Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Bosideng (03998) has released its financial results for the first half of the fiscal year ending September 2026, with both revenue and profit meeting expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Bosideng's management indicated that offline retail sales (including direct sales and distributors) achieved double-digit year-on-year growth from October to November [1] - The strategy of assisting franchisees in clearing old inventory has shown positive results, leading to a strong recovery in franchisee confidence [1] Group 2: Market Positioning - UBS believes that the core Bosideng brand focuses on the high-end market and has a clear, differentiated product mix, allowing it to effectively capture various consumer segments [1] Group 3: Price Target and Rating - Based on unchanged profit forecasts and updated risk-free rate assumptions, UBS raised the target price from HKD 5.87 to HKD 6.20, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6][8]. Core Insights - The company's core brand, Bosideng, shows steady growth, with a revenue of 65.7 billion RMB in the first half of the fiscal year 2025/26, representing an 8% year-on-year increase. The main brand generated 57.2 billion RMB, also up 8% year-on-year [6][8]. - The overall revenue for the first half of the fiscal year reached 89.3 billion RMB, a 1.4% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 11.9 billion RMB, up 5.3% year-on-year, although this was below expectations [6][8]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.063 HKD per share [6]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a gross margin of 50.03% for the first half of the fiscal year, an increase of 0.15 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the higher proportion of down jacket sales [8]. - The revenue breakdown shows that the down jacket business accounts for 73.6% of total revenue, while OEM management contributes 22.9%, women's wear 2.8%, and diversified clothing 0.7% [4][8]. - The company expects net profits for the fiscal years 2025/26, 2026/27, and 2027/28 to be 39.4 billion RMB, 44 billion RMB, and 48.6 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 11.7%, and 10.4% [8][10]. Stock Performance - The stock price as of November 28, 2025, was 4.96 HKD, with a 12-month high of 5.2 HKD and a low of 3.41 HKD. The market capitalization is approximately 414.99 billion RMB [2][6]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 13 times for the fiscal year 2025/26, decreasing to 11 times by 2027/28 [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [3][9] Core Views - The brand down jacket segment leads to steady revenue growth, with inventory turnover significantly improving [4][9] - For the first half of FY2025/26, the company achieved revenue of 8.928 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.189 billion yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year [3][4] Revenue Breakdown - The brand down jacket business generated revenue of 6.568 billion yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year, with the Bosideng main brand contributing 5.719 billion yuan, also up 8.3% [4][5] - The OEM processing business saw revenue decline to 2.044 billion yuan, down 11.7% year-on-year [4] - Women's clothing revenue decreased by 18.6% to 251 million yuan, while diversified clothing revenue fell by 45.3% to 64 million yuan [4] Channel Performance - Self-operated channels generated revenue of 2.411 billion yuan, up 6.6%, while wholesale channels achieved 3.701 billion yuan, up 7.9% [5] - The company added 88 retail stores, bringing the total to 3,558, with a net increase of 3 self-operated stores [5] Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for FY2025/26 H1 slightly increased by 0.1 percentage points to 50.0%, while the brand down jacket business gross margin decreased by 2.0 percentage points to 59.1% [6][8] - The net profit margin increased by 0.5 percentage points to 13.3% due to various factors including reduced financial expenses and stable goodwill impairment in women's clothing [8] Cash Flow and Inventory Management - The average inventory turnover days decreased by 11 days to 178 days, attributed to a slowdown in raw material procurement and inventory reduction efforts [8] - The net cash flow from operating activities improved significantly to -1.084 billion yuan from -3.483 billion yuan in the previous year [8] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.931 billion yuan, 4.382 billion yuan, and 4.786 billion yuan for the fiscal years 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively [9][11] - The projected P/E ratios for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 13.5, 12.1, and 11.1 times respectively [9][11]

Core Viewpoint - Bosideng has established itself as the leading down jacket brand in China, achieving significant revenue growth while facing challenges related to market competition and succession planning [1][6]. Financial Performance - For the first half of the fiscal year 2025/2026, Bosideng reported a revenue of 8.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.19 billion yuan, up 5.3% [1][6]. - The company's revenue reached 23.21 billion yuan in 2023, with a net profit of 3.074 billion yuan, and is projected to grow to 25.9 billion yuan and 3.514 billion yuan in 2024 [5]. Business Strategy - High-end positioning has allowed Bosideng to achieve a gross margin of approximately 60%, significantly higher than the 46.4% recorded in 2017 [7]. - The company has attempted diversification into other clothing segments, including men's and women's apparel, but these efforts have largely failed [8]. Market Challenges - The brand faces increased competition from international high-end brands such as Canada Goose and Moncler, which has intensified market pressure [7]. - Consumer complaints about high prices have emerged, with average prices for Bosideng's down jackets rising from 1,000 yuan in 2017 to between 1,800 and 3,000 yuan in 2024 [7]. Leadership and Succession - The founder, Gao Dekang, is currently 73 years old and has not yet identified a suitable successor, raising concerns about the company's future leadership [1][9]. - Gao's son, Gao Xiaodong, has been involved in the business since 2002, but his performance has not met expectations, particularly in the diversified business segments [9].

We came back from Bosideng's 1HFY26 result briefing with a slightly more constructive view. Company reiterated the outlook of 10% topline growth coupled with NPM expansion in view of QTD encouraging run-rate: Oct-to-Nov offline-channel delivered DD% yoy growth boost by new products, and management view Double-11 performance as satisfactory, likely consistent with market expectations as evidenced by recent share price rally. Additionally, we are also encouraged to hear of the company's solid results from col ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [1]. Core Views - The company reported FY26H1 results that met expectations, with revenue of 89.28 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, and a net profit of 11.89 billion yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year. The interim dividend declared is 0.063 HKD per share [7]. - The main brand, Bosideng, showed steady growth with a revenue of 57.19 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.3% year-on-year increase, while the overall brand down jacket business accounted for 73.6% of total revenue [7]. - The report anticipates that the cold winter and extended Spring Festival sales will drive performance in the second half of the fiscal year, supporting high-quality growth in earnings [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024A at 23,214 million yuan, 2025A at 25,902 million yuan, 2026E at 28,512 million yuan, 2027E at 31,420 million yuan, and 2028E at 34,626 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.39%, 11.58%, 10.08%, 10.20%, and 10.20% respectively [1]. - Net profit forecasts are: 2024A at 3,074 million yuan, 2025A at 3,514 million yuan, 2026E at 3,938 million yuan, 2027E at 4,393 million yuan, and 2028E at 4,897 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 43.74%, 14.31%, 12.06%, 11.57%, and 11.45% respectively [1]. - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.26 yuan for 2024A, increasing to 0.42 yuan by 2028E [1]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on optimizing its brand, products, and channels to sustain high-quality growth, with a net increase of 88 retail outlets in the down jacket business, bringing the total to 3,558 [7]. - The OEM business saw a decline in revenue due to order front-loading, while the women's clothing segment experienced a strategic contraction, closing inefficient stores and focusing on core categories [7]. Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for FY26H1 was 50.0%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to the higher revenue share from the high-margin down jacket business [7]. - The report highlights improvements in inventory turnover days, which decreased by 11 days to 178 days, indicating better inventory management and preparation for peak sales [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [6]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated consistent profit growth exceeding revenue growth for eight consecutive years, showcasing its operational excellence and resilience [6]. - For the first half of FY2025/26, the company reported a revenue increase of 1.4% to 8.93 billion RMB and a net profit increase of 5.3% to 1.19 billion RMB, aligning with expectations [6][10]. - The company continues to focus on its core business of down jackets, with the main brand experiencing an 8.3% revenue growth, contributing significantly to total revenue [6]. - The company is actively expanding its retail network, with a net increase of 88 stores, bringing the total to 3,558 [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2024 to FY2028 are as follows: - FY2024: 23.214 billion RMB - FY2025: 25.902 billion RMB - FY2026E: 28.465 billion RMB - FY2027E: 31.272 billion RMB - FY2028E: 34.210 billion RMB - The expected net profit for the same period is: - FY2024: 3.074 billion RMB - FY2025: 3.514 billion RMB - FY2026E: 3.899 billion RMB - FY2027E: 4.340 billion RMB - FY2028E: 4.754 billion RMB - The company’s gross margin is projected to remain stable, with slight fluctuations, and the net profit margin is expected to improve gradually [5][15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a 1.4% year-on-year increase in revenue to 8.93 billion RMB for the first half of FY2025/26, with a net profit growth of 5.3% to 1.19 billion RMB, indicating a consistent high-quality growth trend [7] - The company has achieved eight consecutive years of profit growth outpacing revenue growth since its strategic transformation in 2018, showcasing strong operational quality and resilience [7] - The main business segment, down jackets, showed robust growth with an 8.3% increase in revenue to 6.57 billion RMB, accounting for 73.6% of total revenue [7] - The company has a strong retail network expansion, with self-operated and franchise revenues growing by 6.6% and 7.9% respectively [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2024 to FY2028 are as follows: 23.21 billion RMB, 25.90 billion RMB, 28.47 billion RMB, 31.27 billion RMB, and 34.21 billion RMB, with corresponding growth rates of 38%, 12%, 10%, 10%, and 9% [6] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: 3.07 billion RMB, 3.51 billion RMB, 3.90 billion RMB, 4.34 billion RMB, and 4.75 billion RMB, with growth rates of 44%, 14%, 11%, 11%, and 10% [6] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be around 57.5% to 59.6% over the forecast period [6] Operational Efficiency - The company has significantly improved its operational efficiency, with inventory turnover days reduced by 11 days to 178 days compared to the previous year [7] - Cash and cash equivalents reached approximately 3 billion RMB, with net cash increasing by 38.8% year-on-year to about 10.3 billion RMB [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue increase of 1.4% and a net profit increase of 5.3% for FY2026H1, indicating stable growth despite challenges in certain segments [1] Financial Performance - FY2026H1 revenue reached 8.93 billion and net profit was 1.19 billion, with a declared interim dividend of 0.063 HKD per share [1] - Gross margin improved slightly by 0.1 percentage points to 50.0%, while net profit margin increased by 0.5 percentage points to 13.3% [1] - The brand down jacket business saw an 8% revenue increase, driven by the main brand, while OEM business revenue decreased by 12% [1] Business Segment Analysis - **Brand Down Jacket Business**: Revenue increased by 8% to 6.57 billion, with a gross margin decrease of 2.0 percentage points to 59.1% due to changes in channel structure [1] - **Main Brand Performance**: The main brand's revenue grew by 8% to 5.72 billion, with a gross margin decrease of 1.5 percentage points to 64.8%. New product launches and quality upgrades are expected to drive future growth [2] - **OEM Business**: Revenue decreased by 2% to 0.4 billion, with a gross margin increase of 0.4 percentage points to 20.5%. The decline is attributed to changes in customer order patterns due to tariff policy expectations [3] Channel Performance - **Online Sales**: Increased by 2% to 1.38 billion, becoming an important channel for brand building and member marketing [3] - **Offline Sales**: Grew by 9% to 4.73 billion, with strategic focus on single-store operations and differentiated product offerings [3] - **Store Expansion**: The number of direct and distribution channels increased by 85 and 285 stores respectively, totaling 1,239 and 2,319 stores [3] Inventory Management - The company has implemented refined order management, resulting in a reduction of inventory turnover days by 11 days to 178 days [4] - The company maintains flexibility in inventory management through strategies like rapid replenishment and small batch production [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve approximately 10% revenue growth and faster net profit growth for FY2026, driven by product innovation and stable performance in the OEM business [4] - The company aims for sustained high-quality growth, with projected net profits of 3.899 billion, 4.386 billion, and 4.959 billion for FY2026 to FY2028 [5]

Core Insights - The company reported a 1.4% increase in revenue to 8.9 billion yuan and a 5.3% increase in net profit to 1.19 billion yuan for 1HFY26, meeting expectations [1] - The interim dividend declared is 6.3 Hong Kong cents per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 56% [1] Performance Review - The brand's down jacket business achieved a high-quality growth with an 8.3% revenue increase to 6.6 billion yuan, driven by a 6.6% increase in self-operated revenue to 2.4 billion yuan and a 7.9% increase in wholesale revenue to 3.7 billion yuan [1] - The main brand, Bosideng, also saw an 8.3% increase in revenue to 5.7 billion yuan [1] - The company successfully improved the sales proportion of new products and controlled discounts better than the same period last year [1] - The company optimized channel quality and expanded top-tier stores, leading to stable growth in comparable store sales [1] - Retail performance in the distribution channel was strong, laying a solid foundation for peak season sales [1] - The brand marketing strategy included a successful fashion show during Paris Fashion Week and collaborations with several high-end designers [1] Development Trends - The company is enhancing its "ice and snow" and "sports" genes, focusing on cost-effective down jackets [2] - The Ice洁 brand is undergoing a rebranding to position itself as a high-quality women's down jacket brand [2] - OEM business revenue declined by 11.7% to 2.04 billion yuan due to external factors, but recovery is expected as disturbances subside [2] - The company achieved efficient operations with profit growth outpacing revenue growth, and inventory decreased significantly by 20.3% [2] - The gross margin improved by 0.2 percentage points to 50.0%, and net profit margin increased by 0.5 percentage points to 13.3% [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for FY26 and FY27 at 0.34 and 0.38 yuan, respectively [2] - The current stock price corresponds to 13 and 12 times the FY26 and FY27 P/E ratios, with a target price of 5.89 Hong Kong dollars, indicating a 17% upside potential [2]