised from IPOs in January was HKD 39.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 555% [2] - The silicon industry association indicated that the silicon wafer market is expected to remain stable due to adjustments in battery production and expectations of declining silicon prices [2] - NIO expects adjusted operating profit to be between 700 million and 1.2 billion yuan in Q4 2025 [2] - The Bank of England maintained its current policy as expected [2] - Muyuan Foods saw a 1.9% increase in dark trading, earning HKD 74 per lot [2] - Dazhu CNC experienced a 21.71% increase in dark trading, earning HKD 2,080 per lot [2] Group 3 - Hong Kong stocks of Zhuozheng Medical, Dazhu CNC, and Muyuan Foods were listed [3] - Significant accumulation of Tencent shares occurred, with southbound funds net buying a total of HKD 11 billion over four consecutive days [3] - Announcement highlights include Revotek planning a 1 billion yuan investment in a synthetic biology manufacturing project in Xinjiang, and GCL-Poly has not yet received relevant orders in the "space photovoltaic" sector [3] - In A-shares, Beiliang's major shareholder Ma Xuejun is under investigation by the CSRC for alleged market manipulation [3]

这一次并不存在单一的触发因素，不像去年4月那样。相反，一连串缓慢累积的消息不断敲响警钟，引 发市场对资产估值的焦虑，而许多人早已怀疑这些估值涨得过高，并最终导致投资者几乎同时选择撤 退。 软件类股票延续跌势，人工智能公司Anthropic推出了一款旨在执行金融研究的新模型，凸显出新技术带来的 竞争威胁。 此前与黄金一道创下历史新高的白银价格暴跌17%。 比特币单日暴跌10%，抹去了自特朗普15个月前赢得大选以来的全部涨幅，原因是投资者开始平掉通过借钱 融资、但已出现亏损的交易。 美国国债则反弹，再次发挥"最后避风港"的传统角色。 谷歌母公司Alphabet尽管其营收超出预期，但在公布雄心勃勃的支出计划后，股价仍承压下行。 从科技股到黄金再到加密货币，此前每天都在被资金蜂拥追逐的华尔街各类最热门交易，如今全面转 向突然的避险退潮。 这一次并不存在单一的触发因素，不像去年4月那样，由于美国总统特朗普发动贸易战，市场陷入恐 慌性暴跌。相反，一连串缓慢累积的消息不断敲响警钟，引发市场对资产估值的焦虑，而许多人早已 怀疑这些估值涨得过高，并最终导致投资者几乎同时选择撤退。 周四的市场走势再次印证了这一点： 标普500下 ...

Core Viewpoint - Amazon's Q4 revenue growth of 14% year-on-year exceeded analyst expectations by nearly 9%, with AWS revenue growing 24%, marking the highest growth rate in over three years [1][9][3] Revenue and Profitability - Q4 net sales reached $213.39 billion, up 14% year-on-year, surpassing analyst expectations of $211.49 billion [9] - AWS revenue for Q4 was $35.58 billion, a 24% increase year-on-year, exceeding expectations of $34.88 billion [9] - Operating profit for AWS was $12.47 billion, a 17.3% increase year-on-year, with an operating margin of 35.0%, slightly below the previous year's 36.9% [9][12] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - Free cash flow dropped over 70% to $11.2 billion from $38.2 billion year-on-year, primarily due to a 59% increase in capital expenditures to $131.8 billion [16][15] - Amazon's capital expenditure guidance for 2026 is approximately $200 billion, a 50% increase from 2025, and 36.9% higher than Wall Street's expectation of $146.1 billion [3][5] Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment - Despite strong revenue growth, Amazon's stock price fell significantly post-earnings report, reflecting investor concerns over high capital expenditures and uncertain returns from AI investments [7][12] - The market's focus has shifted from AWS's growth potential to the sustainability of profit margins amid high investment cycles [12][17] Guidance for Q1 2026 - Amazon expects Q1 revenue to be between $173.5 billion and $178.5 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 11%-15% [18] - Operating profit guidance for Q1 is between $16.5 billion and $21.5 billion, with a potential year-on-year decline of 10.3% at the low end [19] Advertising and Retail Performance - Advertising revenue for Q4 was $21.32 billion, a 22% increase year-on-year, providing a stable profit source amid heavy investments in other areas [25] - North American retail revenue grew 10% to $127.08 billion, with operating profit increasing 23.9% to $11.47 billion, indicating a recovery in profit margins [27][30] - International business revenue grew 17% to $50.72 billion, but operating profit fell 21.2%, highlighting challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [29][30]

Core Insights - Amazon Web Services (AWS) achieved its strongest quarterly growth rate in over three years, with a revenue of $35.6 billion in Q4 2025, representing a 24% year-on-year increase and the largest growth rate in 13 quarters [2][3] Revenue and Financial Performance - AWS's annual revenue run rate is $142 billion, with operating income rising to $12.5 billion in Q4 2025 from $10.6 billion in Q4 2024 [2] - AWS contributed 16.6% to Amazon's overall revenue of $213.4 billion in Q4 [7] Competitive Positioning - CEO Andy Jassy highlighted that AWS's 24% growth on a $142 billion run rate is more significant than competitors' higher percentage growth on smaller bases, emphasizing AWS's leadership in incremental revenue and capacity [3] - AWS has secured new agreements with major companies and government entities, including Salesforce, BlackRock, Perplexity, and the U.S. Air Force, which fueled the fourth-quarter growth [3] Market Trends and Customer Demand - A significant portion of AWS's business comes from enterprises transitioning from on-premise infrastructure to the cloud, alongside a boost from the AI sector due to AWS's comprehensive AI stack functionality [5][7] - AWS is seeing increased demand as customers run large AI workloads, which contributes to expanding their core AWS footprint [7] Infrastructure Expansion - In Q4, AWS added over a gigawatt of power to its data center network, indicating ongoing infrastructure growth [4]

Core Insights - Amazon reported quarterly earnings of $1.95 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.98 per share, but showing an increase from $1.86 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -1.52% [1] - The company posted revenues of $213.39 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.91% and increasing from $187.79 billion year-over-year [2] - Amazon has outperformed the S&P 500 with a year-to-date gain of about 0.9% compared to the S&P 500's gain of 0.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.71 on revenues of $175.47 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.90 on revenues of $797 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Amazon was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Internet - Commerce industry, to which Amazon belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 32% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the overall industry outlook may impact Amazon's stock performance [8] - Another company in the same industry, Fiverr International, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.76 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +18.8%, with revenues projected at $108.71 million, up 4.9% from the previous year [9][10]

标题点睛 当地时间2月5日，美股三大指数集体收跌，道指跌1.2%，纳指跌1.59%，标普500指数跌1.23%，热门科技股普跌，超微电脑、高通跌超8%，微软跌近 5%，亚马逊跌超4%，AMD跌超3%，特斯拉跌超2%，英伟达跌超1%。 国际贵金属大幅走低，截至发稿时，现货黄金跌4.11%，报4766.2美元/盎司；COMEX黄金期货跌3.37%，报4787.3美元/盎司。现货白银失守71美元/盎 司，跌幅达20.05%，报70.91美元/盎司；COMEX白银期货跌15.2%，报71.6美元/盎司。 每经记者｜陈晴 每经编辑｜金冥羽 胡玲 王晓波 比特币重挫，截至发稿时跌破6.5万美元，报6.37万美元。与此同时，以太坊也跌超15%至1846美元，创去年5月以来低点。 阿曼当地时间6日凌晨，伊朗外交部长阿拉格齐率领的代表团抵达阿曼首都马斯喀特，将出席当天与美国代表团举行的核问题谈判。据悉，代表团成员还 包括伊朗外交部政治事务副部长拉万奇、法律与国际事务副部长加里巴巴迪以及外交部发言人巴加埃等多名外交官。一名谈判代表团成员表示，本轮对话 的重点将仅限于核问题，媒体关于其他潜在议题的各种猜测均不属实，也无法得到确认。 ...

每经编辑｜杜宇 当地时间2月5日，美股三大指数集体收跌，道指下跌592.58点，跌幅1.20%；纳指跌1.59%；标普500指数跌1.23%。 热门科技股普跌，超微电脑、高通跌超8%，亚马逊跌超4%，AMD跌超3%，特斯拉跌超2%，英伟达跌超1%。 微软跌4.95%，市值一夜蒸发1524亿美元（约合人民币10573亿元）。 | 微软 | | | --- | --- | | MSFT us 空 | | | 408.300 昨收 414.190 量比 0.98 393.670 - | | | 392.330 市值 2.92万亿 换 0.90% | | | -20.520 -4.95% 开 407.440 市盈™ 24.51 额 262.24亿 | | | 异动解读：评级下调+云业务增长放缓+软件... ● × 1.7 16. | | | 盘后 391.070 - -2.600 -- -0.66% 0 0 17:12 美东时间 | | | 盘中 × 1 日Ｋ × 周Ｋ × 月Ｋ × 五日 × | 更多▼ | | 时间05:00 均价:398.905 最新393.670 涨幅-4.954% | | | 436.050 ...