股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年1月31日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 中國電力國際發展有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年2月4日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 1. 股份分類 普通股 股份類別 不適用 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) 是 證券代號 (如上市) 02380 說明 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 庫存股份數目 已發行股份總數 上月底結存 12,370,150,983 0 12,370,150,983 增加 / 減少 (-) 0 0 本月底結存 12,370,150,983 0 12,370,150,983 足夠公眾持股量的確認(註4) | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | ...

花旗发表研报，将中国电力的评级由"买入"下调至"沽售"，目标价由3.5港元降至2.75港元，将公司2025 至27年的净利润预测分别下调15%、27%及38%。该行认为，受电价下调影响，中国电力2026年预期盈 利或按年下滑，虽然预计公司不会削减2025至26年的股息，但其2026年预期股息收益率5.7%，似乎不 足以抵销中国电价下行趋势引致的盈利下行风险。 ...

Core Insights - The report predicts that by 2026, China's total electricity consumption will grow by 5%-6% year-on-year, with solar power generation capacity expected to surpass coal power capacity for the first time [1][3]. Group 1: Electricity Consumption - In 2025, China's total electricity consumption is projected to exceed 10 trillion kilowatt-hours, reaching 10.37 trillion kilowatt-hours, marking the first time any single economy has achieved this milestone [1][2]. - Monthly electricity consumption is expected to surpass 1 trillion kilowatt-hours for the first time, with July 2025 seeing consumption reach 1.02 trillion kilowatt-hours [1]. Group 2: Sector Contributions - The second industry remains the primary contributor to electricity consumption, accounting for 6.64 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2025, which is 64.0% of total consumption, contributing 47.5% to the growth [2]. - New infrastructure developments in sectors such as big data, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, 5G networks, and industrial internet are driving rapid growth in electricity consumption, with internet data services expected to grow at an annual rate of 35.9% from 2021 to 2025 [2]. Group 3: Power Generation Capacity - By the end of 2025, China's total installed power generation capacity is expected to reach 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with an average annual growth rate of 12.0% during the 14th Five-Year Plan [3]. - Wind and solar power are projected to account for 80.2% of the newly installed generation capacity, with a total of 4.4 billion kilowatts added in 2025 [3]. - By 2026, it is anticipated that over 4 billion kilowatts of new generation capacity will be added, with more than 3 billion kilowatts coming from renewable sources, and solar power capacity expected to exceed coal power capacity for the first time [3].

Core Insights - The report predicts that by 2026, the overall balance of electricity supply and demand in China will be achieved, with significant production capacity from renewable energy sources [1][2] - The report anticipates a stable growth in China's macro economy, which will drive a steady increase in electricity consumption [1] Electricity Demand and Supply - The total electricity consumption in China is expected to reach between 10.9 trillion and 11 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 5% to 6% [1] - The maximum electricity load for the year is projected to be between 1.57 billion and 1.63 billion kilowatts [1] - During peak summer periods, certain regions such as Southwest, Central China, and East China may experience tight electricity supply, but this can be mitigated through inter-provincial and inter-regional cooperation [2] Renewable Energy Development - By 2026, it is expected that over 400 million kilowatts of new power generation capacity will be added, with more than 300 million kilowatts coming from renewable sources [1] - The combined installed capacity of wind and solar energy is projected to account for about half of the total installed capacity, with solar power expected to surpass coal power for the first time [1] - By the end of 2026, the total installed power generation capacity in China is anticipated to reach approximately 4.3 billion kilowatts, with non-fossil energy sources accounting for 2.7 billion kilowatts, representing 63% of the total capacity [1] Historical Context and Future Projections - As of the end of 2025, the installed capacity of non-fossil energy sources is expected to be 2.4 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 23%, making up 61.7% of the total installed capacity [2] - The total installed capacity across all energy sources is projected to be 3.89 billion kilowatts by the end of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.1% [2] - The report indicates that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the total installed capacity is expected to grow at an average annual rate of 12% [2] Contribution of Renewable Energy to Electricity Generation - In 2025, the total electricity generation from non-fossil energy sources is expected to reach 4.47 trillion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, accounting for 42.9% of total electricity generation [2] - The contribution of new electricity generation from wind, solar, and biomass sources is projected to constitute 97.1% of the total increase in electricity consumption [2]

在英国首相斯塔默访华的一众随行企业名单中，一家名为章鱼能源（Octopus Energy）的企业颇受业内 关注。 2026年1月30日举行的中英商务论坛上，这家英国最大的电力交易公司与一家中国新兴能源企业达成了 合作——章鱼能源与碧澄能源将在华合资设立一家聚焦电力交易业务的公司，此举被视作近些年来中英 能源领域又一项标志性的进展。 事实上，上述合作的主角双方，都是各国能源领域的后起之秀。 碧澄能源的前身是保碧新能源，成立于2022年，早年因其是房地产龙头企业保利和碧桂园联合孵化跨界 新能源，受到业内关注。2025年，保碧新能源更名"碧澄能源"，其最新股东包括普洛斯、淡马锡、蔚来 等旗下资本。 章鱼能源于2015年成立，这家公司仅用十年时间就迅速成长为英国本土最大电力供应商，并且与中国多 家能源企业互动频繁。 "章鱼"为何盯上中国的电力交易市场？它能否为中国智慧能源领域的发展带来"鲶鱼效应"呢？ 合作仅用半年就谈妥 章鱼能源与碧澄能源计划设立的合资公司，将聚焦共建电力数字交易平台。 碧澄能源董事长兼首席执行官李文轩在接受媒体采访时透露，鉴于两家公司之间在业务层面形成天然互 补——碧澄能源所处的中国市场和应用范围 ...

J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research 28 January 2026 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. China Power Equipment Expert call takeaways on 15th FYP grid capex; Nari Tech and Sieyuan Electric our top picks in 1H26 The share prices of China po ...

1月30日，工商业分布式清洁能源电站投资运营商碧澄能源与英国章鱼能源（Octopus Energy）宣布战略 合资，并在中英商务论坛期间正式签约，双方将共同在华设立聚焦电力交易业务的合资公司碧桐能源。 该合资企业将借助数字化工具和算法模型，帮助工商业用户优化用电成本、提升绿电消费比例。在此基 础上，双方也将共同探索适应中国市场的绿色电力产品与负荷聚合服务，赋能用户更有效地参与电力市 场，从而为电网的灵活性与清洁化转型提供支撑。 （智通财经记者 杨漾） ...

章鱼能源通过领先的算法和技术平台，颠覆传统电力零售模式，已成为英国最大的电力供应商之一，并 正在全球范围内快速扩张。此次选择碧澄能源作为进入中国市场的合作伙伴，是基于碧澄能源在中国电 力市场的综合能力和业务积淀。碧澄能源作为集发电与售电于一体的综合能源服务商，拥有丰富的工商 业用户资源和专业的电力交易团队，这为引进国际先进技术提供了坚实保障。 经济观察网 1月30日，中国领先的工商业分布式清洁能源电站投资运营商碧澄能源与总部在英国的能源 科技公司章鱼能源（Octopus Energy）正式宣布战略合资，并在中英商务论坛中正式签约。双方将共同 在华设立聚焦电力交易业务的合资公司——碧桐能源。这一合作代表世界顶级能源科技企业正式进入中 国市场，成为中国电力市场化改革进程中的标志性事件之一。 此次合作设立的合资公司碧桐能源，将成为碧澄能源"综合能源服务"战略板块的核心组成部分，也是其 未来发展的关键布局。借助数字化工具和算法模型，将切实帮助工商业用户优化用电成本、提升绿电消 费比例。在此基础上，双方也将共同探索适应中国市场的绿色电力产品与负荷聚合服务，赋能用户更有 效地参与电力市场，从而为电网的灵活性与清洁化转型提 ...

内容概况：当前，中国电力系统仿真行业正处于技术突破与应用扩展的关键期，其发展由"双碳"目标下 构建新型电力系统的紧迫需求直接驱动，并呈现出技术自主、应用深化、生态协同的鲜明特征。2024 年，中国电力系统仿真行业市场规模约为3.01亿元，同比增长10.26%。 相关上市企业：国电南瑞（600406）、国网信通（600131）、国能日新（301162）、东方电子 （000682） 电力系统仿真通过数学模型与计算机技术模拟电力系统的运行状态、动态行为及规划设计过程。其核心 目标包括验证理论模型、测试控制策略、评估故障影响、优化系统设计及支撑运行培训等。该技术通过 虚拟环境替代实际系统，实现安全、高效的分析验证，广泛应用于电网规划、运行优化、新能源并网、 故障诊断及人员培训等领域。按时间尺度分类，电力系统仿真主要分为电磁暂态仿真、机电暂态仿真、 中长期动态仿真三大类。 相关企业：中芯国际集成电路制造有限公司、超聚变数字技术股份有限公司、浪潮电子信息产业股份有 限公司、北京华大九天科技股份有限公司、浙江中控技术股份有限公司、武汉达梦数据库股份有限公 司、国家电网有限公司、中国华能集团有限公司、寒武纪科技股份有限公司 ...

Group 1 - The establishment of the User Ecology Branch of the China Electricity Council marks a new phase in the standardized and collaborative development of the energy user ecosystem in China, aimed at injecting strong new momentum into the green, low-carbon, and high-quality development of the energy and power industry [1][2] - The conference gathered nearly 200 representatives from various sectors, including government, industry, academia, research, and users, to witness the unveiling of the branch and the signing of agreements with 16 ecological partners [1] - The transition of users from being "receivers" of energy to "participants" and "co-builders" reflects a consensus in the industry to create an open, collaborative, intelligent, and win-win energy service ecosystem [1] Group 2 - The User Ecology Branch aims to create an open, integrated, and compliant collaborative platform to address challenges such as resource dispersion, incomplete mechanisms, and collaboration bottlenecks in the user-side ecosystem [2] - The branch's president emphasized the goal of transforming energy services from "one-way supply" to "two-way interaction" and from "single service" to "ecological empowerment" [2]