Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates an optimistic outlook for Bilibili, with an upgrade in non-GAAP net profit forecasts and a "Buy" rating for its US stock, driven by strong revenue growth and effective cost control [1]. Financial Performance - Bilibili's revenue in Q3 increased by 5% year-on-year, meeting expectations [1]. - Non-GAAP operating profit and net profit exceeded expectations by 6% and 22%, respectively, attributed to better-than-expected cost control and efficiency improvements driven by AI [1]. Advertising and Gaming Segments - The advertising business is expected to perform strongly, with projected year-on-year revenue growth of 22% in Q4 and 19% in the following year, supported by rich content and a young user base [1]. - The gaming segment is anticipated to recover sequentially due to new popular products [1]. Long-term Outlook - The company is viewed positively for its ability to operate classic products and adapt to the preferences of younger users [1]. - The forecast for revenue growth is set at 13% and 9% for the next two years, with non-GAAP net profits expected to reach 2.5 billion and 3.5 billion yuan, respectively [1]. Investment Rating - China Merchants Securities International has assigned a "Buy" rating for Bilibili's US stock with a target price of $30 and a target price of 234 HKD for its H-shares [1].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a decline, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.80%, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.19%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down 0.79%. However, the technology sector remains a key focus driven by AI developments, with potential benefits from improved US-China relations and a reduction in profit expectation disturbances from the internet delivery platform subsidy wars [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market's half-day trading volume reached HKD 118.468 billion [1]. - Notable declines in the technology sector include Xiaopeng Motors down 2.99%, Baidu Group down 2.82%, and Bilibili down 2.68% [1]. - Conversely, Hua Hong Semiconductor rose by 1.75% and SMIC increased by 0.41% [1]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The AI-driven narrative in the Hong Kong stock market is expected to gradually reflect in domestic markets, enhancing risk appetite due to stabilizing US-China relations [1]. - The leading technology companies in Hong Kong are positioned to benefit from the AI industry transformation, with an upward trend in the AI industry cycle further confirming their relative advantages [1]. Group 3: Related ETFs - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101) covers the entire technology industry chain [2]. - The Hang Seng Internet ETF (513330) focuses on leading internet companies [2].

Core Viewpoint - Bilibili has stabilized its profitability expectations and returned to an expansion cycle, with significant growth in revenue and net profit in Q3 2025, indicating strong operational efficiency and user engagement [5][9]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Bilibili's revenue increased by 5% year-on-year to 7.69 billion yuan, achieving profitability for five consecutive quarters, with a net profit of 470 million yuan compared to a net loss of 79.8 million yuan in the same period last year [5][7]. - Adjusted net profit surged by 233% year-on-year to 786 million yuan, marking a historical high, with an adjusted net profit margin of 10.2%, up from 3.2% in Q3 2024 [7][11]. - Gross profit rose by 11% to 2.82 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 36.7%, continuing a trend of growth for 13 consecutive quarters [7][11]. User Engagement and Community Growth - Bilibili's monthly active users (MAU) increased by 8% year-on-year to 376 million, while daily active users (DAU) grew by 9% to 117 million, indicating a high level of community engagement [14][16]. - The average daily usage time per user reached 112 minutes, an increase of 6 minutes year-on-year, reflecting the platform's content attractiveness [16][19]. - The number of paying users increased by 17% year-on-year to 35 million, with significant growth in live streaming and premium membership subscriptions [13][14]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from value-added services, advertising, gaming, and IP derivatives accounted for 39%, 33%, 20%, and 8% of total revenue, respectively [11][23]. - Value-added services revenue grew by 7% year-on-year to 3.02 billion yuan, driven by the younger generation's willingness to pay for content [13][19]. - Advertising revenue increased by 23% year-on-year to 2.57 billion yuan, benefiting from optimized ad products and improved ad effectiveness [17][19]. Gaming Business Insights - Bilibili's gaming revenue decreased by 17% year-on-year to 1.51 billion yuan, primarily due to a high base from the previous year [23][25]. - The company is focusing on long-term game operations, with successful titles like "Fate/Grand Order" and "Blue Archive" contributing stable income [25][29]. - New game launches, such as "Three Kingdoms: Hundred Generals Card," are expected to enhance Bilibili's gaming portfolio and user engagement [25][28]. Advertising Strategy and Market Position - Bilibili is enhancing its advertising strategy by focusing on vertical industry budgets, with significant growth in sectors like digital home appliances and education [19][20]. - The company is leveraging AI technology to improve ad targeting and efficiency, with AI-related ad revenue growing by nearly 90% [19][20]. - Bilibili's market share in advertising is steadily increasing, with a 30% growth in ad revenue during the Double Eleven shopping festival [19][21].

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for Bilibili-W (09626, BILI.US) from HKD 234 to HKD 240, an increase of 2.6%, and from USD 30 to USD 30.8, an increase of 2.7%, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Bilibili's Q3 performance and management's comments during the non-deal roadshow (NDR) reaffirm Goldman Sachs' investment thesis [1] - The company is maintaining a high-quality content community with strong user engagement [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profit Expectations - Goldman Sachs has adjusted Bilibili's revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 0%-1%, reflecting better-than-expected advertising and other revenues [1] - The non-GAAP net profit forecast for 2025 has been increased by 5% [1] Group 3: Growth Potential - Bilibili is leveraging higher advertising conversion rates and AI technology for traffic monetization [1] - The new gaming projects have significant growth potential through 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for Bilibili-W (09626, BILI.US) by 2.6% to HKD 240 and by 2.7% to USD 30.8, maintaining a "Buy" investment rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Bilibili's Q3 performance and management comments during the non-deal roadshow (NDR) reaffirm Goldman Sachs' investment thesis [1] - Revenue forecasts for Bilibili from 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 0%-1%, reflecting better-than-expected advertising and other income [1] - The non-GAAP net profit forecast for 2025 has been raised by 5% [1] Group 2: Business Strategy and Growth Potential - Bilibili is maintaining a high-quality content community with strong user engagement [1] - The company is leveraging higher advertising conversion rates and artificial intelligence (AI) technology for traffic monetization [1] - New gaming projects are expected to offer significant growth potential until 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bilibili's Q3 performance shows steady growth, with a 5% year-on-year revenue increase meeting expectations, and advertising revenue up 23%, exceeding forecasts by 2% [1] Revenue Performance - The company is projected to achieve Q4 revenue of 15 billion, with annual revenues of 64 billion for both this year and the next [1] - Advertising revenue is expected to reach 29 billion in Q4, with annual forecasts of 99 billion and 118 billion for the next two years [1] Gaming Business Outlook - A rebound in the gaming sector is anticipated by the second half of next year, with the flagship game "Three Kingdoms: Strategy" performing as expected and planned for an overseas release in H2 2026 [1] - The game "Escape from Duckkov" has been well-received since its October launch, with plans for PC and mobile adaptations underway [1] Profitability Forecast - The company maintains its revenue forecast for 2025 and has raised its non-GAAP net profit estimate by 4% [1] - The target price for Bilibili's US stock is set at $23, with an "outperform" rating [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a slight decline, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 0.5% on November 17, 2023 [1] - Major ETFs, particularly the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180), followed the index's downward trend, with leading stocks like Trip.com, Lenovo, Baidu, and BYD Electronics underperforming, while Hua Hong Semiconductor, SMIC, and Alibaba showed gains [1] - A number of technology companies, including Baidu, Xiaomi, Kuaishou, Netease, and Xpeng Motors, are set to release their latest financial results this week, with key earnings announcements scheduled for November 17 and 18 [1] Group 2 - According to Minsheng Securities, the recent earnings reports from leading internet companies like Tencent and Bilibili exceeded market expectations, and there is a recommendation to focus on the upcoming financial results from Xiaomi, Trip.com, Kuaishou, and Netease [1] - The report highlights a positive outlook on the revaluation of AI in China, suggesting attention to platform-based internet companies with synergistic advantages in computing resources, model capabilities, and application scenarios, such as Tencent, Kuaishou, Alibaba, Xiaomi, Baidu, and Meituan [1] - As of November 14, the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) had a latest valuation (PETTM) of 22.47 times, which is lower than other major global tech indices, indicating that the index remains in a historically undervalued range [2]

Summary of Bilibili Inc. (BILI) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Bilibili Inc. (BILI) - **Market Cap**: $11.0 billion - **Enterprise Value**: $8.8 billion - **Industry**: Games, Entertainment & Healthcare Tech Key Points Financial Performance - **3Q25 Results**: Bilibili's results indicate solid user engagement and advertising strength, maintaining a quality content community with strong user engagement [1][2] - **Revenue Estimates**: Revised revenue estimates for 2025E and 2026E increased by 1% to Rmb 30,162.6 million and Rmb 33,406.2 million respectively [20][21] - **EBITDA Growth**: Projected EBITDA for 2025E is Rmb 4,687.3 million, with significant growth expected in subsequent years [6][12] - **EPS Forecast**: Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be Rmb 6.05 in 2025E, up from a loss of Rmb 0.05 in 2024 [12][21] Advertising Growth - **Advertising Revenue**: Bilibili's advertising revenue is projected to grow significantly, with a 28% increase expected in 2025E [22][24] - **eCPM Growth**: The effective cost per mille (eCPM) has shown an upward trajectory, with a 16% year-over-year increase in 3Q25 [3][28] - **Ad Load**: Current ad load is at 7%, with potential for increase as it remains lower than peers [3][28] User Engagement and Community - **User Demographics**: Over 75% of new users are under 22 years old, indicating a strong appeal to younger demographics [27] - **Content Quality**: The community ecosystem supports high-quality user-generated content (UGC), with diversified monetization methods for creators [27][28] - **Traffic Growth**: Bilibili is focusing on video podcasts, contributing to user traffic growth [27] Gaming Strategy - **Upcoming Game Releases**: The planned launch of "Sanguo: Ncard" in 1Q26 is expected to drive gaming revenue growth in 2026E [2][19] - **Seasonality Effects**: The gaming strategy includes seasonal launches, with two planned for 1Q26, which may impact revenue [28] - **Game Selection**: Management emphasized the importance of selecting games that cater to a young audience and have long-term operational potential [26][28] Margin and Capital Allocation - **Operating Margin Target**: Bilibili aims for a mid-term operating margin of 15% to 20%, supported by operating leverage and disciplined cost management [2][28] - **R&D Investment**: Increased R&D expenses are anticipated due to investments in self-developed games and AI initiatives [20][28] Market Position - **Competitive Landscape**: Bilibili's advertising growth is one of the fastest among peers, with a focus on diversifying its revenue streams [2][3] - **Market Share**: Bilibili's advertising revenue is projected to reach Rmb 9,939 million in 2025, positioning it favorably within the Chinese media landscape [22][24] Additional Insights - **Management's Confidence**: Management remains optimistic about the company's growth trajectory, particularly in advertising and gaming sectors [1][2] - **Community Engagement**: The emphasis on community and content quality is seen as a key driver for future growth [27][28] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from Bilibili's recent conference call, highlighting the company's financial performance, advertising growth, user engagement, gaming strategy, and market position.

Core Viewpoint - Bilibili's Q3 total revenue increased by 5% year-on-year, reaching 7.69 billion yuan, aligning with market consensus expectations [1] Revenue Performance - Adjusted operating income for Bilibili was 688 million yuan, surpassing the 272 million yuan from the same period in 2024 and exceeding market expectations by 6% due to effective control of sales and marketing expenses [1] Future Outlook - For Q4, the forecast indicates a continued 5% year-on-year revenue growth, primarily driven by strong advertising business [1] - The company is expected to see a 1 percentage point increase in gross margin quarter-on-quarter due to operational leverage and cost control [1] Revenue Forecast Adjustment - The revenue forecast for Bilibili for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 has been raised by 0% to 3%, reflecting solid advertising performance and better-than-expected results from games like "Escape from Duckkov" [1] Valuation Update - The valuation window has been extended to the fiscal year 2026, with the target price based on the sum-of-the-parts valuation method slightly increased from $30 to $31, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bilibili (Nasdaq: BILI, 09626.HK) continues to show strong performance across multiple business segments, achieving profitability and significant user growth in Q3 2025 [1][2][5] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Bilibili reported total net revenue of 7.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5% [2] - The company achieved a net profit of 469 million yuan, compared to a net loss of 79.8 million yuan in the same period last year, marking a successful turnaround [2][3] - Adjusted net profit reached 786 million yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 233% [2] - Cash and cash equivalents stood at 12.101 billion yuan, up 18.07% year-on-year, indicating strong financial health [2] Business Segments - Revenue from value-added services reached 3.02 billion yuan, a 7% increase, driven by growth in paid memberships and other services [2] - Advertising revenue surged to 2.57 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 23%, attributed to improved advertising infrastructure and product offerings [2][3] - Mobile gaming revenue declined by 17% to 1.51 billion yuan, primarily due to high performance in the previous year from a successful game launch [3] - Revenue from IP derivatives and other businesses grew by 3% to 582 million yuan, maintaining stable growth [3] User Engagement and Community Growth - Bilibili's daily active users reached 117 million, and monthly active users hit 376 million, both setting new historical highs [1][5] - The average daily usage time increased to 112 minutes, reflecting enhanced user engagement [1][5] - The number of monthly paying users grew by 17% year-on-year to 35 million, indicating rising consumer willingness to spend [1] Content Ecosystem - The platform's content ecosystem is thriving, with video playback time for content over five minutes increasing by nearly 20% [5][6] - Game content playback time rose by 22%, solidifying Bilibili's position as a key platform for game publishers [5] - AI-related content saw a nearly 50% increase in playback time, with active AI-related creators reaching nearly 100,000 [6] - New content categories, such as automotive and parenting education, also experienced significant growth in playback time [6] Shareholder Returns - Bilibili has issued over 100 million USD in stock in 2025 and has a board-approved stock buyback plan with approximately 83 million USD remaining [4]