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?“超级周”重磅来袭 华尔街牛市信仰迎大考! 美股财报季震撼启幕 美国CPI携手PPI重磅登场
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 01:03
(原标题:?"超级周"重磅来袭 华尔街牛市信仰迎大考! 美股财报季震撼启幕 美国CPI携手PPI重磅登 场) 华尔街金融巨头摩根大通(JPM.US)以及纽约梅隆银行(BK.US)将在周二公布第四季度财报,意味着第四 季度美股财报季正式开幕,而美国银行(BAC.US)、富国银行(WFC.US)以及花旗集团(C.US)等华尔街金 融巨头则将在当地时间周三陆续公布财报。 本周还将有其他知名公司重磅发布财报数据,其中包括华尔街投资银行超级巨头高盛(GS.US)与摩根士 丹利(MS.US),以及有着全球芯片代工之王称号的芯片制造商台积电(TSM.US),这些公司将在当地时间 周四陆续发布财报。对于当前主宰美股牛市曲线的"AI牛市叙事"而言,台积电业绩可谓至关重要,该芯 片巨头财报堪称"AI算力产业链风向标",投资者们将透过该公司财报洞察全球对于"AI芯片霸主"英伟 达、博通等一众AI芯片领军者们的AI算力集群需求是否仍然无比强劲以及对于智能手机、平板、PC等 消费电子端芯片的需求是否健康。 12月非农勾勒出美国劳动力市场放缓轨迹,CPI与PPI会否引爆降息预期升温? 智通财经APP获悉,在关税政策不确定性被暂时搁置,1 ...
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slide on threat to Fed as DOJ begins criminal probe of Powell
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-12 00:16
US stock futures sank on Monday, pulling back from records amid concerns over Federal Reserve independence after US prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into its Chair Jerome Powell. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) sank 0.7%, while S&P 500 futures (ES=F) fell 0.6%. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) led the way lower, dropping roughly 0.9% on the heels of all-time closing highs for Wall Street stocks. Rattled markets are turning their backs on US assets after Powell said th ...
Bank of America makes bold call on bank stocks
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-11 19:47
Group 1: Market Outlook - Credit quality is expected to remain stable, with no significant credit cycle anticipated without a recession, although specialized exposures may pose risks [1] - Rate stability is deemed more important than rate cuts, with a positively sloped yield curve and lower rate volatility expected to enhance net interest margins [2] - The banking sector is predicted to experience strong mergers and acquisitions and initial public offerings due to strategic investor interest and a smooth approval process [2] Group 2: Bank of America’s Position - Bank of America (BofA) is optimistic about bank stocks, citing multiple fundamental drivers that create a supportive environment for the sector [4] - The focus is on Global Systemically Important Banks (GSIBs) and select regional banks that demonstrate growth potential [5] - BofA's "Year Ahead 2026" report indicates that current conditions resemble those of the late 1990s and early 2000s, rather than the post-global financial crisis period [5] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - Citigroup is highlighted as having the best risk/reward profile among large-cap banks, with a price target raised to $140, implying a 14.3% upside [7] - Wells Fargo is viewed positively due to the removal of the asset cap, which is expected to enhance growth and productivity [14] - Morgan Stanley is considered a strong buy due to its unique business setup and potential for synergies within its integrated franchise [20][21] Group 4: Earnings Projections - BofA forecasts Citigroup's earnings per share (EPS) to grow by about 25% annually from 2026 to 2027, with a projected EPS of $10.57 for 2026 [7][9] - Morgan Stanley's EPS is expected to reach $7.07 in 2026, with an average annual growth of about 15% [18] - Goldman Sachs is projected to have an EPS of $10.95 in 2026, with an implied upside of 12.6% [24] Group 5: Sector Dynamics - The removal of regulatory constraints is expected to allow banks like Wells Fargo to pursue better growth opportunities [14] - BofA believes that the GSIBs will lead the sector as capital markets activity increases, with a multi-year re-rating cycle anticipated [29][31] - The classic drivers of returns in 2026 are expected to remain focused on revenues, costs, capital, and credit, rather than AI, which is not yet a significant profit driver [31]
Earnings Kickoff, CPI and Other Can't Miss Items this Week
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-11 18:00
The week delivers comprehensive assessment of financial sector health through major bank earnings, with JPMorgan (JPM) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) reporting Tuesday, followed by Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C) Wednesday, then Morgan Stanley (MS) and Goldman Sachs (GS) Thursday. These results will provide essential insights into consumer spending patterns, business loan demand, investment banking activity, and credit quality trends that determine economic health. Net interest margin ...
下周重磅日程:美国通胀、中国外贸数据,财报季正式开启,美高院关税裁决将出
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-11 03:49
2026《见闻历》企业定制 ⏳现已进入最后征集阶段,名额有限,识别二维码咨询详情 | 时间 | | 内容 | 预期 | 前值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1月12日 周一 | | | | | | 数据 | | 元 | | | | 待定 | | 美政府月底再度停摆风险上升,相关拨款法案下周提交至 | | | | | | 参议院审议 | | | | 事件 | 待定 | 日本市场因假日休市 | | | | 待定 | | 七国集团(G7)财长会议,将讨论稀土问题 | | | | 1月13日 周二 | | | | | | 数据 | 21:30 | 美国 12月CPl同比 | 2.7% | 2.7% | | 07:00 | | 月底议息会议前,威廉姆斯等多位美联储官员密集发声 | | | | 待定 | | 广期所:铂、把期货合约涨跌停板幅度调整为16% | | | | 事件 | 待定 | 加拿大总理将于13日至17日访华 | | | | 待定 | | 摩根大通拉开美国大型银行季度财报季 | | | | 待定 | | 兆易创新香港IPO,预计股票将于1月13日开始交易 | | | ...
下周财经日历(1月12日-1月18日)
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-10 12:39
【财报发布】 摩根大 中国2025年12月贸易 美国2025年11月PPI、11月零 周三 1/14 欧佩克公布月度原油市场 EIA公布月度短期能源展 【财报发布】美国银行、花旗集 美联储公布经济状况褐 第二届中国eVTOL创新发展大会(上 周四 1/15 2026 Google Cloud出海峰: 大疆举办新品发布ś 【财报发布】摩根士丹利、高 2026核聚变能科技与产业大会(合I 周五 1/16 【新股申购】恒运[ 周六 1/17 第五届AIGC中国开发者大会 周日 1/18 2025年12月进出口数据将公布;美联储将公布经济状况褐皮书;两只新股将开启申购…… ...
花旗集团余向荣:要拥抱AI,但要避免图灵陷阱
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-10 10:52
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 China Chief Economist Forum held in Shanghai emphasizes the importance of embracing AI and the new economy while cautioning against the "Turing Trap," which could lead to a significant decline in human value if machines become too intelligent and capable of replacing humans [1][4][5]. Group 1: Event Overview - The forum took place on January 10-11, 2026, with the theme "Chess in the Middle Game: Building a Strong Nation" [1][4]. - Yao Xiangrong, Chief Economist of Citigroup Greater China, was a key speaker at the event [1][4]. Group 2: Key Insights from Yao Xiangrong - Yao highlighted the necessity to embrace AI and the new economy while avoiding the Turing Trap, which refers to the paradox of creating machines that are so intelligent they can replace humans, potentially leading to a drastic drop in human value [5]. - He pointed out that technological progress can either replace humans or enhance human value and efficiency, aligning with the goals of the "14th Five-Year Plan," which focuses on promoting comprehensive human development [5].
花旗集团余向荣:拥抱AI与新经济,推动技术进步向“赋能人”而非“替代人”倾斜
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential employment impacts of AI and suggests three strategies to address these challenges, emphasizing the need for a proactive approach to technology integration and labor market optimization [1] Group 1: Embracing AI and New Economy - The first strategy is to embrace AI and the new economy to avoid the "Turing Trap," where technology either enhances human value and efficiency or replaces it. The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes promoting comprehensive human development, suggesting that technology policies should focus on empowering rather than replacing people [1] Group 2: Strengthening Social Security - The second strategy involves preparing for the future by strengthening the social security network. The benefits of technological advancements will not be distributed evenly, necessitating attention to vulnerable groups such as entry-level workers, youth, middle-aged individuals facing unemployment, and flexible workers. This includes improving systems for pensions and unemployment [1] Group 3: Optimizing Labor Market - The third strategy is to address internal competition and optimize the labor market by enhancing the enforcement of labor laws. Technological progress should ideally reduce labor intensity, and through institutional design, it is possible to minimize ineffective labor and shorten average working hours, which can stabilize employment and create space for service consumption [1]
原油监测_地缘政治风险犹存,白宫推动委内瑞拉原油输美以转移原油流向-Oil Monitor The White House is pushing Venezuelan oil to the US rediverting crude flows as geopolitical risks remain-
2026-01-10 06:38
09 Jan 2026 07:36:45 ET │ 28 pages Oil Monitor The White House is pushing Venezuelan oil to the US, rediverting crude flows, as geopolitical risks remain CITI'S TAKE As the situation in Venezuela continues to develop, the US is trying to move quickly to get oil to flow, to ease oil prices amid ongoing affordability concerns, among wider domestic political challenges ahead of US midterm elections in Nov'26. The first measure appears to be moving 30-50-m bbls of Venezuela oil to the US, which could divert oth ...
Jim Cramer says don't trade Apple and Nvidia as money rotates into overlooked stocks ahead of earnings season
CNBC· 2026-01-10 00:02
Market Overview - Investors should not overreact to uneventful unemployment data, as it allows for a focus on broader market trends and rallies beyond last year's winners [1] - Money is aggressively rotating into overlooked sectors, particularly data storage stocks, which have seen significant rallies while former market leaders struggle [2] Company Insights - Apple and Nvidia have not performed well despite strong underlying businesses, as they have become sources of funds for investors seeking new opportunities [3] - Upcoming earnings season is expected to start strong with JPMorgan Chase, although caution is advised regarding CEO Jamie Dimon's potential risk emphasis [6] - Delta Air Lines is anticipated to report strong results, with banks like Citigroup, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley also expected to perform well [7] Economic Indicators - The December consumer price index will be more significant than recent labor data, with signs of persistent inflation impacting consumer sentiment and presidential policies [5] - The JPMorgan Healthcare Conference is expected to generate merger-and-acquisition activity, with interviews of pharmaceutical executives planned [4] Sector Focus - Attention is on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, which may influence Nvidia's stock performance [8] - Transport stocks are also in focus, with expectations that a solid report from J.B. Hunt will support a bullish outlook on FedEx [9]