Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the market is overly complacent about the U.S. inflation outlook, making bets on rising inflation pressures significantly attractive [1] - Citigroup's rate trading strategist Benjamin Wiltshire suggests that investors may be underestimating the resilience of U.S. consumption, leading to a likely slight upward revision of market inflation expectations [1] - Wiltshire recommends buying five-year/five-year forward inflation derivatives, arguing that the current pricing level of about 2.5% is too low compared to the persistent core inflation indicator, which remains just below 3% [1] Group 2 - Recent strong U.S. employment data has exceeded market expectations, causing a surge in U.S. Treasury yields and prompting traders to lower their expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year [4] - The market's reluctance to price in inflation risks is attributed to disappointment over last year's U.S. tariff policies not quickly translating into inflation [4] - Wall Street remains vigilant about inflationary risks, anticipating that a strong economic recovery in the U.S. could reignite price increases, especially if the next Federal Reserve chair, likely to be Waller, guides policymakers to lower rates more aggressively [4] Group 3 - UBS Group AG's senior trader Ben Pearson indicates that the "inflationary boom" led by the U.S. is one of the most underestimated risks by investors this year [4] - If inflationary pressures materialize, the Federal Reserve may remain inactive in the first half of the year, forcing the market to price in rate hikes for the second half [5] - Lazard's CEO argues that it is reasonable and likely for U.S. inflation to return above 4% by the end of the year [5] Group 4 - The complexity of predicting inflation has increased due to tariff tensions and rapid advancements in emerging technologies [5] - Investors must also contend with geopolitical risks affecting oil prices, particularly from intermittent threats related to Iran [5] - BlackRock's Tom Becker has been increasing short positions in long-term U.S. and U.K. government bonds, expecting strong economic growth and rising commodity prices to exert upward pressure on consumer prices [5] Group 5 - In this uncertain environment, TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) offer a potential hedging mechanism against inflation [6] - Vanguard's senior portfolio manager Brian Quigley notes that TIPS are not without risks, particularly if oil prices fall sharply, which could quickly lower the breakeven point for these securities [7] - Pimco views TIPS as inexpensive insurance against inflation, believing they provide good protection if inflation exceeds the Federal Reserve's target, similar to the past four to five years [7]

Vi e w p o i n t | 12 Feb 2026 08:17:01 ET │ 14 pages Metal Matters China aluminium demand resilient; near-term outlook mixed; BESS gains add to structural support CITI'S TAKE This note provides an update on our China aluminium end‑use tracker (CAET). Implied Chinese aluminium demand grew ~4% y/y in 2025 despite a deceleration in the month of December. Stronger decarbonisation‑related demand (utilities, renewables, storage) has offset the weakness in cyclical related demand. Looking ahead, we see the decarb ...

Citigroup said Thursday it had approved $42 million for CEO Jane Fraser’s total compensation for 2025, up nearly 22% from a year earlier.Investors have cheered Fraser’s efforts to streamline management, cut jobs and sell businesses, boosting the stock 65.8% last year. It outperformed peers and an index tracking bank stocks by a wide margin.The move follows similar hikes for top bosses at rivals Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, as Wall Street giants gear up for what is widely expected to be a bumper year fo ...

Key TakeawaysAI "Scare Trade" Hits Logistics: A former karaoke company, AlgoRhythm Holdings Inc., sparked a sell-off in the trucking sector after announcing AI-driven efficiency gains, causing the Russell 3000 Trucking Index to drop 6.6%.Rivian's Strong Outlook: Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) shares jumped after reporting a smaller-than-expected Q4 loss and forecasting strong vehicle deliveries for 2026.Nvidia's Nevada Expansion: NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) will lease a 200-megawatt data center in Nevada, financed i ...

花旗集团将首席执行官Jane Fraser 2025年的薪酬提高到了4200万美元，使其跻身美国收入最高的银行掌 舵人之列。周四文件披露的这一22%的薪酬涨幅，建立在花旗集团过去一年股价上涨66%，超过华尔街 其他任何一家银行的基础之上。因此，Fraser全年总收入只比摩根大通的Jamie Dimon少了100万美元。 其薪酬方案包括150万美元基本薪资、610万美元现金激励，其余的是股票奖励。Fraser于10月被任命为 该行董事会主席时获得了一份留任奖金，当时价值2500万美元，将在五年内归属完毕。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Fraser made roughly $7.5 million more than she earned the year before. ...

格隆汇2月13日｜花旗集团已将首席执行官弗雷泽2025年的薪酬上调至4200万美元，使她跻身美国薪酬 最高的银行掌门人行列。根据周四的一份文件披露，这一幅度达22%的加薪紧随花旗股价在过去一年上 涨66%的强劲表现之后——其涨幅超过了任何其他华尔街大行。此次加薪使弗雷泽的全年总薪酬包仅比 摩根大通首席执行官戴蒙少100万美元。薪酬方案包括150万美元的基本工资、610万美元的现金奖励以 及剩余的股票奖励。此外，弗雷泽在2025年10月被任命为该行董事会主席时，还获得了一笔当时价值 2500万美元、五年后完全归属的留任奖金。花旗在文件中表示，该薪酬方案"反映了她在2025年期间为 显著增强花旗业绩所做的工作，她的战略愿景及执行力，以及她为公司未来增长所做的果敢抉择"。 ...

Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser's pay rises to $42 million after banner year | ReutersSkip to main content[Exclusive news, data and analytics for financial market professionalsLearn more aboutRefinitiv]Jane Fraser CEO, Citi, speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 1, 2023. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo [Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab]- Companies[Citigroup Inc]Follow[Goldman Sachs Group Inc]Follow[Morgan Stanley]FollowFeb 12 (Reuters) - Citigroup [(C. ...

I want to pick up on some of the points that Ianto was making there and ask you what Citibank's sell. Citi's focus is for India for the next couple of years. Thanks, Paul, for inviting me to the Studio City actually has been in India for more than 23 years.In fact, next year we're going to be celebrating our 1/25 year in India. And as you know, we exited the retail business three years back, and we're actually going to be focused on our core domain, which is the institutional banking business. And if you lo ...

花旗银行利率交易台表示，目前市场对美国通胀前景过于乐观，这使得那些在物价压力攀升时获利的交 易看起来极具吸引力。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：金十数据 花旗银行利率交易策略师威尔特希尔（Benjamin Wiltshire）指出，投资者可能低估了美国消费者的韧 性，市场对通胀的预期很可能会小幅上调。他在采访中表示："市场似乎深信通胀将会下降，但我们仍 处于一个结构性高通胀的环境中。" 花旗建议押注美国通胀 上升 在此番言论发布之前，周三公布的美国就业增长数据表现强劲，令投资者措手不及。由于交易员下调了 对美联储今年降息的预期，美债收益率随之飙升。 周四美国债券趋于平稳，10年期美债收益率小幅下跌1个基点至4.17%。在周五公布1月消费者价格指数 （CPI）数据之前，交易员接下来的关注焦点将是当天晚些时候公布的初请失业金人数，以此作为衡量 经济状况的指标。 威尔特希尔建议买入5年/5年远期通胀衍生品，他认为目前约2.5%的水平过低。相比之下，目前的实际 通胀率依然高于这一水平——美联储青睐的核心通胀指标仍徘徊在接近3%的水平，表现出明显的粘 性。 威尔特希尔表 ...