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阿斯麦 ASML:火热的英伟达,“暖不热” 清冷的光刻机?
海豚投研· 2025-07-16 09:13
Core Viewpoint - ASML reported strong Q2 2025 results with revenue and gross margin exceeding market expectations, but concerns remain regarding future orders and guidance adjustments [1][7][9]. Financial Performance - Revenue for Q2 2025 was €7.7 billion, a 23.2% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations of €7.5 billion [1]. - Gross margin reached 53.7%, exceeding the company's guidance of 50-52%, driven by an increase in service revenue and lower-than-expected tariff impacts [1]. - Net profit for the quarter was €2.3 billion, a 45% year-over-year increase, resulting in a net profit margin of 30% [1][6]. Business Segments - Lithography system revenue was €5.6 billion, up 17.5% year-over-year, while service revenue was €2.1 billion, up 41.4% [1]. - EUV and ArFi systems accounted for nearly 91% of lithography system revenue, with EUV revenue around €2.5 billion and ArFi revenue approximately €2.3 billion [2][3]. Regional Performance - Taiwan was the largest revenue contributor, accounting for 35% of total revenue, approximately €2.7 billion, followed by mainland China at 27%, contributing around €2.1 billion [4]. Order Metrics - Net order intake rose to €5.54 billion, a 41% quarter-over-quarter increase, indicating a recovery in customer sentiment [4][7]. - The company’s order performance exceeded market expectations, which were set between €4.5 billion and €4.8 billion [7]. Future Guidance - For Q3 2025, ASML expects revenue between €7.4 billion and €7.9 billion, below market expectations of €8.2 billion [5][9]. - The full-year revenue guidance was adjusted to approximately €32.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of around 15%, indicating potential revenue decline in Q4 [9][10]. Market Concerns - Despite positive quarterly results, market concerns persist regarding tariff uncertainties, budget constraints from major clients like Samsung and Intel, and potential risks in the Chinese market [10][11]. - The overall sentiment suggests that while ASML remains a leader in the EUV market, short-term challenges could impact stock performance [10].
光刻机巨头阿斯麦业绩超预期,但股价暴跌6%,CEO对2026年增长前景表态谨慎
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-07-16 08:44
7月16日欧洲股市开盘表现疲弱,主要指数集体下跌。欧洲斯托克50指数下跌0.53%,德国DAX指数跌 幅为0.33%,英国富时100指数微跌0.05%。 荷兰光刻机巨头阿斯麦在欧洲市场大幅下挫,跌幅接近6%。这一下跌主要源于公司首席执行官对2026 年增长前景的表态发生变化。 据悉,阿斯麦刚刚发布了2025年第二季度财报。公司第二季度实现净销售额77亿欧元,毛利率达到 53.7%,净利润为23亿欧元。这些数据均位于公司业绩指引的上端,超出市场预期。 作者:观察君 阿斯麦预计第三季度净销售额将在74亿至79亿欧元之间,毛利率介于50%至52%。公司维持2025年全年 净销售额同比增长约15%的预期,毛利率约为52%。 尽管业绩表现强劲,首席执行官傅恪礼对未来前景保持谨慎态度。他表示,人工智能仍是逻辑芯片和存 储芯片领域的主要增长驱动力,预计客户的AI需求在2026年仍将保持强劲。 然而,傅恪礼同时指出,宏观经济和地缘政治发展带来的不确定性正在增加。他表示,虽然公司仍在为 2026年的增长做准备,但现阶段还无法确定能否实现增长目标。 这一表态引发了投资者对阿斯麦中长期增长前景的担忧,导致股价在欧洲市场出现大幅下跌 ...
阿斯麦首席财务官:放宽AI芯片管制将提振需求
news flash· 2025-07-16 08:29
Core Viewpoint - The CFO of ASML, Roger Dassen, indicated that the potential lifting of restrictions on certain AI processors by Washington would be beneficial for chip demand [1] Group 1: Company Insights - ASML produces the world's most advanced chip manufacturing machines and stands to benefit from increased demand if sales restrictions are lifted [1] - The company has retracted its previous growth forecast for next year, citing tariff risks as a key uncertainty [1] Group 2: Industry Context - NVIDIA announced that it received assurances from the U.S. government allowing the export of previously banned chips, which may influence market dynamics [1] - AMD, a major competitor of NVIDIA, also released a similar statement regarding the lifting of restrictions [1] - Trade disputes and global tensions have pressured sales for ASML [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-16 08:17
ASML's CFO says it will be "positive for chip demand" if Washington lifts restrictions on some AI processors https://t.co/y0o1vBhRf0 ...
企业财报令人失望,欧洲股市连跌四日
news flash· 2025-07-16 07:54
金十数据7月16日讯,欧洲股市连跌四日,欧洲斯托克600指数创下一个月来最长连跌记录,原因是包括 阿斯麦和雷诺在内的一系列财报令人失望。雷诺一度暴跌16%,为五年多来最大跌幅,原因是公司下调 了今年的利润率预期。受贸易争端影响,阿斯麦下调了明年的增长预期,股价下跌6.7%。由于数据显 示通胀意外升至去年1月以来最高水平后英镑走强,出口权重较大的英国富时100指数表现优于欧洲整体 基准指数。现在的焦点是企业财报季能否刺激股市进一步上涨。数据显示,分析师预计MSCI欧洲公司 第二季度利润将下降4.8%。Panmure Liberum策略师Susana Cruz表示,预计公司盈利将更令人失望。"对 于某些行业,如消费品、医疗保健和资源,悲观情绪可能已经被消化,但如果市场进一步走弱,我们认 为下行风险将十分显著。" 企业财报令人失望,欧洲股市连跌四日 ...
ASML:预计中国大陆市场的营收占比将超过25%
news flash· 2025-07-16 07:08
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that ASML's CEO indicates that the revenue share from the Chinese mainland market is expected to exceed 25% [1] - Artificial intelligence remains the main growth driver in the logic and memory chip sectors [1] - The logic chip market is projected to grow compared to 2024 as customers are increasing production capacity for advanced process chips [1] Group 2 - The memory chip market remains strong, with customers continuing to invest in the latest high bandwidth memory (HBM) and fifth-generation double data rate random access memory (DDR5) products [1] - The expected revenue share from the Chinese mainland aligns with the current status of undelivered orders [1]
阿斯麦欧股大跌近6%,因公司对2026年增长发出警示。
news flash· 2025-07-16 07:08
阿斯麦欧股大跌近6%,因公司对2026年增长发出警示。 ...
欧股集体低开 阿斯麦欧股大跌近6%
news flash· 2025-07-16 07:07
欧股集体低开 阿斯麦欧股大跌近6% 智通财经7月16日电,欧股集体低开,欧洲斯托克50指数跌0.53%,德国DAX指数跌0.33%,英国富时 100指数跌0.05%。阿斯麦欧股大跌近6%,因首席执行官对2026年增长前景态度转变。 ...
阿斯麦Q2订单额55.4亿欧元超预期,环比增长41%,管理层警告2026年增长或无法实现
硬AI· 2025-07-16 07:01
Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of ASML in Q2 is driven by AI investments, with total revenue reaching €7.7 billion and net profit at €2.3 billion, both at the upper end of guidance. However, management warns of increasing uncertainties due to macroeconomic and geopolitical developments, which may hinder growth in 2026 [1][2][7]. Financial Performance - Q2 net sales amounted to €7.69 billion, exceeding market expectations of €7.51 billion [3]. - Q2 net profit was €2.29 billion, surpassing the market forecast of €2.05 billion [4]. - The order intake for Q2 was €5.54 billion, a 41% increase quarter-over-quarter, with EUV equipment orders at €2.3 billion [5]. - Gross margin reached 53.7%, exceeding expectations, primarily due to high-margin upgrade business and one-time cost reductions [6]. Future Outlook - Despite strong order performance, ASML's management remains cautious about future growth prospects. The CEO indicated that while the fundamentals for AI customers will remain strong in 2026, uncertainties from macroeconomic and geopolitical factors are increasing [7]. - The company expects Q3 net sales to be between €7.4 billion and €7.9 billion, with a gross margin between 50% and 52% [11]. - For the full year 2025, ASML anticipates a revenue growth of approximately 15% and a gross margin of around 52% [12]. Shareholder Returns - ASML announced an interim dividend of €1.60 per share and executed a share buyback of approximately €1.4 billion in Q2 [13].
ASML 公布 2025Q2 业绩:净营收约 77 亿欧元、环比基本持平
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 07:01
Core Insights - ASML reported a slight decline in net sales for Q2 2025, achieving €7.692 billion, which is a 0.646% decrease from Q1 2025 but a 23.21% increase year-over-year [1] - The company’s net income for Q2 was €2.29 billion, reflecting a 2.76% decrease quarter-over-quarter, with a total of 67 new lithography systems and 9 used systems sold [1] - The net order value increased from €3.936 billion to €5.541 billion, indicating strong demand for ASML's products [1] Financial Performance - Total net sales for Q2 reached €7 billion, aligning with the upper limit of the guidance [3] - Gross margin was reported at 53.7%, exceeding expectations due to growth in upgrade business and reduced costs from one-time expenditures [3] - For Q3, ASML anticipates total net sales between €7.4 billion and €7.9 billion, with a gross margin forecast of 50% to 52% [3] Product Development - The introduction of the TWINSCAN NXE:3800E has strengthened the trend of increasing lithography intensity, particularly in the DRAM sector [3] - The company delivered its first TWINSCAN EXE:5200B system, marking progress in EUV applications, including High NA technology [3][4] Future Outlook - ASML sees strong fundamentals for AI customers, although there is increasing uncertainty from macroeconomic and geopolitical developments [3] - The company is preparing for growth in 2026 but cannot confirm specifics at this stage [3] - For the full year 2025, ASML expects total sales to grow by 15% with a gross margin around 52% [3]