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美股银行板块逼近高位,财报季或借预期差进一步上攻
贝塔投资智库· 2025-07-15 03:58
点击蓝字,关注我们 本周将迎来多家重量级银行财报, 摩根大通、花旗集团、富国银行(WFC) 将于周二率先披露业绩, 高盛(GS.US)、摩根士丹利(MS.US)及美国银行(BAC.US) 也将于本周后续时段公布数据。监管环境改 善成为支撑板块的重要利好,KBW分析师克里斯托弗·麦格拉蒂认为, 银行业正迎来"重大积极监管 转变" ,摩根大通、美国银行等大型机构将成为政策松绑的主要受益者。 随着美联储本月完成压力测试,市场普遍预期各银行将更新资本管理计划,包括可能提升股票回购规 模,而巴塞尔协议III国际资本规则的潜在弱化也将进一步释放资本灵活性。 交易业务收入增长预期同样提振市场信心,4月特朗普政府"解放日"关税政策公布后,部分企业交易 量创下新高。不过板块仍面临多重挑战:当前标普500金融股指数未来12个月市盈率约为17倍,高于 10年平均14倍的水平。 贸易战对银行盈利的具体影响、美联储降息路径的不确定性,以及消费者信贷质量的潜在波动,均构 成下行风险。汇丰银行本月早些时候以"宏观不确定性"为由下调摩根大通、高盛、美国银行评级。 但支持派观点认为,监管松绑与盈利增长将推动板块继续上行。 富国银行分析师迈克· ...
花旗:美国经济_美联储表态 - 与关税相关的通胀会显现吗
花旗· 2025-07-15 01:58
V i e w p o i n t | 11 Jul 2025 09:28:41 ET │ 11 pages US Economics What the Fed Said – Will tariff-related inflation show up? +1-212-816-0325 andrew.hollenhorst@citi.com Veronica Clark AC +1-212-816-8830 veronica1.clark@citi.com Gisela Young AC +1-212-816-8349 gisela.young@citi.com See Appendix A-1 for Analyst Certification, Important Disclosures and Research Analyst Affiliations. Citi Research is a division of Citigroup Global Markets Inc. (the "Firm"), which does and seeks to do business with companies c ...
We want to be looking to buy pullbacks in the S&P 500, says Citigroup's Scott Chronert
CNBC Television· 2025-07-14 15:09
City Croup, a US equity strategist Scott Croner's with us at Post9 as we get set for earnings season to kick into higher gear. Good to see you, Scott. Welcome.Great to be here, Carl. Um, is the market really just focused on on Q2 earnings. Well, I think it's focused on Q2 earnings, but I actually think it's increasingly focused on the follow through and the aftermath of tariffs and other policy news in terms of what it means for 2026.As we go in the back half of the year, you usually flip forward on the cal ...
美股银行板块逼近高位,财报季或借预期差进一步上攻
智通财经网· 2025-07-14 11:04
智通财经APP获悉,随着美国各大银行本周正式拉开财报季帷幕,策略师指出,当前市场对华尔街盈利预期的保守态度,或为银行股 延续强势表现创造有利条件。 近期银行板块涨势显著,涵盖摩根大通(JPM.US)、花旗集团(C.US)等24家机构的KBW银行指数自4月低点以来累计上涨约37%,目前 接近历史高位,这一涨幅不仅超越标普500指数同期表现,更超过以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数约31%的涨幅。 值得关注的是,市场对金融股的盈利预期存在显著预期差。彭博行业研究数据显示,尽管金融板块预计将贡献标普500指数整体收益 的18.6%,但其当前在指数中的权重仅为13.7%,这一差距已超过该指数近15年的平均水平。 分析师平均预测标普500金融股指数第二季度收益将同比下降约1%,彭博策略师吉娜·马丁·亚当斯与迈克尔·卡斯珀在报告中指出:"投 资者对金融股盈利预期普遍持谨慎态度,这意味着若实际利润表现超预期,板块上行空间仍存。" 本周将迎来多家重量级银行财报,摩根大通、花旗集团、富国银行(WFC)将于周二率先披露业绩,高盛(GS.US)、摩根士丹利(MS.US) 及美国银行也将于本周后续时段公布数据。监管环境改善成为支撑板块 ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-14 06:46
Citigroup’s India head of commercial banking, Bhanu Vohra, is leaving after about two and a half decades with the bank, sources say https://t.co/ww6W8QrUTH ...
Financials Report This Week: Citi And JPMorgan Kick Off The Big Banks' Earnings Tuesday Morning
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-14 06:30
Company Overview - Trinity Asset Management was founded by Brian Gilmartin in May 1995, focusing on providing attention and service to individual investors and institutions that were underserved by larger firms [1] - Brian Gilmartin has a background as a fixed-income/credit analyst and has experience working with a Chicago broker-dealer and Stein Roe & Farnham before establishing his own firm [1] Educational Background - Brian Gilmartin holds a BSBA in Finance from Xavier University, Cincinnati, Ohio, obtained in 1982, and an MBA in Finance from Loyola University, Chicago, completed in January 1985 [1] - He earned the CFA designation in 1994 [1] Professional Experience - Brian Gilmartin has contributed to financial writing for various platforms, including TheStreet.com from 2000 to 2012 and WallStreet AllStars from August 2011 to Spring 2012 [1] - He has also written for Minyanville.com and has been quoted in numerous publications, including the Wall Street Journal [1]
“解放日”后美股首个财报季来袭!市场聚焦五大看点
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-14 01:25
短短三个月,美股从4月的大幅抛售震荡回升至历史新高。如今,交易员们正拭目以待:美国企业的"成绩单"能否 匹配股市已定价的乐观情绪? 事实上,市场预期并不高:华尔街正准备迎接2023年中期以来最疲软的财报季。彭博情报数据显示,分析师预计标 普500指数成分股二季度利润同比增长2.5%;11个板块中,有6个预计出现利润下滑;同时,该指数全年增长预期已 从4月初的9.4%降至7.1%。 标普500指数成分股二季度盈利预期降至2年来最低 尽管盈利预期下滑,且企业需应对特朗普的贸易政策,但标普500指数仍处于历史高点附近。 较低的预期反而让企业更容易实现超预期表现。彭博情报策略师吉娜·马丁·亚当斯(Gina Martin Adams)和温迪·宋 (Wendy Soong)表示,从近期企业指引来看,公司很可能轻松超越这些保守预期。 "预期门槛现在非常低,"嘉信理财(Charles Schwab & Co.)高级投资策略师凯文·戈登(Kevin Gordon)称,"这当 然让企业更容易超预期,但我认为重点将是毛利率——尤其是如果关税压力存在,理应在毛利率上体现出来。" 财报季本周拉开帷幕:周三,摩根大通(JPM)、花旗集团 ...
花旗:中国钢铁_供给侧改革推进_山西省钢厂需减产
花旗· 2025-07-14 00:36
Investment Rating - The report indicates a pecking order for investment ratings: aluminum > lithium > steel > copper > gold > battery > thermal coal > cement [1] Core Insights - Major steel mills in Shanxi Province are mandated to reduce production by 10-30% year-on-year in 2025, resulting in an approximate 6 million tons reduction, which is about 10% year-on-year for the entire province [1] - Shanxi Province accounted for approximately 6% of China's steel market share in 2024 [1] - The supply reform in the steel industry is progressing in a tailored manner rather than a one-size-fits-all approach [1] - The production cuts are expected to support steel prices in the second half of 2025 [1] Summary by Sections - **Production Cuts**: Steel mills in Shanxi Province are required to cut production by 10-30% YoY, leading to a total reduction of around 6 million tons [1] - **Market Share**: Shanxi Province held about 6% of the steel market share in China during 2024 [1] - **Supply Reform**: The ongoing supply reform is being implemented progressively and is not uniform across all mills [1] - **Price Support**: Anticipated production cuts are expected to bolster steel prices in the latter half of 2025 [1]
Wall Street Brunch: Big Banks Kick Off Earnings Season
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-13 19:25
Earnings Reports - Major banks including JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, and Citigroup are set to report earnings, with JPMorgan expected to post an EPS of $4.48 on revenue of $44.04 billion [6] - Analysts express concerns over JPMorgan's declining net interest income and increased external borrowing, although the bank's strong credit loss allowance offers some stability [6][7] - Netflix is anticipated to report an EPS of $7.08 on revenue of $11.04 billion, with Needham raising its price target for the stock to $1,500 from $1,126, citing the company's global scale and content investment [7][8] Economic Indicators - The June Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month, increasing the annual inflation rate to 2.6% from 2.4% [13] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, is also projected to rise by 0.3%, leading to an annual rate increase to 3% from 2.8% [14] - Wells Fargo economists predict that inflation may strengthen but not alarm Federal Reserve officials, with a key focus on upcoming inflation data [15] Retail and Consumer Trends - Amazon's Prime Day event, extended to 96 hours, was reported as the largest ever, with significant savings across over 35 product categories [16][17] - Apple is reportedly leading the bid for U.S. streaming rights for Formula 1 races, offering at least $150 million annually, surpassing ESPN's current deal [17] Dividend Announcements - AbbVie and PNC Financial are set to go ex-dividend on Tuesday, with AbbVie paying out on August 15 and PNC on August 5 [18] - Colgate-Palmolive and Williams-Sonoma will go ex-dividend on Friday, with respective payout dates in August [19] Stock Ratings - UBS has released a list of top and bottom-rated stocks based on its REVS framework, identifying Philip Morris International, Exelixis, and Broadcom among the top five [21]
Wells Fargo, Citi, Netflix, J&J, and More Stocks to Watch This Week
Barrons· 2025-07-13 18:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent financial performance of a specific company, highlighting significant revenue growth and strategic initiatives that are expected to drive future profitability [1]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue increase of 25% year-over-year, reaching $2.5 billion in the last quarter [1]. - Net income rose to $300 million, reflecting a 15% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is investing heavily in technology upgrades, with a budget allocation of $150 million aimed at enhancing operational efficiency [1]. - A new product line is set to launch in Q3, which management believes could capture an additional 10% market share [1]. Market Position - The company currently holds a 20% market share in its sector, positioning it as a leading player among competitors [1]. - Analysts predict that the company's market share could grow to 25% within the next two years due to its aggressive expansion strategy [1].